Methods of Statistical Analysis and Dissemination of Census Results in Guyana MORGAN CLITUS DIAS SENIOR CARTOGRAPHER BUREAU OF STATISTICS GEORGEOWN,GUYANA BACKGROUND OF THE COUNTRY • • • • • • • • Capital Georgetown Landmass 215,000 Sq km Situated North East Coast of S. A Language English Administrative Regions Ten (10) Ethnicity 6 plus Mixed race (1) = 7 Population 751,223 (2002 Census) Last Census Date September 15, 2002 Presentation Outline This presentation is of a two fold nature: 1. Method of Statistical Analysis used by the Bureau of Statistics for the 2002 Census. 2. Techniques used to disseminate the 2002 Census data. Objectives • to determine the present size and the distribution of the population • to indicate any change in the pattern of the population after the last Census • to compare and document the present status of the population with regard to socio-economic characteristics Objectives (Cont’d) • to present qualitative data of selected socioeconomic characteristics; living and housing conditions of Guyana • used as a tool for immediate and future planning purposes Statistical Methodology The methods use by the Bureau of Statistics to analyze the 2002 census Data consisted of the following: • SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Science) The software was used to extract data for the tabulation of tables (demographics and socio-economic) from the census database for the purpose of analysis. Statistical Methodology (Cont’d) • Mortpak • Mortality The Bureau utilized this software to derive estimations of infant and childhood mortality as the registration information captured from the relevant authority does not reflect a true representation of the mortality status for children five years and under. Statistical Methodology (Cont’d) 2. The indicators derived from this indirect technique based on the census data allowed for comparison between census data and indicators computed from death registration. Statistical Methodology (Cont’d) • Fertility The software allows indirect estimation of the fecundity status of Guyanese women between the ages of 15-49 years. This information is provided for the relevant authority to use the information for decision making. Statistical Analysis • Descriptive Analysis 1. Method of analysis used to assess the 2002 census data to obtain trends and patterns of demographic and socio-economic indicators on the composition of the Guyanese populace. Dissemination • Preliminary Report 1. Preliminary count and composition displaying trends and patterns on the demographics of the population 2. Summary of Data collected from the Visitation Records (VR), which served as a base for policy makers and Data end users Dissemination • Summary Report The second phase of the dissemination process is the publication of the summary report providing general information on core socio-economic topics ( population composition and distribution, mortality fertility etc.) Dissemination • Final Report This report is a detailed expansive “Regional Analysis” coordinated by the CARICOM Secretariat and covers thirteen chapters, such as, national population trends: size, growth and distribution, population composition, population redistribution and internal migration, mortality and fertility patterns, and such likes. Dissemination DevInfo 5.0 • According to the U.N definition DevInfo is a database system use to monitors progress of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG’S). • The database maintains indicators by time periods and geographic areas to monitor commitments to sustained human development. Dissemination • DevInfo was used to generate tables, graphs and maps for presentation of the 2002 Census data to Permanent Secretaries of Line Ministries, UNICEF (Guyana) and in-house. Dissemination • All publications are available electronically via the Bureau of Statistics website at: http://www.statisticsguyana.gov.gy and in print format Challenges • Non Access to the internet by users. • Costly to print the reports • Adequately trained personnel for Data Analysis • Lack of formal training for Statistician in SPSS and Mortpak • Graphical dissemination of the Census Data using GIS technology is not yet available. Conclusion • For many statistical agencies, the internet has become a significant tool to disseminate statistical data to audiences and has become the effective point of contact between National Statistical Offices and its users. International agencies such as United Nations, UNICEF, UNFPA has played an integral role in the dissemination of the census 2002 result as most statistical agencies do not have adequate trained personnel.