International Aviation and Climate Change: The ICAO Contribution Jane Hupe Chief, Environment Branch ICAO Setting the Scene • • • • • • • Fast, reliable, and safe mode of transport Responsible for 4-8% of global economy No comparative alternatives for long haul pax transport 2.3 billion pax/year carried worldwide Scheduled pax traffic worldwide forecast to grow at 4.6% per year Aircraft produced today are 70% more fuel efficient than 40 years ago First sector with a special IPCC report (1999) Global GHG Emissions by Sector, 2004 Residential and Commercial Buildings Agriculture 14% Waste and Wastewater Global Transportation CO2 Emissions, 2000 Aviation 8% Emissions 2% 13% 13% 3% Aviation’s Global CO2 Emissions, 2000 (Int’l Aviation’s Contribution was Aviation CO2 ~1.2%) Transport Other 13% Energy Supply Source: IPCC 2 17% 26% Forestry Road 74% 19% Industry Global CO2 Emissions 98% ICAO’s Three Environmental Goals for Civil Aviation • Reduce the number of people exposed to significant noise • Reduce the impact of aviation emissions on local air quality • Reduce the impact of aviation emissions on the global climate (Let’s focus on progress achieved in regard to the third goal.) 3 ICAO—No progress? Since ICAO last Assembly: develop, organize, facilitate, CAEP Working Group set, innovate, GIACC DGCIC Meetings assess, approve, publish, investigate,COP 15 promote, support, lead by consensus, Standards, Guidances, Reports, Studies High Level Meeting CAEP/8 communicate, analyze, establish, disseminate, ICAO Carbon Emissions Calculator encourage, design, achieve, etc. Alternatives Fuels ICAO Programme of Action on International Aviation and Climate Change 4 Data Collection ICAO’s Three Years of Achievement 2007 • ICAO Assembly mandates formation of Group on International Aviation and Climate Change (GIACC) and High-level Meeting (HLM) to develop concrete proposals in connection with the UNFCCC process 5 Three Years of Achievement (Cont’d) 2008 • GIACC explores three elements of ICAO Programme of Action: 1. Global aspirational fuel-efficiency goals 2. Measures to achieve emissions reductions 3. Measures and metrics to monitor progress 6 Three Years of Achievement (Cont’d) 2009 • HLM develops only globally-harmonized agreement by any sector on CO2 emissions: 1. 2% annual fuel efficiency improvement 2. CO2 standard for aircraft 3. Decision to develop framework for marketbased measures 4. Measures to assist developing States 7 Three Years of Achievement (Cont’d) 2009 (Cont’d) 5. Collection by ICAO of international civil aviation emissions data 6. Submission to ICAO of States’ Voluntary Action Plans on Emissions • Conference on Aviation and Alternative Fuels establishes ICAO Global Framework for Aviation Alternative Fuels 8 Three Years of Achievement (Cont’d) 2010 • The Organization, States and industry continue to 1. Explore feasibility of more ambitious goals 2. Develop a framework for market-based measures in international aviation 3. Elaborate on measures to assist States 9 Three Years of Achievement (Cont’d) 2010 (Cont’d) • CAEP 8 • ICAO Colloquium on Aviation and Climate Change • Further assessments • Cooperation with financial institutions • Global Framework on Alternative Aviation Fuels 10 Three Years of Achievement (Cont’d) 2010 (Cont’d) • Action plans • Proposal for new policy • Launch of second ICAO Environmental Report 11 Three Underlying Determinants of ICAO’s Actions • A sense of responsibility ICAO’s commitment to environmental protection predates both Rio 92 and UNFCCC • A culture of leadership # of firsts; wide UN use of carbon calculator • A commitment to partnership UNFCCC, States, industry, UN system, NGOs 12 What We Can Expect Assembly to decide on the way forward: Medium-term global goal Process for elaboration on a long-term global goal Framework for market-based measures Assistance for States States’ action plans 13 Looking Ahead • • • • • 2010 Challenges: Assembly and UNFCCC, then… Assembly sets a new work programme CAEP work will continue/intensify Facilitate alternative fuels development/deployment Coordinate/cooperate with other UN bodies (New climate agreement) • Sustainability of aviation More information on ICAO 'activities NEW ICAO Environmental Report 30 Sept. 2010 THANK YOU www. icao.int 15