Philomena Murray,
Jean Monnet Chair ad personam ,
University of Melbourne and IIIS, Trinity College Dublin
One of the most important tasks of
American statecraft over the next decade will therefore be to lock in a substantially increased investment -- diplomatic, economic, strategic, and otherwise -- in the Asia-Pacific region.
The Asia-Pacific has become a key driver of global politics
All the way with the USA?
Trade agreements
Selective/opportunistic regionalism
Rebalancing to Asia?
‘Perhaps the greatest value of the EU is to act as a principled champion of rulesbased, co-operative security (David
O’Sullivan, 2013).
US, Australia, EU pivots
Presence
Coherence & consistency
Summitry & symmetry
Priorities, values
Asia: economic, security regionalism
Model? Peace, reconciliation
Role of the state. Sovereignty;
commitments to regionalism, democracy;
differing political orientation
economic interests; FTAs
leadership rivalry, deficits;
TransPacific Partnership
Asia is crowded
Autonomy – from the US Asia Strategy
‘re-imagine’ security – NTS – non traditional security.
Capacity building through programmes including disaster management, border management.
Mediator?
Normative actor?
The EU ’ s New Asia Strategy , 1994
Trade deficit
1.
EU ’ s economic presence
2.
Stability
3.
Economic growth & devt
4.
Democracy & human rights.
ASEM
2001: Europe and Asia: A Strategic
Framework for Enhanced Partnerships
strengthen EU’s presence, global weight.
1.
Political, security engagement
2.
Trade, investment
3.
Poverty
4.
Democracy, good governance, rule of law
5.
Global partnerships
6.
Awareness
2012: Europe’s year in Asia
Signature of Treaty of Amity and cooperation with ASEAN
FTAs – bilateral
East Asia Guidelines, 2012: security
Comprehensive Strategy?
EU: US as partner or Asia as partner?
Clinton Ashton Declaration, 2012
EU credible actor? Crowded out?
Defence
Diplomacy
Development
Presence
Partner
Pivot
No US style fleet
ASEAN Regional Forum. Catherine Ashton?
East Asia Summit
EU conflict prevention, mediation (Aceh)
1.
hierarchy of policies - trade
2.
Hierarchy interlocutors – China
3.
hierarchy – and dominance – of national interests in Asia
Allocation of responsibilities across policy domains?
Policy consistency
Towards a Strategy: Coherence
1.
Policy & strategy
2.
Personality
3.
Task
One voice, vision, narrative?
Norms
Integration snobbery
Perception of EU arrogance.
Knowledge deficit
Disparities