Economics behind contracting PIE 231, April 3-4, 2000 Contracting: Economic Viability, Risks, and Management Dr. Michael Sykuta Agribusiness Research Institute University of Missouri A Contract is… • A legally enforceable mutual promise to perform an act (to do or to refrain from doing something) that is not already required by law. • An institutional structure governing (outlining the terms of) a transaction…”the rules of the game.” Every transaction entails a(n): • Division of Value • Division of Risk • Allocation of Decision (Property) Rights • The 3 are interdependent Division of Value • Gains from trade • Sources of Value: – Price – Quantity – Quality and/or Specific Product Traits Division of Risk • Each value source has its own set of uncertainties that create source-specific risk – Price Uncertainty – Quantity • Yield Uncertainty • Delivery/Performance – Quality (particularly endogenous traits) Division of Decision Rights • Input Decisions • Management Decisions (field/equipment/services) • Timing Decisions (planting/harvesting/delivery/pricing) • Pricing decisions • Performance decision The Three Amigos • Value, Risk and Decision Right allocations are interdependent. Each affects the other. All affect incentive structures. • Key Point: Decisions Rights are valuable in and of themselves! The ability to make a choice has value. The Costs of Transacting • Transaction costs associated with contracting: – – – – searching out contract partner/contracting info negotiating terms of the contract performance monitoring and enforcement • Changes in these costs are driving much of the push for contracting Changes in the Value Chain • Consumers at every level are driving demand for different dimensions of quality and consistency • Competitive pressures at every level call for greater degree of coordination between trading parties • Traditional commodity marketing channels are not equipped to handle these needs. Search Costs • Who has what you want…or, from the producer’s perspective, who wants what you have to sell? • What kinds of products are out there and how do they fit your needs? • The more specialized your needs, the higher the search costs…and more important the trading partner. Negotiating Costs • In general, at present, the buyer is writing the contract…and there is not much negotiating. • However, processors are spending a lot of money figuring out how to design their contracts. Monitoring and Enforcement • How do we verify that we’re getting what we pay for? – How difficult to determine (measurement costs) – How costly is the difference? • How can we enforce the deal? – Go to court – Liquidated damages Measurement and Contracting • Separability vs. Task-programmability – Separability: • Ability to measure output and reward producers based on output quality (e.g., grade and yield) – Task programmability: • Ability to measure input and control ouput quality by choice of inputs. • Which is more cost-effective? Changes in measurement costs • Standard grading scales are no longer as useful: – No. 2 yellow corn and No. 1 red wheat don’t give enough information. – Imbedded character traits are where the value lies. – Those output traits are frequently determined by choice of inputs. Effects of measurement costs • If you can tell by the input what the output will be, it may be easier to contract for the input…including the management package. The bio-tech factor • Developers of biotechnology want to protect that value and recover the costs of development. Questions to consider • What is the value in the transaction and what is the producer’s contribution? • How does the transaction reflect measurement costs? • What are the sources of risk in the deal? Who’s bearing the risk? • Price - primarily still the producer • Quantity - primarily the buyer • Quality - primarily the buyer Sources of “Hidden” Value • The option to default – particularly producer’s option to invest more or less in additional premiums throughout the growing season. • The timing option – particularly delivery schedules (buyer’s call vs. harvest deliveries)