A Satellite Account of U.S. Health Care Spending: Plans and progress Brian C. Moyer Associate Director for Industry Accounts 12th OECD-NBS Workshop on National Accounts Paris, France October 27-31, 2008 Health care spending as a percent of GDP 17% 16% 15% 14% 13% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis www.bea.gov 2 Health care spending in BEA’s accounts National income and product accounts Consumer spending on health care Investment in health care equipment Contribution of health care to real GDP growth Industry accounts Input-output accounts—detailed transactions for the health care industries GDP-by-industry accounts—real value added for the health care industries www.bea.gov 3 Conceptual model of a national health account Inputs Outputs Medical Care Health status Market labor/capital Longevity Volunteer labor Quality of life Time invested in own health Financial externalities Other consumption items Research and development Quality of the environment Source: Beyond the Market: Designing Nonmarket Accounts for the United States (National Research Council, 2005) www.bea.gov 4 BEA’s Health Care Spending Satellite Account Focuses on three primary areas: Reconcile National Health Expenditure Accounts and National Income and Product Account measures Develop disease-based statistics for health care spending Develop disease-based price indexes for health care spending www.bea.gov 5 Treatment substitution: An example Assumptions: •No price change for either type of treatment Cost of Cataract Surgery price •No change in number of patients Problem: As patients use outpatient services, In patient •Nominal expenditures fall •Treatment prices show no change •“Real” spending falls, even though quantities did not Out patient time Previous studies suggest this issue is numerically important. www.bea.gov 6 Disease-based price indexes: Early research Comparison of disease- and provider-based indexes 1.3 Features of index: •Constructed using large claims database for HMO patients 1.2 Provider-based •Price = revenue from all sources 1.1 Disease-based 1.0 •Price is defined as price per patient treated for a homogeneous condition •Dollars are allocated to conditions using “episode groupers” 0.9 2003q1 2004q1 Source: Aizcorbe and Nestoriak (2008) www.bea.gov 2005q1 •“Providers” are identified using “place of service” variable 7 Accounting framework: Initial thoughts Consumer spending organized by type of disease Primary caregiving industry provides health care services using inputs from other health care industries, such as hospitals, laboratories, and pharmacies Productivity gains allocated across industries www.bea.gov 8 Routing of industry transactions Employer Employee Primary Caregiver Industry that provides health care Other industries provide Intermediate inputs www.bea.gov Hospital Health Insurance Clinic Laboratory Pharmacy 9