Asset Accounts: Overview UNSD SEEA Training of Trainers Seminar 7-10 July 2015, Santiago Joe St. Lawrence Statistics Canada Outline Background The accounting structure Physical accounts Valuation Data sources Land, water, and ecosystem assets 2 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Policy relevance “Conventional economic aggregates generated through national accounting, such as GDP, do not reflect the extent to which production and consumption activities may be using up environmental assets and limiting the capacity for these assets to generate ecosystem services in the future.” -TEEB Guidance Manual for Countries (2013) OECD: indicators and reports: Green Growth and Material Flows and Resource Productivity World Bank: Wealth Accounting and the Valuation of Ecosystem Services (WAVES) 3 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Asset Accounts: Applications Monitoring and management of natural wealth • What is the contribution of natural assets to national wealth? • Are we maintaining total wealth (produced and natural) over time, both in total and per capita? • To what extent are we substituting produced assets for natural assets? • Is resource rent recovered successfully by governments? 4 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 5 Statistics Canada •5Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 SNA framework Final demand Sectors Industries Assets Financial and produced assets, opening balance Industrial intermediate demand Final demand Gross fixed capital formation Wastes Commodities Industrial output of goods and services Sectors Other changes in volume & holding gains/losses on financial & produced assets 6 Statistics Canada • Financial and produced assets, closing balance Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 SEEA framework Final demand Sectors Industries Assets Financial and produced assets, opening balance Natural resource assets, opening balance Natural resource assets, opening balance Industrial intermediate demand Final demand Gross fixed capital formation Environmental protection expenditures Environmental protection expenditures Capital expenditures for environmental protection Resource production by industries Resource production by households/gov’t Resource use by industries Resource use by households/gov’t Waste consumption by industries Waste consumption by households/gov’t Waste output by industries Waste output by households/gov’t Other changes in volume & holding gains/losses on financial & produced assets Sectors Wastes Commodities Industrial output of goods and services 7 Statistics Canada • Financial and produced assets, closing balance Statistique Canada Changes in and holding gains/losses on natural resource assets Changes in natural resource assets Natural resource assets, closing balance Natural resource assets, closing balance 2016-07-23 Asset Accounting Final demand Sectors Industries Assets Financial and produced assets, opening balance Natural resource assets, opening balance Natural resource assets, opening balance Industrial intermediate demand Final demand Gross fixed capital formation Environmental protection expenditures Environmental protection expenditures Capital expenditures for environmental protection Resource production by industries Resource production by households/gov’t Resource use by industries Resource use by households/gov’t Waste consumption by industries Waste consumption by households/gov’t Waste output by industries Waste output by households/gov’t Other changes in volume & holding gains/losses on financial & produced assets Sectors Wastes Commodities Industrial output of goods and services 8 Statistics Canada • Financial and produced assets, closing balance Statistique Canada Changes in and holding gains/losses on natural resource assets Changes in natural resource assets Natural resource assets, closing balance Natural resource assets, closing balance 2016-07-23 Accounting structure conforms with a balance sheet structure opening stocks, closing stocks and annual variations United Nations, 2012, System of Environmental-Economic Accounting: Central Framework (white cover draft), New York. http://unstats.un.org/unsd/envaccounting/White_cover.pdf 9 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Physical stock accounts: an example for crude bitumen 10 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Question: what factors could lead to the large jump in stocks in 2006? 11 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Question: what factors could lead to the large jump in stocks in 2006? • Prices increase making existing deposits profitable to extract. • New technology making extraction more profitable or opening formerly unrecoverable stocks to exploitation. 12 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Monetary stock accounts: an example for crude bitumen 13 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Question: what factors could lead to the large revaluation in 2009? 14 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Question: what factors could lead to the large revaluation in 2009? • The economic crisis leading to a drop in prices. 15 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Links to the SNA The monetary accounts are integrated with the National Wealth Account of the CSNA • The addition of the monetary values of key natural resource assets (energy, minerals, timber and land) recognizes that these resources, although provided by nature, contribute significantly to Canada’s national wealth 16 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Natural resource assets in context Non-financial assets 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 million dollars 6,000,000 5,000,000 Non-produced non-financial assets 4,000,000 Produced non-financial assets 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2009 17 2010 2011 2012 2013 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Natural resource assets in context Non-produced non-financial assets 4,000,000 3,500,000 million dollars 3,000,000 2,500,000 Selected mineral resources2 Selected energy resources1 2,000,000 Timber 1,500,000 Land 1,000,000 500,000 0 2009 18 2010 2011 2012 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2013 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Is wealth really going up like this all the time? 19 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Is wealth really going up like this all the time? • Not really, since the stock is valued in current prices and includes inflation. 20 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Why value assets in current prices? 21 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Accounting structure Why value assets in current prices? • The assumptions on resource rent, stocks, extraction, etc. are all based on current prices. 22 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Natural Resource Stock Accounts: Applications Physical indicators that relate to the management of natural resource stocks and their use in the economy • Are resource stocks growing / declining over time? Stocks of mineral and energy assets Remaining reserve life of energy and mineral assets Annual depletion of mineral and energy reserves Total natural resource base Monetary indicators that tell us if our resource base (natural wealth) is being maintained or at least replaced by adequate produced capital. 23 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Physical stocks of selected assets 24 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Reserve life for selected resources, 1990 to 2012 (Closing stock)/(extraction) 25 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Physical stocks of selected minerals How can we have 10 years of crude oil for the last 17 years? 26 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Physical stocks of selected minerals How can we have 10 years of crude oil for the last 17 years? • Extraction is balanced by discoveries and other additions to stock. 27 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 How are natural resources valued? In order to be included within the balance sheet accounts, natural resource assets must fit into the asset boundary of the SNA – i.e. they must be economic assets “Economic assets are entities over which ownership rights are enforced by institutional units, individually or collectively, and from which economic benefits may be derived by their owners by holding them, or using them, over a period of time” They also must be recoverable under current technological and economic conditions • E.g., for oil sands (crude bitumen) we only value “known deposits under active development” 28 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Valuation of energy and mineral stocks Valuation: indirect estimation of market values of natural assets • Valuation of natural resource asset stocks would ideally be based on observed market value for transactions in these assets • Such values are not available for most resource assets however, since there are few transactions in resource assets in their “natural” state • Estimates of market value must be derived indirectly (economic or resource rent) • The total value, or wealth, associated with the stock is calculated as the present value of all future annual rent that the stock is expected to yield 29 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 The concept of resource rent Resource rent is the part of the revenue from the sale of the resource which remains after having deducted all costs associated with extraction – including fuel, labour and capital costs. 30 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Calculation of resource rent RRI = TR - C - (rcK + ) where: RR = resource rent (annual) TR = total annual revenue C = annual non-capital extraction cost (excluding taxes) = annual depreciation rcK = return to produced capital 31 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Valuation ― Net present value Net present value (NPV) is the discounted value of future economic benefits from a given asset • Follows conventions adopted in the System of National Accounts to value capital assets T RR1 NPV t t 1 1 ri where: RR=resource rent T= reserve life, i.e. Closing stock ÷ extraction ri= discount rate 32 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Valuation ― Estimate the stock A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Crude Bitumen 211114 Reserves under active development Physical accounts 4.00% = Discount rate GEOMETRIC Total revenues Total production costs Depreciation Net capital stock $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 CAPP1 CAPP2 Year 1 10,000.00 33 4,000.00 CANSIM 031-00023 100.00 10,000.00 Rate of return Rate of return folder 0.02 Return to capital Total extraction costs Resource rent Opening Stock Additions / Revisions Reserve life Discount factor Net Present Value $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 '000 m³ '000 m³ '000 m³ '000 m³ years % $'000 000 (E*F) (C+D+G) (B-H) (Mt-1) (M-J+L) AER ST984 AER ST984 (M/L) (PV(N$2,N##,-1/N##)) (I*N*O)/1000 200.00 4,300.00 5,700.00 .. 100,000 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada Depletion / Quantity Closing Stock of production 1,000 99,900 99.90 0.25 139.67 2016-07-23 Valuation ― Estimate the rent A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Crude Bitumen 211114 Reserves under active development Physical accounts 4.00% = Discount rate GEOMETRIC Total revenues Total production costs Depreciation Net capital stock $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 CAPP1 CAPP2 Year 1 10,000.00 4,000.00 CANSIM 031-00023 100.00 10,000.00 Rate of return Rate of return folder 0.02 Return to capital Total extraction costs Resource rent Opening Stock Additions / Revisions Reserve life Discount factor Net Present Value $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 '000 m³ '000 m³ '000 m³ '000 m³ years % $'000 000 (E*F) (C+D+G) (B-H) (Mt-1) (M-J+L) AER ST984 AER ST984 (M/L) (PV(N$2,N##,-1/N##)) (I*N*O)/1000 200.00 4,300.00 5,700.00 .. 100,000 Depletion / Quantity Closing Stock of production 1,000 99,900 99.90 0.25 RRI = TR - C - (rcK + ) 139.67 where: RR = resource rent (annual) TR = total annual revenue C = annual non-capital extraction cost (excluding taxes) = annual depreciation rcK = return to produced capital 34 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Valuation ― Net Present Value A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Crude Bitumen 211114 Reserves under active development Physical accounts 4.00% = Discount rate GEOMETRIC Total revenues Total production costs Depreciation Net capital stock $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 CAPP1 CAPP2 Year 1 10,000.00 4,000.00 CANSIM 031-00023 100.00 10,000.00 Rate of return Rate of return folder 0.02 Return to capital Total extraction costs Resource rent Opening Stock Additions / Revisions Reserve life Discount factor Net Present Value $ '000 $ '000 $ '000 '000 m³ '000 m³ '000 m³ '000 m³ years % $'000 000 (E*F) (C+D+G) (B-H) (Mt-1) (M-J+L) AER ST984 AER ST984 (M/L) (PV(N$2,N##,-1/N##)) (I*N*O)/1000 200.00 4,300.00 5,700.00 .. 100,000 Depletion / Quantity Closing Stock of production 1,000 99,900 99.90 0.25 139.67 T RR1 NPV t t 1 1 ri 35 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Data sources: Monetary data Generally, the data in monetary terms come from Statistics Canada. Those data include (but not exclusively): • Value and quantity of production • Capital expenditures • Operating costs (materials and supplies, fuel and electricity, and wages and salaries) • Value of the produced capital stock and the value of the annual depreciation of that stock 36 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Data sources: Physical data Generally, the data in physical terms (mainly reserve estimates) come from Federal and Provincial natural resource departments. Data suppliers include: • • • • Natural Resources Canada Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers Alberta Energy Regulator British Columbia Ministry of Energy, Mines and Petroleum Resources • Manitoba Energy and Mines, Petroleum and Energy Branch • Saskatchewan Department of Energy and Mines 37 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Land Assets The Land Accounts provide information on the cover and the use of Canada’s land Respond to questions like: • • • • What is the distribution and quality of the land? How is land used and what are the trends in this use? How quickly is rural land being converted to urban land? What share of urban land is occupying prime agricultural land? At the moment, only agricultural and built-up land are valued and included in the country’s National Wealth Account • In future we hope to develop methods and estimates for other land types, such as parkland and recreational land 38 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Land use change 39 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Land characteristics 40 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Water stocks 41 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Questions? Questions? Joe St. Lawrence Statistics Canada | 170 Tunney's Pasture Driveway, Ottawa ON K1A 0T6 Statistique Canada | 170, promenade Tunney's Pasture, Ottawa ON K1A 0T6 Joe.St.Lawrence@statcan.gc.ca Telephone | Téléphone 613-882-8598 Facsimile | Télécopieur 613-951-0634 Government of Canada | Gouvernement du Canada 42 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23