Real Estate Finance Fall 2015 URPL–GP–2639-001 URPL–GP–263-001 (all students must register for the lab/discussion section) Thursdays, 6:45 – 8:25PM; Lab from 8:35 – 9:35PM Place: GODD B06 Date of First Session: September 3rd, 2015 Instructors: Eric Enderlin Deputy Commissioner, Development Department of Housing Preservation and Development 100 Gold Street, 9-A1 New York, NY 10038 Email: fee1@nyu.edu Michael Lear Vice President, Community Investments The Community Development Trust 1350 Broadway, Suite 700 New York, NY 10018 Email: mjl410@nyu.edu Teaching Assistant: Kevin Schmidt kevin.schmidt@nyu.edu Office hours: by appointment. Please email ahead of time to schedule. Course Objective: The course will: 1. familiarize students with the key elements of the real estate development process and the pro forma (cash flow model); 2. enable students to identify and recognize the varied financial and non-financial objectives of the developers and other players in the real estate finance/development process; 3. establish a meaningful framework within which real estate developments can be analyzed from both a quantitative and qualitative perspective. 1 Course Description: The development and redevelopment of urban real estate, especially housing, is examined from a public policy perspective. Through case studies, students learn the acquisition and development process and master the basics of project-level real estate economics. Emphasis is on the financial structure of real estate ventures, including tax efforts, and how a variety of public policies can influence private development activity. Through lectures, case studies, financial modeling, and presentations by practitioners, students will receive a practical understanding of housing policy, housing finance, affordable housing finance, and development fundamentals. The principles taught can be applied to residential and commercial development throughout the United States. Students will be introduced to key financial terms and will learn to calculate the three basic financial rewards generated by successful real estate projects: cash flow, tax benefits and future benefits (from sale of the property). They will learn to prepare project budgets, size debt and equity sources, and calculate discounted cash flow analyses utilizing the Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return measures of return methods. The focus will be both at the macroeconomic and capital markets level as well as how the issues impact individual project finance. The course will provide substantial foundation and background for broader study in real estate finance. Every real estate project, and especially affordable housing projects, has hidden partners: the federal government and, in New York City, the state and city government. Although the course is focused on finance and financing techniques, it will consider the role of the public sector in regulating and creating incentives for the development and financing of market and affordable multifamily rental housing in particular. This course covers a large amount of material in a relatively short period of time. The lab/discussion section will provide time on a weekly basis to serve as: 1. Spillover time in the event that the additional time is required to cover the lecture material and review of assignments and case studies. 2. Further discussion of materials from class, or previous classes, as requested by students. 3. Extra time to cover math/Excel issues, as requested by students. Prerequisites: Core-GP 1021: Financial Management for Public, Nonprofit, & Health Organizations Core-GP 1018: Microeconomics for Public Management, Planning & Policy Analysis 2 This class will rely heavily on Excel - basic Excel skills are necessary. A preclass excel exercise will be due on the first day of class. Extra help sessions will be held during the lab period(s) if needed for students who want extra assistance after this assignment. Students with backgrounds in the basics of finance, economics and quantitative analysis will have an advantage in mastering course materials. Any in-class Excel examples will be posted on the class website - and students should bring their laptops or tablet computers so they can follow along in class. Course expectations: Students must be willing to work with numbers and spreadsheets. Basic algebra skills will be sufficient for any quantitative work required in the course. Students will be required to design and use simple spreadsheets once the underlying concepts and calculation methodologies are understood. By the conclusion of the course, students will be expected to have acquired the knowledge base and skill set necessary to analyze and prepare a development pro-forma, a discounted cash flow property valuation, an analysis of investor returns and a sources and uses of funds statement. The distribution and submission of course assignments will be handled through NYU Classes. The following filename convention is required: Lastname_assignmentname.filetype Course format/Organization: The course will be a mix of lecture-discussions and case studies. The first section of the course will be lectures and exercises intended to impart the basic skills required for effective real estate investment analysis. The second section of the course is a series of case studies intended to hone and sharpen the students' practical skills and abilities. There will be regular assignments to reinforce the concepts introduced in class, a midterm case study project, and a final project that integrates the skills gained throughout the course. Active classroom participation by students is required throughout the course and a substantial component of the course grade. The real estate finance and development process is extraordinarily complex and is not a task accomplished by one person alone. Project development generally requires the effort of several professionals working in concert. Therefore, students are encouraged to form groups consisting of 3 to 4 people. Students are encouraged to discuss the readings, study questions and case assignments in 3 preparation for each class within these groups. While each student is expected to individually submit the written assignments, these assignments may be discussed within the context of the group. The mode and format of these group sessions (i.e. conference calls, e-mail, meetings, etc.) shall be left to the discretion of the members. Notwithstanding anything to the contrary above, each student should individually prepare all readings, problem sets, written assignments, and case studies prior to each class. Grading: Grades will be determined in accordance with the following criteria: Class Participation and Attendance Assignments and Case Studies Midterm - Angus Cartwright Case Study End term Negotiation Game 20% 40% 20% 20% A detailed breakdown of the weightings for specific assignments/cases is below. Assignment Weight Participation/Attendance 20% Pre-class 2% HW 1 3% HW 2 3% Gilbert 5% HW 3 5% Warren 10.0% Millegan 12.0% Midterm 20% End Term Negotiation Game 20% Total 100.0% 20% 40% 20% 20% 100.0% All assignments must be submitted on designated due dates by the beginning of each class period. No extensions will be granted except for University-wide shut downs. Because we will often review some or all of an assignment on the day it is due in class, we cannot accept late submissions of assignments. All assignments must be submitted in order to receive a course grade. Required Text and Readings 1. Digital course pack, including the HBS case studies and required readings (https://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cbmp/access/38653518). 2. Additional readings and problem sets to be distributed in class through the course of the semester. 4 Attendance: Attendance and participation are required. Course Policies: Responsibility Students are responsible for all assignments, even if they are absent. Late papers, failure to complete the readings assigned for class discussion, and lack of preparedness for in-class discussions and presentations will jeopardize your successful completion of this course and will be a consideration is grading. Late submissions of homework and case studies will be reduced a minimum of one letter grade per day. Participation Class participation is an essential part of class and includes: keeping up with reading, contributing meaningfully to class discussions, active participation in group work, and coming to class regularly and on time. NYU Classes Use of NYU Classes will be an important resource for this class. Students should check it for announcements before coming to class each week. All materials, for the primary course, and potentially additional examples that are covered in the Lab/Discussion section, will be posted to the Delays In rare instances, we may be delayed arriving to class. With two instructors, this is unlikely to occur. However, if we have not arrived by the time class is scheduled to start, you must wait a minimum of thirty minutes for our arrival. In the event that we will miss class entirely, a sign will be posted at the classroom indicating your assignment for the next class meeting. Student Course Ratings Later in the semester, students are asked to provide feedback for each of their courses. Instructors rely on course rating surveys for feedback on the course and teaching methods, so they can understand what aspects of the class are most successful in teaching students, and what aspects might be improved or changed in future. Without this information, it can be difficult for an instructor to reflect upon and improve teaching methods and course design. Academic Integrity Students will comply with NYU’s Academic Integrity Policy, which can be found here: http://www.nyu.edu/about/policies-guidelines-compliance/policies-andguidelines/academic-integrity-for-students-at-nyu.html 5 NYU Wagner’s Academic Code can be found here: http://wagner.nyu.edu/students/policies/academic-code Course Outline and Assignment Schedule: Please note that the course outline and assignment schedule remains subject to change prior to and during the semester. Any changes will be announced inclass or posted to NYU Classes. Please note: Readings are to be done in anticipation of the class under which they are listed. ******************************************* Pre-class Assignments, due 9/3: Practice Homeownership Exercise Practice Excel Assignment Read Wall Street Journal article: “In One Home, a Mighty City's Rise and Fall” and answer questions 9/3 Introduction/Course Overview • Teacher/Student Introductions and Syllabus overview • Introduction to Real Estate Finance • Components of a basic pro forma - vocabulary and basics • Sources of cash flow • Review of Wall Street Journal article • Review Homeownership exercise • Review pre-class assignment ******************************************* 9/10 The Pro Forma • Building a 10 year pro forma; calculating NOI and value • Cap rates • Leverage and amortization of debt • Capital Stack • Before Tax Cash Flow Required Reading: Financial Analysis of Real Property Investments to middle of pg 12. DUE: PROBLEM SET 1: Building a 10 year pro-forma 6 ******************************************* 9/17 After Tax Cash Flow • Residual values • Depreciation and tax benefits • Calculating AFTC • Key Financial Ratios and Return Metrics Required Reading: Financial Analysis of Real Property Investments to end. The Gilbert Building case study DUE: PROBLEM SET 2 - Exercise on constructing a debt constant; amortization table; income approach to value. ******************************************* 9/24 Operating cash flows, tax benefits, and future value Introduction to Time Value of Money; Discounted Cash Flow Analysis • Calculating depreciation and book value • Calculating residual value, gain on sale, and taxes on sale • Introduction to Present Value and Future Value • Discount rates • Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return Required Reading: HBS Intro to Accumulated Value, Present Value and Internal Rate of Return DUE: Case 1 - The Gilbert Building ******************************************* 10/1 Time Value of Money Underwriting Operations, Market Research and Demographic Analysis • NPV and IRR, review • Comparison with other market conditions, potential investments • Underwriting practices • Absorption rates • Sensitivity analysis DUE: PROBLEM SET 3 - TVM exercises Required Reading: Case 2 - 943-45 Warren Road 7 ******************************************* 10/8 Acquisition and Zoning for Development Review of the Warren Road case Millegan Creek case introduction DUE: Case 2 - 943-45 Warren Road. We will walk through the Warren Road Case solution in the lab period. Required Reading: Case 3 - Millegan Creek, potential additional readings TBD ******************************************* 10/15 Capital Markets and Motivations of Real Estate Finance Participants GUEST SPEAKER: Rich Froehlich, New York City Housing Development Corporation Millegan Case - answer any questions Required Reading: TBD ******************************************* 10/22 Construction and the Development Budget Introduction to the Midterm Case Study and team assignments Required Reading: Case 4 - Angus Cartwright Case Study DUE: Case 3 - Millegan Creek ******************************************* 10/29 The Development Process GUEST SPEAKER: Ron Schulman, Best Development Group Any remaining Lecture time and Lab/Discussion to be set aside for groups to work on the Midterm ******************************************* 11/5 State of the Nation's Housing The Financial Collapse Required Reading: TBD 8 ******************************************* 11/12 Midterm Presentations (in class) DUE: Midterm Presentations and Materials - Angus Cartwright ******************************************* 11/19 Affordable Housing: Government Interventions in Housing Markets Required Reading: TBD ******************************************* 11/26 Thanksgiving Recess ******************************************* 12/3 Negotiation Game Introduction Groups and Roles Assigned, Case Materials Handed Out ******************************************* 12/10 Negotiations continue in class DUE: Due diligence materials for Negotiation Game ******************************************* 12/17 Negotiations conclude Winners are announced 9