OECD World Forum onon Key Indicators OECD World Forum Key Indicators Statistics, Statistics,Knowledge Knowledgeand andPolicy Policy Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 1 NATURAL CAPITAL: NEW MEASURES TO MONITOR THE ECONOMY'S ECOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS Carolyn Cahill, Senior Policy Advisor National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 2 Today’s Objectives • Describe the role of these indicators • Explain the focus on capital and ecosystem services • Describe some lessons learned, including the importance of data structures OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 3 The NRTEE • Arm’s length advisory agency to the Canadian federal government • Members from different regions and sectors • Provides advice on how to balance concern for the environment and the economy • Try to move beyond dept and sectoral silos • Don’t have to push for consensus OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 4 SOVEREIGN Governor General Senate PARLIAMENT House of Commons Minister of the Environment Prime Minister’s Office Prime Minister Ministry Minister of Foreign Affairs Minister of Finance Privy Council Office JUDICIARY •National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy Minister of Natural Resources Minister of Health • Supreme Court of Canada • Federal Court of Canada • Tax Court of Canada Minister of Industry (Statistics Canada) Department of Environment Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade Department of Finance Department of Natural Resources OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 Department of Health Department of Industry 5 Indicators are an act of translation • Simple signals in a complex world • Need to know who you’re speaking to, and for what reason – • In this case, “audience” was the Canadian Minister of Finance…. OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 6 The Mandate “… understanding how ecological functions contribute to economic activity is an essential part of managing responsibly for future generations.” Paul Martin, May 2001 OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 7 Role of the Indicators • Supplement (not replace) macro-economic indicators to: Help answer the question “are we living at the expense of future generations”? Point out these issues in an economic forum, gain a new context, new audience. • Required characteristics: link to economic context, small set, easy to understand OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 8 Why the Focus on Capital? • A way of expressing SD’s concern with inter-generational equity • A way of illustrating the dependence of the economy on a broad range of capital, particularly ecosystem services. OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 9 Indicators (I) Air Quality (population weighted exposure for ground-level ozone) – 3% increase since 1986 Water Quality (based on exceedances of surface water quality guidelines) – 22% of water bodies “poor” or “marginal” in 2002-2003 Greenhouse Gas Emissions – 18.5% increase since 1990 OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 10 Indicators (II) Forest Cover (based on satellite imaging) – 392 hectares in 1998 Extent of Wetlands (based on satellite imaging) – medium term option only Educational attainment (% of working age pop’n with upper-secondary and tertiary qualifications) - from 43% in 1990 to 55% in 2000 OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 11 Lessons Re: Scope • Small set of indicators – can’t cover the necessary complexities and are only illustrative. Fine line between ”simple” and “simplistic” • Genuine disagreements: important to discuss to continue the development of this issue. Inclusion of intra-generational equity Expressing indicators in monetary terms International/trade context OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 12 Lessons Re: Data • Capital indicators aren’t enough. Need data structures to better analyse the link between today’s economy and state of all types of capital. • National data picture patchy and incomplete. Few “real” indicators (i.e., few time series). OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 13 Final Result • Small number of illustrative indicators of natural and human capital – 3 indicators “officially” adopted in 2003. • Need for the expansion of the System of Natural Accounts • Need for better national environmental databases. OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 14 Last Thoughts Focus tends to reside on picking the “right” indicators. Good data structures will allow the development of indicators for different audiences, different purposes. Perhaps the best approach to a national approach to performance indicators that is both integrated and flexible. OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 15