All you need to know about the Private Retirement Scheme A New Era of Malaysian Retirement Savings Ensuring greater savings for retirement Q&A with FIMM CEO See what FIMM has to say about PRS Insight INTO FIMM’S 2012 ANNUAL Convention Growing confidently with change PRS : What’s In It For Me? How PRS can brighten your future PLUS PRS : External Comment • Get The Low Down on Ringgit Cost Averaging • Islamic Investing and SRI UT today volume 10.2 2012 CONTENT The Official Publication of the Federation of Investment Managers Malaysia Federation of Investment Managers Malaysia UT Today is published twice a year by the Federation of Investment Managers Malaysia (FIMM). Opinions and views expressed in UT Today are solely the writers’ and do not necessarily reflect those of FIMM. The publisher accepts no responsibility for unsolicited manuscripts, illustrations or photographs. All manuscripts and enquiries should be addressed to: II BOARD OF DIRECTORS • Abdul Kadir Kassim • Datuk Meriam Hj Yaacob • Datuk Siti Hadzar Mohd Ismail • Datuk Wira Jahaya Mat • Dato’ Idris Kechot • Dato’ Mohamad Ayob B Abu Hassan • Prof. Dr. Saiful Azhar Rosly • Dr. Sieh Lee Mei Ling • Danny Wong Teck Meng • George Yap Koi Ming • Ho Seng Yee • John Campbell Tupling • Muhamad Umar Swift • • • • Nor’ Azamin Salleh Teng Chee Wai Vasantha Punniamoorthy Yeoh Kim Hong ADMINISTRATION • Shalini Nair • Zahurin Sulaiman • Harkiran Kaur EDITOR’s NOTE UT today volume 10.2 2012 There is just about a month left to 2012, but it’s surprising what can happen in a mere 31 days or even 31 hours. The financial industry, however, can be a lumbering behemoth. I know this because some of my best friends are bankers and they impressed upon me time and again the importance of constancy. That said, however, the unit trust subsector of the financial industry can look forward to an exciting month ahead. Most of UT Today readers or participants in the industry should be well aware that this is the month where the Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) takes its last look at the nest before launching off to grand new heights. Consultants and providers alike should be buzzing at this prospect – a new arena has just opened up in what may be a game-changing development for the industry. And all for a noble cause – PRS isn’t simply about flogging a new product; it’s about changing the way Malaysians save and plan for some of their most important years of their lives. The only constant is change. -- Heraclitus, Ancient Greek Philosopher, 500BCE Editor’s Note The numbers don’t lie. Many Malaysians, if not a majority of them, simply don’t have enough to live on during retirement with their EPF or pension contributions alone. Numbers show that the average Malaysian has saved about RM150,000 in EPF for their 20 years of retirement, and that works out to a paltry per-month figure that doesn’t even cross the Malaysia poverty threshold. And if that’s not enough to convince anyone to subscribe to PRS, there’s 3,000 reasons for them to do so, namely in the form of tax relief. PRS subscribers can claim an additional RM3,000 (above their RM6,000 relief from EPF contributions) and, as one provider said to me, anyone with an income should be interested in this. But, again, this is change. Change is difficult. Change is uncomfortable. How do consultants convince their clients that the PRS, beyond any other product they sell, is truly for the client’s sake? How do providers maintain that fine balance between the good-in-itself of the PRS scheme while maintaining profitability? Let’s not fool ourselves. There will be teething issues and there will be complaints. And it is indeed foolish for anyone client, consultant or provider to jump into anything new with eyes closed and hands tied behind their backs. But it is similarly foolish to simply believe that things will work themselves out and that we can ignore all that is unfamiliar. All that is to say – preparation is key. Whoever you are, the question you have to ask yourself is: are you ready for PRS? Do you know what it entails? Why is it necessary? What do you have to do to enjoy its benefits? How do you subscribe? With some luck, this issue of UT Today should prepare the reader to answer most, if not all, of these questions. This issue of UT Today also provides comprehensive, but not exhaustive, coverage of the FIMM Convention, which was held last October. This annual convention is an important part of all industry participants for a number of reasons, but perhaps what’s most important are the lessons and contacts that are built at these events. The panel discussions were thorough: are you aware of your role and responsibility as an ethical unit trust consultant? Are you making the most of the opportunities presented by the rise of Islamic products? Are you ready to take advantage of the new paths opened by PRS? The point is, if you weren’t there, you probably missed out. But fortunately, there are recordings and also extensive coverage in the pages of this issue. We also feature contributions from key industry players about the macro economic outlook, the rise of Islamic finance and some tips on how to advise your clients. So, even in the midst of the exciting new developments in the industry, there are still some things that require the same amount of attention for continuous development. Change is change, but to throw the baby out with the bath water in the name of change is similarly foolish. The next 31 days will set the stage for what ought to be an even busier and more exciting 2013, and I hope that everyone is helping PRS stride forward with a solid footing. Meanwhile, UT Today is reshaping itself to become a more relevant publication in the coming year, so even we are undergoing some change as well. In light of this, we would welcome any feedback from our readers as to how we can improve this publication. Do send us your comments or any professional queries that you might have, and hopefully we’ll be able to address these concerns in our next publication out in 2013. Ahmad Zakie bin Hj. Ahmad Shariff Chief Executive Officer 1 2012 UT Annual Convention UT today volume 10.2 2012 FIMM 2012 Convention: G row in g Conf idently With C hange “As the world continues its cautious and slow recovery from the global financial crisis, it’s quite gratifying to know that our unit trust industry has continued to grow despite the turbulence. Hence, it is only fitting that “Growing Confidently with Change” was chosen as the theme for this convention.” Ahmad Zakie, FIMM CEO With the Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) promising to go into full-swing before the end of 2012, the key message at the FIMM annual convention held last October was for its members to prepare for change. Indeed, convention participants heard from a panel of experts as to how and why the advent of PRS is looking to significantly change the landscape of Malaysia’s capital market. The keynote address for the convention this year was delivered by the Securities Commission’s (SC) Executive Director, Goh Ching Yin, who reminded conference participants about their role as investment advisers. “This year’s convention theme is growing confidently with change, which speaks to the saying that the only constant is change itself,” Goh said. “In this context, it is important to recognise the challenges arising from a rapidly changing financial landscape and the need for the industry to play a more assured role in providing reliable investment options for the average Malaysian”. Goh emphasised that while the PRS was an important development for the industry, there remained other industry issues that everyone involved, from the individual consultants all the way up to the regulators, should prepare for. (Please see the Highlights of the Keynote Address section). Meanwhile, convention participants also heard experts testimonies on the growth of opportunities in the Islamic finance market, the need for greater professionalism and ethical behaviour, as well as a special presentation on the changing business environment in Malaysia and around the world. The FIMM convention is an important annual event that sees unit trust practitioners from all levels from consultants to providersmeet to discuss and share experiences. The 2012 convention was held at the Sime Darby Convention Centre on Oct 9th. 2 UT today volume 10.2 2012 The following sections give a brief summary of the key points discussed during each panel, but are not exhaustive. Panel Discussions 2012 UT Annual Convention In addition, Goh Ching Yin from the SC said, employers could take advantage of the PRS as an employee retainment mechanism by providing additional benefits for the employee while enjoying tax relief at the same time. Panel 1: The Introduction of PRS and Its Impact on the Unit Trust Management Industry Highlights of the Keynote Securities Commission The advent of PRS promises to change the landscape for the country’s retirement and unit trust industry, and consultants will be kept busy when the funds are launched in November. Providers and consultants alike will be faced with new sets of challenges as there will certainly be accompanying teething pains. The keynote address by SC Executive Director Goh Ching Yin touched on a broad spectrum of subjects related to the industry. The full text of his speech is too long to reproduce here although a copy can be found at the SC’s website. Some salient points that all unit trust consultants should be aware of are noted below : The biggest challenge, said Campbell Tupling, the CEO of CIMB-Principal, will be convincing the investing public that the PRS is not a substitute for EPF or other retirement savings plans, but complements them. “People are going to be asking, ‘What’s the best way to save for retirement? The Employees Provident Fund (EPF), Real Estate or PRS?’ And the answer is, all of the above,” Tupling said. “Our biggest challenge as an industry is to make them work together to create the opportunities for people to save for retirement. They’re all different and they play their role...how do we get the message out there that these tools work together and not against one another?” Tupling said that the investing public in other countries have been very interested in retirement plans similar to PRS, but the key in Malaysia is to raise as much awareness as possible about the new saving scheme. The point to keep in mind with PRS is that it is significantly different from the other so-called retirement ‘pillars’, i.e. the government’s social welfare being the first and EPF the second. PRS is voluntary and trades the tacit guarantee of capital protection for potentially higher returns. Manulife’s CEO, Edward Ooi said Malaysians had a prevailing mind-set that EPF savings was sufficient in-itself for retirement, but this has to change. The tax incentives accompanying the PRS would help accomplish this goal, he added. “The first few years will be very difficult years for providers,” Ooi said. “We need to provide a lot of education for the investing public. (The plan) is unique here (in Malaysia) because of the tax-relief provided by the PRS. Every Malaysian should take advantage of it.” Address by • Malaysia’s capital market has tripled in size over the last decade to its current size of RM2.4 trillion; liquidity remains ample, and the total size of the investment pool exceeds RM1 trillion • Unit trust funds have grown from 43 funds in 1993 with a total NAV of RM28.1 billion to 587 funds at the end of 2011 worth a total RM249.5 billion; unit holders accounts and penetration has grown from 5.3 million and 4.5% in 1993 to 15.4 million and 19.4% in 2011 • FIMM was established as a self-regulatory organisation in 2011, complementing SC efforts to ensure a more efficient and effective regulatory framework for the industry • The SC’s Capital Master Plan 2 envisages unit trust NAV to hit RM827.9 billion by 2020 • New regulatory efforts have been introduced to further increase product diversity, and the introduction of PRS will help drive this forward • PRS will also help develop Islamic unit trust market thereby further reinforcing Malaysia’s position as a market leader for Islamic finance, which presently accounts for about 10% to 11% of Malaysia’s total unit trust NAV • The Malaysian unit trust industry needs to prepare itself for the creation of an integrated ASEAN capital market by 2015; the creation of an ASEAN Collective Investment Scheme will provide opportunities for cross-border investments within the region • In order to sustain growth, there needs to be greater investor education to empower investors with the ability to understand and invest in more sophisticated products • Unit trust consultants have to ensure they are wholly aware of the products within their portfolios as well as market movements in order to better serve the investing public 3 2012 UT Annual Convention Hwang Investment Management Bhd’s CEO, Teng Chee Wai, told the convention that he expected the early years of PRS to be difficult, but that this could change in the long-term if the providers could prove themselves to be successes. “We must look at it at long-term while having the faith that one of these days, (PRS contributions) will be made mandatory like Hong Kong,” Teng said. “Meanwhile, all the providers will have to prove that we are worthy of managing long-term assets. We have to prove that we are credible and transparent in order to win over public interest and confidence.” He added that the PRS was a long-term investment plan and that the entire industry, including consultants, cannot only focus on the immediate-term. All providers will have to prove that we are worthy of managing long-term assets. Teng Chee Wai, CEO Hwang Investment Management Bhd Panel 2: Identifying Opportunities in the Islamic Unit Trust Landscape Despite Malaysia’s status as one of the key Islamic financial markets around the world, the development of the Islamic unit trust industry has not kept pace with its conventional counterpart. According to data from the SC, Islamic unit trust represents only about 10% of the total Market. The prevailing message at the panel discussion during the convention was the viability of taking Malaysian Islamic funds outside of Malaysia to market to a wider audience. Islamic assets, the panel member said, had potential but needed to seek a wider market, which would spur product and client diversification. Datin Maznah Mahbob, CEO of AmInvestment Management Sdn Bhd, said that Islamic unit trusts have come a long way since the inception of the business, offering a wide variety of funds that are no longer just plain vanilla sukuk or equity funds. One advantage for the Malaysian business is the change in the “economic dynamics” owing to the past financial crisis is changing in Malaysia’s favour. “Because of the global financial crisis, many of the global houses, banks for example, are disaggregating,” she said. “In fact, many banks and insurance companies 4 UT today volume 10.2 2012 have sold off non-core business which includes asset management business.” This not only translates to talent, but also a reduction of competition in the fund business, particularly in Islamic finance. This lacuna caused by the changing dynamics offer Malaysian Islamic fund companies an opportunity to thereby market to a much broader audience beyond domestic shores. The aim is not for us to fly the Islamic flag. The idea is to give the same sort of investment process and return as our conventional peers have enjoyed in a Syariah compliant version. Abdul Jalil Rasheed, CEO Aberdeen Islamic Asset Management Abdul Jalil Rasheed, CEO of Aberdeen Islamic Asset Management, said that his management company does not approach Islamic funds that differently from conventional funds. However, he acknowledges that there are great opportunities available for the nascent industry. “The aim is not for us to fly the Islamic flag,” he said. “We are not moral guardians. The idea is to give the same sort of investment process and return as our conventional peers have enjoyed in a syariah compliant version. Our aim is to give investors where we are based the opportunity to buy funds available elsewhere in the world.” “For us, we look at Islamic fund management as we would manage a conventional fund. The portfolio composition and operational element is different but we draw on the same expertise.” Abdul Jalil said that selling Islamic funds beyond Malaysia may take time, as there is still insufficient knowledge on the part of the investing public. He added that there also needed to be further development in the regulatory framework before the industry can take off on a larger scale. Meanwhile, Anthony Siau, Principle Officer (Acting), RHB Investment Management said that Islamic finance remained a key part of the group’s business, so much so that it will feature as a key component in the bank’s expansion plan. UT today volume 10.2 2012 RHB Investment Management is presently in an advanced merger discussion with OSK Investment Bank, and will likely see its business expanded to seven new countries once the deal is done. “All of it will include Islamic finance, and in certain countries that will be a huge part of it, but in other countries a window (of opportunity),” he said. Suhaizi Reza, the Senior Manager for Global Sales and Marketing of CIMB-Principal’s Islamic Asset Management arm, said that though Malaysian Islamic bankers are keen to bring their products overseas, they have to be wary of underlying obstacles. Doing your homework, he said, was essential. “Let’s say for example in Malaysia, I can go to SC to register my fund, and then every single bank in Malaysia or every agent in Malaysia can sell the fund,” Suhaizi said. “But in Bahrain, if bank A wants to sell my fund, he needs to bring my fund to the regulator to be registered, and if Bank B wants to sell my fund, he needs to go to the regulator again. The point is, we have to go to each and every jurisdiction and study the market. It’s very important to do your homework.” To summarise, the panel members agreed that there needed to be greater education of the investing public regarding Islamic products. Panel 3: Ethics and Code of Conduct for the Unit Trust Consultant The trustworthiness of a unit trust consultant is possibly his or her most important asset, the panel participants said, and must be protected at almost all cost. The panel discussed various disciplinary issues that have cropped up recently at the FIMM, and offered suggestions to resolve them and keep them from reoccuring. The relationship between an investor and a consultant is a “fiduciary relationship,” said FIMM director and a member of the Rules and Disciplinary committee Vasantha Puniamoorthy, and should be treated in the same way as the relationship between a doctor and patient. One recurring issue she said, was a tendency on the part of consultants to flout the rules in the name of convenience. She said that even though a consultant may have reached a verbal agreement with a client to expedite certain processes, such as the monthly withdrawal from the client’s EPF account to invest in unit trust, such agreements don’t always hold up should a dispute arise, even though the practices may be industry “norms”. “My question (to the consultants) then would be, ‘Have 2012 UT Annual Convention you got the instruction from the client in writing?’ The answer has always been a no. In such a case, how do we know that the client gave you those instructions and the client is aware?” Vasantha said. This standard of professional conduct provides a ground rule that unites everyone here so we all act in the same manner. This provides uniformity for the whole industry…and gives us a mental readiness of what can and cannot be done. Danny Wong, CEO Areca Capital Although this action expedites the process, the problems begin when a dispute arises, and the client can then claim that the withdrawals were being done without their approval. The Code of Conduct forbids pre-signing forms for issues such as these, thereby protecting not only the client but also the consultant. Danny Wong, the CEO of Areca Capital, said the Code of Conduct issued to all consultants also played a practical role in protecting individual consultants. He said that the conduct ensures a uniform standard of behaviour throughout the industry, which enables them to discuss issues with clients in a similarly uniform fashion. “This standard of professional conduct provides a ground rule that unites everyone here so we all act in the same manner,” he said. “This provides uniformity for the whole industry…and gives us a mental readiness of what can and cannot be done.” “Clients are also similarly made aware of the limitations and are protected by these two Codes,” Danny Wong said. The Codes thus are a defence against specific requests by clients who may be entirely profit-oriented and make specific requests that go against ethical behaviour. At the same time, Wong Boon Choy, CEO of MAAKL Mutual Bhd, said the Code of Conduct needs to be further improved to address specific gaps that consultants deal with regularly. He points out two examples: first, how should a unit trust consultant who distributes other financial products such as insurance designate himself or herself? There 5 2012 UT Annual Convention is presently a restriction on designation in the Code of Ethics, but there are progressively more and more consultants who handle various asset classes. Second, the Code of Conduct does not provide for situations where the interest of the client conflicts with certain restrictions. For example, Wong Boon Choy said, what happens in a situation where a client wants to diversify his or her portfolio to include a product not offered by their existing consultant? The norm presently is for the consultant to appoint a nominee agent to execute the transaction, but this is very much a ‘grey area’ under the Code of Ethics. UT today volume 10.2 2012 tied to the asset class of the fund. “For example, there comes a time when a consultant may feel that he needs to move his client out from an equities fund into a money market fund,” he said. “But when he does that, his trailer commission immediately drops drastically, and to his mind, it is a disincentive.” “We have to realise that the UT landscape has changed,” Wong said. “And the question is how do we address ethical issues like that?” It is thus difficult for a consultant to put the client’s interest first, which is required of the Code of Conduct and Ethics, without simultaneously disadvantaging himself. The question is how those two interests can be aligned together thereby minimising the potential for unethical behaviour. Wong Boon Choy suggested that a revision of the compensation plan to make it more similar to the fee-based scheme may be helpful in this regard. Another issue has to do with the issue of compensation, he added. Unlike other markets where wealth planners and advisers are allowed to charge a fee for selling unit trusts, Malaysian consultants are not. Rather, they earn a trailer commission that is The key takeaway from the panel discussion is that the Code of Conduct and Ethics remain strong pillars of support for unit trust consultants, but nonetheless may require change going forward if it is to remain relevant in the evolving landscape. Special Presentation: Leading Through Change The key message from the presentation by Capital Group Asia’s group CEO Douglas Dean is straightforward: the business landscape is changing at an exponential rate, and individual unit trust consultants must adapt or risk falling behind. The change is at once a function of technology and of globalisation, which has made the marketplace a lot smaller and more competitive. Indeed, Dean said, the virtues that used to make good companies great just a short 10 years ago may no longer apply as much today. To illustrate his argument, Dean pointed to a study conducted by Jim Collins in his influential 2001 management book, Good to Great. In his book, Collins identified 11 of the supposed “best companies” in the world of which only two survived or are performing well today. In their place now are the Facebooks and Googles of the world, which can be no farther away from the traditional businesses of commerce, retail and industry. “The entire market has completely and utterly shifted. We’re no longer in the reality we were brought up with,” Dean said. “By and large, we are looking at a completely different dynamic that we were ever expecting over the last 10 years. Things have rapidly changed.” “We have to think about a whole new line of thought. Life used to be linear and predictable. The last three to four years, from an outsiders perspective, things are no longer what they used to be. Models we used to apply to no longer apply.” 6 Based on the model he presented, the global marketplace is transitioning from a “complex” economy into a “chaotic” one where there will be greater and greater levels of uncertainty. Models that try to control them will ultimately fall apart, and business owners need to adjust to that new reality. As the business marketplace becomes more and more complex, Dean said, the level of expertise required to perform a job to competitive standards increases as well. So much so that it is now almost impossible for any single individual to perform in a whole variety of tasks. “Collaboration is the only way forward,” Dean said. “It’s the only way that we can get to that level of expertise (about 10,000 hours of practice) required.” In order to adapt, he said, business has to change and that means taking a number of steps such as being more open to collaboration and making better use of social media tools. Digital networking has become more important than ever, hence the successes of Facebook and Google and there is thus a need for business owners to leverage on them. Teamwork is also becoming increasingly more important specifically in the sense where everyone, including the boss, pitches in with their own areas of specialisation, Dean said. The top-down approaches that are used by bigger companies are in danger of falling apart. Change is the new paradigm going forward, he suggested, and though there needs to be preparation to anticipate that change, the how of those preparations may be more important than the what. Focus on Industry UT today volume 10.2 2012 John has been working as a middle-line manager for the past 35 years, but as retirement looms, he finds himself worrying whether he has enough saved up in his Employees Provident Fund (EPF) account for the future. John is a 53 year-old bachelor with no children, and has about RM200,000 in his account. He has some savings and has contributed to a medical insurance policy for the greater part of his working life, but assuming that he lives till 75, that means he will draw a measly RM10,000 a year from his pension savings. Even assuming that the money is reinvested and drawn down monthly with his savings, it is hard to imagine that the amount will come up to much more than RM15,000 to RM20,000 a year at best, which means that he will have to make do with between RM1,250 to RM1,650 a month. “I’m worried, and I’m already making plans to continue doing some work part-time after I’ve retired,” he says. “I have some friends who are professionals who can still do some consulting work after retirement, but I’m really not sure what I will be doing. I actually wanted to travel more after I’ve retired but it looks like I may have to delay that for the time being."” PRS: A new era of Malaysian retirement savings It’s with people like John in mind that the government has launched the Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) to encourage a higher savings rate to help boost the amount of money saved by Malaysians for their retirement. PRS, a voluntary scheme, officially launched in June 2012, adds further avenue for Malaysians to lock down funds for post-work life. As an added incentive, the government has thrown in tax incentives for both employees and employers to encourage the take-up of the programme. For employees, contributions of up to RM3,000 annually is deductible as personal tax relief. Meanwhile, employers will receive tax deductions for contributions to PRS up to 19% of the employees’ total remuneration (inclusive of EPF deductions as well). To put it in perspective, assuming a contributor starts putting in RM3,000 annually into the PRS at a conservatively estimated return of 5% per year compounded annually, the contributor can expect his investment to peek over RM150,000 in 25 years when he retires. Year Principal at start Contribution (RM) Average annual of year (RM) return Principal at year-end (RM) 1 0.00 3,000.00 5% 3,150.00 2 3,150.00 3,000.00 5% 6,457.50 3 6,457.50 3,000.00 5% 9,930.38 4 9,930.38 3,000.00 5% 13,576.89 5 13,576.89 3,000.00 5% 17,405.74 6 17,405.74 3,000.00 5% 21,426.03 7 21,426.03 3,000.00 5% 25,647.33 8 25,647.33 3,000.00 5% 30,079.69 9 30,079.69 3,000.00 5% 34,733.68 10 34,733.68 3,000.00 5% 39,620.36 11 39,620.36 3,000.00 5% 44,751.38 12 44,751.38 3,000.00 5% 50,138.95 13 50,138.95 3,000.00 5% 55,795.90 14 55,795.90 3,000.00 5% 61,735.69 15 61,735.69 3,000.00 5% 67,972.48 7 focus on industry Year UT today volume 10.2 2012 Principal at start Contribution (RM) Average return Principal at of year (RM) year-end (RM) 16 67,972.48 3,000.00 5% 74,521.10 17 74,521.10 3,000.00 5% 81,397.15 18 81,397.15 3,000.00 5% 88,617.01 19 88,617.01 3,000.00 5% 96,197.86 20 96,197.86 3,000.00 5% 104,157.76 21 104,157.76 3,000.00 5% 112,515.64 22 112,515.64 3,000.00 5% 121,291.43 23 121,291.43 3,000.00 5% 130,506.00 24 130,506.00 3,000.00 5% 140,181.30 25 140,181.30 3,000.00 5% 150,340.36 How does it work? It’s no different from investing in unit trust funds. Contributors to PRS, in its present incarnation, are essentially buying select unit trust funds from participating providers, and just like unit trust, these funds are divided into different categories of risk. At the initial stages, the funds from PRS will feed into existing unit trust funds until it develops some scale, at which point specific funds will be created for the PRS. Unlike EPF, which is mandated by the Employees Provident Act 1991 to declare an annual dividend of at least 2.5%, the PRS does not make such a guarantee. However, contributions to PRS will be fed into funds that have historically performed better than the 2.5% minimum, though participants should be aware that this is neither an implicit nor explicit guarantee. To ensure the safety of the contributors’ funds, regulations and appropriate supervisory framework have been put in place. The PRS is regulated by the Securities Commission (SC) and administered by the Private Pension Administrator (PPA), which will act as a central administrator of the PRS and other pension initiatives introduced in the future. Under the PRS Guidelines, PRS providers are to adhere to the prudential limits for funds within the Scheme. Similar to the EPF, the PRS scheme is aimed at generating savings towards meeting individuals’ retirement goals. Participants are thus matched with funds based on a pre-investment survey, or if no preference is given, they are matched based on their age profile. Older contributors could see their funds go into a moderate or conservative fund, which is less risky and provides more sustained income. The table below indicates the profile of the different kinds of funds available under PRS: Growth Fund Age Group Below 40 years of age Moderate Fund 40-50 years of age Parameter Maximum 70% equities Maximum 60% equities Investment outside Investment outside Malaysia is permitted Malaysia is permitted Conservative Fund Above 50 years of age 80% in debentures / fixed income instruments of which 20% must be in money market instruments and a maximum of 20% in equity Investment outside Malaysia is not permitted 8 focus on industry UT today volume 10.2 2012 PRS funds will be distributed by existing unit trust consultants and banking agents, although consultants will need to be registered as PRS distributors with the Federation of Investment Managers Malaysia (FIMM) before they can do so. PRS ensures investment flexibility At any point in time, participants may choose more than one PRS Provider or contribute to several funds. Participants have the option to switch funds within the provider throughout the tenure of the investment or change to another PRS provider. In some cases, this could involve penalties such as fees and lock-down periods. At the start, participants can choose to invest in an existing pool of 24 core funds provided by the eight approved PRS providers. They also have the flexibility of investing in the PRS whenever they want to enjoy the tax benefits. For example, the investment could be made on Dec 31 in one lump sum to enjoy the tax relief the following year when filing taxes. As with all pension schemes, some limitations are imposed on the early withdrawal of funds as the main objective is to ensure that pensioners have greater access to funds in their twilight years. As such, participants are only allowed to withdraw 30% of their investment annually should they find the need to do so, and the remainder will only be freed up at 55 years of age, death or emigration. Unlike the EPF, the PRS contributors have this discretion to choose from various funds with appropriate asset allocation, depending on investment objectives. Other differentiating features are highlighted in the following table : Feature Differences PRSEPF Contribution Type Voluntary Mandatory Contribution Amount No statutory minimum or maximum Statutory minimum (For employees: 11% Employee, 12-13% Employer) Contribution Frequency No statutory interval Statutory Monthly Contribution (for employees) Contribution Paid to Individual PRS Providers EPF Directly Yearly Personal Tax Relief RM3,000 RM6,000 Partial Withdrawal From Sub-Account B only, and 8% Tax Penalty Account 2 only, specific reasons no penalty Selection of Fund Investments Freedom of Selection (among PRS Providers) Freedom only on Partial Amount (EPF-MIS) Dividend Policy No statutory minimum (depends on Fund performance) Minimum 2.5% p.a. As for John, he says he wishes there was something like PRS when he had more earning power. “I don’t see why I wouldn’t have participated especially since there was an extra RM3,000 deduction from taxes every year and based on how unit trusts have done, I think it would have grown quite well,” he says. Fortunately for John, he’s managed to secure some other source of income as a consultant post-retirement but his success is the exception rather than the rule. 9 focus on industry Private Retirement Scheme What are the providers saying? UT today volume 10.2 2012 Campbell Tupling, Chief Executive Officer of CIMB-Principal Asset Management Bhd. Everyone who earns an income should be interested in this product. It’s a RM3,000 deduction annually from your taxable income so it’s almost as if it were free money. The flexibility of the PRS scheme is also another huge advantage for savers. If contributors have performance or service issues, they can opt for another provider. At the beginning, many of the PRS funds, not all, will feed into existing unit trusts. We have some flexibility as to how to assets are allocated, but they are basically managed for a longer-term horizon. PRS funds are managed for a 10-15 year horizon, not like unit trusts that look at about a 3-5 year basis, so we do manage the fund differently. There are three core funds each provider has to have. What’s important is they do have limitations based on the type of fund, and people who don’t choose the fund they would like to invest in will be, by default, moved along to (more conservative) funds as they get closer to retirement age. This is one of those things we learned from the world looking at other pension systems. This is a way of ensuring some logical progression there but for the people who want to choose, they can choose any fund they want. With respect to concern over fees, we have to understand that the distributors have to make money. It’s always a tricky balance because if you don’t have to pay distribution, and say there’s no money in the fee structure for distribution, nobody is going to want to do it. That mistake was made in the UK where not enough was allowed for distribution so nobody invested. But the argument is that the contributor should make up for the fees in the long-run. CIMB and Principal are very supportive of the PRS. We know it’s an investment that has to be made over the next few years and we think it’s a good product that will sell well in the longer-term. Pension is something that Principal has tremendous experience in and is a core product for Principal, so we will be bringing expertise in. Steve Lim, Chief Product Officer of Hwang Investment Management Bhd Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) benefits Malaysians in many ways. The most significant is in helping the public save and prepare for their golden years. The life expectancy of Malaysians has increased to 71 for males and 77 for females. In addition, it is a known fact that 50% of retirees exhaust their retirement savings within five years of retirement and 70% within 10 years. In short, many Malaysians are ill-prepared for a comfortable retirement. The good news is that there is help now. With PRS, Malaysians are able to take charge of their finances so they are prepared for a comfortable retirement years. PRS funds are purpose-built for investing in the longterm. The Securities Commissions Malaysia has outlined very specific requirements for these funds such as the equity exposure, experience of fund manager as well as proof of stability based on the historical performance of existing funds. All these contribute to ensuring the stability and consistency of the fund’s performance and thus suitable for retirement savings. It also caters to everyone, including the employees, self-employed and business owners. With PRS, it empowers Malaysians to take control of their retirement investment as they now have the flexibility to choose from the eight PRS providers and invest according to their expected returns and risk profile. 10 UT today volume 10.2 2012 focus on industry For Hwang Investment Management, we believe PRS helps to open another floodgate of opportunities for us to build our asset size. We are optimistic that PRS will be a success as it benefits the economy, society, capital market and asset managers like us. We are proud to be chosen, as assets generated from this business segment are sticky, in the sense it will stay for the long-term. Once the momentum kicks in, this will enable us to grow our assets exponentially as there will be a slew of new money that comes in regularly. Edward Ooi, Chief Executive Officer of Manulife Asset Management Services Berhad Given the alarming statistics on the aging population and ever-rising cost of living coupled with volatile financial markets, there is an urgent call for Malaysians to save more in order to achieve a sustainable retirement income. Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) was designed to address the existing gaps in our retirement landscape and provide an alternative platform for retirement fund building, including the two million self-employed working adults that are not covered under EPF. With more investment choices, contributors will be able to mitigate concentration risk and help safeguard their nest egg. This will ultimately improve the quality of living for many Malaysians. PRS is also seen as a great boost to Malaysia’s capital market. Contributions to the pension scheme would provide an additional source of funding to stimulate economic growth and deepen the capital pool, which leads to improved liquidity and efficiency of the market. For the providers, it is an opportunity for us to tap into a whole new sector of the local market and widen our business portfolio. While it is no easy task to build a whole new system and workforce for this new industry, it is definitely worth to see the number of new talents brought up through the development and implementation of PRS. Here at Manulife, skills and technology were adopted from some of our largest pension operators worldwide that carry decades of expertise in the pension industry. By providing an easy-to-use and fully integrated PRS system, we hope to encourage more Malaysians to save for their retirement. 11 focus on industry Q&A: PRS and the FIMM The Federation of Investment Managers (FIMM) has seen its regulatory role expanded to include overseeing Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) consultants. Though there are similarities between the PRS and conventional unit trust trading industries, consultants need to be aware that they are not identical products. A close up with FIMM’s Chief Executive Officer Ahmad Zakie to get his views on the regulator’s new role and what it means for the industry in general. UT Today: Why is there a need for PRS in Malaysia? Ahmad Zakie : According to statistics, Malaysia is an aged country by 2023 with more than 12% of our population is over 60 years. Given today’s demographic challenges, increased life expectancy, and rising living standards coupled with volatile financial markets, many Malaysians find their savings inadequate to meet their retirement needs. The main reason we came up with the PRS is because there is a misguided notion that the EPF (Employees Provident Fund) contribution that we make until the age of 55 is sufficient for retirement. Based on last year’s EPF report, the average total contribution for a 54 year-old contributor to EPF is about RM170,000. Assuming an average life expectancy of 75 years, that gives you about RM400 - RM500 a month, which is very low. In fact, it’s lower than the country’s poverty line of RM730. If the focus is on EPF’s withdrawal only, then a lot of our retirees are not going to have high-quality lives. UT : Why do we need to introduce a new infrastructure? Why not just enhance the EPF? AZ : Because this is simply a different asset class. First, we’re talking about voluntary, not mandatory, contributions. Two, the PRS functions as a third pillar of support for retired Malaysians in addition to the social welfare provided by the government and mandated EPF contributions. The PRS is also meant for those not under EPF’s purview at the moment, or about two million working adults. Some of them are entrepreneurs with their own businesses that contribute to EPF for their staff but not for themselves. UT : What is FIMM’s role with respect to PRS? AZ : One, we have to make sure that people that go about promoting the PRS are qualified. That means they have to go through our qualifying examinations. 12 UT today volume 10.2 2012 However, there are exemptions if they fulfill certain requirement. Two, we have to make sure the PRS concept and industry is promoted well. We have this misconception that the EPF being the be-all and end-all; but it is not and this is very sad. Even amongst some of the wealthier groups who think that the RM300,000 or RM400,000 they have in EPF is enough, but it is not. A key part of our role in marketing PRS is to ensure that the public have the proper education with respect to the issues. UT : Especially if you still have a family to support... AZ : Very much so. Malaysia is slowly ageing. As of the last census, we have got about 7% of our population above 60. By 2020, we will have 10% of our population and by 2020, our population will grow up to 35 million which means we have 3.5 million who are above 60 and by 2030 we will be an aged nation. Furthermore, a lot of our people are leaving it late to marry, so by the time you’re 40 or 50, you have kids and you still have parents so you’re sandwiched in between. And if you don’t do your financial planning very well, you won’t be able to afford to look after both. UT : Will regulating the PRS be different from regulating the UT industry in the past? AZ : Not very different because the mandate given to us by the Securities Commission and the authorities is UT today volume 10.2 2012 basically to make sure we regulate the marketing and distribution of PRS. We don’t want to hold any more than that because that itself is a huge responsibility. UT : Are there salient differences between PRS funds and UT funds? AZ : For one, a unit trust is an instrument that you buy and sell as and when you please. It is supposedly a long-term investment but sometimes when you see market going down, you might want to sell. The difference is, with PRS, you don’t have that option. That is to say you are fully invested at any given time. And time is a friend for PRS. For example, a very long-term research on the private pension scheme in North America showed that returns there were equal to those in Chile. This is to say over the last 20-odd years or so, returns from both these industries that are geographically diverse has returned more than 10%. Why have the returns been uniformly high? Because they were both fully invested at any given time. UT : What do you think is the biggest obstacle preventing greater take-up of the PRS presently? You mentioned an over-reliance on EPF earlier. AZ : The mind-set of the investing public is one obstacle. There are other obstacles from the demand side, i.e. our investing public. Right now there are certain tax-breaks that are given for individuals and employers, and while I think it’s enough, something else we have to look at going forward is to provide some capital guarantees for a portion of the contributions. The PIDM (Perbadanan Insurans focus on industry Deposit Malaysia) does something similar with bank deposits. Chile has taken this step but it took them almost 20 years for them to do it as they had to gauge the stability of the industry. UT : Do you expect PRS to evolve beyond the current model now and how? AZ : The PRS as it stands now is unit trust-based. The next move will probably be and I’m not guessing when it might come deferred annuities, which means to say contributors will receive a pension every month. But this is why we need the Private Pension Administrator (PPA), which will manage and control all contributions to private pension whether it’s from unit trust or deferred annuities later on. UT : What kind of plans, education programmes or support for its membership? AZ : First, we will assist in all promotions-road shows, educational conferences-we will provide the people and necessary support. Two, we are looking forward to also providing, still in the offing-preparatory courses for PRS exams so when people come to the exams they don’t come completely unprepared. We will provide all the available opportunities via the web for them to accumulate CPD (Continuous Professional Development) points to make it easier for them to requalify. Do you have a burning question for UT Today on anything to do with the unit trust industry or the PRS? Feel free to drop us a line at uttoday@fimm.com.my and we may respond to your query in the very next issue. 13 focus on industry UT today volume 10.2 2012 Private Retirement Scheme : What’s in it for me? Written By Carol Yip Malaysians now have greater opportunities to save more for their retirement. The Government has formulated a Private Retirement Scheme (PRS) blueprint and full implementation will soon begin. What does the future hold for Malaysians and their savings? While the Employee Provident Funds (EPF) is here to stay, Malaysians will now be encouraged to save even more in the new pension-like retirement benefits scheme. These are good steps fowards. Current Retirement System Malaysia’s current retirement system is based on a mandatory pillar for employees, anchored on formal public pensions. The system, however, faces a number of challenges. More than two million working adults, including the selfemployed, are not covered under EPF, according to the Government. Furthermore, the majority of EPF contributors exhaust their savings within three to five years of retirement. At the same time, the ageing population is becoming a larger part of the entire population. Consequently, the need for individuals to save more for retirement has intensified. In recognition of this, a Government joint-agency task force comprising the Ministry of Finance, Bank Negara Malaysia, Securities Commission and the Economic Planning Unit has been established to review the country’s pension system. 14 The Government of Malaysia now envisions a vibrant private pension industry. By 2020, the Government expects the private pension industry to grow to RM73 billion, with more than 2.7 million participants. And are we interested in saving in the Private Retirement Funds? We interviewed three Malaysians to see how they might like to see Private Retirement Funds implemented. What Malaysians’ have to Inclusive of retirees say Alan, a 60 year-old retired widower But what is most important is how much do we Malaysians know about Private Retirement Funds? said he will participate in the Private Retirement Scheme even though he is retired. He felt a mandatory focus on industry UT today volume 10.2 2012 savings programme would help him. He wanted the PRS savings for his old age living and long term care because he is not presently able to buy insurance due to pre-existing health conditions and his age. The Private Retirement Scheme should be made compulsory if the employee has no other savings option, he added. But if the employee is already contributing to Employee Provident Fund, (EPF), then the scheme can be voluntary. He stressed retirement planning training programmes at the workplace is important for the success of the Private Retirement Scheme. He went on to emphasize, “Starting from the first day of work, all employees should be educated on managing their finances with a retirement plan in mind, and the private pension fund must be considered pivotal to a retirement savings plan.” about money management and retirement savings while they are still studying. “Students should be taught basic personal finance, wealth creation and management, and our psychological relationship with money. More importantly, they should be living a lifestyle that will impact on their finances.” According to Alan, it is not too early to teach them about retirement because they have parents who will retire one day. Should old age The father of three children wanted young Malaysians to know more 15 focus on industry parents have insufficient money, it is the children’s responsibility to take care of their parents, including paying for their living expenses. He suggested that employer should contribute a certain percentage of the employee’s monthly salary into the PRS. The funds should also have an inflation index to protect the value of money and the administration fees should be minimal or less than what is currently charged for unit trust funds. What does Alan hope to see for Malaysia’s Private Retirement Scheme to achieve the vision of higher income level society? He said, “At least, a significant number of Malaysians, including current retirees and senior citizens, will have a sustainable retirement fund and income during retirement above the poverty level.” Importance of education Jenny, 28 years, who is about to get married soon, said that PRS is a good complement to the existing EPF because it helps her to top up her savings for future retirement. She will definitely participate in the scheme because of the motivation ‘to save enough retirement funds in a less hassled way’ and with the tax incentives given, the PRS scheme is very attractive. She highlighted that disabled individuals including the deaf and blind who don’t have the means to save their money for retirement must be given the opportunity to participate in the scheme too. The regulators have to think of a sustainable PRS contribution structure for these minority groups because they need financial support for survival and old age. As a busy IT programmer, Jenny preferred online education”. I think the Internet is the best way for me; a proper website is a must. Secondly, the education provider and related party should have easy to understand information and train the unit trust consultants to educate the clients instead of just selling the products,” she added. She liked the idea of providing personal financial training programmes at the workplace to teach employees about retirement planning, ‘Knowing more about PRS will motivate the employees to work harder to save their salary for retirement with PRS schemes.’ She added that educating the students in school will inculcate good savings habits, and automatically they will save their first salary in the PRS without hesitation. 16 UT today volume 10.2 2012 A specific benefit that will motivate Jenny to save in PRS is her desire to save sufficient funds to cover the cost of a nursing home in her old age. The PRS fund manager’s credibility and the option of additional PRS contribution from employers are also positive encouragement to participate in the scheme for Jenny. Independent regulatory set up Mr. Lim, in his late 40s, who has recently resigned from his full time employment and started his own consulting business, was of the opinion that the PRS scheme should fulfill the objective of saving more than enough for retirement. He would like to have more than enough to pass on to his family. He emphasized the importance of the fund managers’ credentials, experience and knowledge, and reputation of the company managing the funds. It is also important to have a regulatory body as a watch dog to ensure the PRS providers are doing their job ethically. He said, “There has to be integrity and sense of responsibility to protect people’s hard earned money and life savings. Otherwise, there is no difference between these proposed funds and financial scams. If fund managers fail, Malaysians will lose confidence and will not voluntarily save their money with the providers. It is as good as not introducing the scheme at all.” Whilst Mr. Lim felt strongly that the Government and regulators have to take responsibilities, he also believed that individuals including employers have their important roles and responsibilities. Individuals must be keen to understand more about PRSs and take ownership in saving money through PRS. Concerted effort Retirement Scheme for Private These three sets of insights and comments about Malaysia’s PRS show a keen interest in its implementation and a strong desire for its success. A concerted effort amongst Malaysians, regulators and financial industry players is required to ensure the success of the scheme. We have the advantage that we can learn from other countries’ previous successes and failures. It is crucial that the Malaysian Private Retirement scheme elevate our financial status - especially for our silver community of retirees and senior citizens if we are to achieve the Vision 2020 of a high income nation in 8 years’ time. And now is the time to start educating Malaysians so we are all ready for the PRS schemes. focus on industry UT today volume 10.2 2012 Time to turn bullish on China? By Heather Bung Unit trust investors who have shied away from funds with exposure to China’s equity market may want to reconsider their position as there are some indications that the Chinese economy may have bottomed out. Despite mixed opinions on the future of China’s prospects, undervalued equities and suggestions that the Chinese economy is finding a new sustainable footing makes it an attractive investment destination. Hwang Investment Management’s chief investment officer David Ng says that fears over China’s sustainability may have been overblown as the country remained economically strong even if it doesn’t reach the same heights as it used to. “There has been too much concern with regards to China’s slowdown,” Ng says. “No doubt China cannot sustain its historical double digit growth rate; however, at the rate of 7.5% a year, we believe it is reasonable and sustainable.” (For more of David Ng’s views on the global economy, please see his article entitled Unit Trust investors and the global economy in this issue of UT Today). The mini-panic in China was sparked by a slew of negative data including GDP, factory output and loan data started pouring out of the People’s Republic. This prompted a number of prominent investment banks, including Japan’s Nomura, to issue cautionary reports predicting a very real possibility of a hard crash. 17 focus on industry A year ago, Nomura told its clients that China had a “one-in-three chance” of crashing and burning, but has nonetheless reversed its position since then with China having ostensibly avoided the worst case scenario. Indeed, new reports are now suggesting that Chinese equities are undervalued, and deserving of another look even in the midst of controversies surrounding some dealings including the steel commodity. A recent Forbes article by Frank Holmes suggests that at the beginning of October, Chinese stocks were “trading at hefty discounts to world averages and even to euro zone stocks,” citing independent research firm BCA’s findings. BCA in its report indicated that Chinese shares had a forward price-to-earnings ratio – an important benchmark of a company’s performance denoting how much investors pay for every dollar of profit made by the company – of below nine times; the world and U.S. benchmarks traded at 12 and 13 times, respectively. “Chinese stocks are also cheap compared to emerging markets. In 2007, China traded at a 75% premium to emerging markets. Today, Chinese stocks trade at a 20% discount,” Homes says. “If you look at a comparison of price-to-earnings in China to those in emerging markets, you have to go back to 2006 to find that ratio as low as it is today.” Meanwhile, Bank Islam’s chief economist Azrul Azwar says that while a slowdown is inevitable, it would be “highly unlikely” for China’s GDP to fall below 7% this year. “Definitely a slowdown is on the cards,” he says. “We have seen many indicators that point towards that this year. A soft landing in China, of GDP growth below 8%, will have an impact on the region. But the Chinese authorities have made some moves [to soften the blow] already, and perhaps more will be coming.” The last 10 months has seen China putting on the brakes after having been in overdrive for the better part of a decade, and this has soured the country’s growth story. China’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a slower pace of 7.4% year-on-year in the third quarter, which marked its lowest posted number since the first quarter of 2009 and its seventh consecutive quarter of deceleration. The growing volatility in China had caused a number of unit trust providers to grow lukewarm on the country’s prospects earlier this year and subsequently reduce their exposure to the equities market there. 18 UT today volume 10.2 2012 But with green shoots already emerging at the macro level, this may quickly change. Economists generally agree growth will likely gradually build momentum in the 4Q and strengthen further in 2013 as earlier monetary easing measures filter down to the economy. This will likely be aided by the government’s efforts to roll out infrastructure spending to boost economic activities and as exports gradually recover. Investors who question fundamentals of Chinese stock may be comforted with the recent encouraging development on the macro level. Economists are expecting China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to be healthy at around 7.5% to 7.8% and 7.9% to as high as 8.6% for 2012 and 2013, respectively. Plus, there is already excitement around China’s once-a-decade leadership change slated for early November spreading beyond diplomatic circles into corporate boardrooms. Many foreign firms believe Beijing will ramp up state spending and lift demand when its new government takes office. The evidence here seems to indicate that the Chinese market, and funds exposed to it, may be at or near the bottom range of its valuation. With strong evidence suggesting that the market will only strengthen, it may be a good time for investors to relook at their China exposure. Disclaimer: The article is not to be construed as an invitation or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of any fund. An investment involves risks. Past performance and any forecast are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the fund. Investors should read the Fund’s prospectus and if necessary, consult financial or other professional advisers. focus on Products UT today volume 10.2 2012 Unit Trust iNVESTOR investors and the global economy By David Ng, Chief Investment Officer, Hwang Investment Management There are two opposing forces that are influencing financial markets now. On one hand, the weak global economic growth environment continues to weigh on the markets, while ample liquidity in the system pumped in by the central banks to keep the economy afloat is supporting it. That explains the spurts of the rallies and the see-saw market performance that we are experiencing now. The market needs to see leading economic indicators turning up before making the call that the economic slowdown has bottomed out. Best Defense is a Good Offense Given the weak mixed sentiment on the external front and the more positive outlook locally, this is when we ask ourselves, “Where do we find opportunities to participate in the upswing without taking excessive risks?” The answer lies in high quality dividend stocks and bonds, as these are companies that can roll in the dough in the current economic climate due to its strong business fundamentals. Our belief in investing into quality names underlies a simple Machiavellian tactic, “the best defence is a good offense.” This approach allows us to position our portfolios strategically to participate in the rally whilst being confident in the quality of our portfolio’s assets which will act as a guard against excessive risks. Equally important is keeping a comfortable cash level and active asset allocation tactics so we can seize attractive opportunities when it comes and exit the market should adverse circumstances occur. For investors who can stomach some equity risk and are thinking of participating in the market, it would be prudent to invest in equity funds that invest in high quality assets as they are more defensive in nature. For investors who prefer safer investments and do not fancy the uncertainty of investing in equity markets, fixed income funds and a hybrid of bond and equity funds are ideal. Malaysia & General Election Despite the economic headlines painting a horrible picture throughout the year, equities have done well. This is happening precisely because of the weak global economic environment. Central banks around the world are keeping interest rates low and adding liquidity into the system. As such, investors and savers around the world are desperately searching for superior yields, which are usually in the form of high yield stocks and bonds hence pushing up their prices and creating this low risk bull run. 19 focus on products UT today volume 10.2 2012 We think this trend will continue towards early 2013 as the liquidity condition is not abating. Investors are getting more and more comfortable with high yield positions and are increasingly piling into it. Malaysia’s General Election may pose a serious risk to the market but according to surveys done, we know that at least 70% of investors have already identified this as a key risk. More importantly, they have already underweight Malaysian equities in preparation. This basically tells us that if the government calls for an election, it will be so well anticipated that the actual event will have a much smaller impact on the market than what most fear. Markets tend to react more adversely to new risks or news, not well anticipated events. As for the global economy in general, the data coming in are still relatively mixed. China and Europe are still weak, but US growth is resilient. To get a sense which direction the economy will head in 2013 and how investors can position their portfolios, let us have a look at where the three main economies of the world, Europe, US and China, could most likely head towards: Europe The announcement by the European Central Bank (ECB) to purchase its member states’ sovereign bonds via the Outright Monetary Transaction (OMT) was well received by the markets. This essentially means that ECB will be the lender of last resort and this is a positive move as it substantially reduces the tail risk of a Euro debt crisis implosion. It gives some form of confidence to the market and the policymakers some breathing space so its leaders can concentrate their energy on addressing structural problems in the Eurozone such as bringing back its economic growth, creating employment, cleaning up its balance sheet and keeping the Eurozone integrated. US To add icing to the cake, the US Federal Reserve announced the much anticipated Quantitative Easing (QE3) a few weeks after the announcement of OMT. This was timely as Operation Twist expired in June 30 this year and the headline economic numbers were turning lethargic. Market participants were also concerned about the sustainability of US economic growth when plans implemented following the 2008 subprime crisis expires in the first part of 2013, an economic event popularly known as “Fiscal Cliff.” Despite all these fears, the US market is different from EU in the sense that they can print money and solve their problems over the short-term. We expect that the US will most likely increase its debt ceiling and this will not impact US Treasure yields in the short-term regardless of its rating, as investors will still buy its Treasuries due to its perceived safe-haven status. China There has been too much concern with regards to China’s slowdown. No doubt China cannot sustain its historical double digit growth rate; however, at the rate of 7.5% a year, we believe it is reasonable and sustainable. China has kept its economy from overheating, but warm enough to keep employment in check. The China government has enough reserves in their coffers to ensure that their economy will not be too cool as that will lead to unemployment. The government will not risk a spike in the unemployment and they will do what they can to keep it in check as changes by even 1 percentage point will be too much to handle. Besides, with the new leadership transition coming in by November 2012, there will be policies implemented to ensure they start the administration with the right footing. 20 focus on Products UT today volume 10.2 2012 Get The Low Down on Ringgit Cost Averaging (RCA) Written By Linnet Lee Perspective in Investment The word ‘investing’ has been used in a broad sense when it comes to assets such as unit trust, shares, bonds, businesses and properties. It has been defined by the various dictionaries as “to commit (money or capital) in order to gain a financial return.” The idea of investing is to accumulate assets whenever the market conditions are right so as to make a gain over a longer time horizon, usually for a specific goal. When the investment has reached target gains, the person may sell the investment to utilise the money gained or he may keep the investment to enjoy the income from it, depending on the investment goal. Reference is made to the article entitled Protect the Downside and the Upside Will Take Care of Itself written by Grace Chan in UT Today, Vol 9, 2011. This article expands on the difference between regular and lump-sum investing, and will give you a deeper understanding of ringgit-cost-averaging through regular savings. There are many strategies for accumulation, one of which is ringgit-cost-averaging method, the main focus of this article. Ringgit-Cost Averaging Concept It is important to be clear about the difference between ringgit cost-averaging with simple averaging. The two following scenarios will illustrate the difference. Scenario One: Simple Averaging An investor purchases 1,000 units of Fund A at RM1 per unit the first time and another 1,000 units of Fund A at another time for RM1.05 each. That would make the total investment RM2,050 and the average unit price RM1.125. The average cost per unit will not trend towards the current market value this way. Furthermore, it is not practical in unit trust investment which is forward pricing, as you will need to know the price in advance to determine how much to invest. Date Price (RM) Units Amount Invested Dec-97 1.00 1,000 1,000 Mar-98 1.10 1,000 1,100 Jun-98 0.95 1,000 950 Sep-98 0.90 1,000 900 Dec-98 1.00 1,000 1,000 Total 4.95 5,000 4,950 Average unit price = 4,950/5,000 = RM0.99 21 focus on products UT today volume 10.2 2012 Duration Contribution (RM) Rising Market P (RM) Unit Declining Market Volatile Market P (RM) Unit P (RM) Unit Dec-97 1500 1.00 1500.00 1.00 1500.00 1.00 1500.00 Mar-98 1500 1.05 1428.57 0.95 1578.94 1.10 1363.64 Jun-98 1500 1.10 1363.64 0.90 1666.67 0.95 1578.95 Sep-98 1500 1.15 1304.35 0.85 1764.71 0.90 1666.67 Dec-98 1500 1.20 1250.00 0.80 1875.00 1.00 1500.00 Total 7,500 5.50 6846.56 4.50 8385.32 4.95 7609.26 7,500/8385.32 = RM0.89 7,500/7609.26 = RM0.98 Average Unit Cost : Average Unit Price : 7,500/6846.56 = RM1.09 5.50/5 = RM1.10 4.50/5 = RM0.90 4.95/5 = RM0.99 Scenario 2: Ringgit-cost averaging Using ringgit cost averaging, an investor would invest a fixed amount as shown in the table above. Thus, when investing in the same fund at various intervals, the investor will end up with 7,609.26 units invested at a total cost of RM7,500. This brings the average cost to RM0.98/unit and reflecting the current market value better than the simple averaging strategy. Case Studies in Ringgit-Cost Averaging To fully understand the principle of Ringgit-Cost Averaging, five scenarios are shown in the table below. The different scenarios are based on actual investments made. In each scenario, the following are constant for comparison purposes : • Type of fund, which is an index fund • Duration of investment • Total original investment Variables are : • Actual redemption prices • Returns upon redemption based on strategies applied • Returns upon redemption based on date redeemed It gives readers a sense of what to expect when they apply different strategies in unit trust investment, especially within the same fund. The outcome is different for different durations and situations. COMPARSION OF INVESTMENT STRATEGIES & RETURNS FOR AN INDEX FUND NoInvestment StrategyReturn on Return after 11 years 15.4.2004 @ NAV on 14.3.2012 (%) 0.5037/unit (%) Total AnnualisedTotal Annualised 1 Monthly autodebit June 2000-December 2003 (3.5 years) Initial amount RM1,100 with RM450/month 18.56% 4.54% 157.68% 8.39% 2 One time investment at launch 0.74% 0.19% 118.95% 6.90% 3 Invest at launch with value cost averaging: 20.11% 4.90% 161.06% 8.51% Date 23/10/00 05/04/01 24/10/01 Price (RM) 0.4634 0.3665 0.3771 Amount (RM) 5,000 5,000 5.000 4 Lowest price invested on 5.4.2001 @ RM0.3665/unit 37.50% 11.20% 198.72% 10.54% 5 Invested in 2002 @ low cost RM0.4529/unit with ringgit cost averaging at lower price on 7.11.2002 @ 0.4073 17.44% 8.37% 155.26% 9.91% 22 focus on Products UT today volume 10.2 2012 Scenario description This is a classic case of a fund launched at RM0.50/unit and the price dropped and stayed down for the next few years only to recover in 2004. The price of the fund on 15.4.2004 was RM0.5037/unit. For ease of return comparison, I have adjusted the amount invested to reflect a total of RM20,000 for each strategy with the same redemption dates. In Strategy 1, investors did invested regularly until the price of the fund recovered to be almost on par with its launch price, then redeemed. Strategy 2, investors invested a lump sum during launch and did nothing after that. They naturally panicked as the price dropped further and swore that the fund was a lousy one. They did not make money for 4 years. Strategy 3, is another group of investors who also invested during launch and went on to ringgit cost average down when the price dropped (shown in table 2). Perhaps they have a higher risk appetite and the fund matched their ability to take risk? Strategy 4, is a very small but fortunate group of investors who invested at the lowest price and kept the investment until it recovered to its launch price. This group of investors is very rare as by then most investors will have shied away from the market following the previous year’s market downtrend. Strategy 5, group are late-comers to the investment scene. They are not emotionally affected as they did not invest when the price is high. Instead, they see opportunity as the price had dropped from the original launch price and is on the way up. When the price dipped a little bit more, they felt optimistic enough to lower down their cost by putting in some more investments. Basic Principles of Ringgit Cost Averaging in Unit Trust Investment For Strategy 1, it is evidenced that the regular savings with long term horizon gives very favourable returns. If the investor is able to take advantage and put in more than the RM450 when the unit price is really low, the returns will definitely be higher. In Strategy 2, the investor must ringgit-cost average down his or her price of investment as evidenced in Strategy 3. Averaging down the cost helps lower the average unit price so that when the price of the fund increases with the index, the investor will realise gains quicker. In Strategy 4 above, if the fund is invested at the lowest possible price, it is best not to average-up the unit price by investing at higher price. This strategy requires constant monitoring. If the price falls below the purchase price, the investor can then do ringgit-cost averaging. For Strategy 5, you can either hold, or if the opportunity arises to ringgit-cost average down, you can take advantage. Always remember: your buying price must be lower than your average cost per unit To the perennial question that many investors and consultants ask, is it really true that if an investment is kept long enough there will be returns? My answer to that is a resounding ‘yes’, barring any drastic unforeseen events (called outliers in investment terms) such as Black Monday or the collapse of the country’s economy, and if the right strategies are put in place. This can be seen from the last 2 columns of Table 2. The investments are tracked till 14th March 2012. The total and annualised return has grown with the market. By now you would have realised that the annualised return is even better than fixed deposit and EPF. Need I say more? This is more so because this is an index fund and hence mimics the performance of the share market. For other asset class funds (equity, bonds, balanced), the outcome will be different; but that is a topic for another time. Ringgit Cost Averaging is a simple and effective investing strategy, especially for those who don’t want to monitor the market all the time. It is a flexible strategy that can be tailored for specific financial goals such as a home purchase, children’s education or to enhance existing retirement funds. Linnet Lee, CFP, IFP, is a Financial Workshop Facilitator of Linvest Services. 23 focus on products UT today volume 10.2 2012 Islamic investing and SRI: Unlocking the potential of intersecting values By Aziza Masri With the global economy experiencing slower growth following the 2008 recession and financial crisis, investors, too become more cautious on where to park their funds in order to achieve safe and stable returns. This has, in turn, given rise to the growth of alternative investments, where investors seek returns from instruments other than the three traditional asset classes of stocks, bonds and cash. This investment platform has also been expanded to include Shariah compliant instruments, which have been proven to be a comparable alternative in the face of the current investing environment. In September 2012, data from S&P Dow Jones Indices showed the Dow Jones Islamic Market Titans 100 Index, which measures the performance of 100 of the world’s leading Shariah compliant stocks, rose 2.76%, only marginally trailing the performance of the Dow Jones Global Titans 50 Index, which gained 2.95% during the month. In Malaysia, Shariah compliant securities listed on Bursa Malaysia recorded a market capitalisation of RM883.8 billion as at the end of September 2012, making up more than 60% of the exchange’s total market capitalision. Additionally, the market 24 capitalisation of Shariah compliant equities have risen 6.6% to RM806 billion from 2010 to 2011, according to data from Securities Commission Malaysia (SC). Despite the proven gains in Islamic investing, the market here remains at a nascent stage. For the period up to September 2012, SC data shows Islamic-based unit trusts that have been launched only amounted to 168, compared to 421 conventional funds launched. Units in circulation of Islamic funds accounted for 67.43 billion out of the total units in circulation, while the net asset value of Islamic funds also lagged its conventional counterparts, at RM33.66 billion and RM257.36 billion, respectively. This however, creates ample room for future, sustainable growth. “Under the Second Capital Market Masterplan, the Islamic capital market in Malaysia is projected to growth further at an average rate of 10.6% per annum over the ten-year period to 2020, to take its value to almost RM3 trillion by the end of year 2020,” said Datuk Dr Nik Ramlah Mahmood, deputy chief executive of the SC. It is also notable that while Islamic investing, and Shariah compliant finance as a whole, is a faith-based platform, its offerings are open to members of all faiths. UT today volume 10.2 2012 focus on Products The similarities between Islamic investing and SRI are many. For example, both adopt stringent risk management practices. Another similarity is the emphasis on charity and focusing on societal values. Islamic investing and SRI both also exclude investments in unethical business, products and services. One useful approach to marketing Islamic products is by taking advantage of its alignment to socially responsible investing (SRI), yet another growing area in the investment environment; focusing not just on profit-making strategies but also taking into account environmental, societal and governance (ESG) concerns when making investment decisions. Although still another emerging area in the investment space, estimates by the US Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment noted that SRI funds already accounted for US$3.07 trillion of investments in the US in 2010. While still below the radar and easily overlooked, SRI has gradually captured the attention of the Malaysian market, as companies’ corporate social responsibility (CSR) initiatives have gathered pace. Additionally, in 2010, Bursa Malaysia launched its Business Sustainability Programme, promoting sustainable practices and aimed at creating high quality listed companies to specifically attract SRI funds; with the launch of an ESG Index planned to follow. The similarities between Islamic investing and SRI are many. For example, both adopt stringent risk management practices. Another similarity is the emphasis on charity and focusing on societal values. Islamic investing and SRI both also exclude investments in unethical business, products and services. However, industry players note the crossover potential between Islamic investing and SRI has yet to be fully explored. This is as although both strategies share similar objectives, they do not share the same knowhow. Nonetheless, experts suggest the two can be complementary of each other; not only allowing fund managers to access more investors, but also offer a wider range of products. With Islamic finance poised to grow even further in the Malaysian market, backed by continued support from the government and authorities, Shariah compliant investing, has, in turn, increasingly emerged as a philosophy for fund managers to promote. Furthermore, its parallels to SRI have created a promising but as yet untapped opportunity for fund managers to explore. As investors seek more portfolio diversification in the face of the current environment of heightened risk, it may just be a matter of time before these complementary offerings leverage each other’s strengths and unlock positive prospects for savvy investors. Disclaimer: The article is not to be construed as an invitation or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of any fund. An investment involves risks. Past performance and any forecast are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the fund. Investors should read the Fund’s prospectus and if necessary, consult financial or other professional advisers. Thus, the intersecting values of the two investment strategies allow fund managers to appeal to both the Islamic and socially responsible investor and access a wider pool of funds. 25 Readers’ feedback UT today volume 10.2 2012 e-UT Today Feedback Form Dear Readers, We hope that you have found e-UT Today to be informative and an interesting read. We would appreciate it if you could complete the following feedback form to assist us in improving our publication to better suit your interests. Contents 1. Which article of UT Today interests you most? 2. What topics do you want to read more of? 3. How do you find the articles? (i.e. too long, just nice or too short, informative, timely, etc) Design (PLEASE CIRCLE YOUR RATING) POOREXCELLENT 1. Do you think the design and layout of UT Today attractive? 1 2 3 4 5 2. 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