The River, the Levies, and the Future of New Orleans Ken Tabbutt April 14, 2006 Reconstructing New Orleans: Class, Race and the Ownership Society Natural Earth Cycles James Hutton (1726 – 1797) National Galleries of Scotland “The Present is the Key to the Past” Natural Geologic (and Atmospheric) Processes •Earthquakes •Tsunami •Volcanic Eruptions •Floods •Hurricanes •Sedimentation •Subsidence and Uplift •Meteorite Impacts •Climate Change Shake Map of Nisqually Earthquake 2/01 Flood Events (Rivers) United States Geologic Survey Hydrograph Mississippi River, Baton Rouge United States Geologic Survey Discharge Rating Curve Fetter, C. W., 1994, Applied Hydrogeology: Prentice Hall. Hydrograph Mississippi River, Baton Rouge United States Geologic Survey Discharge Exceedance Probability Flooding Natural Disasters or Hazards River Flooding Hazard Lower Mississippi River Cairo, Illinois - Mouth New Orleans Natural (and unnatural) Processes • Subsidence • Flooding • Hurricanes • Sea Level Rise Image obtained from NASA Natural (and unnatural) Processes • Subsidence • Flooding • Hurricanes • Sea Level Rise Image obtained from NASA Subsidence • Natural gradual subsidence of the Gulf Coast Basin and the Mississippi delta sediments (compaction and tectonic) • Resource extraction (gas and oil) • Lack of sediment supply Natural (and unnatural) Processes • Subsidence • Flooding • Hurricanes • Sea Level Rise Image obtained from NASA Flooding New Orleans Levees Natural (and unnatural) Processes • Subsidence • Flooding • Hurricanes • Sea Level Rise Image obtained from NASA Hurricane Katrina Natural (and unnatural) Processes • Subsidence • Flooding • Hurricanes • Sea Level Rise Image obtained from NASA Sea Level Rise Sea Water Temperature Mitigation New Orleans, Louisiana FEMA floodmap Mitigation • Engineered Solutions Flood Control Channelization Floodproofing • Social Solutions Remove Structures Zoning Warning Systems Flood Insurance (spread the cost) • Society must understand the spatial and temporal impact of these processes in order to avoid potential hazards. • We must weigh the long-term costs associated with these natural cycles. • We must understand how anthropogenic practices can change the spatial and temporal nature of these cycles. • We must understand they are dynamic systems.