Experience of Azerbaijan on compilation of the Energy Balance

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International Workshop on Energy Statistics
Baku, Azerbaijan, 27-30 September 2011
Experience of Azerbaijan on
compilation of the Energy
Balance
Rauf Gurbanov,
Deputy Head of department of Fuel-energy
and material balances statistics
of State Statistical Committee
of the Republic of Azerbaijan
raufg@azstat.org
1
29 September 2011
Previous structure of
Energy Balance
Item
1.
1.1
1.2
1.3
2.
2.1
2.1.1
2.1.2
2.2
2.3
2.4
2
Balance items
Resources
Extraction (production)
Import
Stock at the beginning of year
Distribution
Consumption inside of the country
including:
conversion into other type of energy
production–technological and
other needs
Losses
Export
Stock at the end of year
29 September 2011
12 rows
Example previous Energy Balance
with data
5.21 Fuel-energy balances in 2006 (thousand ton conditional fuel)
Fuelenergy
resourcestotal
3
total
Natural fuel
including:
crude oil, natural
including
gas
other
gas
condensate
Other
kind of
fuelenergy
resources
Resources
Stock to the beginning of the
year
Production (extraction)
Import
76 643
60 733
46 981
13 720
32
15 910
2 593
68 483
5 567
1 842
53 745
5 146
838
46 143
-
997
7 583
5 140
7
19
6
751
14 738
421
Divided
Domestic сonsumption
conversion of energy (electricity
and heating)
as raw material
other needs
Losses
Export
Stock to the end of the year
76 643
32 786
60 733
22 475
46 981
10 799
13 720
11 654
32
22
15 910
10 311
7 993
11 899
12 894
1 413
40 054
2 390
6 058
11 082
5 335
934
35 568
1 756
10 705
94
219
35 493
470
6 058
377
5 219
715
75
1 276
22
10
1 935
817
7 559
479
4 486
634
29 September 2011
Shortages of previous
Energy Balance







4
Having no analog in the international sphere;
Absent of transformation sector, re-accounting of data;
Non-application of consumption principles on several
consumption groups;
Non-coverage of all energy products
Absent of commodity balance conversion factors (TOE)
applied in international practice;
Non-calculation of “statistical difference” indicator
characterizing energy balance data quality;
Data flows, but not energy flows.
29 September 2011
Steps for creating structure of
National Energy Balance
Submitted to Cabinet Ministries
(December, 2007)
Agreement structure of balance with
all relation government organization
(December, 2007)
Reference from IEA, seminars,
discussion, creating of working group
(2007-2008)
Creating of model of energy balance
on the base of Eurostat
( February, 2007)
5
Learning of structure of
balance of IEA and Eurostat
(2006-2007)
Methodological basis of Energy
Balance:
İnternational:





National:







6
Energy Statistics Manual. OECD/IEA, 2004;
Methodological documents attached to questionnaire received from Eurostat, IEA, JODI and other
international organizations;
International Recommendations for Energy Statistics. UN New York, 2011;
etc.
Methodological recommendation on energy statistics (2008);
Methodological recommendation on indicators system and calculation of the indicators (2009,2010);
Methodological explanations on compilation of energy and commodity balances (2008, 2010)
National conversion factors (2008)
Classification of energy products (2011)
etc.
29 September 2011
Purpose of energy balance (1)
Main purposes on working out of energy balance:



7
To achieve more transparency and effectiveness of energy sector applying
international statistics standards in the country;
To determine the development trends of energy sector to make statistical
application and analysis of changes and inclinations taken place in production
and consumption structure of energy products;
To provide the country government with essential statistical information on
compilation of national Energy balance, making decisions on energy fields
for the next years.
29 September 2011
Purpose of energy balance (2)
Moreover, the energy balance is a multipurpose tool to:









8
Enhance the relevance of energy statistics by providing comprehensive and reconciled data on the energy
situation on a national territory basis;
Provide comprehensive information on the energy supply and demand on the national territory in order to
understand the energy security situation, the effective functioning of energy markets and other relevant
policy goals, as well as to formulate energy policies;
Serve as a quality tool to ensure completeness, consistency and comparability of basic statistics;
Ensure comparability between different reference periods and between different countries;
Provide data for estimation of CO2 emissions with respect to national territory;
Provide the basis for indicators of the energy’s role in the country’s economy;
Calculate efficiencies of transformation processes occurring in the country (e.g., refining, electricity
production by combustion of fuels, etc.);
Calculate the relative shares of the supply/consumption of various products (including renewable versus
non-renewable) of the country’s total supply/consumption;
Provide an input for modeling and forecasting.
29 September 2011
Structural divisions taken part in compilation of
Energy balance in the State Statistical Committee
Working group of development of
Energy Statistics in SSC
(methodological recomendations and
quality control)
Department of Industry,
transport and communication
statistics
(Production and transfer of energy
products)
Department of Trade statistics
(Import and export)
Department of Fuel-energy
and material balances statistics
(Transformation and communication of
energy products)
and
COMPILATION ENERGY BALANCE
9
29 September 2011
National conversion factors
Net Calorific Values for some energy products
№
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
10
Kind of energy products
Crude oil
Gasoline
Aviation gasoline
Jet fuel
Diesel oil
Kerosene
Fuel oil (low-sulphur)
Fuel oil (high-sulphur)
Natural gas (cubic meter)
LPG
Net Calorific Values (Gj/metric tons)
By Azerbaijan
By world
Lower
43,1
43,2
43,4
43,2
42,7
43,1
42,5
41,2
35,9
47,4
29 September 2011
Upper
45,3
46,3
46,5
46,2
45,5
46,1
45,4
43,8
38,9
52,4
Lower
40,1
42,5
42,5
42,0
41,4
42,4
39,8
39,8
36,0
44,8
Upper
44,8
44,8
44,8
44,8
43,3
45,0
41,7
41,7
39,02
52,2
Questionnaires for formation of
Energy Balance:
11
1.
06-extraction
Data on extraction of crude oil and natural gas
2.
6-TG hydro
Report on work of hydro electric station
3.
19-refinery
Data on production refinery oil products
4.
35-production
Data on production refinery qas products
5.
5-energy
Data on input and transfer of oil and refinery oil products
6.
1-balance (oil)
Data on balance of crude oil
7.
1-oil products
Data on balance of oil products
8.
4-energy
Data on consumption and transformation of oil products
9.
9-energy
Data on resource of hydro and electrical energy
10.
2-gas
Receiving and distribution of natural gas
11.
1-energy (household)
Fuel and energy consumption of housholds
29 September 2011
Questionnaires for formation of
Energy Balance:
Production
primary production
petroleum and other secondary energy pro.
Import-export
International bunkers
Stock changes
Transfers
Transformation processes
crude oil
other energy products
Energy industry own use
Losses
crude oil
natural gas
electricity
other energy products
Final consumption*
energy porposes
non-energy porposes
12
06-extraction; 6-TG hydro
19-refinery; 35-refinery
State Custom Committee
4-energy; 1-oil products
4-energy
4-energy, 1-refinery
5-energy, 4-energy
1-balance (oil)
4-energy (II section)
4-enerji (III section)
1-balance (oil)
2-gas
9-energy
4-energy
4-energy (II section), 1-energy (household)
4-energy (II section)
29 September 2011
Formation of Energy Balance
Commodity balances
Conversion factors
Energy balance
13
29 September 2011
Structure of Energy Balance



International standards – UNSD (previous Eurostat model)
Coverage of basic energy products (23 types and 5 groups
of products) – 28 columns
Motion of products from energy formation to final
consumption (50 rows)
–
–
–
–
–
14
“Top block” Energy supply (8 rows)
“Middle block” Transfers, energy transformation, energy industry own use
and losses (12 rows)
“Bottom block” Final consumption (29 rows)
“Statistical differences” (in 2 row)
29 September 2011
Energy Balance of Azerbaijan (flows)
“Top block”- Energy supply
B
Primary production
Imports
Exports
International Bunkers
International marine bunkers
International aviation bunkers
Stock changes (closing-opening stocks)
Total energy supply
15
29 September 2011
C
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4.1
1.4.2
1.5
1
8 rows
Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows)
“The middle block”.
Transfers
Transformation processes
Electricity plants
CHP plants
Heat plants
Gas works
Blast furnaces
Oil refineries
Petrochemical plants
Other transformation processes
Energy industries own use
Losses
16
29 September 2011
3
4
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
5
6
12 rows
Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows)
“The bottom block”. Final consumption
17
Final consumption
Final energy consumption
Manufacturing, const. and non-fuel mining industries, Total
Iron and steel
Chemical and petrochemical
Non-ferrous metal
Non-metallic minerals
Transport equipment
Machinery
Mining and quarrying
Food and tobacco
Paper, pulp and print
Wood and wood products (Other than pulp and paper)
Textile and leather
Construction
Industries not elsewhere specified
Transport, total
Road
Rail
Domestic aviation
Domestic navigation
Pipeline transport
Transport not elsewhere specified
Other, total
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Commerce and public services
Households
Not elsewhere –specified
Non-energy use
7
7.1
7.1.1
7.1.1.1
7.1.1.2
7.1.1.3
7.1.1.4
7.1.1.5
7.1.1.6
7.1.1.7
7.1.1.8
7.1.1.9
7.1.1.10
7.1.1.11
7.1.1.12
7.1.1.13
7.1.2
7.1.2.1
7.1.2.2
7.1.2.3
7.1.2.4
7.1.2.5
7.1.2.6
7.1.3
7.1.3.1
7.1.3.2
7.1.3.3
7.1.3.4
7.2
29 rows
Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows)
“Statistical differences”
In the energy balance, the statistical difference is the numerical
difference between the total supply of a energy product and the total use
of it. It is presented in line 2 of the energy balance.
Total energy supply
Statistical differences
Transfers
18
29 September 2011
1
2
3
Products of Energy balance (columns)
№
B
Primary production
19
C
1.1
Energy
Crude
products,
oil
total
1
2
Natural
bitumen
and
asphalt
3
Oil
Total
Refinery
Natural Derived
products,
renew.
feedstock
gas
gas
total
Energy
4
5-17
18
19
20-25
other
fuels
26
Electrical
energy
Derived
(termal
heat
power
stat.)
27
28
Further steps on improvement
of Energy Balance:
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
20
To accept the new recommendations on the basis of International Recommendations for Energy
Statistics which is considered as unique methodology on energy statistics;
To conduct the “sample survey on Energy consumption of natural persons (private owners)” for
the purpose of indication of energy products consumed by natural persons by the sectors in final
consumption sector of energy;
To prepare the methodological explanations on estimation of unobserved part in the sector of
energy balance final consumption, as well as data on households and private owners;
To prepare new indicators by training of advanced experiences in energy statistics;
To prepare the methodological conception on the system of statistical processes management
regarding to energy statistics and energy balance compilation;
To prepare the metadata system on reports applied in energy statistics;
To continue the constant improvement of data quality;
Etc.
International Workshop on Energy Statistics
Baku, Azerbaijan, 27-30 September 2011
Thank you for attention!
21
29 September 2011
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