Using Pheromone Traps and Phenology Models for Pest Management Decision Support Len Coop, Oregon State University, Integrated Plant Protection Center Topics for today's session: ! Phenology and degree-day concepts ! Some features of the IPPC "Online weather data and degree-days" website at uspest.org/wea ! Development and use of specific models – example applications ! Pheromone trapping basics ! Some YouTube links on pheromone trap usage: North Dakota Extension: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mE5UUW2GFnI Alabama Extension: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Il6HkgKHXII Typical pest management questions/tools: "Who?" and "What?" Identification keys, diagnostic guides, management guides ! "When?" Phenology models (crops, insects, weeds), Risk models (plant diseases) ! "How Many and If?" Pheromone traps, economic thresholds, crop loss models, sampling calculators. ! "Where?" GIS, precision agriculture ! Phenology and degree-day concepts ! Phenology: the study of periodic phenomena in their relations to each other, e.g. how climate and weather influence to plant development and growth. ! Heat unit concepts and examples first published by Reaumur (1736), modern refs. in Arnold (1959, 1960) ! Degree-days: A popular method of recording physiological time to represent development of many plants and animals that do not self regulate temperature ! Degree-day models in common use for timing of sampling and management events in agriculture; a cornerstone of IPM What to know about degree-days: Insects have complex life cycles Eggs Larvae Pupae (most) Adults -Timing of all stages *is often* predictable using degree-days, which are a two dimensional “heat Unit“ of development for cold blooded organisms Degree-day calculations – method varies: Simplest: (daily max + min)/2 – low threshold How fast are they going? Single triangle compared with typical daily fluctuation Types of degree-days Used for insects, plants, plant diseases, other uses Simple average: daily max + min/2 - lower threshold (ignores any upper threshold) Growing degree-days for corn: use simple avg but subst lower threshold in place of min (if min is lower), subst upper threshold in place of max (if max is higher) Growing degree-days for cereals: same as simple average Single and double triangle: simple geometric formulae (the latter uses tonights min for second half of today) Single and double sine curve: more complex trig. formulae Actual degree-days: computed in real time ex. once/minute Degree-hours: require hourly data Fireblight degree-days: 4-day running degree-day total Heating and Cooling degree-days: used by the power industry Degree-day Models: A bit more detail Developing degree-day models from lab studies Temperature vs. development time 200 175 150 Days 125 Development time (days) 100 75 50 25 0 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Temperature (F) Degree-day models: from lab studies Temperature versus development 0.06 0.055 0.05 0.045 Rate (1/days) 0.04 0.035 0.03 Development time (days) 0.025 Rate (1/days) 0.02 0.015 0.01 0.005 0 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Temperature (F) Degree-day models: x-intercept method (Arnold 1959) Temperature versus development 0.06 0.055 0.05 0.045 Rate (1/days) 1/slope = 1/0.0011 = 920 ~ DD requirement 0.04 0.035 0.03 Development time (days) 0.025 Rate (1/days) 0.02 0.015 x-intercept ~ Tlow = 37 F 0.01 0.005 0 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Temperature (F) Degree-day Modeling Concepts ! Assume that developmental rate is linearly related to temperature above a lower threshold (Tlow) ! Work best in temperate regions for populations that have relatively few, non-overlapping generations ! Degree-day models: accumulate a daily "index of development" (DD total) until some event is expected (e. g. egg hatch) ! DD models often require a "biofix" - biological monitoring event used to initialize the model Weather and Degree-day Concepts 1) Degree-day models: accumulate a daily "heat unit index" (DD total) until some event is expected (e. g. egg hatch) Eggs start developing: 0 DDs cumulative: daily: 20 20 38 18 70 32 84 14 106 22 Eggs hatch: 152 cumulative DDs 70o(avg)-50o(threshold)=20D D 126 20 152 26 Degree-days: a tool for decision support, not another tool we can store in the tool shed http.uspest.org/wea Expanding weather-driven pest models at OSU-IPPC l l l l l 1996-7 – First IPPC online degree-day calculator, parameter database developed for DD models, 45 weather stations in Oregon 1998-2000 – First PRISM/CAI DD maps developed, 1st online DD mapping calculator, 288 weather stations in PNW 2003 – 900+ weather stations, 45 pest models; 5 state NW; begin PRISM/CAI missing Tmax/Tmin data estimation 2007-8 – 10-12K+ weather stations, 2 additional grower networks, 60+ pest and plant disease models, Fox Weather LLC/IPPC hourly weather forecasts 2013 – 16,000 weather stations, 100+ models, CROPTIME vegetable harvest scheduling, Pest Event Maps 1997 2004 2008 2013 Increases in online access to Degree-Day models Example system – Corn earworm in sweet corn Females lay 1000 eggs each on average, singly on silks Example system – Corn earworm in sweet corn Cornell Univers USPEST.ORG - Corn Earworm Phenology Model – 1. (as linked from PNW Insect ManageMent Handbook) USPEST.ORG - Corn Earworm Phenology model - 2. Sex USPEST.ORG Pheromone -–Corn chemical Earworm compounds Phenology released modelby - 3. one sex to attract an individual of the opposite sex. What is Climate Mapping? The process of interpolating climate statistics at irregularlyspaced station locations to a regular grid “Geospatial Climatology” The study of the spatial patterns of climate on the earth’s surface and their causes Products Guided by PRISM Climatologies New USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map Near Real-Time Temperature and Degree-Day Calculation • • Uses CAI (PRISM temperature climatologies) Current operational uses at IPPC: l Daily DD accumulation maps l Web-based dynamic DD maps with end-user settings l Missing Tmax and Tmin data estimation PRISM climate Today’s differences Today’s Map Daily Online Degree-Day Maps: 48 contiguous states Dynamic Online Degree-Day Maps: ex. corn GDDs May 8June 22 Degree-­‐day grids used by USDA APHIS PPQ to support CAPS survey programs; PEMs expected to enhance this support with more readily interpretable maps for numerous invasive species, such as the emerald ash borer. Pest Event Map example – Codling Moth – 1% Egg Hatch (WSU No Biofix Model) Event = 395 DDs (Tlow=50, Thi=88) Sex Pheromone – chemical compounds released by one sex to attract an individual of the opposite sex. Sex Pheromone – chemical compounds released by one sex to attract an individual of the opposite sex. First observed and described by JH Fabre, considered to be the father of Entomology Sex Pheromone – chemical compounds released by one sex to attract an individual of the opposite sex. Sex Pheromone – chemical compounds released by one sex to attract an individual of the opposite sex. Sex Pheromone – everyday use example: Diamondback moth pan type pheromone trap Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Misc. East vs. West Lure but no trap 100's of species have been studied Several Types of Pheromone traps are available – these Trece traps may all be usable (but not optimal) for a given species. Example system – Corn earworm in sweet corn www.trece.com Different trap types Have different ability To attract and capture The flying insect Uses of Pheromones in IPM – lures and delta trap kit Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Handle lures properly – or you will become one! Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Mating Disruption -Mating Disruption – the intent is to nearly saturate the landscape with the artificial pheromone so that the males are unable to locate any females that would be releasing natural pheromones -This method has been a major breakthrough since the early 1990's for several lepidoptera species such as codling moth, oriental fruit moth -A need for a large commercial market can limit investment by profit-driven companies; some minor crops and key pests in Oregon have likely suffered from this problem. Initial research on mating disruption (Germany just before WWII): Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Mating Disruption ex. Codling Moth Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Mating Disruption Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Mating Disruption KG/HA per year Insecticide Use Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Areawide Monitor KG/HA per year Insecticide Use Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Areawide Monitor Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Milton Freewater Areawide Monitoring Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Attract and Kill Attract and Kill (Attracticide): lure the insects using a pheromone or other lure and use some type of insecticide to quickly kill them. - Attracticide method has been successful against tephritid fruit flies, cotton boll weevils and codling moths (Trematerra, 1997). - Easily integrated with other control methods including biocontrol - One area being researched for spotted wing Drosophila (not with pheromones though). Uses of Pheromones in IPM – Mass Trapping Mass Trapping: attract and trap so many individuals of the local population that the trapping itself controls the population. Best if the field size is small and isolated, and the insect population is small and not especially mobile. - Sex pheromones have limited value since they only trap males, leaving remaining males to mate with multiple females. - Also readily integrated with other control methods. -YouTube video (3.5 mins) on organic apple control including mass trapping: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_i_pnu3Lho Mosquito oviposition pheromone lure – released by eggs to attract more females to a suitable location - yet another possible type and use for insect pheromones Pheromones for anti-aggregation with Bark Beetles www.herconenviron.com “.. a significantly smaller proportion of trees was attacked in stands treated with aerially applied verbenone-releasing flakes than in control stands, with a threefold reduction in attack rate...” “Hercon's DISRUPT MICRO-FLAKE Bark Beetle Anti-Aggregate products ...” Summary Points: l l l l l Phenology/degree-day models and pheromone trapping are important tools in pest management; they work well when used together with other IPM tactics (field sampling, biocontrol, use of least-toxic chemicals when a threshold population level is reached, etc.). Phermone trap first or peak catch often used to “BIOFIX” or start a degree-day model. Pheromone uses include monitoring, mating disruption, mass trapping, attract and kill, anti-aggregation, and female oviposition. Both tools are as yet under-exploited IPPC website uspest.org/wea has evolved as a hybrid for support of State, Regional, and National needs Uses of degree-days and pheromones in IPM – Questions?