STRUCTURAL AND FUNCTIONAL ARTERIAL CHANGES IN HEALTHY WOMEN FOLLOWING PREGNANCY: MATERNAL VASCULAR ADAPTATIONS TO PREGNANCY II STUDY by Mansi Mahir Desai B.S. in Molecular Biochemistry and Biophysics, Illinois Institute of Technology, 2012 Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of Graduate School of Public Health in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Public Health University of Pittsburgh 2015 UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH GRADUATE SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH This essay is submitted by Mansi Mahir Desai on April 21, 2015 and approved by Essay Advisor: Emma Barinas-Mitchell, PhD Assistant Professor Department of Epidemiology Graduate School of Public Health University of Pittsburgh __________________________________________ Essay Reader: Marnie Bertolet, PhD __________________________________________ Assistant Professor Departments of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Clinical and Translational Science Institute Graduate School of Public Health University of Pittsburgh Essay Reader: Janet Catov, PhD __________________________________________ Assistant Professor Departments of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, Epidemiology, and Clinical and Translational Research School of Medicine University of Pittsburgh ii Copyright © by Mansi M. Desai 2015 iii Emma Barinas-Mitchell, PhD STRUCTURAL AND FUNCTIONAL ARTERIAL CHANGES IN HEALTHY WOMEN FOLLOWING PREGNANCY: MATERNAL VASCULAR ADAPTATIONS TO PREGNANCY II STUDY Mansi M. Desai, MPH University of Pittsburgh, 2015 ABSTRACT Background: Parity is associated with increased maternal risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a J-shaped fashion. Vascular adaptation to changes during pregnancy may be an indicator of future CVD risk. The literature indicates that pregnancy results in an increase in common carotid artery inter-adventitial diameter (CCA IAD) and intima-media thickness (CCA IMT), markers of vascular aging and future CVD risk. These changes were found to recede early postpartum, although not consistently and not back to pre-pregnancy levels. This study aims to determine whether vascular changes during pregnancy persist beyond the initial postpartum period. Methods: This study is a follow-up to a prospective study that assessed vascular health in a cohort of 43 healthy women during each trimester of their first pregnancy and 6-8 weeks postpartum. Data on physical measures, biomarker assays, pregnancy outcomes, and health history were collected 1-5 years following the index birth. B-mode ultrasound was used to measure CCA IAD and CCA IMT. Paired t-tests and multivariable linear regression were used to assess changes in vascular measures. iv Results: Sixteen participants with mean age 32.4 years completed the second postpartum visit. The average time from index delivery was 2.7 years. Unadjusted mean CCA IAD slightly decreased and CCA IMT increased at the second postpartum visit compared to the first postpartum and first trimester visits; these changes were not statistically significant. Long-term postpartum, larger CCA IAD was associated with higher blood pressure whereas thicker CCA IMT was associated with less time since index birth, greater weight change, less time breastfeeding, and lower insulin resistance (p<0.05). Conclusions: Markers of vascular aging did not improve further out postpartum compared to the early postpartum period. Persistence of vascular effects of pregnancy may suggest a possible mechanism linking increased CVD risk with parity. Public Health Significance: CVD is the leading cause of death in women. Increased understanding of vascular adaptation during pregnancy may help explain differential future CVD risk with parity and inform early detection of women at increased CVD risk long-term. Prolonged breastfeeding and weight management during pregnancy may be potential lifestyle modifications for women to decrease their future CVD risk. v TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE .................................................................................................................................... IX 1.0 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................ 1 2.0 MATERIALS AND METHODS ........................................................................................ 3 3.0 4.0 2.1 STUDY DESIGN AND POPULATION ................................................................ 3 2.2 ULTRASOUND ASSESSMENT OF THE COMMON CAROTID ARTERY .. 4 2.3 PREGNANCY HISTORY AND CVD RISK FACTORS .................................... 5 2.4 POWER CALCULATION ..................................................................................... 7 2.5 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ................................................................................... 7 RESULTS ............................................................................................................................. 9 3.1 SUBJECT CHARACTERISTICS.......................................................................... 9 3.2 KEY VASCULAR MEASURES ............................................................................ 9 3.3 ADDITIONAL ANALYSES ................................................................................. 11 DISCUSSION ..................................................................................................................... 18 APPENDIX: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES AND FIGURES ............................................. 24 BIBLIOGRAPHY ....................................................................................................................... 28 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Characteristics of the study population at the second postpartum visit .......................... 12 Table 2. Unadjusted values for vascular measures and key time-varying covariates by visit ...... 13 Table 3. Vascular measures at second postpartum visit by categories of pregnancy-related covariates ...................................................................................................................................... 14 Table 4. Adventitial diameter models adjusted for individual predictors at second postpartum visit ............................................................................................................................................... 15 Table 5. Intima-media thickness models adjusted for individual predictors at second postpartum visit ............................................................................................................................................... 16 Supplementary Table 1. Baseline demographic characteristics of MVP participants who attended compared to those who did not attend second postpartum visit ................................................... 24 Supplementary Table 2. Correlations between major outcome variables and other covariates at second postpartum visit................................................................................................................. 25 vii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Flowchart of the study population ................................................................................... 3 Figure 2. Ultrasound Image of CCA ............................................................................................... 4 Figure 3. Changes in CCA inter-adventitial diameter by visit...................................................... 17 Figure 4. Changes in CCA intima-media thickness by visit ......................................................... 17 Supplementary Figure 1. Changes in CCA inter-adventitial diameter for MVP II participants throughout and after pregnancy .................................................................................................... 26 Supplementary Figure 2. Changes in CCA inter-adventitial diameter for all MVP participants throughout and after pregnancy .................................................................................................... 26 Supplementary Figure 3. Changes in CCA intima-media thickness for MVP II participants throughout and after pregnancy .................................................................................................... 27 Supplementary Figure 4. Changes in CCA intima-media thickness for all MVP participants throughout and after pregnancy .................................................................................................... 27 viii PREFACE Sixteen months ago, while discussing with my advisor the several options I could pursue for my master’s internship, the Maternal Vascular Adaptations to Pregnancy II study was born. What seemed like an over-ambitious goal and a long journey could not be accomplished without the help of many people. I am very thankful to my advisor and mentor Emma Barinas-Mitchell who stood by me every step of the way. You have set an example of excellence as a researcher, mentor, and role model. I greatly appreciate all the help from Nancy Niemczyk; without your previous work, this study would not have existed. I am thankful to my mentor Marnie Bertolet for her statistical expertise and support at all times. I would like to thank my essay readers and co-investigators; your constant feedback and encouragement has been absolutely invaluable. I would like to thank all the staff of the Ultrasound Research Laboratory, Health Studies Research Clinic, and Heinz Nutrition Laboratory for their help, support, and for being so flexible with the needs of this study. I am very grateful to all the study participants, who despite the unpredictable weather and young babies, made it to the study visits. I would especially like to thank my amazing family for the love, support, and constant encouragement. In particular, I would like to thank my husband, parents, in-laws and sister. You are the sunshine of my life, and I could not have done this without you. ix Finally, I would like to dedicate this work to my husband, Mahir, for his remarkable patience, unwavering support, and motivation throughout my graduate program. Thank you for always being there for me. x 1.0 INTRODUCTION Maternal cardiovascular disease risk rises with increased parity in a J-shaped fashion with 2 births representing the nadir of risk 16,24,25 , however the mechanism for this increased risk is unknown. Some of the increased risk may be attributed to behavioral and socioeconomic risk factors related to increased parity.16 In addition, pregnancy may unmask an underlying cardiovascular disease (CVD) susceptibility in some women due to increased stress on the cardiovascular system, with each pregnancy potentially adding to increased cumulative risk.16 The cardiovascular demands of a normal pregnancy are substantial and vascular remodeling is required to handle the increased circulating fluid volume. During a healthy pregnancy, uterine vasculature remodels in response to a stimuli of hemodynamic, hormonal, and metabolic changes.27 Hemodynamic changes starting early in pregnancy include an increase in heart rate, cardiac output and stroke volume; sodium and water retention, which leads to increased blood volume; and decreased blood pressure and systemic vascular resistance.17,18 Hormonal changes during pregnancy include an increase in estrogen, progesterone, testosterone and maternal cortisol concentrations.19,20 Metabolic changes during pregnancy include increased insulin21, triglyceride22, lipid22, and C-reactive protein23 concentrations. Although not well-understood, results from small studies suggest that during pregnancy, systemic arteries adapt to these changes in a similar fashion to the uterine vasculature12,14,17. How the systemic vasculature adapts to these changes during pregnancy may be an indicator of future CVD risk. Furthermore, many pregnancy complications have a vascular component.38-41 Better understanding of the effects of pregnancy on the systemic arteries may lead to early detection of women for pregnancy complications and CVD risk, and help explain the differences in cardiovascular risk found in women of different parity.12 1 A small number of studies13-15,26 have examined changes in systemic arteries during the course of normal pregnancy, and found that pregnancy results in increased common carotid artery (CCA) intima-media thickness (IMT) and inter-adventitial diameter (IAD), markers of vascular aging30,33 and future CVD risk26,36,37. These changes were found to recede postpartum, although not consistently and not back to pre-pregnancy levels.13-15,26 Many of these studies have been limited by lack of serial vasculature26 and biomarker13-15,26 measures throughout normal pregnancy and later postpartum, and use of less well-established techniques to assess changes in the vasculature14.The Maternal Vascular Adaptations to Healthy Pregnancy (MVP) study prospectively assessed vascular health in a cohort of 43 healthy women during each trimester of their first pregnancy and 6-8 weeks postpartum.12 Consistent with existing literature, the MVP study found that in uncomplicated first pregnancies, some vascular changes resolved (increased CCA IAD) and others persisted (increased CCA IMT) 6-8 weeks postpartum.12 This persistence may be because 6-8 weeks postpartum does not represent adequate time to return to baseline. It remains to be explored if this persistence of vascular effects of pregnancy indicates long-term cardiovascular disease risk.12 If the increased CCA IMT identified in the MVP study persists long-term, it could be a mechanism by which parity contributes to greater CVD risk. Thus, the aim of this study was to bring back MVP participants for a second postpartum visit to determine whether the vascular change that occurs during pregnancy, increased CCA IMT, persists beyond the initial postpartum period. We hypothesized that: 1) CCA IAD would decrease long-term postpartum as compared to 6-8 weeks postpartum and 2) CCA IMT would decrease long-term postpartum as compared to 6-8 weeks postpartum. Our secondary hypotheses were that: 1) CCA IAD would decrease long-term postpartum as compared to first trimester 2 (baseline) and 2) CCA IMT would decrease long-term postpartum as compared to first trimester (baseline). 2.0 MATERIALS AND METHODS 2.1 Study Design and Population The Maternal Vascular Adaptations to Pregnancy II (MVP II) study is a follow-up study to the MVP study. MVP study visits were scheduled at 12-14 weeks, 24-26 weeks and 36-38 weeks of pregnancy, and then at 6-8 week postpartum. The MVP II study visit took place between 1 and 5 years after the index delivery. This is the second postpartum visit for the MVP study participants. 44 women enrolled in MVP Study 1 dropout 43 eligible MVP women 4 lost to follow-up 14 moved out of Pittsburgh 4 pregnant 2 had pregnancy outcomes within last 4 months 19 eligible for MVP II study visit 3 withdrawals MVP II study (n=16) Figure 1. Flowchart of the study population 3 Inclusion criteria for this study included: 1) prior participation in the MVP study; 2) at least 4 months since last pregnancy outcome; and 3) at least 1 to 5 years since index delivery. The participants were excluded if they: 1) were currently pregnant; 2) moved out of Pittsburgh area; or 3) were lost to follow-up. Thus, 19 women remained eligible for the MVP II study of which 3 withdrew from the study, leaving 16 women in the final evaluation (Figure 1). MVP II participants thus included a total of 16 healthy women, age 23-37 years, currently non-smoking, and with up to 2 additional pregnancies since their index delivery. All participants signed an informed consent document approved by the University of Pittsburgh Institutional Review Board. The visit included questionnaires to access pregnancy-related factors, physical measurements, and B-mode carotid ultrasound scans, performed by the research staff. Study visits were conducted between September 2014 and March 2015. 2.2 Ultrasound Assessment of the Common Carotid Artery IAD IMT Figure 2. Ultrasound Image of CCA 4 Bilateral images of the CCA were obtained by a certified vascular sonographer via B-mode ultrasound using an Acuson Cypress portable ultrasound machine (Siemens Medical Solutions, Malvern, PA) equipped with a 7L3 linear transducer. Images were taken from the near and far walls of the distal CCA (1 cm proximal to the carotid bulb) and all images were read centrally at the Ultrasound Research Laboratory (University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA). CCA IMT measures were electronically traced between the lumen-intima interface and the media-adventitia interface across the 1 cm segment using a semi-automated reading software (AMS system developed in Sweden by Dr. Thomas Gustavsson).1 The mean of the near and far wall IMT measurements from the left and right CCA comprises the average CCA IMT. The CCA IAD was measured from the same 1 cm CCA segment as the average distance between the adventitialmedial interface on the near wall and the medial-adventitial interface on the far wall (Figure 2). Reproducibility of CCA IMT measures was good to excellent with an intra-class correlation coefficient within sonographer of 0.85 and within reader of > 0.96. These scanning and reading protocols have been used in numerous studies.2-4 2.3 Pregnancy History and CVD Risk Factors Study Forms. At the second postpartum study visit, participants completed a self-administered interval health history form with information on smoking, diabetes, health conditions, medications, breastfeeding, number of pregnancies, and contraceptive use. Participants reported whether they were currently breastfeeding and the time (in months) they breastfed each of their babies. Cumulative breastfeeding was calculated as a sum of total time (in months) of breastfeeding by each participant. Participants then completed a self-administered pregnancy outcomes form for each subsequent pregnancy since the last MVP visit including information 5 such as outcome of pregnancy, date of outcome, gestational age, birth weight and length, complications, and duration of breastfeeding. Physical Measures. Research staff palpated the right radial pulse for 30 seconds and then measured blood pressure in that arm using a mercury sphygmomanometer after the participants rested for 5 minutes in a quiet room. Three measurements were taken according to a standardized protocol, and the average of the last two measures was used for the analysis. Research staff then weighed the participants on a standard balance scale twice, and the average of the readings was used for the analysis. Lastly, the research staff took two measurements each of the waist and the hip circumference with a tape measure according to a standardized protocol, and the average of each was used to calculate the waist-to-hip ratio. Data Management Tool. Data on physical measures and from study forms were managed using REDCap (Research Electronic Data Capture) hosted at the University of Pittsburgh.11 REDCap is a secure, web-based application designed to support data capture for research studies.11 Biochemical Assays. A 30 ml venous blood sample was collected from each participant at the study visit. After collection, the samples were kept at room temperature for ~0.5 h before being centrifuged at 4ºC for 15 minutes at 1500 g. These fasting serum samples were delivered on dry ice to the Heinz Nutrition Laboratory (University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, PA) where assays were performed. Standard laboratory procedures were used to determine the blood glucose,5 total cholesterol,6 high density lipoprotein (HDL-c),7 low density lipoprotein (LDL-c),8 and triglyceride9 levels. Insulin was measured using standard radioimmune assay (Linco Research, St. Charles, MO). HOMA-IR, a measure of insulin resistance, was calculated as (glucose x insulin)/405 for the purposes of analysis.10 High-sensitivity C- 6 reactive protein (hsCRP) was measured with an enzyme-linked immunoassay (Alpha Diagnostics International, Inc. San Antonio, TX). 2.4 Power calculation A statistical power analyses was performed to estimate the smallest detectable difference in vascular outcomes between the first and second postpartum visits, based on results from the MVP study (n=43). The mean standard deviation of differences in CCA IAD ranged from 0.16 to 0.67 mm and the mean standard deviation of differences in CCA IMT ranged from 0.02 to 0.09 mm between the various time-points of the MVP study12. Using a two-sided two-sample paired ttest for 16 participants with an alpha of 0.05 and power of 80%, the smallest detectable difference in CCA IAD was calculated to be in the range of 0.112 to 0.469 mm and the smallest detectable difference in CCA IMT was calculated to be in the range of 0.014 to 0.063 mm. Since the number of participants in our study is very small, the detectable effect sizes for statistical significance for each of the vascular outcomes are quite large. Thus, this study can be seen as a pilot study to determine effect sizes for sample calculations for future studies. 2.5 Statistical Analysis For descriptive purposes, data are presented as mean (standard deviation) for normally distributed continuous variables, median [Q1, Q3] for continuous variables not normally distributed, and as n (%) for categorical variables. For parametric analyses, variables were transformed as needed to meet model assumptions. Paired t-tests of mean differences were used separately for CCA IAD and CCA IMT to 1) estimate mean differences for CCA IAD and CCA IMT between first (6-8 weeks) postpartum visit and second (1-5 years) postpartum visit; and 2) estimate mean differences for CCA IAD and CCA IMT between first trimester visit and second postpartum visit. Ordinary least squares regression was used to assess the carotid artery outcome 7 measures at the second postpartum visit by categories of important CVD risk factors and pregnancy-related covariates. Correlations between the outcome measures and normally distributed covariates at the second postpartum visit were assessed using Pearson correlation test. Based on the literature, MVP study trends, and correlations and significance in our analyses, we picked the variables with the strongest significant associations with each vascular measure to be included in base models for the vascular measures. The base model for CCA IAD included current age and systolic blood pressure whereas the base model for CCA IMT included weight change from pre-pregnancy to second postpartum visit. The relationship between vascular measures CCA IAD and CCA IMT, time since index delivery (months), and other key predictors was evaluated by multivariable linear regression analysis. A stepwise regression approach was used to find the ‘best’ set of predictors for each vascular measure (p-value for removal = 0.2). Key predictors, including weight change, waist-to-hip ratio, triglycerides, hsCRP, systolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, insulin, HDL-c, LDL-c, total cholesterol, time since last visit, smoking, breastfeeding, use of hormonal birth control, and parity, were included simultaneously to the base model for each vascular measure. Lower akaike information criterion, lower mean-squared error of prediction, and higher overall model significance were used as criteria to compare the performance of these multivariable models. The full models for each vascular measure were then adjusted for the other measure since both CCA IAD and CCA IMT are highly correlated measures that affect each other. Sensitivity analyses were performed 1) excluding women with pregnancy complications; and 2) including only women with all visits. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS statistical software release 9.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) and STATA statistical software release 13 (StateCorp LP., College Station, TX). Two-tailed p-values of <0.05 were considered statistically significant. 8 3.0 RESULTS 3.1 Subject Characteristics Of the 16 participants who completed the second postpartum visit, 8 completed all study visits and 3 had complications during their MVP pregnancy. Participants who returned for the second postpartum visit were predominantly white, married or living as married, well-educated, and employed. No significant differences were seen between participants who returned for the second postpartum visit (n=16) and those who did not (n=27) (Supplementary Table 1). Important characteristics of the study population (n=16) at the second postpartum visit are shown in Table 1. These participants had an average age of 32.4 ± 4.4 years and an average body-mass index of 25.6 ± 3.1 kg/m2. Since the first postpartum visit 50% of the participants had additional pregnancies since their first birth (6 participants had 1 and 2 participants had 2 additional pregnancies), 44% were currently breastfeeding, 31% were currently using hormonal birth control, and 56% were overweight or obese at the time of the visit. The mean time since the index delivery was 32.6 ± 9.5 months. 3.2 Key vascular measures Table 2 shows the mean (SD) for the vascular measures and key time-varying covariates at the first trimester, first (6-8 weeks) postpartum, and second postpartum visits. Heart rate and triglyceride and the HDL-c concentrations significantly changed between the first trimester and the second postpartum visit. No covariates changed significantly between the first postpartum and the second postpartum visit. Mean CCA IAD slightly decreased from 6.45 ± 0.28 mm at first trimester and 6.42 ± 0.32 mm at 6-8 weeks postpartum to 6.38 ± 0.42 mm at the second postpartum visit (Table 2). No statistically significant differences were seen in the CCA IAD values between the second postpartum and the first postpartum or first trimester visit. These 9 values changed but remained non-significant after adjustment for current age and systolic blood pressure (Figure 3). Mean CCA IMT increased from 0.55 ± 0.04 mm at first trimester and 0.56 ± 0.05 mm at 6-8 weeks postpartum to 0.58 ± 0.05 mm at the second postpartum visit (Table 2), although there were no statistically significant differences in CCA IMT values between the second postpartum and the first postpartum or first trimester visit. These values changed but remained non-significant after adjustment for weight change (Figure 4). The beta-coefficients (p-values) for pregnancy-related categorical covariates were calculated using ordinary least squares linear regression (Table 3). Unadjusted CCA IAD was higher with lower parity. Adjusting for current age and systolic blood pressure, CCA IAD was higher with no complications during index pregnancy and less time breastfeeding, although statistically significant differences were not observed for any of these categories. Unadjusted CCA IMT did not statistically differ by categories of pregnancy-related covariates. Although not statistically significant, after adjusting for weight change, CCA IMT was thinner with current use of hormonal birth control. We explored whether individual CVD risk factors or pregnancy-related factors may explain CCA IAD and CCA IMT at the second postpartum visit. Pearson correlations between the major outcome measures and other covariates at the second postpartum visit are reported in Supplementary Table 2 (Appendix). Systolic and diastolic blood pressures were significantly positively associated with CCA IAD at the second postpartum visit. Similar associations were seen when adjusted for current age. CCA IMT was significantly positively associated with CCA IAD when adjusted for current age and systolic blood pressure (Supplementary Table 2). Higher systolic blood pressure was significantly associated with CCA IAD in all multivariable models, whereas current age, time since index birth, and weight change were not (Table 4). Neither 10 cumulative breastfeeding nor parity were associated with CCA IAD. When CCA IMT was included in the full model for CCA IAD, higher CCA IAD remained significantly associated with higher systolic blood pressure and the results did not change significantly (data not shown). Weight change was significantly positively associated with CCA IMT at the second postpartum visit. Significant negative associations with CCA IMT were observed for time since index birth and time since first postpartum visit, when adjusted for weight change (Supplementary Table 2). CCA IAD was borderline significantly (p = 0.08) positively associated with CCA IMT (Supplementary Table 2). In the multivariable models, both weight change and time since first birth significantly predicted CCA IMT at the second postpartum visit (Table 5). When current breastfeeding and log HOMA were added to the model, they were significantly associated with CCA IMT adjusting for log hsCRP. When CCA IAD was included to the full model for CCA IMT, higher CCA IMT remained significantly associated with only weight gain and lesser time since first birth (data not shown). Results from sensitivity analyses including only those women without pregnancy complications and only those women who completed all the study visits were consistent with the main results (data not shown). 3.3 Additional Analyses Changes in CCA IAD throughout pregnancy and postpartum for MVP II (n=16) participants and all MVP (n=43) participants are shown in Supplementary Figures 1 and 2 (Appendix). Second and third trimester CCA IAD values are significantly different when compared to the second postpartum visit. Changes in CCA IMT throughout pregnancy and postpartum for MVP II (n=16) participants and all MVP (n=43) participants are shown in Supplementary Figures 3 and 4 (Appendix). No significant differences are seen in CCA IMT values for all visits compared to the second postpartum visit. 11 Table 1. Characteristics of the study population at second postpartum visit (n=16) Characteristics Descriptive Current age, years 32.44 ± 4.43 Total parity 1 ≥2 Time since index birth, months 50.0% (8) 50.0% (8) 32.55 ± 9.47 Time since last pregnancy, months 19.05 ± 13.46 Current body-mass index, kg/m2 25.61 ± 3.12 Complications during index pregnancy 18.7% (3) Body-mass index, kg/m2 18.5 – 24.9 (normal) 25.0 – 29.9 (overweight) ≥ 30.0 (obese) Waist-to-hip ratio 43.8% (7) 50.0% (8) 6.2% (1) 0.81 ± 0.09 Smoking habits Never smoker Ever smoker Currently breastfeeding 62.5% (10) 37.5% (6) 43.7% (7) Cumulative breastfeeding, months 19.78 ± 11.24 Cumulative breastfeeding 0-6 months ≥ 6 months Currently using hormonal birth control 18.7% (3) 81.3% (13) 31.2% (5) Continuous variables presented as mean ± SD and categorical variables presented as % (n) 12 Table 2. Unadjusted values for vascular measures and key time-varying covariates by visit Trimester 1 visit (n=8) Postpartum I (n = 16) Postpartum II (n = 16) 6.38 (0.42) p-value (Trimester 1 vs. Postpartum II) 0.38 p-value (Postpartum I vs. Postpartum II) 0.45 CCA inter-adventitial diameter (mm) 6.45 (0.28) 6.42 (0.32) CCA intima-media thickness (mm) 0.551 (0.04) 0.561 (0.05) 0.579 (0.05) 0.47 0.17 Weight (kg) 68.90 (8.86) 70.85 (7.75) 69.79 (7.43) 0.69 0.22 Weight change (kg) -0.10 (1.83) 3.36 [2.23,5.45] 2.97 (4.58) 0.69 0.22 Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) 104.69 (6.09) 107.06 (9.66) 103.38 (9.04) 0.69 0.14 Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) 64.94 (5.28) 69.50 (6.04) 67.38 (7.49) 0.30 0.10 Heart rate (bpm) 79.38 (11.92) 69.00 (9.22) 64.69 (8.35) 0.08 Cardiac output (L/min) 5.39 (1.04) 4.47 (0.55) 4.66 (0.59) 0.01* 0.07 Total cholesterol (mg/L) 195.43 (33.57) 199.75 (30.99) 192.00 (28.62) 0.38 0.22 LDL-c (mg/dl) 105.60 (23.84) 121.05 (28.07) 117.81 (23.34) 0.15 0.59 Triglycerides (mg/dl) 122.14 (41.68) 84.0 [64.0,121.0] 85.19 (37.13) 0.01* 0.26 HDL-c (mg/dl) 65.34 (8.53) 59.33 (9.75) 57.26 (11.51) 0.45 Glucose (mg/dl) 78.0 [75.0,86.0] 84.56 (6.98) 87.56 (7.38) 0.02* 0.23 Insulin (µU/ml) 9.94 (3.82) 9.77 (3.09) 10.59 (3.13) 0.23# 0.40 HOMA-IR 2.00 (0.95) 2.06 (0.75) 2.31 (0.79) 0.61 0.32 hsCRP (mg/L) 3.9 [2.16,6.82] 1.42 [0.93,3.71] 1.03 [0.58,1.44] 0.13# 0.21# 0.24 0.13 Continuous normal variables presented as mean (SD); non-normal variables presented as median [Q1, Q3] 2-sided p-values for paired t-test (of mean differences) are reported for normal differences; *p<0.05 is considered significant # 2-sided p-values for sign rank test (of medians) are reported for non-normal differences and non-symmetric populations; p<0.05 is considered significant 13 Table 3. Vascular measures at second postpartum visit by categories of pregnancy-related covariates (n=16) Characteristics Complications during index pregnancy No Yes Total parity 1 2+ Body-mass index, kg/m2 18.5 – 24.9 (normal) 25.0 – 30.0+(overweight or obese) Smoking habits Never smoker Ever smoker Currently breastfeeding No Yes Cumulative breastfeeding 0-6 months ≥ 6 months Current use of hormonal birth control No Yes Inter-adventitial diameter Intima-media thickness Unadjusted Adjusted for current age and SBP Unadjusted Adjusted for weight change Reference -0.37 (0.18) Reference -0.34 (0.06) Reference -0.05 (0.14) Reference -0.03 (0.36) Reference -0.35 (0.09) Reference -0.12 (0.46) Reference 0.01 (0.73) Reference 0.01 (0.65) Reference -0.12 (0.60) Reference 0.02 (0.88) Reference 0.02 (0.45) Reference -0.001 (0.96) Reference -0.08 (0.72) Reference -0.11 (0.50) Reference 0.01 (0.64) Reference -0.01 (0.60) Reference -0.33 (0.11) Reference -0.19 (0.23) Reference -0.04 (0.16) Reference -0.01 (0.74) Reference -0.34 (0.22) Reference -0.33 (0.09) Reference -0.03 (0.46) Reference -0.01 (0.73) Reference -0.15 (0.54) Reference -0.09 (0.60) Reference -0.04 (0.23) Reference -0.04 (0.10) Categorical variable descriptives presented as % (n) Beta coefficient (p-value) reported for each model using ordinary least squares linear regression; No statistical significance observed (p>0.05) 14 Table 4. Adventitial diameter models adjusted for individual predictors at second postpartum visit (n=16) Model 1 (base model) 3.87 (<0.01) 4.01 (<0.01) 3.75 (<0.01) 3.80 (0.01) Model 5 (full model) 3.45 (<0.01) -0.04 (0.06) -0.03 (0.09) -0.03 (0.13) -0.03 (0.09) -0.03 (0.13) 0.04 (<0.01) 0.04 (<0.01) 0.04 (<0.01) 0.04 (<0.01) 0.04 (<0.01) Time since first birth (mo) - -0.01 (0.30) -0.01 (0.27) -0.01 (0.14) -0.02 (0.10) Weight change (kg) - - 0.02 (0.30) 0.02 (0.34) 0.02 (0.29) Cumulative breastfeeding (mo) - - - -0.01 (0.37) - Log hsCRP (mg/L) - - - 0.16 (0.13) 0.19 (0.09) Parity (1 vs. ≥2) - - - - -0.22 (0.25) Overall model p-value 0.003* 0.007* 0.012* 0.024* 0.019* Adjusted correlation coefficient (R2) 0.5241 0.5301 0.5373 0.5720 0.6252 Intercept Current age (years) Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) Model 2 Model 3 Values presented as beta-coefficients (p-value); * overall p-values < 0.05 are considered significant. 15 Model 4 Table 5. Intima-media thickness models adjusted for individual predictors at second postpartum visit (n=16) Model 1 (base model) Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 (full model) Intercept 0.56 (<0.01) 0.64 (<0.01) 0.50 (<0.01) 0.76 (<0.01) Weight change (kg) 0.01 (0.04) 0.01 (0.02) 0.004 (0.06) 0.01 (0.02) Time since first birth (mo) - -0.002 (0.04) -0.002 (0.06) -0.003 (0.03) Current weight (kg) - - 0.002 (0.22) - Cumulative breastfeeding (mo) - - - -0.002 (0.05) Log HOMA - - - -0.07 (0.04) Log hsCRP (mg/L) - - - 0.02 (0.08) Overall model p-value 0.043* 0.017* 0.024* 0.019* Adjusted correlation coefficient (R2) 0.2081 0.3845 0.4147 0.5434 Values presented as beta-coefficients (p-value); * overall p-values < 0.05 are considered significant. 16 6 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.8 7 7.2 Mean adjusted CCA IAD by visit Trimester 1 Postpartum I Postpartum II Figure 3. Changes in CCA inter-adventitial diameter by visit (n=16) *All comparisons non-significant at p>0.05, Adjusted for current age and systolic blood pressure .54 .56 .58 .6 Mean adjusted CCA IMT by visit Trimester 1 Postpartum I Postpartum II Figure 4. Changes in CCA intima-media thickness by visit (n=16) *All comparisons non-significant at p>0.05, Adjusted for weight change. 17 4.0 DISCUSSION This study evaluated the course of vascular remodeling that occurs long-term postpartum after a healthy pregnancy. We found that the vascular changes in the CCA seen during the MVP study, namely an increase in CCA IMT and the return to baseline of the CCA IAD, both persisted long-term. CCA IAD was similar in the initial and long-term postpartum visits. Although not statistically significant, CCA IMT appeared to thicken during the postpartum period. Contrary to our hypothesis, markers of vascular aging did not improve further out postpartum compared to the early postpartum period. Long-term postpartum, larger CCA IAD was associated with higher blood pressure, and thicker CCA IMT was associated with less time since index birth, greater weight gain, less time breastfeeding, and lower insulin resistance. Pregnancy is a time of dramatic hemodynamic changes that affect the vasculature during pregnancy and may also have long-term effects.18,29,31 Acute changes including increased cardiac output lead to arterial dilation.12,29 This increase in diameter may lead to intimal medial thickening as a way of normalizing shear and tensile strength on the blood vessel.17,18,29 This is consistent with MVP study findings of increased CCA IMT during pregnancy and early postpartum.12 However, in our study CCA IMT did not return to baseline long-term postpartum as hypothesized, which may be partially explained by subsequent pregnancies. In our sample, 50% of the women had additional pregnancies following the index birth. More acute vascular remodeling from subsequent pregnancies following the index birth, some of them being as close as 5 months to the second postpartum visit date, may mask the vessel walls’ return to baseline and may explain the observed increased wall thickness at the second postpartum visit. 18 As in non-pregnant adults33, we found that inter-adventitial diameter was significantly associated with higher systolic blood pressure, a risk factor for CVD. This might represent an adaptive response to the greater tensile strength on the common carotid artery. We found that unadjusted CCA IAD was higher (borderline statistically significant) for women with 1 child compared to women with more than 2 children. This may be due to the fact that women with more than 2 children were currently breastfeeding which may have a protective effect on the vascular measure of CCA IAD as previously reported in the literature34, although in our study current breastfeeding status was not statistically associated with CCA IAD. Since CCA IAD is a result of acute changes during pregnancy, we ran the multivariable models for CCA IAD including time since last pregnancy instead of time since MVP birth (data not shown). CCA IAD decreased with more time since last birth as expected suggesting that the vasculature of these women is still remodeling long-term postpartum. Although CCA IMT did not decrease as hypothesized, our multivariable models suggest that CCA IMT was thicker with less time since index birth adjusting for weight change, duration of breastfeeding, insulin resistance, and C-reactive protein. Since CCA IMT may change more gradually after pregnancy compared to CCA IAD and time since last birth was not associated with CCA IMT, we chose not to run these models with time since last birth. The association between CCA IMT and less time since index birth is consistent with slower changes in IMT and potential cumulative effects of subsequent pregnancies. It would be expected that CCA IMT would be thicker closer to the pregnancy in order to normalize stresses on the arterial wall and as an adaptation to changes in arterial diameter. We found that certain pregnancy-related factors, like weight gain, persist long-term postpartum and may account for the thicker CCA IMT and 19 may potentially accumulate with each pregnancy. The increased weight may have served as a surrogate for the increased blood volume12 due to subsequent pregnancies. We also found that lower breastfeeding is associated with thicker CCA IMT. This is consistent with results by Schwarz et al.34 who found that mothers who do not breastfeed have vascular characteristics associated with a greater CVD risk. To the best of our knowledge, our study is the first to establish an association between duration of recent breastfeeding by women and their current CCA IMT values. Our results add to the existing literature that lactation may help resolve the vascular adaptations and fat accumulation associated with pregnancy.16 However, our findings are limited by the measure of lactation used in the study since we did not include a measure of exclusive breastfeeding. Our study also suggests that metabolic changes did not explain the postpartum thickening of CCA IMT. Contrary to previous literature35, we found that lower insulin resistance was significantly associated with thicker CCA IMT adjusting for hsCRP. This finding is counterintuitive and other studies need to explore this further. Our findings complement prior studies that have demonstrated that the vascular remodeling of pregnancy persists in healthy women.13,15,26,28 In contrast, Akhter et al.14 found that the CCA intima to media (I/M) ratio decreased (healthier arteries) by one year postpartum. It is difficult to compare our results to the study by Akhter et al. since they used I/M ratio, a vascular measure which is not widely accepted in the field of CVD and vascular imaging.14 Mersich et al.13 followed the participants only to 12 weeks postpartum, Visontai et al.15 followed their participants up to 6 months postpartum, and Clapp et al.28 followed their participants to 1 year postpartum. Our study is the first study to follow the participants throughout their course of pregnancy and up to 4 years after pregnancy (with a median follow-up of 2.5 years after first birth). 20 Our finding that CCA IMT increased long-term postpartum could potentially help explain the increase in CVD risk that occurs in women of higher parity.16,24,25 Greater CCA IMT is an established risk factor for CVD because thickened arteries are less capable of effectively responding to changes in blood pressure29 and are more prone to development of atherosclerosis.28,30 While several studies have identified increased CVD risk with parity16,24,25, it is unknown if the increase in CVD risk is caused by persistence of acute vascular changes of pregnancy or by accumulation of CVD risk factors that occurs with subsequent pregnancies.12 Our study might suggest that an acute pregnancy change and its persistence well after pregnancy, thickened CCA IMT, may contribute to higher future maternal CVD risk. Triglyceride levels significantly changed between first trimester and second postpartum visit which reflects the wellestablished changes that occur very early in pregnancy from the non-pregnancy values.42 The significant change in HDL-c levels between first trimester and second postpartum visit need to be explored further. However, lipid concentrations did not appear to be related to long-term postpartum vascular measures. The findings of this study need to be considered in the context of its strengths and limitations. The strengths of our study include the use of a highly valid and reproducible measure of carotid structure and the detailed data collection of various pregnancy-related covariates like time of total breastfeeding, use of hormonal birth control, and data on each subsequent pregnancy and health history since the first pregnancy. This follow-up study adds a one to five year follow-up to the MVP study, allowing for a more complete understanding of vascular adaptations during normal pregnancy and further out postpartum than previously published studies. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that has prospectively assessed vascular adaptations in systemic arteries during, and for a long period of time after pregnancy. 21 Persistence of vascular effects of pregnancy may indicate long-term CVD risk and might suggest a possible mechanism behind increased CVD risk with increased parity. However, several limitations should also be acknowledged. A key limitation is the loss to follow-up of participants and the resulting small sample size (n=16) for the follow-up visit. The small sample size may be a major reason for statistically insignificant changes in CCA IMT during the second postpartum visit compared to the first postpartum and first trimester visits. This might also be the reason for not observing statistically significant differences in the vascular outcomes by categories of covariates (Table 3) and for the lack of statistically significant differences between visits for CVD risk factors and other important pregnancy-related covariates (Table 2). The small sample size may have limited extensive exploration of the effects of potentially confounding variables such as subsequent pregnancies and pregnancy complications. Although the largely white, well-educated women in this cohort may not be representative of the general population reducing the generalizability of the study results, this study has utility as providing a basis against which systemic arterial remodeling in other population-based cohorts can be assessed. Some of the pregnancy and health-related data is collected by self-report from the participants, and may introduce some bias in the study. The first trimester visit (12-14 weeks of pregnancy) is assumed to be a baseline for our secondary hypotheses. Since significant hemodynamic changes of pregnancy begin as early as week 5 of gestation17, the first trimester values might not represent a true pre-pregnancy baseline. Because of relatively small size of the cohort, this study should be considered as a pilot study, and suggests a need for larger studies with a population-based sample of participants. We think that the effect sizes observed in this study might be clinically relevant, and this needs to be explored using larger studies. 22 To understand the trajectory of CVD risk after pregnancy, more studies are needed to measure CVD risk factors among participants before, during, and beyond pregnancy. Larger cohort studies are needed to establish whether changes in the vasculature after pregnancy account for higher CVD risk in women of higher parity and may help identify women at increased risk later in life. Studies can use the data presented here as a basis for assessing differences in vascular adaptation among women of different socio-economic status and different races, overweight or obese population, and women experiencing pregnancy complications. This study provides baseline data for future prospective studies to help determine when arterial changes in pregnancies with complications deviates from the normal pattern. Understanding normal vascular adaptation to changes in pregnancy may allow for better understanding of the physiology of pregnancy complications, pathophysiology of the disease, as well as possible means for early prediction of women who are at risk for the pregnancy complications. This study provides a better understanding of vascular adaptions during and following pregnancy that may help explain differences in future CVD risk with parity and may aid in early detection of women who may be at increased CVD risk long-term. This study also suggests that prolonged breastfeeding and maintaining weight during pregnancy may be potential lifestyle modifications that may decrease a woman’s CVD risk. In conclusion, these data suggest that markers of vascular aging, CCA IAD and CCA IMT, did not improve further out postpartum as compared to early postpartum. Persistence of vascular effects of pregnancy may indicate long-term CVD risk and suggest a possible mechanism behind increased CVD risk with increased parity. Lactation and weight management may play a significant role in reducing future maternal CVD risk. 23 APPENDIX: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES AND FIGURES Supplementary Table 1. Baseline demographic characteristics of MVP participants who attended second postpartum visit (n=16) compared to those who did not attend second postpartum visit (n=27) Characteristics Attended second postpartum visit (n=16) Did not attend second postpartum visit (n=27) p-value Age (baseline), years Ethnicity: Hispanic Non-hispanic Race: African American Asian Native American Marital Status: Never married Married or living as married Divorced Educational level: Some college (at least 1 year) College (bachelor’s degree) Graduate/Professional degree Employment: Full-time Part-time Unemployed Household income: < $25k $25k - $49,999 $50k - $74,999 $75k - $99,999 $100k - $200k 30.0 [28.0,32.0] 27.5 ± 4.6 0.11# 0.37* 6.2% (1) 93.8% (15) 0.0% (0) 100.0% (27) 0.0% (0) 0.0% (0) 6.2% (1) 3.7% (1) 7.4% (2) 3.7% (1) 0.70* 1.00* 6.2% (1) 93.8% (15) 0.0% (0) 11.1% (3) 85.2% (23) 3.7% (1) 0.75* 12.5% (2) 56.3% (9) 31.2% (5) 11.1% (3) 44.4% (12) 44.4% (12) 81.3% (13) 6.2% (1) 12.5% (2) 55.6% (15) 33.3% (9) 11.1% (3) 6.2% (1) 18.8% (3) 18.7% (3) 37.6% (6) 18.7% (3) 14.8% (4) 44.4% (12) 18.5% (5) 7.4% (2) 14.8% (4) 0.11* 0.12* Continuous normal variables presented as mean ± SD, continuous non-normal variables presented as median [Q1, Q3] and categorical variables presented as % (n). *2-sided p-value for Fisher’s exact test are reported for categorical variables with expected frequency<5 in atleast one cell. #2-sided p-value for Kruskal-Wallis test are reported for non-normal continuous variables. No statistical significance seen between the two groups (p>0.05). 24 Supplementary Table 2. Correlations between major outcome variables and other covariates at second postpartum visit (n=16) Inter-adventitial diameter Unadjusted Current age (years) Current body-mass index (kg/m2) Weight (kg) Weight change (kg) Waist-to-hip ratio Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) Heart rate (bpm) Total cholesterol (mg/L) LDL-c (mg/dl) Triglycerides (mg/dl) HDL-c (mg/dl) Glucose (mg/dl) Insulin (µU/ml) HOMA-IR Log-hsCRP Time since index birth (mo) Time since last birth (mo) Time since 6-8 week postpartum visit (mo) CCA inter-adventitial diameter (mm) CCA intima-media thickness (mm) -0.26 (0.32)## -0.07 (0.78) 0.24 (0.37) 0.11 (0.69) -0.30 (0.26) 0.67 (<0.01*) 0.56 (0.02*) 0.15 (0.59) -0.01 (0.96) -0.03 (0.92) -0.02 (0.93) 0.03 (0.91) 0.17 (0.52) -0.23 (0.38) -0.20 (0.47) -0.28 (0.29) -0.22 (0.40) 0.25 (0.35)## -0.18 (0.49) 0.45 (0.08) Adjusted for current age and systolic blood pressure 0.01 (0.98) 0.01 (0.96) 0.28 (0.34) -0.27 (0.35) 0.75 (<0.01*)@ 0.66 (<0.01*)@ -0.29 (0.31) -0.21 (0.48) -0.14 (0.63) -0.08 (0.80) -0.14 (0.64) 0.17 (0.57) -0.17 (0.56) -0.16 (0.59) 0.12 (0.69) -0.30 (0.30) 0.003 (0.99)## -0.18 (0.54) 0.55 (0.04*) Intima-media thickness Unadjusted Adjusted for weight change -0.13 (0.64)## 0.13 (0.63) 0.48 (0.06) 0.51 (0.04*) -0.41 (0.11) 0.05 (0.84) -0.13 (0.63) -0.30 (0.26) -0.41 (0.12) -0.28 (0.28) -0.37 (0.16) -0.20 (0.45) -0.38 (0.15) -0.30 (0.26) -0.39 (0.13) -0.08 (0.76) -0.44 (0.08) 0.07 (0.80)## -0.41 (0.12) 0.45 (0.08) - 0.02 (0.96)## -0.05 (0.86) 0.37 (0.17) -0.21 (0.45) 0.17 (0.55) 0.20 (0.47) -0.22 (0.43) -0.28 (0.31) -0.14 (0.61) -0.30 (0.27) -0.19 (0.50) -0.39 (0.15) -0.38 (0.16) -0.47 (0.07) -0.13 (0.66) -0.53 (0.04*) -0.07 (0.80)## -0.53 (0.04*) 0.47 (0.08) - Correlation coefficients presented as rho (p-value); *p-value<0.05 is considered significant ##Spearman correlation coefficients reported for covariates that are not normally distributed; @Adjusted for only current age 25 6 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.8 7 7.2 Mean adjusted CCA IAD by visit T1 T2* T3* PP I PP II Supplementary Figure 1. Changes in CCA inter-adventitial diameter for MVP II participants throughout and after pregnancy (n=16) T = Trimester; PP = Postpartum All comparisons non-significant EXCEPT *Trimester 2 vs postpartum II (p=0.01) and *Trimester 3 vs postpartum II (p=0.02). Adjusted for current age and systolic blood pressure. 6 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.8 7 7.2 Mean adjusted CCA IAD by visit T1 T2* T3* PP I PP II Supplementary Figure 2. Changes in CCA inter-adventitial diameter for all MVP participants throughout and after pregnancy (n=43) T = Trimester; PP = Postpartum All comparisons non-significant EXCEPT *Trimester 2 vs postpartum II (p=0.01) and *Trimester 3 vs postpartum II (p=0.02). Adjusted for current age and systolic blood pressure. 26 .54 .56 .58 .6 Mean adjusted CCA IMT by visit T1 T2 T3 PP I PP II Supplementary Figure 3. Changes in CCA intima-media thickness for MVP II participants throughout and after pregnancy (n=16) T = Trimester; PP = Postpartum All comparisons are non-significant. 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