Evaluating Recreational Benefits of Water Resources on Small Geographical Areas An Application to Rivers in Puerto Rico Prepared by: Juan Marcos González & John B. Loomis Dept. of Agricultural and Resource Economics Colorado State University Outline Recreation Demand Models Travel Cost Model Contingent Valuation Model Travel Cost Models: A closer look Empirical Application Results Implications: Water Resources Valuation Concluding Remarks Recreation Models Travel Cost Model (TCM) Revealed Preferences Relates intensity of use (number of trips) to variables of interest Allows us to determine a demand schedule directly Quantity demanded (trips) versus price paid (travel cost) Implicitly captures trade-offs between characteristics and money Travel Cost Model The individual demand for seasonal visits to the sites considered is defined as: rij f ( p j,v j,mi, zi) rij is the number trips taken in a season by individual i to site j pj vj mi zi is the cost associated to site j the is a vector of characteristics site j has stands for the income represent a set of particular individual characteristics of visitor Recreation Models Contingent Valuation Model (CVM) Stated Preferences Obtains information on contingent behavior of visitors Relates response to changes in prices and site characteristics Allows us to determine consumer’s surplus directly Contingent Valuation Model The marginal demand for a visit to the sites considered is defined as: ansij f (bid j,v j,mi, zi) ansij is the answer (yes/no) to the contingent valuation question bidj vj mi zi the hypothetical bid amount increase to visit site j the is a vector of characteristics site j has stands for the income represent a set of particular individual characteristics of visitor TCM : A Closer Look Travel Cost Models rely on a continuous spatial market Each ring is of a given distance increment Visitors residing in each ring have a determined travel cost to visit the site $400 $250 $100 TCM : The Island Effect $400 $100 Some sites have limited market area around them (islands) The maximum travel cost that a visitor can incur is limited or truncated Travel cost will then be less than their maximum willingness to pay Empirical Application Location El Yunque, Caribbean National Forest. Sites Visitors from 11 sites were surveyed. Espiritu Santo Mameyes In person interviews Interviews were done during summer 2005. Included weekdays, weekends and holydays. Questions included visitor demographics, number of visits and perceived site conditions. Results Variables CVM TCM Intercept 2.4296 1.2237 4.3223 3.5029 -0.0104 -0.0108 -9.2360 -5.3192 -0.2347 0.0920 -2.4443 1.5642 -1.1143 0.1055 -2.6580 0.9051 -0.0004 0.0002 -2.5237 1.9748 0.2200 -0.0182 2.3496 -0.6467 -0.0083 -0.0002 -2.0475 -0.1325 Bid Road Mean Annual Discharge Median Grain Size Pool Volume Pool Volume Squared Demand Schedules 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 TCM Number of Trips 13.3 12.2 11.1 10 8.9 7.8 6.7 5.6 4.5 3.4 2.3 1.2 CVM 0.1 Price Implied Demand Curves for Number of Trips for CVM and TCM Implications: Water Resources Valuation Mean Willingness to Pay Mean WTP CVM CVM TCM $ 109.42 $ 92.75 valuation is 18% larger !! Concluding Remarks TCM conditions might not be met by the area studied TCM results are truncated only when the value of the site is greater than the maximum possible travel cost considered CVM results might be an alternative to evaluate site WTP Water resources valuations depend heavily on the accuracy of the models that used Thank you! Questions? Comments?