TECHNICAL REPORT ISTC/BES/TVR/0313 ISRO-IISc Space Technology Cell Indian Institute of Science S T C Bangalore Urban Revolution: Urbanisation Pattern and Environmental Sustainability Analysis of Major Cities in India * [Final Technical Report] T.V.Ramachandra*, CES, IISc N.V. Joshi, CES, IISc Bharath H. Aithal, CES, IISc Uttam Kumar, CES, IISc K. Venugopala Rao, NRSC, ISRO Energy & Wetlands Research Group [CES TE15] Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Bangalore - 560012, INDIA Web: http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy, http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/biodiversity https://www.researchgate.net/profile/T_V_Ramachandra/publications Email: cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in, energy@ces.iisc.ernet.in APRIL 2016 ISTC/BES/TVR/0313- Technical Report Urban Revolution: Urbanisation Pattern and Environmental Sustainability Analysis of Major Cities in India Ramachandra T. V. Joshi N V Uttam Kumar Bharath H. Aithal K. Venugopala Rao Citation: Ramachandra T V, Joshi N V, Bharath H. Aithal, Uttam Kumar and Venugopala Rao K., 2016., Urban Revolution: Urbanisation pattern and Environmental Sustainability Analysis of Major Cities in India, ISRO-IISc Space Technology Cell, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012 Financial Support ISRO-IISc Space Technology Cell Indian Institute of Science Bangalore ISTC/BES/TVR/0313- Technical Report April 2016 Energy & Wetlands Research Group, Centre for Ecological Sciences, TE 15 New Bioscience Building, Third Floor, E Wing [Near D-Gate] Indian Institute of Science Bangalore 560012, India http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/biodiversity Email: cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in, energy@ces.iisc.ernet.in sahyadri@ces.iisc.ernet.in Note: The views expressed in the publication [ISTC/BES/TVR/0313] are of the authors and not necessarily reflect the views of either the publisher, funding agencies or of the employer (Copyright Act, 1957; Copyright Rules, 1958, The Government of India). ISTC/BES/TVR/0313- Technical Report 2016 Urban Revolution: Urbanisation Pattern and Environmental Sustainability Analysis of Major Cities in India Ramachandra T. V. Joshi N V Bharath H. Aithal Uttam Kumar K. Venugopala Rao Citation: Ramachandra T V, Joshi N V, Bharath H. Aithal, Uttam Kumar and Venugopala Rao K., 2016., Urban Revolution: Urbanisation pattern and Environmental Sustainability Analysis of Major Cities in India, ISRO-IISc Space Technology Cell, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012 Financial Support ISRO-IISc Space Technology Cell, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore Section Content Page No. Chapters Delhi Mumbai Hyderabad Kolkata Ahmedabad Pune Study Highlights Progress during April 2013 to March 2016 Modelling Urban Revolution in Greater Bangalore, India Modelling and Visualization of Urban Trajectory in 4 cities of India Geospatial scenario based modelling of urban revolution in five major cities in India Prediction of Land use Dynamics in the Rapidly Urbanising Landscape using Land Change Modeller Modeling and Simulation of Urbanisation in Greater Bangalore, India Visualization of Urban Growth Pattern in Chennai Using Geoinformatics and Spatial Metrics Monitoring urbanization and its implications in a mega city from space: Spatiotemporal patterns and its indicators Urban footprint of Mumbai - the commercial capital of India Analysis of spatial patterns of Urbanisation using Geoinformatics and spatial metrics Urban structure in Kolkata: metrics and modelling through geoinformatics Monitoring spatial patterns of urban dynamics in Ahmedabad city, textile hub of India Urbanisation pattern of Incipient mega region in India GHG footprint of major cities in India Wetlands: Kidneys of Bangalore’s Landscape i-xii 1 8 14 21 32 40 57 71 96 116 132 139 162 185 April 2016 Technical Report -ISTC/BES/TVR/0313 Energy & Wetlands Research Group, Centre for Ecological Sciences, TE 15, New Bioscience Building, Third Floor, E Wing, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012, India http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/biodiversity https://www.researchgate.net/profile/T_V_Ramachandra/publications E Mail: cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in; wetlands@ces.iisc.ernet.in Note: The views expressed in the publication [ETR 103] are of the authors and not necessarily reflect the views of either the publisher, funding agencies or of the employer (Copyright Act, 1957; Copyright Rules, 1958, The Government of India). PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 1. Title: Urban Revolution: Urbanisation Pattern and Environmental Sustainability Analysis of Major Cities in India 2. Code: ISTC/BES/TVR/313 3. Name of the Investigator(s): Dr. T.V. Ramachandra [cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in] Dr. N.V. Joshi [nvjoshi@ces.iisc.ernet.in] Dr. Uttam Kumar [uttam@ces.iisc.ernet.in] Co-investigator(s) from ISRO: Dr.K. Venugopala Rao, Head, Urban Studies and Geoinfomatics Group, National Remote Sensing Centre Hyderabad [venu_koppaka@nrsc.gov.in] 4. Duration and starting date of the project: 3 years, 1st April 2013 5. Period covered in the progress report: 1st April 2013 to 31st March 2016 6. Report highlighting the objective and main achievements (2-4 pages) In the next half century, ninety percent or more of global population growth will take place in the rapidly urbanizing areas of the developing world. The dramatic urbanization now under way there constitutes one of the epochal transformations in human history. The environmental, social and economic implications of this “urban revolution” are only beginning to be grasped by contemporary social science. There is an urgent need for tools to describe and analyze the transformation under way, and to provide useable knowledge for those seeking to better manage the process and its consequences. A growing body of research has harnessed new technologies of remote sensing and GIS to describe pathways of urban and peri-urban development. Understanding the dynamics and the ecological consequences of urban expansion is critical for crafting policies and institutions to manage it properly. Comparative analysis of these processes in different cities is an indispensable prerequisite to such an understanding in a rapidly urbanising country such as India. The study during 2013-16, focussed on understanding urban dynamics using spatio-temporal data of 10 major Indian cities. Environmental data of 10 major Indian cities have been collected and analysed to estimate the carbon footprint of respective cities. Spatial data of four decades for Delhi, Pune and Hyderabad were analysed to understand land cover dynamics. Further the region was divided into 4 zones and into circles of 1km incrementing radius to understand and quantify the local spatial changes. Results of the landscape metrics indicate that the urban center was highly aggregated and the outskirts and the buffer regions were in the verge of aggregating urban patches. i PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 Delhi: Temporal land cover analysis for Delhi indicate of decline in that the vegetation by about 75.03%, while the area under non vegetation has shown an increase of 121%. Land use analyses for the period 1977 to 2010 done through the Gaussian maximum likelihood classifier indicate that the area under built-up has increased from 3.6 (1977) to 25.06% (2010). During the past four decades the total urban (built-up) area has increased by more than 638% mainly from the conversion of open areas and other areas including agriculture land. Spatial metrics considering the area, edge, shape, aggregation obtained through the moving window method to quantify the urban built-up land density provide an efficient method for predicting the urban growth pattern. This has aided in visualizing and quantifying the burgeoning urban footprint at Delhi. The analysis also revealed of sprawl and the process of densiļ¬cation has happened around the city centre and has spread out of the core during 1990’s and have started to get clumped during 2010. Aggregation and sprawl of built-up land has occurred on cost of fragmentation of various other classes for ex. agriculture land and urban green spaces. Visualisation of urban growth helps the urban planners and decision-makers in formulating appropriate development strategies to mitigate the potential impacts on the urban environment. Visualisation analysis also revealed the same pattern of densification would continue in Delhi, capital of India and urban land use would occupy about 57% and 70% of the landscape by 2025 and 2035. Delhi is one among the world fastest and largest growing cities with huge expansion in both industrial and housing sectors. The neighbouring states and cities are experience fact growth of urban land due to unprecedented growth and prices attached to the land value. This in turn would lead to an increased outward expansion in almost all directions. Regions such as Ghaziabad, Noida, Bahadurgarh, Sonipat, Dadri, Modinagar, Bhagpur and Pataudi are the regions that would be under the reins of urban growth / expansions in a decade to come. Mumbai: Mumbai, the commercial capital of India, has experienced a spurt in infrastructural and industrial activities with globalization and opening up of Indian markets. Unplanned urbanization has resulted in dispersed growth in peri-urban pockets due to socio-economic aspects with the burgeoning population of the city. Consequent to this, there has been an uneven growth pattern apart from the increase in slums in and around the city. This has necessitated the understanding of the urbanization pattern and process focusing especially on the expanding geographical area, its geometry and the spatial pattern of its development. NDVI indicates that there has been a loss of green cover as vegetation declined from 53.63 (1973) to 33.76 % (2009). There has been a loss in vegetation up to 62.79% during the past four decades. Land use analysis indicated a decrease of vegetation by 20% with an increase in urban extent by 155% during the last three decades. Landscape metrics used in the study reveals a significant variation in the composition of the urban patch dynamics with increasing complexity and aggregation of urban area at the centre and sprawl at the outskirts. Shannon’s entropy shows am increasing trend of values for NE and ii PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 SW directions which indicates that urban patches are getting fragmented in time. In NW direction, Shannon’s entropy values show an increasing trend till 1998 that slightly decreases in 2009 indicating compactness. In SE direction, there has been an increasing trend from 1973 to 1992 with a sudden decline in 1998 (which shows compactness) and an increase in 2009 with increasing fragmentation. Mumbai being the business capital of India has been experiencing urbanisation with ever increasing urban footprint. During the past four decades (1973-2009), urbanization has significantly modified the landscape structure of Mumbai city and its outskirts. The built-up area has significantly increased by 155% in past four decades, at the expense of non-forest land in the study region, which includes Mumbai metropolitan area with 10 km buffer. Urban sprawl is seen toward the southwest and northeast sectors of the metropolitan area. This trend would continue considering that major driving force behind the urban growth and sprawl in Mumbai as per the analysis is setting up major industrial parks and corridors along with increase in the population density mainly for employment opportunities. It can be noted that major growth would happen in regions of Navi Mumbai region, Bhiwandi, Badlapur, Matheran. The developments majorly are in towards Raigad district with Rasayani and Khalapur would be next urban centre of development in current trends. Mumbai and Navi Mumbai would also see huge infilling growth and reach saturation of horizontal development considering resources. Considering the study region, the urban would cover about 31 percent of the total region though 44% is water. With Pune also gaining massive urban development the requirement of land mass for urban region would grow in Mumbai in coming years. Government of India declaring Navi Mumbai, Greater Mumbai, Thane, Kaylan as some of the cities that would translate as smart cities would also pressurise the development of Mumbai and its core with requirements of Basic services and amenities. Chennai: Land cover show that the percentage of vegetation cover has drastically reduced by 22% during the past two decades, with the increase in non-vegetation area (buildings, open space, water etc.). As per the LC analysis, the current vegetation cover is about 48.18%. Land use Analysis indicated urban growth result indicate that the Chennai city while experiencing high sprawl, and also show the tendency of forming a single patch, clumped and simple shaped growth. The identification of variables responsible for the growth trends would aid in the adoption of an appropriate technique to mitigate the impact of the variables on the growth trends. Prediction for the year 2026 was performed considering agentsand is given in Figure 3 and Table4 lists share of land use categories. Built-up areas would increase by two folds, decrease in vegetation and increase in other categories can be observed in 2026. Significant changes can be seen in areas which falls within the CMDA boundary such as Korathur and Cholavaram lake bed, Redhills catchment area, Perungalathur forest area, Sholinganallur wetland area, etc. The regions closer to Chennai boundary lying in peri urban buffer such as Kanchipuram, towards iii PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 Pulicat, Kavaraipettai, Vellore and towards Krishnagiri would also show a significant urban expansion by 2026. Kolkata: Land cover analysis NDVI values, highlighting the decline of area under vegetation from 36% (in 1980) to 13% (in 2010). and use analysis has revealed a decline of vegetation from 33.6 % (1980) to 7.36 % (2010). During 2010, Kolkata’s built-up had constituted 8.6 %, water bodies comprised of 3.15 %, whereas other categories made up about 80.87 %. Increased Shannon’s entropy during the last decade highlights the tendency of sprawl that necessitated policy interventions to provide basic amenities. Spatial patterns through metrics indicated a compact and simple structured growth at the centre of the city and a distributed complex shape in the buffer region. Further, these metrics indicated that the city is on the verge of becoming a single large urban patch that would affect its ecological integrity. Modelling predicts the urban growth in Kolkata and 10km buffer would cover 48% of the entire region by 2025. Ahmedabad: Land cover results showed that the percentage of vegetation cover has drastically reduced to almost half in past four decades (49.78 in 1973 to 24.73 in 2010), with an increase of non-vegetation area (Buildings, open space, water etc.). Land use statistics of the study region indicates vegetation area decreased to about 24% from 45% and the urban impervious class increased from 3% to about 14 %, which is more than 400 times during four decades and was also dominated by the others classes, whereas the water class fairly remained constant. Modelling predicts the urban growth in Ahmedabad and 10km buffer would cover 38.3% of the entire region by 2030. PUNE: Spatial patterns of urbanisation and sprawl in Pune city with 10 km buffer has been analysed zone wise gradients using temporal remote sensing data through Geoinformatics and spatial metrics during 1977 to 1992 there was infilling in the core city area. During 2000 and 2013 the fragmentation was quite evident at city outskirts. Spatial pattern dynamics analysed through patch, contagion, edge and shape metrics. The temporal pattern of the urbanization process of this region highlights the process of coalescence during the rapid urbanization decade (2000 to 2010). Results indicate the process of aggregation in the core compared to the periphery and the buffer zones. Globalisation and the reforms in the industrial sector during 1990’s witnessed a spurt in urban growth, which is evident from the occurrence of large number of urban patches surrounded by other land uses, especially in industrial pockets such as Pimpri chinchwad, Warje, Yerawada, etc. Subsequent urban growth witnessed consolidation of fragmented patches with lower patch density and larger urban patch to form clumped urban pockets in NW and SE directions by 2010. Specifically, aggregation of patches is noticed in northwest at the outskirts and even at the buffer zone. Gradients iv PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 with metrics provide vital information to the decision makers about level of urbanisation and the role of agents (policy issues, etc.). Information about the patterns of growth, rate of growth, patches, clumpiness etc. would help in evolving appropriate location specific strategies to mitigate environmental consequences. Visualisation of urban growth based on the behavior of agents with the temporal data help the city managers in help city planners and administrators to design towards achieving the goals of sustainable cities. Modelling predicts that the Localities such as Markal, Lonikand, Dattwade, Girinagar, Lavale, Pimpri, Chinchwad, Kahdakwasla, Dhayari phata, Katruj, Yerwada, Pashan in and around Pune would experience a large scale land use change. These regions are the ones that are offering better lands for industrial growth in and around Pune and have been considered as sprawling areas with associated problems such as lack of basic amenities, etc. Pimpri Chinchwad was established in 1988 and developed to cater the requirement of industrial needs. Model shows that the region would experience an unprecedented urbanisation and built -up land use would dominate with 50% of the total land use in the study region. There would be higher pressure in the city boundaries since infilling would be very high and also towards regions connecting Mumbai show a huge spurt of urban. Bhopal: Zone-wise urban density gradients of 1977 to 2014 aided in understanding urban morphology with intense urbanization at core regions and sprawl at outskirts in NW and SE regions. An increase of built up ranges by 162% (during 1977 to 1992), 111% (during 1992 to 2000), 150% (2000 to 2010) and 49% (2010 to 2014). Urban growth modelling indicates urban changes of 50% (2018) and 121% (2022) with increasing urban population compared to 2014. These results from the prediction of LULC indicate that the built-up in this area will increase by approximately 120 – 125% from 2014 to 2022. Coimbatore: Urban space has increased from 1.87% (1989) to 21.26 % (2013) with the decline of other land uses particularly vegetation. Higher heterogeneous land use classes during 90’s, give way for a homogeneous landscape (with simple shapes and less edges) indicating the domination of urban category in 2013. Complex landscape with high number of patches and edges in the buffer region indicate of fragmentation due to urban sprawl in the region. Visualisation of urban growth shows that built up area would increase to 32.64% by 2025. Coimbatore being an industrial hub in the state of Tamilnadu, India, is facing an unprecedented urban growth. Coimbatore would be urbanised to an extent of about 42% by 2035. Coimbatore would develop towards regions that lead to Salem, Sulur, Tiruppur, Annur, Kanathur etc., Geovisualisation of urban growth in Bangalore: Land Change Modeler (LCM), Markov Cellular Automata and Geomod were used to predict likely land use in 2020 with the v PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 knowledge of land use changes during 2006-2012 with the constraint of no-change in land use of water category. The results showed a drastic change in the land use, which were converted to urban. Thus necessitating the land use managers and city planners to understand future growth and plan the further developments. Predicted land uses of 2010 and 2012 were compared with actual land uses of 2010 and 2012 classified based on remote sensing data with field data. The weights for each scenario was then obtained based on validation per pixel basis so that the developed semantics match the original land use. The predicted land use for 2020 reveals of similar patterns of urbanisation of last decade. The main concentration will be mainly in the vicinity of arterial roads and proposed outer ring roads. Predicted land use also indicate of densification of urban utilities near the Bangalore international airport limited (BIAL) and surroundings. Further an exuberant increase in the urban paved surface growth due to IT Hubs in south east and north east. The results also indicated the growth of suburban towns such as Yelahanka, Hesaragatta, Hoskote and Attibele with urban intensification at the core area in almost all modelling techniques used. The results indicate that the urban area would cover close to 50 to 60 % of the total land use in and surrounding Bangalore. Thus providing insights to relevant information. Further modelling can be improved using nature and bio inspired techniques. GHG Emissions in Transportation Sector: Emissions from the road transport sector are directly related to the quantities of petrol and diesel consumption and the increase in emissions has been due to an increase both in the number of motor vehicles on the road and the distance these vehicles travel. Traffic composition analysis of six mega cities of India (Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Bangalore and Hyderabad) shows that there is significant shift from the share of slow moving vehicles to fast moving vehicles and public transport to private transport. In the major cities transportation sector is one of the major anthropogenic contributors of greenhouse gases. Emissions resulting from total vehicles registered within the city boundary and also from CNG fuelled vehicles present in few of the major cities are calculated. Navigational activities from the port cities are also included in the emissions inventory on the basis of fuel consumption. Delhi leads the emission chart among other cities due to higher emissions because of large number of vehicles. As per the statistics of Transport Department in Delhi, the total number of vehicles in Delhi is more than combined total vehicles in Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata. Also Delhi has 85 private cars per 1000 population against 8 private cars per 1000 population on all India average. Delhi also has 344868 CNG vehicles during the year 2009-10. In Delhi during the year 2009-10, vi PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 total number of registered vehicles was 6451883, out of which there were around 20 lakhs of cars and jeeps and 40.5 lakhs of motor cycles including scooters and mopeds. CNG fuelled vehicles emitted 1527.03 Gg of CO2 equivalents whereas the remaining vehicles resulted in 10867.51 Gg of emissions contributing almost 30% of the total emissions in this sub category which is the highest among all the major cities. This is twice the earlier estimate of 5.35 million tons (5350 Gg) of CO2 emissions from road transportation sector in Delhi during the year 2007-08 or emissions of 7660 Gg using top down approach or 8170 Gg using bottom-up approach.The CNG vehicles are also present in two other cities: Greater Mumbai and Hyderabad. Emissions from CNG vehicles in Mumbai during the year 2009-10 are found to be 531.34 Gg of CO2 equivalents and for Hyderabad it is estimated that 21.55 Gg of CO2 equivalent was emitted from CNG vehicles during the study year. GHG footprint – City and sector: Aggregation of GHG emissions of all sectors reveal that GHG emissions in major cities in India ranges from 38633.20 Gg/year (Delhi), 22783.08 (Greater Mumbai), 22090.55 (Chennai), 19796.60 (Greater Bangalore), 14812.10 (Kolkata) to 13734.59 (Hyderabad). Figure 1 depicts sector-wise GHG footprint for Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Greater Bangalore and Hyderabad. Figure 1: GHG Footprint (carbon dioxide equivalent emissions, Gg) Delhi Greater Mumbai Kolkata Chennai Greater Bangalore Hyderabad Sector wise GHG footprint analysis for Delhi city reveals that transport sector leads the carbon emission (32.08%) followed by domestic sector (30.26%). The sector-wise carbon emissions analysis show the relative higher share for transportation sector in IT (Information Technology) giants of India – Bangalore and Hyderabad. Emissions from transport sector ranges from 43.83% (Greater Bangalore) and 56.86% (Hyderabad) due to lack of appropriate public transport system in these Cities and haphazard growth due to unplanned urbanisation has led to large scale usage of private vehicles. vii PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 7. Publications from the work (Papers, reports, etc.) Journals (peer reviewed international journals) Theme Year Publication Environmental 2015 Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath H. A., Shreejith, K., 2015. GHG footprint of major Sustainability cities in India, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 44, pp.473-495. Urbanisation 2015 Bharath, H.A., Ramachandra, T.V., 2015. Visualization of Urban Growth in pattern Chennai: spatio-temporal using Geoinformatics, Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing. 30, pp. 24-38. 2015 Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H.A., Sowmyashree M. V., 2015. Monitoring urbanization and its implications in a mega city from space: Spatiotemporal patterns and its indicators, Journal of Environmental Management. 148, pp.67-91. 2014 Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H.A., Sowmyashree M. V., 2014. Urban Structure in Kolkata: Metrics and Modeling through Geo-informatics, Applied Geomatics, 6(4), 229-244. Ramachandra T.V., Bharath, H.A., Barik, B., 2014. Urbanisation Pattern of Incipient Mega Region in India, Tema. Journal of Land Use, Mobility and Environment, 7(1), pp. 83-100. Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Sowmyashree, M. V., 2014. Urban Footprint of Mumbai - The Commercial Capital of India, Journal of Urban and Regional Analysis, Vol. 6(1), pp. 71-94. 2014 Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Sowmyashree, M. V., 2014. Monitoring spatial patterns of urban dynamics in Ahmedabad city, textile hub of India, Spatium International Review. Vol. 31, pp. 85-91. 2013 Ramachandra, T. V., Bharath, H.A., Sowmyashree M. V. 2013. Analysis of spatial patterns of urbanisation using geoinformatics and spatial metrics, Theoretical and empirical researches in urban management. 8(4), 5-24. 2013 Uttam Kumar, Kumar Raja S. Mukhopadhyay C. and Ramachandra T.V. , 2013. Assimilation of endmember variability in spectral mixture analysis for urban land cover extraction. J. Adv. Space Res. 52(2013):2015-2033, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2013.08.02 2013 Ramachandra T.V,, Meera D.S.and Alakananda B., 2013. Influence of Catchment Land Cover Dynamics on the Physical, Chemical and Biological Integrity of Wetlands, Environment & We -International Journal of Science & Technology - (EWIJST), pp 8(1): 37-54 Conference proceedings Urbanisation 2016 Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Kumar, U., Venugopal, K. R., pattern Joshi, N.V., 2016. Modelling and Visualization of Urban Trajectory in 4 cities of India. In proceedings of IISc- ISRO-STC 2016, January 7-8, 2016 Bharath, H.A., Ramachandra, T.V., 2016. Future of Indian cities: Looking at spatial growth perspective – Smart cities and Planning. In proceedings of Livable Habitat & Sustainable Infrastructure: a key to smart growth, January 1-2, 2016 at Hyatt Regency, Kolkata, India. Bharath, H. A., Ramachandra, T.V.,2016. Green to Grey: Bangalore, in International LCLUC Regional Science Team Meeting in South and Southeast viii PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 2015 2015 2014 2014 Modelling/ visualisation of urban patterns 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 Asia, organized by NASA, Poster, January 12th – January 18th 2016, Yangon University, Yangon, Myanmar. Bharath, H.A., Vishwanatha, Bhat, Ramachandra, T.V. 2015. Spatial Patterns of Urban Growth with Globalization in India’s Silicon Valley. Proceedings of National Conference on Open Source GIS: Opportunities and Challenges Department of Civil Engineering, IIT (BHU), Varanasi. October 9-10, 2015. (BEST paper award) Ramachandra, T.V., Vinay, S., Bharath, H. A., Bharath, S., Shashishankar, A., 2015. Landscape Status and Hydrological Regime: Insights to Linkages in Sharavati and Varada Catchments, Central Western Ghats. In proceedings of NRSC UIM 2015, January 21-22, 2015, Hyderabad, Telagana, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Venugopal, K. R., Joshi, N.V., 2015. Geospatial scenario based modelling of urban revolution in five major cities in India. In proceedings of IISc- STC 2015, January 8-9, 2015, Bangalore, Karnataka, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Chandan, M. C., Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Sellers, J.M., Venugopal, K. R., 2015. Monitoring and modelling patterns of urban growth in Chennai, India. In proceedings of NRSC UIM 2015, January 21-22, 2015, Hyderabad, Telagana, India. Chandan, M. C., Bharath, H. A., Ramachandra, T.V., Venugopal, K. R., 2014. Quantifying urbanisation using geospatial data and spatial metrics-a case study of Madras. In proceedings of Lake 2014, November 13-15, 2014, Uttara Kannada, Karnataka, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Tarun, K.K., Venugopal, K. R., 2014. Modelling of urban dynamics: a case study of Bhopal and its environs, India. In proceedings of Lake 2014, November 13-15, 2014, Uttara Kannada, Karnataka, India. Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Ramachandra, T.V., 2014. Landscape dynamics modelling through integrated Markov, Fuzzy-AHP and Cellular Automata, in the proceeding of International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IEEE IGARSS 2014), July 13th – July 19th 2014, Quebec City convention centre, Quebec, Canada. Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Ramachandra, T.V., 2014, Prediction of Spatial Patterns of Urban Dynamics in Pune, India, in proceedings of IEEE-Indicon 2014, December 11-13, 2014, Pune, Maharastra, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Chandan, M. C., Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Sellers, J.M., Venugopal, K. R., 2015. Monitoring and modelling patterns of urban growth in Chennai, India. In proceedings of NRSC UIM 2015, January 21-22, 2015, Hyderabad, Telagana, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Venugopal, K. R., 2014. Modelling and geovisulaisation of urban growth, India. In proceedings of Lake 2014, November 13-15, 2014, Uttara Kannada, Karnataka, India. Chandan, M. C., Bharath, H. A., Ramachandra, T.V., Venugopal, K. R., 2014. Quantifying urbanisation using geospatial data and spatial metrics-a case study of Madras. In proceedings of Lake 2014, November 13-15, 2014, Uttara Kannada, Karnataka, India. ix PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Book Chapters Urbanisation 2015 Environmental 2014 Sustainability Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Tarun, K.K., Venugopal, K. R., 2014. Modelling of urban dynamics: a case study of Bhopal and its environs, India. In proceedings of Lake 2014, November 13-15, 2014, Uttara Kannada, Karnataka, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Vinay, S., Bharath, H. A., Bharath, S., Shashishankar, A., 2014. Environmental flow assessment in the rivers originating at the Western Ghats. In proceedings of Lake 2014, November 13-15, 2014, Uttara Kannada, Karnataka, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Nupur, N., Vinay, S., Bharath, H. A., 2014, Modeling Hydrologic regime of Lakshmanatirtha watershed, Cauvery River, in proceedings of IEEE-GHTC-SAS 2014, September 26-27, 2014, Trivandrum, Kerala, India. Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Joshi, N. V., Kumar, U., Venugopal, R. K., Modelling Urban Revolution in Greater Bangalore, India, 30th Annual In-House Symposium on Space Science and Technology, ISRO-IISc Space Technology Cell, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, 7-8 November 2013. Vinay, S., Bharath, S, Bharath, H.A., Ramachandra, T.V., 2013. Hydrologic model with landscape dynamics for drought monitoring, In proceedings Joint International Workshop of ISPRS on Geospatial Data for Disaster and Risk Reduction, November 21-22, 2013, Hyderabad, India. Bharath, H.A., Vinay, S., Ramachandra, T.V., 2013. Modelling and Simulation of Urbanization in Greater Bangalore. In proceedings of National Geospatial Data Infrastructure 2013, November 29-30, IIT Bombay, Mumbai, India Bharath, H.A., Ramachandra. T.V., 2013, Visualisation of urbanisation patterns in Greater Bangalore, India, In CES in house symposium, 02-03, Nov 12, New Biological Science Auditorium, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore. Bharath, H.A., Vinay, S., Ramachandra, T.V., 2013. Prediction of Land use dynamics in the rapidly urbanising landscape using land change modeller in proceedings of Fourth International Joint Conference on Advances in Engineering and Technology, AET 2013, December 13-14, NCR Delhi, India. Bharath, H.A., Ramachandra. T.V., 2013. Measuring urban sprawl in Tier II cities of Karnataka, India, In Proceedings IEEE Global Humanitarian Technology Conference: South Asia Satellite (IEEE-GHTC-SAS), 2013, Techno Park, Trivandrum, Kerala, India, 23-24 Aug., 2013. Bharath, H.A., Vinay S., Ramachandra. T.V., 2013. Comprehension of temporal land use dynamics in urbanising landscape, In Proceedings of 2ND National Remote Sensing Users Meet, NRSC, Hyderabad, India, 20-21 February, 2013. Ramachandra, T.V., Bharath, H. A., Beas, B., 2014. Modelling and monitoring spatial patterns of urbanisation through Geoinformatics, accepted as chapter in book, in press. Ramachandra, T.V., Shreejith, K., Bharath, H. A., 2014. Sector-Wise Assessment of Carbon Footprint in India. Chapter 8 (in Vol. 2). In: Assessment x PROGRESS REPORT ISRO-IISc STC PROJECTS - ISTC/BES/TVR/313 of Carbon Footprint in Different Industrial Sectors (Eds. Muthu, S. S.). EcoProduction, Springer, Pp. 207-267. Reports Environmental 2016 Sustainability 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 Ramachandra T V, Asulabha K S, Sincy V, Sudarshan Bhat and Bharath H.Aithal, 2016. Wetlands: Treasure of Bangalore, ENVIS Technical Report 101, Energy & Wetlands Research Group, CES, IISc, Bangalore, India, Pp 512 Ramachandra T V, Vinay S and Bharath H.Aithal, 2015. Detrimental landuse changes in Agara-Belllandur wetland, ENVIS Technical Report 95, CES, IISc, Bangalore, India, Pp 78 Ramachandra T V, Asulabha K S, Sincy V, Vinay S, Bharath H.Aithal, Sudarshan P. Bhat, and Durga M. Mahapatra, 2015. Pathetic status of wetlands in Bangalore: Epitome of inefficient and uncoordinated Governance, ENVIS Technical Report 93, CES, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012, Pp725 Ramachandra T V, Asulabha K S, Sincy V, Vinay S, Sudarshan P. Bhat and Bharath H.Aithal, 2015. Sankey Lake: Waiting for an immediate sensible action, ENVIS Technical Report 74, CES, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012, Pp145 Ramachandra T V, Sudarshan P. Bhat, Asulabha K S, Sincy V, Kruthika L. and Rahaman M F, 2015. Fish mortality in Jakkur lake: Causes and Remedial Measures, ENVIS Technical Report 86, CES, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore 560012, Pp58 Ramachandra, T. V., Bharath, H. A., Vinay, S., Bharath, S., Asulabha, K. S., Sincy,V., Sudarshan, P. B., 2015. Vanishing Lakes Interconnectivity & Violations in Valley Zone: Lack of Co-ordination among Para-State Agencies, ENVIS Technical Report No. 85, Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore. Ramachandra, T. V., Bharath, H.A., Vinay, S., Gouri, K., Nupur N., 2014, Trees of Bangalore, ENVIS Technical Report No. 75, Environmental Information System (ENVIS), Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore Ramachandra, T.V., Durga Madhab M., Sudarshan P. B., Asulabha, K.S., Sincy, V., Bharath, H. A., 2014. Integrated Wetlands Ecosystem: Sustainable Model to Mitigate Water Crisis in Bangalore, ENVIS Technical Report 76, Environmental Information System (ENVIS), Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore. Ramachandra, T. V., Asulabha, K. S., Bharath H. A., Bharath, S., Durga Madhab M., et al.,, 2014, Environment monitoring in the neighborhood, ENVIS Technical Report No. 77. Environmental Information System (ENVIS), Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore Bharath H. Aithal and Ramachandra T.V., 2013. Modelling the Spatial Patterns of Landscape dynamics: Review, CES Technical Report 127, Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore xi TECHNICAL REPORT ISTC/BES/TVR/0313 1973 1992 1999 2006 2012 2013 © EWRG, CES, IISc Land use dynamics - Bangalore Bangalore – 2020 [CA_Markov] Land use dynamics – Major cities in India Lakes in Bangalore Bhopal – Land use dynamics during 1977-2014 ENERGY AND WETLANDS RESEARCH GROUP CENTRE FOR ECOLOGICAL SCIENCES NEW BIOSCIENCE BUILDING, III FLOOR, E-WING, LAB: TE15 Indian Institute of Science, Telephone : 91-80-22933099/22933503(Ext:107)/23600985 Fax : 91-80-23601428/23600085/23600683[CES-TVR] Email : cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in, energy@ces.iisc.ernet.in Web: http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy, http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/biodiversity Open Source GIS: http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/grass