Homework Questions Binomial Theorem Binomial Bi – means 2 – two outcomes Win/lose, girl/boy, heads/tails Binomial Experiments The following have to be true: The trials are independent Each trial has two outcomes P(S) or P(F) P(success) or P(failure) The probability of success is the same for each trial. The probability of failure is 1-p Ex 1 In a basketball contest, each player is allowed 3 free-throws. If a certain individual has a 70% chance of making each free-throw, what is the probability of making exactly 2 out of 3? Probability Formula In a binomial experiment, P (r successes in n trials) = n Cr r pq p = probability of success q = 1-p is the probability of failure n 1 Go back to #1 r C p q n r 2 3 n 1 1 C2 (.7) (.3) Ex 2 A lottery consists of choosing a number from 000 to 999. All digits of the number must be matched in order, so the probability of winning is 1/1000=.001. A ticket costs $1, and the prize is $500. Suppose you play the lottery 1000 times in a row. Write a probability distribution for the number of wins What is the probability that you will break even? a) Outcome Probability 0 wins 1 win 2 wins 3 wins 4 wins 5+ win b) Example 3 Morgan is taking a 10 question multiple choice test but has not studied. Each question has 4 possible responses, only one of which is correct. Find the probability of getting the results below if he answers all questions randomly. Exactly 6 questions correct. 4 or fewer questions correct. 8 or more questions correct. Enough to pass… Answers a) b) c) d) Homework Worksheet