FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Second Examination – Finance 3321 Fall 2009 (Moore) – Version 1 Section Time: ____________________ Printed Name: ____________________ Ethical conduct is an important component of any profession. The Texas Tech University Code of Student Conduct is in force during this exam. Students providing or accepting unauthorized assistance will be assigned a score of zero (0) for this piece of assessment. Using unauthorized materials during the exam will result in the same penalty. Ours’ should be a self-monitoring profession. It is the obligation of all students to report violations of the honor code in this course. By signing below, you are acknowledging that you have read the above statement and agree to abide by the stipulated terms. Student’s Signature: ______________________________ Use the Financial Statements for Matthews International Corp, a metal Casket and Funeral Supply maker, at the end of the exam booklet to answer the following 10 questions (no partial credit) – clearly show all inputs to be eligible for credit. Numerical answers must be taken to 2 decimal places (e.g. 25.42) and percentage based answers must be taken to the tenth of a percent (e.g. 36.4%). Time measures must be denoted by days, turnover ratios by turns, and pure numbers should have no suffix. 1. Compute the Days Supply of Inventory for the year ended September 30, 2008. 2. Compute the Quick Asset Ratio for the year ended September 30, 2007. 3. Compute the Working Capital Turnover for the year ended September 30, 2008. 4. Compute the Debt Service Margin for the year ended September 30, 2007. -1- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 5. Compute the Times Interest Earned for the year ended September 30, 2008. 6. Compute the Asset Turnover for the year ended September 30, 2007. 7. Compute the Net Profit Margin for the year ended September 30, 2008. 8. Compute the Earnings Retention Rate for the year ended September 30, 2007. 9. Compute the Sustainable Growth Rate for the year ended March 31, 2008. 10. Compute the Cash to Cash Cycle for the year ended September 30, 2007. -2- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 11. Within the context of forecasting, which of the following ratios best links the income statement to the balance sheet? a. Net profit margin b. Current Ratio c. Return on Equity d. Asset Turnover e. Day’s Sales outstanding Use the following information (assumptions) to provide forecasts for Matthews (MATW) in 12-15. Assume an asset turnover ratio of 1.05 in 2008 that will grow by 0.1 per year from 2009-2013. Sales are forecast to decline by 5% in 2009, grow by 4.0% in 2010, 5% in 2011, 6% in 2012, 7% in 2013 and then leveling at 8% in 2014. Further, assume the forecast current ratio in 2009 is 1.9 and that it will increase by equal amounts over the following 4 years to reach a target level of 2.3. The 2009 cost of goods sold is forecast at 63% of sales and is expected to remain there indefinitely. Finally, assume that net profit margin is forecast to be 9.5% for the next 5 years. 12. Compute the forecast total assets in 2010 for MATW. a. $733,672 b. $740,659 c. $763,018 d. $779,641 e. $793,682 13. Compute the forecast gross profit in 2012. a. $314,219 b. $333,072 c. $356,687 d. $535,021 e. $567,122 14. Assume that MATW maintains a DSO of 60 days. Forecast the 2010 Accounts Receivables. a. $80,539 b. $83,761 c. $127,840 d. $132,953 e. $139,601 15. Assume that current assets represent 40% of total assets. Compute 2011 total current liabilities. a. $134,926 b. $134,950 c. $136,568 d. $550,118 e. $583,277 -3- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 16. Maintain the initial assumptions. The forecast dividend are expected to remain at $9 million per year for at least the next 6 years. Given this information and the capital structure assumptions used for the projects, the forecast Retained Earnings in 2010 is: a. $566,672 b. $575,672 c. $585,011 d. $643,847 e. $652,847 Use the following for questions 17-20 - CFFO/OI - Times Interest Earned - Net Sales/Cash from sales - CFFO/NOA - Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable - Sales/Unearned Revenues - Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities - Asset Turnover (Sales/Total Assets) - Total Liabilities/Total Equity 2004 0.88 14.3 0.99 0.35 12.0 11.45 114 1.50 1.92 2005 0.87 15.6 0.98 0.38 11.4 12.55 126 1.49 2.02 2006 0.85 15.1 1.01 0.37 11.0 14.52 118 1.48 1.98 2007 0.88 10.8 0.82 0.68 11.2 22.68 119 1.22 2.42 17. Which of the expense diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that expenses may have been understated for the purpose of overstating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Times Interest Earned c. CFFO/OI (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Operating Income) d. CFFO/NOA (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Net Operating Assets) e. Asset Turnover 18. Which of the revenue diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that revenues may have been understated for the purpose of understating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable c. Asset Turnover d. Net Sales/Unearned Revenues e. Times Interest Earned 19. Which of the expense diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that expenses may have been overstated for the purpose of understating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Total Liabilities/Total Equity c. CFFO/OI (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Operating Income) d. CFFO/NOA (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Net Operating Assets) e. Asset Turnover -4- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 20. Which of the revenue diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that revenues may have been overstated for the purpose of overstating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable c. Asset Turnover d. Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities e. Sales/Unearned Revenues 21. You have just computed the Beta of a stock to be 1.5 and the estimate the expected market return next period is 11%. The estimated cost of equity is 13.2%. With an estimated long run market risk premium of 6.8%, what risk free rate supports this cost of equity? a. 2.00% b. 3.00% c. 4.00% d. 5.00% e. 6.00% 22. You are trying to value Matthews (financials at end of exam). It is now October 27, 2009. Assuming MATW publishes its 10-K’s no earlier than 6 weeks after the fiscal year end, how many quarters of activity must you forecast (today) when estimating the annual net income for the 2009 fiscal year? a. 0 b. 1 c. 2 d. 3 e. 4 23. Which statistic is assess the variation of the dependent variable that is explained by the independent variable? a. Beta b. T-Statistic of the intercept c. T-Statistic of the independent variable d. Adjusted R-squared e. Correlation coefficient -5- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Consider the following information for Questions 24 through 26 (5 points each): You have just estimated β for XYZ Corp. using the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Your regression results follow. In addition, you also have performed research on the 10-K to get the balance sheet information below. Your goal is to estimate the relevant costs of capital for XYZ Corp. Assume that last year’s market return was 12% and the 10-year Treasury had a yield of 3.5%. Also, you found the market risk premium over the last 3-years to be 7% and that interest rates are not expected to change in the next 4 years. The Market Cap is $1,200 million and the tax rate is 30%. Regression output for XYZ may be found on Page 8 of the exam booklet. Balance Sheet (Millions) Total Assets Published β 1.60 2007 1,200 Current Liabilities 200 2.50% Long Term Liabilities Long-term Debt Pension Liabilities Capital Leases Book Value of Equity 140 60 80 800 7.50% 6.00% 9.00% 24. Based on your analysis, compute the appropriate estimate of the cost of equity. 25. Compute the Before-Tax weighted average cost of debt 26. Compute the Before Tax Weighted average cost of capital. -6- Average Interest Rate FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 27. Compute the upper and lower bounds on the cost of equity (95% confidence level). (6-Points) . Use the information from problems 24-26 and the regression output on the next page. 28. Compute the stock return for October 2008 using the information below. (5 Points) Date 29Oct 2008 04Sep 2008 27Jul 2008 26Apr 2008 25Jan 2008 29. Dividends and Splits $ 0.026 Dividend 2 : 1 Stock Split $ 0.025 Dividend $ 0.025 Dividend $ 0.025 Dividend Dec 2008 Nov 2008 Oct 2008 Sep 2008 Aug 2008 Jul 2008 Jun 2008 Month End Prices 24.58 24.10 23.05 22.06 44.10 43.53 43.96 Compute the split adjusted stock return for September 2008 using the above information. Make sure to use end of 2008 price relatives like we did in the regression workshop. (5 points) -7- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 0.517 0.427 0.413 0.062 72 Coefficients 0.01 1.10 Intercept X Variable 1 SUMMARY OUTPUT Standard Error 0.01 0.21 t Stat 0.76 5.06 P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% 0.45 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.65 1.49 Standard Error 0.01 0.28 t Stat 0.44 5.28 P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% 0.66 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.91 2.03 Standard Error 0.01 0.34 t Stat 0.26 6.91 P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% 0.80 -0.01 0.02 0.01 1.31 1.69 PCP CAPM Regression Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 0.570 0.324 0.313 0.056 60 Coefficients 0.00 1.47 Intercept X Variable 1 SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations Intercept X Variable 1 0.494 0.355 0.314 0.050 48 Coefficients 0.034 1.60 -8- FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Matthews International Corporation (MATW) PERIOD ENDING Total Revenue Cost of Revenue Gross Profit Operating Expenses Research Development Selling General and Administrative Total Operating Expenses Operating Income or Loss Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net Earnings Before Interest And Taxes Interest Expense Income Before Tax Income Tax Expense Minority Interest Net Income Income Statement 30-Sep-06 30-Sep-07 715,891 749,352 443,958 468,895 271,933 280,457 Matthews International Corporation (MATW) PERIOD ENDING Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income Operating Activity Accrual Adjustments Total Cash Flow From Operating Activities Cash Flow from Investing Activities Capital Expenditures Investments Other Cashflows from Investing Activities Total Cash Flows From Investing Activities Cash Flow from Financing Activities Dividends Paid Sale Purchase of Stock Net Borrowings Other Cash Flows from Financing Activities Total Cash Flows From Financing Activities Statement of Cash Flows 30-Sep-06 30-Sep-07 30-Sep-08 -9- 30-Sep-08 818,623 495,659 322,964 20,546 137,503 158,049 113,884 21,922 146,711 168,633 111,824 24,702 165,310 190,012 132,952 1,490 112,403 6,995 105,408 38,964 -2,971 66,444 2,744 111,835 8,119 103,716 38,990 -2,733 64,726 2,318 131,977 10,405 121,572 42,088 -3,293 79,484 66,444 -364 66,080 64,726 9,872 74,598 79,484 25,060 104,544 -19,397 -217 -29,164 -48,778 -20,649 -1,114 -16,925 -38,688 -12,053 419 -97,090 -108,724 -12,088 -15,463 -2,117 902 -28,766 -8,684 -40,002 17,746 3,834 -27,106 -9,003 -24,075 43,062 3,134 13,118 FSA 3321 – Fall 2009 Exam 2 – Version 1 Matthews International Corporation (MATW) PERIOD ENDING ASSETS Current Assets Cash And Cash Equivalents Short Term Investments Net Receivables Inventory Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Non-Current Assets Long Term Investments Property Plant and Equipment Goodwill Intangible Assets Other Assets Deferred Long Term Asset Charges Total Non-Current Assets Total Assets Liabilities Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Notes Payable - Current Current Portion of Long Term Debt Total Current Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Other Liabilities Deferred Long Term Liability Charges Minority Interest Total Non-Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Stockholders' Equity Common Stock Retained Earnings Treasury Stock Capital Surplus Other Stockholder Equity Total Stockholder Equity Total Liabilities and Equity - 10 - Moore Balance Sheet 30-Sep-06 30-Sep-07 30-Sep-08 29,720 92 123,432 85,415 4,184 242,843 44,002 105 122,548 93,834 6,025 266,514 50,667 62 146,559 96,388 9,439 303,115 11,492 88,099 298,125 44,965 6,125 24,441 473,247 716,090 12,044 88,926 318,298 51,306 10,670 23,311 504,555 771,069 10,410 145,738 359,641 59,910 17,754 17,714 611,167 914,282 69,672 28,451 39,086 137,209 59,856 27,057 36,543 123,456 78,910 35,144 47,656 161,710 120,289 56,225 9,942 0 186,456 323,665 142,273 66,763 11,799 0 220,835 344,291 219,124 58,008 10,594 30,891 318,617 480,327 36,334 411,121 -92,451 33,953 3,468 392,425 716,090 36,334 467,846 -132,362 41,570 13,390 426,778 771,069 36,334 511,130 -157,780 47,250 -2,979 433,955 914,282