L22 Oligopoly Market structure Market structures: N 1 2 3-10 10-… Name pall Oligopoly – industry with 2 or more large sellers. Intermediate level of fixed cost Have market power (but smaller than monopoly) Also: oligopsony and bilateral oligopoly Oligopolies in practice Examples of oligopolies in the USA: - accounting & audit services, tobacco, beer, aircraft, military equipment, motor vehicle, film and music recording industries Inefficiency and regulation Federal Trade Commission Oligopolies in practice Market share Industry is legally recognized as oligopolistic 1. concentration ratio “big four”>40% (share of top 4 firms in the market) Concentrated industry if CR>40% 2. HERFINDAHL-HIRSCHMAN Index (HHI) Moderately concentrated industries HHI>1000 Concentrated industry HHI>1800 IO - Models Strategic environment – harder than before Careful about timing and strategy Quantities - yi chosen simultaneously (Cournot) - leader and follower (Stackelberg) Prices (Bertrand) When goods are not homogenous - Monopolistic competition Cournot Model - Assumptions Homogenous good 2 firms (duopoly) Aggregate supply y y1 y 2 p( y) 14 y Market price yi chosen simultaneously Cost function TC ( y i ) 2 y i Maximize profit Firm 1: Best response to y2 p ( y ) 14 y , TC ( y ) 2 y1 1 ( y1 , y 2 ) p ( y1 y 2 ) y1 TC ( y1 ) Best response: Geometry 1 ( y1 , y 2 ) (12 y 2 ) y1 y 1 R1 ( y 2 ) 6 y 2 2 2 1 Cournot-Nash Equilibrium: * 1 * 2 equilibrium y , y : Output of each firm is a best response to the output of the other firm Cournot y R1 ( y ) * 1 No * 2 y R2 ( y ) * 2 * 1 firm has incentives to deviate, given production of the other firm. Equilibrium (Example) p ( y1 ) 14 y , TC 2 y 1 R1 ( y 2 ) 6 y 2 2 1 R2 ( y1 ) 6 y1 2 Nash Equilibrium: Geometry Incentives to collude Are there profit incentives for both firms to “cooperate” by lowering their output levels? If yes than collusion. Firms that collude form a cartel. Good for firms, bad for consumers and efficiency (DWL) Under what condition cartels are stable? Collusion p ( y1 ) 14 y , TC 2 y C o u rn o t y 4, p ( y ) 6, i 12 * i Collusion: Geometry Incentives to collude In long run reputation helps! - see movie ``Informant’’ Cartels are hard to sustain if: – Only short run interactions – Imperfect monitoring of price Alternative: Mergers - Problem: Federal Trade Commission Cournot with N firms