Military uses of outer space and the international space law Bhupendra Jasani Department of War Studies King’s College London UK Introduction There are numerous spacecraft orbiting the near and far earth orbits performing various military functions; These By 1967, outer space became a heavily militarised environment This was not surprising as the use of artificial earth-orbiting satellites for defence was conceptualised as early as late 1940s The first use of satellites for defence was demonstrated in 1960 with the launch of the US military reconnaissance satellite that was capable of acquiring data with high resolution Extensive application of space for civil and defence flourished during the Cold War period and continued even after its end. orbits Military space and international space law: Jasani 2 Capabilities of satellites continued While the capabilities of many of the military satellites are still closely guarded secret, we know that they are an integral part of terrestrial weapon systems as illustrated dramatically during the 1991 Gulf War and the invasion of Iraq in 2003; Consider improvement of ground resolution of earth observation satellites. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 53 Capabilities of some satellites continued El Rahab Airport- Yeman 22032015 El Rahab Airport- Yeman 27032015 Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 4 Capabilities of satellites continued 1996 image of the UK Dungeness nuclear power plant acquired by a Russian Cosmos satellite carrying 1996a KVR-1000 sensor with 2m resolution Landsat-5 image acquired on 3 November 1997 over Dungeness Nuclear power station; bands 6 (thermal) as red, 5 as green and 4 as blue; the warm water discharged into the sea can be detected while clearly the reactor buildings are well insulated. Source EOSAT Dungeness Nuclear Power Plant acquired by ERS-2 radar satellite Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 65 Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons Progress has also been made in the capabilities of civil and defence communications and navigation satellites; Space assets are an important element of terrestrial security making them targets during any earth-bound conflicts; There now exists a perception that during any terrestrial conflict a state may feel the need to deny the adversary the use of his space assets; Moreover, active protection of one’s own space assets has become necessary leading to the development, testing and to some extent the deployment of anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons; Of course, the testing of some ASATs have caused debris in space already in addition to those generated from natural and other human activities in space. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 6 ASAT weapons continued Various space weapon systems and their deployment modes, both existing and potential, are summarised below Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 7 ASAT weapons continued It should be pointed out here that most of the weapons listed in the table are either conceptual or are being researched upon; In addition there are those that do not destroy either a satellite or a missile but they destroy their command, control and space surveillance equipment that are vital to the efficient operations of spacecraft and missiles; Only the ones that either exist or will be realised soon are reviewed here; Conceptualisation of earth- and space-based weapons aimed at satellites and missiles began even before signing the Outer Space Treaty in October 1967; The early ASAT weapons fall under the category of kinetic energy weapons (KEW); Essentially the idea was to hit a satellite in orbit by a co-orbital weapon or a ground- or an air-based missile; Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 8 ASAT weapons Also in the 1960s the ASAT weapons deployed nuclear warheads; However, it was soon realised that such weapons were not very useful as they were indiscriminate weapons that could destroy all nearby satellites that included one’s own spacecraft; Both the USA and the former USSR developed, tested and deployed KEWs; A problem with KEW ASAT weapon is that it takes time to reach its target and an impact can create considerable amount debris that can harm one’s own satellites as well as those of others; Thus, directed energy weapons (DEWs) have been investigated; China also began its own research in ASAT technology in the 1980s; Others, for example India, have shown interest in the development of such weapons; Consider the US ASATs Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 9 Summary of US ASAT weapons-KEWs Type of weapons Orbital range (km) War head Kill radius Status (km) Number deployed Nike-Zeus 320 - - Test - Thor IRBM 1,100 1 Mt nuclear 8 Test Feb 1964April 1975 - Bold Orin missile on B-47 bomber - - - Investigated in 1950s - Modified antiradiation homing missile on F-15 In a test P78-1 Solwind satellite destroyed Kinetic Kill Miniature Kill Vehicle Direct hit Tested on 13Sept. 1985 Cancelled Sea-based SM-3 missile LEO Direct assent Direct hit at 10km/sec Tested on 20 Feb. 2008 Hundreds on board several ships US Army & Missile Defense Agency LEO Direct assent Direct hit - Two types of interceptors 6 in orbit Advanced 1,300 Technology Risk Reduction Sat Direct assent co- Direct hit orbital guided by IR sensors First placed in 2009 Micro Satellite Technology Experiment deployed Direct impact LEO deployed in 2 in LEO weigh 2006 and in GSO 230kg in 2014 In LEO & GSO Direct hit ICPAC Summit 2016_Space weapons 21042016: Jasani 12 10 Summary of US ASAT weapons Current status of DEWs & space plane Laser ASAT Space plane Ground-based laser tested on 17 October 1997 against a MSTI-3 satellite in orbit at 420km; Rocket powered X-37B plane launched in 2010 in 400km orbit; While 1Mw Mid-Infrared Advanced Chemical Laser (MIRACL) failed, a 30w beam used for alignment of system and tracking temporarily blinded the satellite; Two potential ASAT X-37B planes would be deployed in turn for a year or so; Thus, a commercially available laser with a 1.5m mirror could be an effective ASAT weapon. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 13 11 Russian ASAT weapons Russia (former Soviet Union) began testing its ASAT weapons as early as 1967 and continued, on and off, for a number of years; Most of the early tests were for the development of co-orbital ASAT weapons to damage satellites by explosive in the vicinity of target spacecraft or by direct collisions; Cosmos 186 satellite, launched on 27 October 1967, rendezvoused with Cosmos 188 that was orbited on 30 October, demonstrating Russia’s capability to manoeuvre satellites to rendezvous with another spacecraft; The ASAT weapon weighing 1,400kg took one and a half to three hours to reach the target; After several tests, in December 1971, Russia suspended further testing declaring the system operational by early 1973; The interceptor was capable of reaching altitudes of between 230 and 1,000km. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 12 Russian ASAT weapons continued The testing of Russian co-orbital ASAT system resumed in 1976 during which the altitude of the interceptor improved between 150km and 1,600km; Time taken for the interception was reduced to a single orbit; The system remained operational between 1978 and 1982; However, on Christmas Day in 2013, the work on ASAT development resumed when a small manoeuvrable satellite was launched into a low orbit; Two more such spacecraft were launched one in May 2014, a Cosmos-2499 and the other in March 2015. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 13 Russian ASAT weapons continued An air-launched ASAT missile on a MiG-13 aircraft, Russia’s Kontakt system, was also being developed as well as an airborne laser to blind a target or even to damage it; On the other hand, a direct ascent ASAT missile known as Nudol was successfully tested on 18 November 2015; The interceptor missile is mounted on a mobile launcher giving it a limited flexibility by positioning it under a target satellite for a direct ascent interception; Besides its kinetic-energy ASAT, Russia is also investigation airbased laser system to either blind sensors on board satellites or even to cause damage to them without destruction thereby avoiding creation of debris; However, no details are available; The interceptions would take place in low-earth orbits. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 14 Chinese ASAT weapons China began developing a direct-ascent missile ASAT system, known as SC-19; In 2005 and 2006 two tests were carried out without destroying the targets; However, a test conducted on 11 January 2007, resulted in the destruction of the target causing thousands of pieces of debris; The target was an old dead meteorological Feng Yun-1C satellite launched on 10 May 1999 in sun-synchronous orbit at an orbital inclination of 99º and at an altitude of between 845km and 865km; The kinetic-kill ASAT is believed to weigh about 600kg; Assuming the mass of the target satellite was 880kg and its speed of about 9km/sec, the combined kinetic energy was estimated to be about nine times that of an explosive yield of one ton of TNT. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 15 Chinese ASAT weapons continued In 2010 China launched a number of small satellites including two called SJ-6F and SJ-12 These came very close to each other in control manner without collision. A test carried out in 2013 similar to that conducted in 2007, indicated the maturity of the Chinese ASAT capability In July of the same year a small inspection spacecraft, SY-7, was also launched The tests in 2013 and 2014 had extended range of probably 10,000km or more The SY-9 ASAT tested in 2014 is a land-based mobile system making it more survivable In a latest test, Chine launched, on 30 October 2015, its Dong Neng 3 direct ascent ASAT missile Most of the above tests have been land-based direct ascent ASAT missile Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 16 Chinese ASAT weapons continued China has also been testing co-orbital ASAT weapons For example, in July 2013, Shiyan-7, Shijian-15 and Chuangxin-3 have performed unusual manoeuvres; While it is difficult to conclude from these the nature of the tests but they may have been a part of the development of co-orbital ASAT weapon; In addition to kinetic-kill ASATs, China has been developing satellite jamming and blinding capabilities; As for the latter, for example, it was reported that China has been shining laser beams at the US optical reconnaissance satellites; However, it is not certain that such actions were deliberate laser attacks or possible part of Chinese satellite laser tracking activities; However, it would not be surprising if States are engaged in satellite blinding activities as well as in the development of satellite jamming technologies; In the near future these are likely to be ground-based systems rather than space-based ones. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 17 ASAT ambitions of other countries No doubt countries with significant space and nuclear programmes, may consider developing ASAT systems of their own; Isaral: For example, on 10 December 2015, Israel successfully intercepted a target in space using the US-based Arrow 3 ground-base missile; This was a second attempt to test an ASAT weapon as the one conducted in 2014 had failed; India: Reportedly, India is also investigating hit-to-kill kinetic energy ASAT; With the above activities in outer space, it may now be useful to examine briefly whether these are consistence with the legal regimes already in place. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 18 Bi-lateral arms control treaties • The use of observation satellites for verification of bilateral arms control treaties was first introduced in the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT) I and II, signed between the USA and the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics in 1972 and 1979, respectively; • The other nuclear weapons related bi-lateral treaty was the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) signed in 1987 and ratified and came into force in 1988; • The verification of these treaties is to be carried out by the National Technical Means (NTM), observation satellites being a major element; • Under the non-interference with the NTM clause,satellites are protected, ate least in peace time. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 19 Multi-lateral nuclear arms control treaties • Most multi-lateral treaties do not have such a mechanism; • Verification by satellites under a Multi-lateral Technical Means (MTM) was conceptualised because of the availability of commercial high resolution images; • Also according to the Principle V of the Remote sensing Principles, “States carrying out remote sensing activities shall promote international cooperation in such activities. To this end, they shall make available to other States opportunities for participation therein.” • Under the Partial nuclear Test bBan Treaty (PTBT) signed in 1963, “…no State Party shall be precluded from using information obtained by national technical means of verification in a manner consisting with generally recognised principles of international law,…” .(Article IV.5); • However, information from the NTMs are not usually shared and satellites are not stated tools of verification in the nuclear test ban treaties; • But, each State party undertakes to cooperate with each other and, for example, with the CTBT Office (CTBTO) “in the improvement of verification regime, and in the examination of the verification potential of additional monitoring technologies such as electromagnetic pulse monitoring or satellite monitoring.” (Article IV.11); • Thus, seeds were planted to verify multi-lateral treaties using space-based systems. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 20 Multi-lateral nuclear arms control treaties continued • Furthermore, for the verification of the 1970 Treaty on Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), the parties undertake to accept a safeguards mechanism carried out by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA); • In 1993 and 1994, the Director General’s Standing Advisory Group on Safeguards Implementation (SAGSI) formulated specific recommendations regarding the detection of undeclared nuclear activities; • One of the recommendations advised “assessment of the usefulness, technical feasibility, associated costs and acceptability of the Agency obtaining satellites photographs from commercial sources”; • In 2001 the IAEA established a unit with imagery analysis capability and the Agency’s Satellite Imagery Analysis Laboratory (SIAL) became fully operational; • Thus, for first time a multi-lateral arms control measure formally accepted the use of observation satellites as a verification tool although no provisions are made on non-interference with such MTM; • It is useful to examine the existing outer space related treaties to determine if further measures exist that accepts and safeguards the uses of space assets. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 21 Multi-lateral outer space related treaties • Essentially there are three treaties, two conventions, four principles and two resolutions specifically dealing with activities in outer space; • In addition there are some relevant documents, for example, the 2007 Guidelines on Debris Mitigation and 2009 Safety for nuclear power source; • None of these treaties have any verification provisions although orbiting weapons of mass destruction are prohibited in the 1967 Outer Space Treaty; • Under the 1972 Liability Convention a State bears international responsibility for all space objects launched from its territory so that it is fully liable for damages that result from that space object; • For example, 0.5mm metal chip travelling at an average relative speed of about 10km/s, could kill an astronaut, a cosmonaut or a taikonaut working outside a space station; • The term “space object” includes “component parts of a space object as well as its launch vehicle and parts thereof” (Article I); • Can debris from space objects be regarded as “parts of a space object”? • There have been either close encounters or actual collisions with space debris causing potential damage to space objects of other parties; • How is one to determine the ownership of a piece of debris that may be too small to be tracked and identified which may cause damage to another state’s property? • This is particularly so when tracking of objects are carried out unilaterally by only a few; • More recent example is potential damage that may be caused by debris from the Chinese 2007 ASAT test which generated over 3,000 trackable pieces; • One of these pieces did hit a small Russian laser-ranging satellite, Ball Lens in The Space (BLIST), on 22 January 2013 knocking it out of its orbit. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 22 Multi-lateral outer space related treaties continued Convention on Registration of Objects Launched into Outer Space • The Convention on Registration of Objects Launched into Outer Space came into force in 1976; • Unser the Convention, states are required to furnish to the UN details about the objects and their orbits, name of launching State, an appropriate designator of the space object or its registration number, date and territory or location of launch, basic orbital parameters (nodal period, inclination, apogee and perigee) and general function of the space object, are mandatory; • By and large, provision IV.1.(e) has not been fulfilled, since large number of satellites launched serve military purposes and hardly any of them have been described to the UN Secretary-General as having military uses; • This is particularly so when an anti-satellite test has been carried out in outer space; • As a first step it is essential to strengthen the compliance with this and other outer space related Conventions. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 23 Multi-lateral outer space related treaties continued • Under the 1986 Principles Relating to Remote Sensing of the Earth from Outer Space, information obtained from space might be exploited by commercial interests without being made available to the sensed state; • Could such a use of remotely sensed data be termed “..for the benefit and in the interest of all countries.”? (Principle II) • The MTM concept was proposed earlier could be legalised on the basis of “States carrying out remote sensing activities shall promote international cooperation in these activities.” (Principle V); • But this has not happened yet; • An International Data Centre (IDC) is proposed here in the hope that Principle VI would be fulfilled according to which “In order to maximise the availability of benefits from remote sensing activities, States are encouraged…to provide establishment and operation of data collecting and storage stations and processing and interpretation facilities.”; • “The sensed State shall also have access to the available analysed information concerning the territory under its jurisdiction in the possession of any State participating in remote sensing activities…” (Principle XII); • This raises a problem not only for the sensed state but also for, for example, UN specialised agencies, such as the IAEA, which is using data from remote sensing satellites but may not be able to reveal it to the sensed state. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 24 Some conclusions It is often stated that outer space should be kept free of weapons; However, in this brief review, it is shown that the environment is already full of weapons; For example, there are satellites that are designed for close inspection of other spacecraft but could be used as ASAT weapons; Then there are dedicated spacecraft designed and deployed to destroy other satellites by direct collisions; While the Outer Space Treaty prohibits deployment of weapons of mass destructions in orbits, there is no mention of conventional weapons; By 1967, when the Outer Space Treaty was established, the environment was already militarised; Artificial earth orbiting satellites were being extensively used both for military and civil/commercial applications. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 25 Some conclusions continued • Because of the military applications of satellites, considerable efforts are being devoted to the development of various types of ASAT weapons; • While it will be some time before exotic weapons, such as high energy lasers and particle beam weapons are deployed either in space or on ground, there is a real possibility of developing and deploying ground-, air- or space-based low energy laser weapons that could temporary incapacitate satellites; • In the mean time, there exist a number of types of ground- and space-based conventional ASAT weapons; • While jamming and interfering with the operations of satellites are not considered as active weapons, they can achieve similar results; • Perhaps it is time again to suggest that there should be a freeze on further development of such systems. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 26 Some conclusions continued It may not be too late either to strengthen the Outer space Treaty or at least to have, on a multilateral basis, an agreement on noninterference with each other’s satellites as is the case between the USA and Russia under their bilateral arms control agreements; A number of civil/commercial satellites are being used to verify such multilateral treaties as the 1970 NPT; It might also be suggested now to have a multilateral agreement on limiting testing of ASAT weapons. Strategic Space Law Program 02062016: Jasani 27