International Workshop on Energy Statistics Baku, Azerbaijan, 27-30 September 2011 Experience of Azerbaijan on compilation of the Energy Balance Rauf Gurbanov, Deputy Head of department of Fuel-energy and material balances statistics of State Statistical Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan raufg@azstat.org 1 29 September 2011 Previous structure of Energy Balance Item 1. 1.1 1.2 1.3 2. 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2 Balance items Resources Extraction (production) Import Stock at the beginning of year Distribution Consumption inside of the country including: conversion into other type of energy production–technological and other needs Losses Export Stock at the end of year 29 September 2011 12 rows Example previous Energy Balance with data 5.21 Fuel-energy balances in 2006 (thousand ton conditional fuel) Fuelenergy resourcestotal 3 total Natural fuel including: crude oil, natural including gas other gas condensate Other kind of fuelenergy resources Resources Stock to the beginning of the year Production (extraction) Import 76 643 60 733 46 981 13 720 32 15 910 2 593 68 483 5 567 1 842 53 745 5 146 838 46 143 - 997 7 583 5 140 7 19 6 751 14 738 421 Divided Domestic сonsumption conversion of energy (electricity and heating) as raw material other needs Losses Export Stock to the end of the year 76 643 32 786 60 733 22 475 46 981 10 799 13 720 11 654 32 22 15 910 10 311 7 993 11 899 12 894 1 413 40 054 2 390 6 058 11 082 5 335 934 35 568 1 756 10 705 94 219 35 493 470 6 058 377 5 219 715 75 1 276 22 10 1 935 817 7 559 479 4 486 634 29 September 2011 Shortages of previous Energy Balance 4 Having no analog in the international sphere; Absent of transformation sector, re-accounting of data; Non-application of consumption principles on several consumption groups; Non-coverage of all energy products Absent of commodity balance conversion factors (TOE) applied in international practice; Non-calculation of “statistical difference” indicator characterizing energy balance data quality; Data flows, but not energy flows. 29 September 2011 Steps for creating structure of National Energy Balance Submitted to Cabinet Ministries (December, 2007) Agreement structure of balance with all relation government organization (December, 2007) Reference from IEA, seminars, discussion, creating of working group (2007-2008) Creating of model of energy balance on the base of Eurostat ( February, 2007) 5 Learning of structure of balance of IEA and Eurostat (2006-2007) Methodological basis of Energy Balance: İnternational: National: 6 Energy Statistics Manual. OECD/IEA, 2004; Methodological documents attached to questionnaire received from Eurostat, IEA, JODI and other international organizations; International Recommendations for Energy Statistics. UN New York, 2011; etc. Methodological recommendation on energy statistics (2008); Methodological recommendation on indicators system and calculation of the indicators (2009,2010); Methodological explanations on compilation of energy and commodity balances (2008, 2010) National conversion factors (2008) Classification of energy products (2011) etc. 29 September 2011 Purpose of energy balance (1) Main purposes on working out of energy balance: 7 To achieve more transparency and effectiveness of energy sector applying international statistics standards in the country; To determine the development trends of energy sector to make statistical application and analysis of changes and inclinations taken place in production and consumption structure of energy products; To provide the country government with essential statistical information on compilation of national Energy balance, making decisions on energy fields for the next years. 29 September 2011 Purpose of energy balance (2) Moreover, the energy balance is a multipurpose tool to: 8 Enhance the relevance of energy statistics by providing comprehensive and reconciled data on the energy situation on a national territory basis; Provide comprehensive information on the energy supply and demand on the national territory in order to understand the energy security situation, the effective functioning of energy markets and other relevant policy goals, as well as to formulate energy policies; Serve as a quality tool to ensure completeness, consistency and comparability of basic statistics; Ensure comparability between different reference periods and between different countries; Provide data for estimation of CO2 emissions with respect to national territory; Provide the basis for indicators of the energy’s role in the country’s economy; Calculate efficiencies of transformation processes occurring in the country (e.g., refining, electricity production by combustion of fuels, etc.); Calculate the relative shares of the supply/consumption of various products (including renewable versus non-renewable) of the country’s total supply/consumption; Provide an input for modeling and forecasting. 29 September 2011 Structural divisions taken part in compilation of Energy balance in the State Statistical Committee Working group of development of Energy Statistics in SSC (methodological recomendations and quality control) Department of Industry, transport and communication statistics (Production and transfer of energy products) Department of Trade statistics (Import and export) Department of Fuel-energy and material balances statistics (Transformation and communication of energy products) and COMPILATION ENERGY BALANCE 9 29 September 2011 National conversion factors Net Calorific Values for some energy products № 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 10 Kind of energy products Crude oil Gasoline Aviation gasoline Jet fuel Diesel oil Kerosene Fuel oil (low-sulphur) Fuel oil (high-sulphur) Natural gas (cubic meter) LPG Net Calorific Values (Gj/metric tons) By Azerbaijan By world Lower 43,1 43,2 43,4 43,2 42,7 43,1 42,5 41,2 35,9 47,4 29 September 2011 Upper 45,3 46,3 46,5 46,2 45,5 46,1 45,4 43,8 38,9 52,4 Lower 40,1 42,5 42,5 42,0 41,4 42,4 39,8 39,8 36,0 44,8 Upper 44,8 44,8 44,8 44,8 43,3 45,0 41,7 41,7 39,02 52,2 Questionnaires for formation of Energy Balance: 11 1. 06-extraction Data on extraction of crude oil and natural gas 2. 6-TG hydro Report on work of hydro electric station 3. 19-refinery Data on production refinery oil products 4. 35-production Data on production refinery qas products 5. 5-energy Data on input and transfer of oil and refinery oil products 6. 1-balance (oil) Data on balance of crude oil 7. 1-oil products Data on balance of oil products 8. 4-energy Data on consumption and transformation of oil products 9. 9-energy Data on resource of hydro and electrical energy 10. 2-gas Receiving and distribution of natural gas 11. 1-energy (household) Fuel and energy consumption of housholds 29 September 2011 Questionnaires for formation of Energy Balance: Production primary production petroleum and other secondary energy pro. Import-export International bunkers Stock changes Transfers Transformation processes crude oil other energy products Energy industry own use Losses crude oil natural gas electricity other energy products Final consumption* energy porposes non-energy porposes 12 06-extraction; 6-TG hydro 19-refinery; 35-refinery State Custom Committee 4-energy; 1-oil products 4-energy 4-energy, 1-refinery 5-energy, 4-energy 1-balance (oil) 4-energy (II section) 4-enerji (III section) 1-balance (oil) 2-gas 9-energy 4-energy 4-energy (II section), 1-energy (household) 4-energy (II section) 29 September 2011 Formation of Energy Balance Commodity balances Conversion factors Energy balance 13 29 September 2011 Structure of Energy Balance International standards – UNSD (previous Eurostat model) Coverage of basic energy products (23 types and 5 groups of products) – 28 columns Motion of products from energy formation to final consumption (50 rows) – – – – – 14 “Top block” Energy supply (8 rows) “Middle block” Transfers, energy transformation, energy industry own use and losses (12 rows) “Bottom block” Final consumption (29 rows) “Statistical differences” (in 2 row) 29 September 2011 Energy Balance of Azerbaijan (flows) “Top block”- Energy supply B Primary production Imports Exports International Bunkers International marine bunkers International aviation bunkers Stock changes (closing-opening stocks) Total energy supply 15 29 September 2011 C 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4.1 1.4.2 1.5 1 8 rows Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows) “The middle block”. Transfers Transformation processes Electricity plants CHP plants Heat plants Gas works Blast furnaces Oil refineries Petrochemical plants Other transformation processes Energy industries own use Losses 16 29 September 2011 3 4 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 5 6 12 rows Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows) “The bottom block”. Final consumption 17 Final consumption Final energy consumption Manufacturing, const. and non-fuel mining industries, Total Iron and steel Chemical and petrochemical Non-ferrous metal Non-metallic minerals Transport equipment Machinery Mining and quarrying Food and tobacco Paper, pulp and print Wood and wood products (Other than pulp and paper) Textile and leather Construction Industries not elsewhere specified Transport, total Road Rail Domestic aviation Domestic navigation Pipeline transport Transport not elsewhere specified Other, total Agriculture, forestry and fishing Commerce and public services Households Not elsewhere –specified Non-energy use 7 7.1 7.1.1 7.1.1.1 7.1.1.2 7.1.1.3 7.1.1.4 7.1.1.5 7.1.1.6 7.1.1.7 7.1.1.8 7.1.1.9 7.1.1.10 7.1.1.11 7.1.1.12 7.1.1.13 7.1.2 7.1.2.1 7.1.2.2 7.1.2.3 7.1.2.4 7.1.2.5 7.1.2.6 7.1.3 7.1.3.1 7.1.3.2 7.1.3.3 7.1.3.4 7.2 29 rows Energy balance of Azerbaijan (flows) “Statistical differences” In the energy balance, the statistical difference is the numerical difference between the total supply of a energy product and the total use of it. It is presented in line 2 of the energy balance. Total energy supply Statistical differences Transfers 18 29 September 2011 1 2 3 Products of Energy balance (columns) № B Primary production 19 C 1.1 Energy Crude products, oil total 1 2 Natural bitumen and asphalt 3 Oil Total Refinery Natural Derived products, renew. feedstock gas gas total Energy 4 5-17 18 19 20-25 other fuels 26 Electrical energy Derived (termal heat power stat.) 27 28 Further steps on improvement of Energy Balance: – – – – – – – – 20 To accept the new recommendations on the basis of International Recommendations for Energy Statistics which is considered as unique methodology on energy statistics; To conduct the “sample survey on Energy consumption of natural persons (private owners)” for the purpose of indication of energy products consumed by natural persons by the sectors in final consumption sector of energy; To prepare the methodological explanations on estimation of unobserved part in the sector of energy balance final consumption, as well as data on households and private owners; To prepare new indicators by training of advanced experiences in energy statistics; To prepare the methodological conception on the system of statistical processes management regarding to energy statistics and energy balance compilation; To prepare the metadata system on reports applied in energy statistics; To continue the constant improvement of data quality; Etc. International Workshop on Energy Statistics Baku, Azerbaijan, 27-30 September 2011 Thank you for attention! 21 29 September 2011