Europe - Asia Relations

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Does Europe Need a

Pivot Towards Asia?

Philomena Murray,

Jean Monnet Chair ad personam ,

University of Melbourne and IIIS, Trinity College Dublin

The US Pivot

 One of the most important tasks of

American statecraft over the next decade will therefore be to lock in a substantially increased investment -- diplomatic, economic, strategic, and otherwise -- in the Asia-Pacific region.

 The Asia-Pacific has become a key driver of global politics

The EU Pivot?

 All the way with the USA?

 Trade agreements

 Selective/opportunistic regionalism

 Rebalancing to Asia?

 ‘Perhaps the greatest value of the EU is to act as a principled champion of rulesbased, co-operative security (David

O’Sullivan, 2013).

Pivot?

 US, Australia, EU pivots

 Presence

 Coherence & consistency

 Summitry & symmetry

 Priorities, values

 Asia: economic, security regionalism

 Model? Peace, reconciliation

Challenges for EU

 Role of the state. Sovereignty;

 commitments to regionalism, democracy;

 differing political orientation

 economic interests; FTAs

 leadership rivalry, deficits;

 TransPacific Partnership

 Asia is crowded

 Autonomy – from the US Asia Strategy

What kind of Pivot?

 ‘re-imagine’ security – NTS – non traditional security.

 Capacity building through programmes including disaster management, border management.

 Mediator?

 Normative actor?

The EU ’ s New Asia Strategy , 1994

 Trade deficit

1.

EU ’ s economic presence

2.

Stability

3.

Economic growth & devt

4.

Democracy & human rights.

ASEM

2001: Europe and Asia: A Strategic

Framework for Enhanced Partnerships

 strengthen EU’s presence, global weight.

1.

Political, security engagement

2.

Trade, investment

3.

Poverty

4.

Democracy, good governance, rule of law

5.

Global partnerships

6.

Awareness

2012: Europe’s year in Asia

 Signature of Treaty of Amity and cooperation with ASEAN

 FTAs – bilateral

 East Asia Guidelines, 2012: security

 Comprehensive Strategy?

 EU: US as partner or Asia as partner?

Clinton Ashton Declaration, 2012

 EU credible actor? Crowded out?

Three Ds or Three Ps?

 Defence

 Diplomacy

 Development

 Presence

 Partner

 Pivot

Security?

 No US style fleet

 ASEAN Regional Forum. Catherine Ashton?

 East Asia Summit

 EU conflict prevention, mediation (Aceh)

Triple hierarchy

1.

hierarchy of policies - trade

2.

Hierarchy interlocutors – China

3.

hierarchy – and dominance – of national interests in Asia

Allocation of responsibilities across policy domains?

Policy consistency

Towards a Strategy: Coherence

1.

Policy & strategy

2.

Personality

3.

Task

One voice, vision, narrative?

 Norms

 Integration snobbery

 Perception of EU arrogance.

 Knowledge deficit

 Disparities

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