THE DEFENSIVE DRIVER Our Team Introduction www.cs.odu.edu/~410red CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 2 Presentation Overview The Problem Current Process The Solution Market Analysis Risks And Benefits Project Organization Work Breakdown Structure Requirements and Budget Overview CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 3 Poor driving habits are the leading cause of accidents in the United States CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 4 External Contributing Factors Data Set: 36,000 Car Crashes in 2008 in Virginia Virginia DMV CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 5 US Life Toll Total # Fatal Accidents: 37,261 Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes per 100,000 Licensed Drivers (2008) Number of Drivers • Majority of new drivers are in the age group 1520 • Drivers in the age group 15 -20 are more likely to speed. Number of drivers Number of drivers speeding Age Group (Years) National Highway Traffic Safety Administration CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 6 US Financial Toll Auto Insurance $1,000 per year for each American on average [1] Economic cost of speed related crashes: $40.4 billion a year [2] U.S. car accident cost: $164.2 billion every year 1 (1) CNN (2) National Highway Traffic Safety Administration CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 7 Current Problems No comprehensive real-time monitoring Non-interactive monitoring available Rarely utilized Traffic Police - only real-reinforcement Tickets – single method of quantifying driving habits CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 8 Current Driver’s License Process for Virginia Residents Pass Written Drivers Test Receive Permit (min age = 15yrs 6 mos) Complete Driving Course Pass DMV Road Test Obtain Auto Insurance Virginia DMV Receive License or Endorsement Judge Issues License CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 9 Current Driver Improvement Clinic Process in Virginia Issued Ticket Convicted Required of Driving Offense Clinic Successfully Complete Clinic (pen & pencil) Retain Auto Insurance and License Virginia Defensive Driving Clinic CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 10 Pass Written Drivers Test Receive Permit Complete Driving Course (min age = 15yrs 6 mos) Pass Road Test Ticket Issues License Obtain Receive License or Endorsement Auto Insurance Process With Defensive Driver Install The Defensive Driver Unit Issued Judge Convicted Required of Driving Offense Clinic Successfully Complete Clinic CS410 Red Team Retain Auto Insurance and License 16 December 2009 11 Make The Defensive Driver an integral part of the current driving syllabus Requiring a minimum number of recorded safe driving hours Requiring minimum good driving habit percentage – 95% to 100% Insurance companies to make the Defensive Driver a requirement to lower rates CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 12 Introducing The Defensive Driver Real-time sensor data and external data comparison Improper/unsafe behavior detection Alert generation Visual alerts (optional) Audio alerts (optional) Driving activity data collection Report generation Image Credit: dashdaq.com CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 13 Major Functional Components CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 14 Vehicle Integration OBD-II (On-Board Diagnostics) Interface Data and power provider Compatible with Vehicles Manufactured After 1996 ECU (Engine Control Unit) Parameters[1] Rate of speed Brake utilization Seat belt usage (1) SAE Society of Automotive EngineersJ1979 CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 15 External Factor Touchpoints External Factors Solution Feature Contributing Factor Percentage Seat Belt Measure if/when the driver wears the seat belt - Obtain posted speed limits Determine if speeding 19% Obtain stop-sign locations Determine if vehicle completely stops - Following too closely Records excessive braking patterns above a certain speed limit 48% Erratic lane changes Uses accelerometer to note lane changes 18% 85% CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 16 Device Process Flow Internal Speed and Stop Signs Database GPS Satellites Violation Detected Defensive Driver Real-time Driving Data Proper Techniques Reinforced CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 Historical Data Recording 17 PC-based Software Process Flow Memory card in PC Save driving report Load driving report software Update PC databases Generate driving report Update/clear memory card databases CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 18 Speed Limit Monitoring Logic CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 19 The Defensive Driver Software Operating System – Linux Open Source Microkernel Graphics design OpenVGA, OpenGL Database Internal Open speed limit and signs database [1] VDOT speed limit and signs database External MySQL profiling database Real-time data monitoring algorithm Profiling software algorithms GPS mapping software Role based authentication and Licensing (1) Open Speed Limit Database CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 20 Database Design Database will store information by Region CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 21 In-Car Welcome Screen CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 22 New Driver Screen CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 23 Continuing Driver Screen CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 24 Speeding Alert CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 25 Stop Sign Alert CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 26 PC Welcome Screen CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 27 PC GUI CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 28 Driver Report CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 29 Customers Primary Driver Education Public schools Private lessons Improvement clinics Insurance companies Secondary Parents Tractor trailer driving school School System (Bus drivers) Taxi company DMV CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 30 Private Driving Schools Revenues [1] Driving Schools Revenues $ Millions (1) IBIS Driving Schools Industry Report CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 31 Auto Insurance Revenues [1] $ Billions State of Virginia: 466,557 insurance policies written on passenger vehicles in 2008 with an average cost of $698 for a total of $325 million. (1) IBIS Auto Insurance Report (2) Automotix CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 32 Current Competition Competitors Speed Limit Safe Distance Seat Belt Monitoring Monitoring Reminder Speed Demon X Tracking Key by RMT X DriveCam X X The Safe Driving Monitor X X Stop Sign Monitoring Lane Turn Signal Changes Collection Analyzing Driving Habits Real-time Availability Max Speed Driving Reinforcem Simulator ent X MyKey X X Virtual Driver Interactive X Drive Safety X Drive Square X The Defensive Driver X X X X X X CS410 Red Team X X 16 December 2009 X X 33 Privacy Issues Who owns information collected by Defensive Driver? When a court order is required to collect data from internal devices? Do drivers need to be informed if they have their information recorded? Consumer Affairs CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 34 Risk Analysis User Probability Expected High Extreme Impact High E1 Moderate Low Not Likely U3, T3, L1 U2, F1 T1 T4 Moderate T2, F2 U1 Low Negligible External E1 Technical Speed limit/Stop sign databases inaccuracy User T1 OBDII standard replacement T2 Change of standards and regulations U1 Audio/Visual cues distraction T3 User platform modifications U2 Circumventing the monitoring system T4 False positives U2 Not utilize unit at all L1 Government may not mandate the use of the Defensive Driver in Driving Clinics Financial Legal F1 Market base unable to afford system F2 Competition introducing a system sooner CS410 Red Team 30 November 2009 35 Risk Planning Problem Mitigation Database not accurate Create a self-maintained database for small regional areas and utilize a gradual marketing approach Government fails to mandate product use Continue to target driving schools for basic drivers and additionally taxi and tractor trailer programs Possible Distraction Test multiple methods of alerts Users bypass the system Use a fingerprint reader User may not want to use the system User may not have a choice depending on the course structure OBD II may be replaced by a new standard Releasing a new version of Defensive Driver with the new capabilities offered by the latest standard Driving standards and rules may change Software updates may be offered to comply with new standards Software may not work on future platforms Software updates may be offered to comply with new systems Market base unable to afford the system Search for possible grants that the product may apply towards Competition Learn from their mistakes/Prove that our product works better CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 36 THE DEFENSIVE DRIVER Resources, Staffing and Budgets CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 37 Project Management Management Plan Marketing Plan Resource Plan Staffing Plan Evaluation Plan Budget Plan Risk Management Plan Work Breakdown Structure CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 38 Phase 0 Organization Tihomir Hristov Project Manager Jeanne Adams Allstate Insurance Agent Aimeelyn Dineros Webmaster Andrew Will John Marr Barbara Dixon Hardware Specialist Software Specialist Financial Specialist CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 39 Phase 0 WBS CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 40 Phase 0 Marketing The focus of Marketing in Phase 0 includes the following: Accurately identify and analyze competitors Accurately identify and analyze customers CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 41 Phase 0 Budget Overview The cost of phase 0 is zero dollars because our group members will be unpaid interns from Old Dominion University CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 42 Phase 0 Evaluation Proper task definition and schedules Team collaboration Problem definition Initial market analysis Competition matrix Solution definition Software and hardware components defined Work breakdown structure in place CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 43 Phase 1 Organization Project Manager Software Hardware Manager Manager Financial Director Marketing Director Documentation Specialist CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 Webmaster 44 Phase 1 MFCD CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 45 Phase 1 WBS CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 46 Phase 1 Marketing The focus of Marketing in Phase 1 includes the following: Monitor immediate competition Secure three Virginia private driving schools for beta testing Generate product demand for Phase 2 CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 47 Phase 1 Budget Overview Phase Staffing Hardware Total Phase 1 $35,280.00 $6,000.00 $41,280.00 CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 48 Phase 1 Staffing Requirements Title Number of Personnel Project Manager 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 680 $ 10,200.00 Software Manager 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 340 $ 5,100.00 Hardware Manager 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 340 $ 5,100.00 Financial Director 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 120 $ 1,800.00 Marketing Director 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 80 $ 1,200.00 Documentation Specialist 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 80 $ 1,200.00 Webmaster 1 $ 32,000.00 $ 15.00 40 $ 600.00 Salary Hourly Rate* # Hours Total Total Cost $ 25,200.00 40% Overhead $ 10,080.00 Total Phase 2 Staffing Requirement $ 35,280.00 *Based on 2080 hours/year. CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 49 Phase 1 H/W Requirements Description Quantity Desktop PC 2 $ 500.00 GPS Receiver 2 $ 10.00 $ 20.00 ODB-II Interface Chip 2 $ 10.00 $ 20.00 Laptop Computer 2 $ 500.00 Fingerprint Reader 2 $ 5.00 $ 10.00 Accelerometer 2 $ 5.00 $ 10.00 SanDisk Memory Card 2 $ 110.00 $ 220.00 DashDAQ OBD-II Car PC 1 $ 550.00 $ 550.00 Carchip Pro 1 $ 100.00 $ 100.00 Production 2 $ 10.00 $ 20.00 Material (paper, box, etc.) 2 $ 5.00 $ 10.00 Assembly and Manufacturing 2 $ 10.00 $ 10.00 Testing 2 $ 15.00 $ 30.00 Workstations 6 $ 500.00 Hardware Labs 1 $ 0.00 TOTAL H/W COST Cost Per Unit Total Cost $ 1,000.00 $ 1,000.00 $ 3,000.00 $ $2,330.00 CS410 Red Team 0.00 $6,000.00 16 December 2009 50 Phase 1 Evaluation Defining new tasks and objectives Allocating SBIR funds Simulated components defined Test harness generation Integrating hardware devices Software algorithms developed Function prototype in place CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 51 Phase 2 Organization Project Manager Hardware Engineer 1&2 Technical Director Marketing Director Software Engineer Software/Hardware Tester 1&2 Financial Director Documentation Specialist HR Manager Webmaster Database Administrator CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 52 Phase 2 MFCD CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 53 Phase 2 WBS CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 54 Phase 2 Marketing The focus of Marketing in Phase 2 includes the following: Install a free working prototype of the Defensive Driver unit for three Virginia private driving schools for beta testing Mitigate any issues encountered during the testing phase Identify new markets CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 55 Phase 2 Budget Overview Phase Staffing Hardware Total Phase 2 $384,566.00 $245,500.00 $630,066.00 CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 56 Phase 2 Staffing Requirements Title Number of Personnel Project Manager 1 $ 89,000.00 $ 42.00 2025 $ 85,050.00 Software Engineer 2 $ 74,000.00 $ 36.00 800 $ 28,800.00 Hardware Engineer 2 $ 82,000.00 $ 39.00 215 $ 8,385.00 Financial Director 1 $ 65,000.00 $ 31.00 715 $ 22,165.00 Marketing Director 1 $ 46,000.00 $ 22.00 80 $ 1,760.00 Documentation Specialist 1 $ 36,000.00 $ 17.00 310 $ 5,270.00 HR Manager 1 $ 57,000.00 $ 27.00 400 $ 10,800.00 Technical Director 1 $ 68,000.00 $ 33.00 1010 $ 33,330.00 Software/Hardware Tester 1 $ 72,000.00 $ 35.00 350 $ 12,250.00 Webmaster 1 $ 45,000.00 $ 22.00 950 $ 20,900.00 Database Administrator 1 $ 80,000.00 $ 38.00 1210 $ 45,980.00 Salary Hourly Rate* # Hours Total Total Cost $274,690.00 40% Overhead $109,876.00 Total Phase 2 Staffing Requirement $384,566.00 *Based on 2080 hours/year. CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 57 Phase 2 H/W Requirements Description Quantity Processor Board 1500 $ 30.00 $ 45,000.00 GPS Receiver 1500 $ 10.00 $ 15,000.00 ODB-II Interface Chip 1500 $ 10.00 $ 15,000.00 LCD Touch Screen Display 1500 $ 70.00 $ 105,000.00 Fingerprint Reader 1500 $ 5.00 $ 7,500.00 Accelerometer 1500 $ 5.00 $ 7,500.00 Production 1500 $ 10.00 $ 15,000.00 Material (paper, box, etc.) 1500 $ 5.00 $ 7,500.00 Assembly and Manufacturing 1500 $ 10.00 $ 15,000.00 Testing 100 $ 15.00 $ 1,500.00 Workstations 13 $ 500.00 $ 6,500.00 Hardware Labs 1 $ 5,000.00 $ 5,000.00 TOTAL H/W COST Cost Per Unit $170.00 CS410 Red Team Total Cost $245,500.00 16 December 2009 58 Phase 2 Evaluation Recruiting new team members Establishing production Allocating NFS funds accordingly Reevaluate customer groups Optimizing size and performance Hardware Software Acceptance tests CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 59 Phase 3 Organization Project Manager Dr. Michele Weigle VANET Specialist Technical HR Manager Director Hardware Software Engineer Engineer Software/Hardware Tester Customer Service Procurement Marketing Manager Director Documentation Specialist Financial Director Lawyer Webmaster Database Administrator CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 60 Phase 3 WBS CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 61 Phase 3 Marketing The focus of Marketing in Phase 3 includes the following: Increase market share among private driving schools in Virginia Present beta testing results to the state government to mandate the product in driving improvement clinics Target secondary customer base CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 62 Phase 3 Budget Overview Phase Staffing Hardware Total Phase 3 $381,290.00 $1,888,500.00 $2,269,790.00 CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 63 Phase 3 Staffing Requirements Title Number of Personnel Project Manager 1 $ 89,000.00 $ 42.00 2040 $ 85,680.00 Software Engineer 1 $ 74,000.00 $ 36.00 710 $ 25,560.00 Hardware Engineer 1 $ 82,000.00 $ 39.00 710 $ 27,690.00 Financial Director 1 $ 65,000.00 $ 31.00 400 $ 12,400.00 Marketing Director 1 $ 46,000.00 $ 22.00 450 $ 9,900.00 Documentation Specialist 1 $ 36,000.00 $ 17.00 400 $ 6,800.00 HR Manager 1 $ 57,000.00 $ 27.00 240 $ 6,480.00 Technical Director 1 $ 68,000.00 $ 33.00 200 $ 6,600.00 Software/Hardware Tester 1 $ 72,000.00 $ 35.00 520 $ 18,200.00 Procurement Manager 1 $ 55,000.00 $ 26.00 420 $ 10,920.00 Lawyer 1 $ 68,000.00 $ 33.00 800 $ 26,400.00 Customer Service 4 $ 38,000.00 $ 18.00 600 $ 10,800.00 Webmaster 1 $ 45,000.00 $ 22.00 200 $ 4,400.00 Database Administrator 1 $ 80,000.00 $ 38.00 540 $ 20,520.00 Salary Hourly Rate* # Hours Total Total Cost $ 272,350.00 40% Overhead $ 108,940.00 Total Phase 3 Staffing Requirement $ 381,290.00 *Based on 2080 hours/year. CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 64 Phase 3 H/W Requirements Description Quantity Processor Board 12,000 $ 30.00 $ 360,000.00 GPS Receiver 12,000 $ 10.00 $ 120,000.00 ODB-II Interface Chip 12,000 $ 10.00 $ 120,000.00 LCD Touch Screen Display 12,000 $ 70.00 $ 840,000.00 Fingerprint Reader 12,000 $ 5.00 $ 60,000.00 Accelerometer 12,000 $ 5.00 $ 60,000.00 Production 12,000 $ 10.00 $ 120,000.00 Material (paper, box, etc.) 12,000 $ 5.00 $ 60,000.00 Assembly and Manufacturing 12,000 $ 10.00 $ 120,000.00 Testing 1000 $ 15.00 $ 15,000.00 Workstations 17 $ 500.00 $ 8,500.00 Hardware Labs 1 $ 5,000.00 $ 5,000.00 TOTAL H/W COST ` Total Cost $170.00 CS410 Red Team $1,888,500.00 16 December 2009 65 Phase 3 Evaluation Team members recruited Team collaboration Minimizing delay and unexpected costs Break-even point Allotting new funds - support, development, and marketing Aggressive marketing strategy New features tested and implemented CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 66 Overall Project Budget Overview Phase Staffing Hardware Total Phase 0 N/A N/A N/A Phase 1 $35,280.00 $6,000.00 $41,280.00 Phase 2 $384,566.00 $245,500.00 $630,066.00 Phase 3 $381,290.00 $1,888,500.00 $2,269,790.00 TOTAL: $801,136.00 $2,140,000.00 CS410 Red Team $2,941,136.00 16 December 2009 67 Break-Even Analysis May ‘11 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May ‘12 CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 68 Return on Investment Driving Schools will be able to: Provide a more efficient, interactive reinforcement of good driving techniques Automatically track student performance Generate reports on individual drivers Increase Revenues by advertising Students/Drivers will be able to: Identify bad driving habits Reinforce good driving habits Decrease insurance rates Reduce number of traffic accidents CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 69 References http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811162.PDF National Highway Traffic Safety Administration http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811036.PDF National Highway Traffic Safety Administration http://money.cnn.com/2008/03/05/news/economy/AAA_study/ CNN http://www.dmv.state.va.us/webdoc/citizen/drivers/eligibility.asp Virginia DMV http://www.dmv.state.va.us/webdoc/citizen/drivers/applying.asp Virginia DMV http://www.dmv.virginia.gov/webdoc/commercial/business/diclinic/index.asp Virginia DMV http://www.dmv.state.va.us/webdoc/citizen/drivers/backonroad.asp Virginia DMV http://dashdaq.com DashDAQ http://www.abika.com/Reports/driving_moving_violations.htm Driving and Moving Violations http://www.itfacts.biz/17-of-americans-have-a-gps-device-34-are-handheld-33-are-car-mounted/8873 ITFacts http://www.prb.org/pdf07/07WPDS_Eng.pdf Population Reference Bureau http://eetimes.eu/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=207603212 DriveCam indentifies risky driving, by R. Coling Johnson, EETimes Europe http://blogs.zdnet.com/ITFacts/?p=11523 Portable GPS navigation market statistics, by ZDNet http://www.consumeraffairs.com/news04/2006/02/black_boxes_states.html Consumer Affairs www.dmv.state.va.us Virginia DMV http://www.virginiadefensivedrivingclinic.com/register/index.php Virginia Defensive Driving Clinic http://www.dmv.state.va.us/webdoc/safety/crash_data/total/pdf/driver_action.pdf Virginia DMV http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811162.PDF NHTSA http://www.dinkytown.net/java/BreakEven.html Break Even Analysis http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811172.pdf Number of Total Fatal Accidents CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 70 Questions ? CS410 Red Team 16 December 2009 71