AUTO MANAGED CARE Auto Managed Care Pennsylvania’s Act 6 of 1990 Chet Szczepanski Chief Actuary Pennsylvania Insurance Department Agenda Review economic and social background leading to Act 6 Review legislative background leading to Act 6 Review specifics of Act 6 Examine loss cost saving effects of medical cost containment features implemented by Act 6 Examine impact on loss development and reserving Economic & Social Background Climate of the 1970’s and 1980’s: – High rates of inflation throughout period, especially medical inflation – Society becoming increasingly litigious, particularly in large population centers such as Philadelphia Economic & Social Background (continued) Insurance Marketplace in the 1970’s and 1980’s – Persistent rate increases outpacing rates of inflation – Rate increases consistently in the double digits in Philadelphia – Considerable public discontent – Clamor for increased regulatory scrutiny & control Legislative Background July 19, 1974: Legislature enacts Pennsylvania No-Fault Motor Vehicle Insurance Act – Key Features: Unlimited Medical Coverage $750 Monetary Threshold to Bring Suit Legislative Background (Continued) – Inflation quickly erodes effectiveness of $750 monetary threshold – Ineffective threshold and unlimited medical coverage are catalyst for increased suit activity and, in turn, excessive medical usage to perfect claims Legislative Background (Continued) October 1, 1984: Pennsylvania Legislature repeals No-Fault Motor Vehicle Insurance Act and enacts Motor Vehicle Financial Responsibility Law Key Features: Tort System with add-on First Party Benefits Medical Coverage now limited (minimum limit $10,000 Medical Benefits) Legislative Background (Continued) To compensate for such severely reduced Medical Benefit coverage, Automobile Catastrophic Loss Trust Fund established – – – – – – – – Coverage from $100,000 to $1,000,000 A State Fund (Not a private sector program) Mandatory Participation Funded on a pay as you go basis initial “Fee” $5.00 Fee paid with annual automobile registration As “Fee” increases, considerable discontent As Fee hits $25.00, Letter to the Editor states: “I don’t have a cat, what do I need a Cat Fund for?” Legislative Background (Continued) Quite possibly worst possible system from a cost perspective: – Tort system without limit to suits combined with add-on first party benefits – Mandatory uninsured/underinsured motorists coverage, which courts rule can be stacked Combined effects of increased suit activity and accelerating inflation leads to even greater and more frequent rate increases Legislative Background (Continued) Governor Robert P. Casey takes office in January, 1987 A populist governor, he makes auto insurance reform one of his major legislative goals Legislative Background (Continued) Governor Casey introduces a comprehensive auto insurance reform package in early 1988 – No-Fault system with $10,000 monetary threshold – 80% of bodily injury claims have associated medical costs less than $10,000 Casey’s proposal fails to gain substantive support from any constituency Legislative Background (Continued) Constituencies (Depending on the reform package, they can be either obstacles or facilitators) – The Public – The Legislature – The Insurance Industry – The Trial Bar – The Medical Community Legislative Background (Continued) December 12, 1988: Pennsylvania Legislature Repeals Automobile Catastrophic Loss Trust Fund Institutes runoff of current claims to be funded by surcharge on driving violation fees Mandates that insurance marketplace offer Extraordinary Medical Benefit Coverage for voluntary purchase Coverage similar to original Cat Fund Initial actuarial cost $45.00 Legislative Background (Continued) February 7, 1990: Governor Casey signs into law Act 6 of 1990 which substantially modifies the Motor Vehicle Financial Responsibility Law A “Choice No-Fault” System Act 6 of 1990 Key Features – Policyholders can voluntarily restrict their ability to seek recovery for non-economic damages, such as pain and suffering, to only those cases resulting in death, serious impairment of bodily function, or permanent serious disfigurement. – Policyholders are prohibited from recovering for economic damages under other insurance coverage, such as Accident & Health Insurance Act 6 of 1990 Key Features (continued) – Increased uninsured motorist detection efforts – Increased anti-fraud measures Penalties for insurance fraud stiffened from a misdemeanor to a third degree felony Act 6 of 1990 Key Features (continued) – Auto insurers’ medical benefit payments are controlled by generally limiting providers to 110% of the prevailing fee available under Medicare. – Insurers must contract with peer-review organizations to more effectively evaluate the reasonableness and necessity of medical services and treatment. Act 6 of 1990 Key Features (continued) – MANDATORY RATE ROLLBACKS! Constituencies (Revisited) –The Public –The Legislature –The Insurance Industry –The Trial Bar –The Medical Community Effects of Act 6 Medical Cost Containment Features A picture is supposed to be worth a 1000 words Hopefully the following 4 are worth considerably more! First Party Benefits Arising Claim Frequency 3 .5 0 0 0 3 .0 0 0 0 2 .0 0 0 0 1 .5 0 0 0 1 .0 0 0 0 0 .5 0 0 0 /1 /3 98 98 /3 97 /3 /1 /3 /1 /3 /1 97 96 96 95 95 94 /3 /1 94 /3 /1 93 93 /1 92 /3 92 91 /1 91 /1 /3 /1 /3 /3 90 90 89 89 88 /1 88 /1 /3 /1 /3 87 87 86 86 ea r/ 0 .0 0 0 0 Y F r eq u en cy 2 .5 0 0 0 Y e a r & Q u a rte r P e n n s y lv a n ia A ris in g C la im F re q u e n c y C o u n try w id e A ris in g C la im F re q u e n c y First Party Benefits Average Paid Loss 5000 4500 4000 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 P e n n sylva n ia A ve ra g e L o ss C o u n tryw id e A ve ra g e L o ss /3 /1 Y e a r & Q u a rte r 98 /1 /3 /1 /3 98 97 97 96 96 /3 95 /3 /1 /3 /1 95 94 94 /1 93 93 /3 92 /1 /1 /3 /1 /3 /3 92 91 91 90 90 89 /1 89 /1 /3 /1 /3 /3 88 88 87 87 86 /1 86 ea r/ 0 Y A ver ag e Paid L o ss 3500 Medical Incurred Development 12 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 24 1.9811 1.9144 1.6970 1.8667 1.8786 1.9160 1.4730 1.7146 1.5063 1.5621 1.4729 36 1.2164 1.2022 1.2666 1.2441 1.1970 1.2042 1.1091 1.1389 1.0540 1.1199 1.1011 48 1.0685 1.1604 1.1074 1.0920 1.1039 1.1231 1.0627 1.0638 1.0554 1.0574 1.0464 60 72 1.0976 1.1233 1.0562 1.0371 1.0301 1.0478 1.0346 1.0190 1.0197 1.0285 0.9995 84 1.0115 1.1936 1.0635 1.0259 1.0196 1.0382 1.0153 1.0643 1.0203 1.0294 1.0049 1.0212 1.0645 1.1243 0.9796 0.9908 1.0109 0.9920 1.0006 1.0089 1.0117 1.0062 96 1.0365 1.0716 1.0738 1.0318 0.9856 1.0134 0.9975 1.0017 1.0061 1.0172 1.0277 108 1.0268 1.0661 1.0488 0.9903 0.9995 0.9410 1.0063 1.0610 0.9995 1.0104 1.0073 Medical Paid Development 12 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 24 2.0837 2.3803 2.0436 2.5618 2.3714 2.2078 1.7344 1.8878 1.7767 1.7839 1.6956 36 1.2004 1.2111 1.2223 1.2819 1.2834 1.2319 1.1483 1.1516 1.1573 1.1451 1.1621 48 1.1110 1.1145 1.1031 1.1415 1.1850 1.1544 1.0809 1.0741 1.0794 1.0840 1.0778 60 72 1.0758 1.0670 1.0689 1.0763 1.1081 1.1002 1.0604 1.0457 1.0428 1.0496 1.0603 84 1.0179 1.0723 1.0495 1.0650 1.0751 1.0816 1.0420 1.0346 1.0362 1.0379 1.0296 1.0331 1.0427 1.0596 1.0361 1.0639 1.0545 1.0331 1.0289 1.0296 1.0248 1.0284 96 1.0318 1.0388 1.0277 1.0735 1.0345 1.0491 1.0243 1.0288 1.0234 1.0212 1.0235 108 1.0302 1.0222 1.0424 1.0350 1.0452 1.0065 1.0178 1.0195 1.0166 1.0144 1.0190 CONCLUSIONS Act 6 enacted because a successful coalition of constituencies formed Act 6, especially Choice Features and Medical Cost Containment Features, a big success Such law changes have substantial effects on actuarial analyses