Research Article Received: 7 March 2012 Revised: 27 May 2012 Accepted: 28 May 2012 Published online in Wiley Online Library Rapid Commun. Mass Spectrom. 2012, 26, 1893–1898 (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/rcm.6298 ENSO effects on d18O, d2H and d-excess values in precipitation across the U.S. using a high-density, long-term network (USNIP) Jeffrey M. Welker* Environment and Natural Resources Institute Stable Isotope Laboratory and Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alaska Anchorage, 3211 Providence Drive, EBL 117, Anchorage, AK 99508, USA RATIONALE: Isotope (d18O and d2H values) ratios in precipitation have been central to understanding changes in Earth’s climate as recorded in ice, coral, speleothems, lake varves and long-lived plants. Understanding how climate phases (i.e. ENSO) affect the spatial and temporal patterns of d18O and d2H values in precipitation has, however, been uncertain across the USA. METHODS: A spatial precipitation isotope network (USNIP) has been established that aims to: (1) characterize the d18O, d2H and d-excess values in precipitation across the USA with the highest spatially dense network of measurements yet undertaken; (2) quantify the annual and seasonal patterns of precipitation d18O and d2H values that may be affected by ENSO climate phases; and (3) provide a new isotope database for scientific studies that can be incorporated into NEON, BASIN, GNIP, and IsoMAP. RESULTS: On average, precipitation d18O and d2H values are very low in the northern Rocky Mountain region (~ 15% d18O, and ~ 120% d2H), and precipitation d18O and d2H values are relatively higher along the Gulf Coast (~ 5% d18O and 10% d2H) and in the Southeast. During El Niño periods the precipitation d18O and d2H values are lowest in northwest Montana, with precipitation that is depleted in 18O and 2H extending into northern Colorado, while moisture that is enriched in 18O and 2H continues to dominate the Gulf Coast. The annual average differences between the climate phases generally show especially depleted 18O and 2H in precipitation across the Rocky Mountain region during El Niño, compared with Neutral periods. CONCLUSIONS: Detailed spatial and seasonal patterns of d18O, d2H and d-excess values provide fine-scale resolution not previously recognized. Climate phases of ENSO have major effects on the spatial patterns of d18O, d2H and d-excess values, being especially important on a seasonal basis in the Desert Southwest. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Isotope (d18O and d2H values) ratios in precipitation have been central to understanding changes in the Earth’s climate as recorded in ice[1] as well as in long-lived plants.[2] Typically, isotope ratios have been interpreted with a focus on changing temperatures although typically temperature can only account for 50%–60% of the variance, indicating that other facets may be influencing the isotope (d18O and d2H) ratios in precipitation. Understanding how climate phases (i.e. the El Niño Southern Oscillation – ENSO) affect the spatial and temporal patterns of d18O and d2H values in precipitation has, however, been uncertain across the USA, limiting our climate proxy interpretations and continental-scale ecohydrology insight. In addition, understanding the processes governing the spatial and temporal patterns of d18O and d2H values in precipitation has taken on new importance because of climate proxy reanalysis programs, and precipitation isotope ratios are central to emerging monitoring programs, research networks, isotope forensics and isoscapes.[3–8] Rapid Commun. Mass Spectrom. 2012, 26, 1893–1898 Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 1893 * Correspondence to: J. M. Welker, Environment and Natural Resources Institute Stable Isotope Laboratory and Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alaska Anchorage, 3211 Providence Drive, EBL 117, Anchorage, AK 99508, USA. E-mail: afjmw1@uaa.alaska.edu Today, understanding the isotopes of precipitation is central to delineating the attributes and changes in the US hydrologic cycle within the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON).[9,10] Precipitation isotope data also forms a basis from which the North American Carbon Program (NACP) is documenting linkages between the carbon and water cycles.[11] In addition, the watershed focus of the Consortium of Universities for the Advancement of Hydrologic Science, Inc. (CUAHSI)[12]and of the Critical Zone Observatories (CZO)[13] will require precipitation isotope data to enable quantification of residence times of ground water,[14] and the Biogeosphere-Atmosphere Stable Isotope Network (BASIN) is using precipitation isotope data as a cornerstone of its estimates of water and carbon cycling at the ecosystem, regional and global scales.[15] A high-resolution, spatially dense network across the USA that quantifies isotope/climate and isotope/geographic relationships has tremendous application and utility across earth and biological sciences today. The U.S. Network for Isotopes in Precipitation (USNIP) is fundamental to these needs in the USA.[16] Divergent phases of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation Index (ENSO) – El Niño, La Niña or Neutral (Normal) – are major components of weather across the USA and globally.[17] These climate phases are defined as periods when the normalized difference in surface pressure between Tahiti, French J. M. Welker Polynesia and Darwin, Australia, is a measure of the strength of the trade winds, which have a component of flow from regions of high to low pressure. High ENSO (large pressure difference) is associated with stronger than normal (Neutral Phase) trade winds and La Niña conditions, and low ENSO (smaller pressure difference) is associated with weaker than normal trade winds and El Niño conditions. Prior studies have indicated that ENSO phases may affect precipitation patterns and amounts across the USA and in the tropics.[18,19] For instance, strong El Niño periods in continental USA are associated with extreme weather patterns and result in significant regional deviations in the amounts and seasonality of precipitation and surface temperatures.[18] In addition, oscillations in ENSO have been recorded in the isotopic values of climate proxies such as corals.[20,21] However, there are important facets of the fundamental patterns and processes of the water isotopes in precipitation (d18O and d2H ) during different ENSO phases in the USA that are unresolved because there has not been a systematic analysis of modern d18O and d2H values in precipitation during divergent ENSO phases. Understanding these isotopic patterns is essential for the accurate interpretation of paleoclimate records, the quantifying of spatial patterns of isotopes in precipitation at continental and global scales,[4] the refining of General Circulation Models (GCMs),[22] and the understanding of the water cycle of today as it moves into new states with changing climates and land use. The aims of this project were thus to: (1) characterize the annual averages of the d18O, d2H and d-excess values in precipitation across the USA with the highest spatially dense network of measurements yet undertaken; (2) quantify the seasonal patterns of precipitation d18O and d2H values between 1989 and 1995, a period that included two Neutral (Normal) (1989 and 1995) and five El Niño (1990–1994) phases of ENSO; (3) provide a new isotope database for scientific studies, to be incorporated into NEON, BASIN, the Global Network for Isotopes in Precipitation (GNIP),[23] and IsoMAP;[24] and (4) provide a database for collaborative research ventures spanning the earth, biological and ecological sciences. EXPERIMENTAL 1894 Precipitation samples were collected at 73 sites across the USA, involving over 12 000 isotopic measurements taken from 1989 through 1995, a period with two Neutral (Normal) ENSO phases and five El Niño phases.[25,26] The samples were collected by the National Atmospheric Deposition Program (NADP), archived in cold storage, and then analyzed for d18O and d2H values using isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS) with IAEA VSMOW (Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water), GISP (Greenland Ice Sheet Precipitation) and VSLAP (Vienna Standard Light Antarctic Precipitation) as the standards.[3,27,28] The isotope values were amount-weighted by month, averages were calculated for the two different ENSO phases, and a 12-point spherical kriging interpolation scheme was used to create the isocapes on an annual and seasonal basis.[5] The data is presented by season – fall (OND), winter (JFM), spring (AMJ), and summer (JAS) – as these monthly groupings conform to those used to describe the intensity of the ENSO. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/rcm RESULTS AND DISCUSSION On average, the d18O and d2H values of precipitation are very low in the northern Rocky Mountain region (~ 15% d18O, and ~ 120% d2H) and relatively high along the Gulf Coast (~ 5% d18O and 10% d2H ) and in the Southeast (Figs. 1(a) and 2(a)). These findings are in agreement with surface water isotope surveys,[10,29] but provide details not articulated by the coarse scales of the IAEA analysis, which was based on seven sites collecting samples sporadically in the 1960s.[30] During the Neutral Phase, the plume of precipitation most depleted in 18O and 2H weakens, while moisture enriched in 18O and 2H occurs from the Gulf of Mexico into Kentucky (Figs. 1(b) and 2(b)). During El Niño periods the isotopic values of precipitation are most depleted in 18O and 2H in northwest Montana, with precipitation depleted in 18O and 2H extending into northern Colorado, while moisture enriched in 18O and 2H continues to dominate the Gulf Coast (Figs. 1(c) and 2(c)). The annual average differences between the climate phases are presented in Figs. 1(d) and 2(d), depicting precipitation that is generally depleted in 18O and 2H values in the Desert Southwest, with only slight differences across the eastern and western USA. This spatial heterogeneity of precipitation d18O values during El Niño across the USA corresponds to the global estimates reported be Welp et al.,[31] who found depleted 18 O values across most of the USA. d-excess values for precipitation as annual averages, for the two climate phases and for the differences, are found in Figs. 3(a) through 3(d). Typically, the d-excess values are lower in the northern Rocky Mountain region and higher along the Gulf Coast and along the western and eastern seaboards, with slight deviations during the El Niño and Neutral phases. The difference d-excess isoscape, however, indicates that the Desert Southwest is a region in which d-excess values are higher during El Niño than in Neutral phases, by >2.5%. These d-excess patterns correspond to those presented by Liu et al.[32] and reflect a Pacific Ocean moisture source in the northwest, a moisture source with precipitation that is enriched in 18O and 2H along the Gulf Coast, and possibly greater recycling in convective thunderstorms in the Desert Southwest during El Niño than in Neutral phases.[8] Because ENSO is known to affect seasonal patterns and magnitudes of precipitation, the effects of ENSO phases on d18O and d2H and d-excess values on a seasonal basis are presented, including a set of difference isoscapes (Supplementary Figs. S1–S6, see Supporting Information). In the fall of Neutral phases, precipitation depleted in 18O and 2H occurs throughout the western USA, especially along the Montana-Canada border. At this time, precipitation enriched in 18O and 2H is confined to the Gulf Coast states (Supplementary Figs. S1 and S3, see Supporting Information). In the winter of Neutral phases, precipitation depleted in 18O and 2 H occurs in the northern Great Basin and along the upper Great Lakes region (Supplementary Figs. S1 and S3, see Supporting Information). In spring, precipitation enriched in 18O and 2H extends into the central USA and into the southern portions of the Southwest, while precipitation most depleted in 18O and 2H is found in the northern Great Plains (Supplementary Figs. S1 and S3, see Supporting Information). In summer, precipitation enriched in 18O and 2H extends Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Rapid Commun. Mass Spectrom. 2012, 26, 1893–1898 Precipitation isotopes across the USA Figure 1. Patterns of the spatial characteristics of amount-weighted averages of the d18O values of precipitation across continental USA. (a) Weighted annual average d18O values of precipitation during 1989–1995, (b) weighted annual average d18O values of precipitation during Neutral Southern Oscillation climate phase, (c) weighted average d18O values of precipitation during El Niño Southern Oscillation climate phase, and (d) differences in the d18O values of precipitation between El Niño and Neutral climate phases. Rapid Commun. Mass Spectrom. 2012, 26, 1893–1898 Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/rcm 1895 Figure 2. Patterns of the spatial characteristics of amount-weighted averages of the d2H values of precipitation across continental USA. (a) Weighted annual average of d2H precipitation during 1989–1995, (b) weighted annual average d2H values of precipitation during Neutral Southern Oscillation climate phase, (c) weighted average d2H values of precipitation during El Niño Southern Oscillation climate phase, and (d) differences in the d2H values of precipitation between El Niño and Neutral climate phases. J. M. Welker Figure 3. Patterns of the spatial characteristics of amount-weighted averages of the d-excess values of precipitation across continental USA. (a) Weighted annual average of d-excess precipitation during 1989–1995, (b) weighted annual average d-excess of precipitation during Neutral Southern Oscillation climate phase, (c) weighted average d-excess of precipitation during El Niño Southern Oscillation climate phase, and (d) differences in the d-excess of precipitation between El Niño and Neutral climate phases. 1896 throughout the eastern USA, with the monsoon precipitation regime being apparent in the Southwest (Supplementary Figs. S1 and S3, see Supporting Information). During the fall of El Niño phases, precipitation isotope data across the USA exhibits a large region depleted in 18O and 2H throughout the northern Rocky Mountains and into the northwestern area of the Great Plains (Supplementary Figs. S1 and S3, see Supporting Information). In winter, this very large pool of precipitation depleted in 18O and 2H extends into the northern Great Lakes region and into portions of the Great Basin and northwest Colorado (Supplementary Figs. S1 and S3, see Supporting Information). In spring, moisture that is enriched in 18O and 2H extends into the central USA and, in summer, precipitation that is enriched in 18O and 2H is found throughout the eastern USA, especially along the southern regions of the states along the Gulf of Mexico (Supplementary Figs. S4 and S6, see Supporting Information). Seasonal differences between El Niño and Neutral phases are depicted in Supplementary Figs. 2 and 4 (see Supporting Information), which show differences in d18O values as large as 4%, while d2H values exhibit differences of up to 30% for all seasons. During the fall, winter, and spring there is an extensive and large isotopic difference seen between the El Niño and Neutral phases, especially in the western USA. There is also a core of precipitation that is depleted in 18O in the Desert Southwest (from western Texas to Utah to Arizona) in fall and with less intense depletion of 18O and 2 H in winter. These differences are probably attributable to differences in moisture sources, due to storm tracks delivering more tropical moisture to the region.[7] In spring, there are higher d18O and d2H values in the Desert Southwest wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/rcm during El Niño than during Neutral phases, which result from internal recycling of moisture and/or intense rain storms with large amounts of rain-out effects.[31] Interpreted in terms of temperature, the differences in d18O values between the two ENSO phases would require a 3 to 4.5 C difference using the full, theoretical isotope/ temperature slope of 0.7%/ C. Smaller slopes, often observed in sub-annual plots of d18O values versus temperature, would yield even larger expected temperature changes. Such large swings in temperature between El Niño and Neutral phases are not observed in these regions (Supplementary Fig. S2, see Supporting Information). d-excess patterns are spatially complex between seasons (Supplementary Figs. S5 and S6, see Supporting Information). Higher d-excess values are present in the Northeast during fall for both phases, but in El Niño phases higher values are present in the Desert Southwest (Supplementary Fig. S5(e), see Supporting Information). During the spring and summer d-excess values become higher over the northern Great Plains, especially during Neutral phases (Supplementary Figs. S8(c) and S8(d), see Supporting Information). Differences in the d-excess values between phases are especially noticeable in the western USA in JFM (Supplementary Fig. S6(b), see Supporting Information), during which time higher values occur along the West Coast and lower values in the Gulf Coast region. These patterns correspond to shifting moisture sources across the USA seasonally and with shifts in moisture sources during different climate phases.[32] This new network and associated d18O and d2H values, and d-excess isoscapes and data provide a major improvement in the understanding of isotope geochemistry of precipitation across the USA. This database has application to Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Rapid Commun. Mass Spectrom. 2012, 26, 1893–1898 Precipitation isotopes across the USA understanding hydrologic, atmospheric, climatological and biological processes of today, in the future, and in the past. For example, temporal shifts in the d18O values of stalagmite and pedogenic carbonate can now be interpreted in terms of El Niño and Neutral climate phases which may account for a portion of the 1%–3% shifts observed over ~150 000 years in the central USA.[33] In addition, our high-resolution findings will facilitate spatial modeling of isotopes in precipitation. For instance, Bowen and colleagues have estimated that the d18O values of precipitation in the northern Rocky Mountain region average ~ 12%,[4] while, according to our measurements, the actual values are closer to ~ 17% , with similar model/data discrepancies for the Great Basin and the Northeast. This database will allow us to refine the relationships between these and other models to predict isotope values of precipitation throughout the USA. In addition, this network database will be used in the development of animation maps of the USA on monthly time-steps,[34] and the findings reported here may also contribute to the use of water isotopes in GCM simulations and regional isotope models, as they provide ’ground-truthing’ for calibrations of past, modern and future freshwater cycles across the USA.[22] Finally, this database provides a basis for continental-scale forensic climatology, especially with regard to animal migration processes (e.g. identifying wintering and breeding locations of migratory birds) and the connections between temperate, subarctic and arctic habitat use.[35,36] SUPPORTING INFORMATION Additional supporting information may be found in the online version of this article. Acknowledgements This research was supported by the National Science Foundation’s Earth System History Program (ESH-0012324, 0012367). The author would like to thank the NADP network and the NADP Coordination Office – especially Chris Lehmann, Brenda Kelly, Van Bowersox, and Karen Harlin – for its support and cooperation. Thanks are also extended to all of the NADP site operators who contribute to the weekly data collections, including the US Geological Survey, the US Forest Service, the Bureau of Land Management, the National Park Service and others. The isotopic analysis has been made possible by the National Science Foundation’s Instrumentation and Facilities Program, including awards to Colorado State University, the University of Alaska Anchorage, and the University of Colorado, Boulder. Kara Bastin, Dan Reuss, Bruce Vaughn, Mark Simpson, Brian Cohn and Matt Rogers were instrumental in assisting with isotopic analysis, mass spectrometer maintenance, data synthesis and sample preparation. This paper is dedicated to Dave Bigelow, who was the NADP QA/QC manager for 10 years, and a friend. REFERENCES Rapid Commun. 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Mass Spectrom. 2012, 26, 1893–1898 A E B F C D Supplemental Figure 1 G H A B C D Supplemental Figure 2 A E B F C G D H Supplemental Figure 3 A B C D Supplemental Figure 4 A E B F C G D Supplemental Figure 5 H A B C D Supplemental Figure 6 Supplemental Figures: Supplemental Figure 1. Seasonal (Fall, Winter, Spring and Summer) patterns of δ18O in precipitation during Neutral (a),(b),(c),(d) and El Niño (e),(f),(g),(h) climate phases. Supplemental Figure 2. Seasonal (Fall, Winter, Spring and Summer) differences in the δ18O in precipitation (a),(b),(c),(d) between El Niño and Neutral climate phases and corresponding temperature differences (e),(f),(g),(h). Supplemental Figure 3. Seasonal (Fall, Winter, Spring and Summer) patterns of δD in precipitation during Neutral (a),(b),(c),(d) and El Niño (e),(f),(g),(h) climate phases. Supplemental Figure 4. Seasonal (Fall, Winter, Spring and Summer) differences in the δD in precipitation (a),(b),(c),(d) between El Niño and Neutral climate phases and corresponding temperature differences (e),(f),(g),(h). Supplemental Figure 5. Seasonal (Fall, Winter, Spring and Summer) patterns of d-excess in precipitation during Neutral (a),(b),(c),(d) and El Niño (e),(f),(g),(h) climate phases. Supplemental Figure 6. Seasonal (Fall, Winter, Spring and Summer) differences in the dexcess in precipitation (a),(b),(c),(d) between El Niño and Neutral climate phases and corresponding temperature differences (e),(f),(g),(h).