FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore Third Examination – Finance 3321 Summer 2008 (Moore) – Version 1 Section Time: ____________________ Printed Name: ____________________ Ethical conduct is an important component of any profession. The Texas Tech University Code of Student Conduct is in force during this exam. Students providing or accepting unauthorized assistance will be assigned a score of zero (0) for this piece of assessment. Using unauthorized materials during the exam will result in the same penalty. Ours’ should be a self-monitoring profession. It is the obligation of all students to report violations of the honor code in this course. By signing below, you are acknowledging that you have read the above statement and agree to abide by the stipulated terms. Student’s Signature: ______________________________ Use the Financial Statements for AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION at the end of the exam booklet to answer the following 10 questions (no partial credit) – clearly show all inputs to be eligible for credit. Numerical answers must be taken to 2 decimal places (e.g. 25.42) and percentage based answers must be taken to the tenth of a percent (e.g. 36.4%) 1. Compute the Days Sales Outstanding for 2007. 2. Compute the Current Ratio for 2006. 3. Compute the Debt Service Margin for 2007. 4. Compute the Operating Profit Margin for 2007. -1- FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 5. Compute the Working Capital Turnover for 2007. 6. Compute the Gross Profit Margin for 2006. 7. Compute the Quick Asset Ratio for 2007. 8. Compute Return on Equity for 2006. 9. Compute the Sustainable Growth Rate for 2006. 10. Compute Times Interest Earned for 2006. -2- Moore FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore 11. Within the context of forecasting, which of the following ratios best links the income statement to the balance sheet? a. Net profit margin b. Current Ratio c. Return on Equity d. Asset Turnover e. Day’s Sales outstanding 11. In terms of confidence and degree of accuracy, which financial statement is the most difficult to forecast? a. Income Statement. b. Balance Sheet. c. Statement of Cash Flows d. Cash flow from operating activities e. Cash flow from financing activities Use the following information (assumptions) to provide forecasts for Avery Denison (Attached Financials) in problems 12-15. Assume a forecast (stable) asset turnover ratio of 1.5 and projected sales growth of 7% per year for the next 5 years for CVS Drugs. Further, assume the current ratio in 2007 is 0.80 and that it will increase by equal amounts over the next 5 years to reach a target level of 1.80. The 2007 gross profit margin dropped to 27% and is assumed to increase by 1% per year until it returns to its normal 30% level. Finally, assume that net profit margin is forecast to be 5% for the next 5 years. 12. Compute the forecast total assets in 2010 for Avery Dennison. a. $5,151.55 b. $5,512.16 c. $5,898.01 d. $11,590.99 e. $12,402.36 13. Compute the forecast gross profit in 2008. a. $1,889 b. $2,351 c. $3,367 d. $4,383 e. $5,703 14. Assume that Avery Dennison maintains a 50 day supply of inventory. Forecast 2009 inventory. -3- FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore 15. Assume that non-current assets represent 67% of total assets. Compute the total current liabilities for 2008 (maintain the assumed asset turnover of 1.5 times and sales growth). Use the following for questions 16-19 - CFFO/OI - Times Interest Earned - Net Sales/Cash from sales - CFFO/NOA - Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable - Current Ratio - Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities - Asset Turnover (Sales/Total Assets) - Total Liabilities/Total Equity 2004 0.88 14.3 0.99 0.35 12.0 1.45 114 1.50 1.92 2005 0.87 15.6 0.98 0.38 11.4 1.55 126 1.49 2.02 2006 0.85 15.1 1.01 0.37 11.0 1.52 118 1.48 1.98 2007 0.98 20.8 1.40 0.35 11.2 2.68 98 1.22 1.42 16. Which of the expense diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that expenses may have been understated for the purpose of overstating net income in 2007? a. Current Ratio b. Total Liabilities/Total Equity c. CFFO/OI (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Operating Income) d. CFFO/NOA (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Net Operating Assets) e. Asset Turnover 17. Which of the revenue diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that revenues may have been understated for the purpose of understating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable c. Total Liabilities/Total Equity d. Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities e. Times Interest Earned 18. Which of the expense diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that expenses may have been overstated for the purpose of understating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Total Liabilities/Total Equity c. CFFO/OI (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Operating Income) d. CFFO/NOA (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Net Operating Assets) e. Asset Turnover -4- FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore 19. Which of the revenue diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that revenues may have been overstated for the purpose of overstating net income in 2007? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable c. Asset Turnover d. Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities 20. Compute AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION’s Cash Collections from sales for 2007. (4 points) 21. You are valuing a company that has a September 30 financial year end. It is now June 2008. Assuming your company publishes its 10-Q within 2 weeks of the end of the quarter, how many quarters of activity must you forecast when estimating the annual net income at 9/30/2008? a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5 22. Compute AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION’s Cash to Cash cycle for 2006. (4 points) 23. Which of the following statements is correct regarding forecast errors. a. A $1,000 forecast error in 10 years is more expensive in terms of valuation error, today, when compared to an $300 error in 4 years. (assume a 15% discount rate) b. Raw (undiscounted) forecasts errors are expected to diminish in time c. A $1,000 forecast error in 10 years is more expensive in terms of valuation error, today, when compared to an $400 error in 3 years. (assume a 15% discount rate). d. When forecasting balance sheets in an equity valuation project, one is more concerned with the accuracy of forecast total liabilities than forecast total equity. e. It is normal to expect forecast errors in a smooth growing terminal value perpetuity are relatively lower than intermediate term forecasts. -5- FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore 24. Compute the percentage of the productive workweek that Avery Dennison spends having its operations cover interest expense in2006. (4 points) 25. Which of the following statements is absolutely incorrect when applying the philosophy and art of forecasting financial statements that will become the inputs to equity valuation models? (per class lecture) (4 points) a. Don’t forecast stupidity b. It is possible and acceptable that forecast non-current liabilities may become negative c. There will be a choice between providing distorted forecast liability balances and distorted forecast total shareholder equity balances. d. Forecast Retained Earnings must take into account forecast net income and forecast total dividends paid. e. None of the above is absolutely incorrect. -6- FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION Fiscal Year End of December 31. Income Statement (In millions, except per share amounts) Net sales Cost of products sold Gross profit Marketing, general and administrative expense Operating Income Interest expense Other expense, net Income from continuing operations before taxes Taxes on income Income from continuing operations Income (loss) from discontinued operations (net of tax) Net income 2005 2007 $5,473.50 $5,575.90 $6,307.80 3,996.60 4,037.90 4,585.40 1,476.90 1,538.00 1,722.40 987.90 1,011.10 1,182.50 489.00 526.90 539.90 57.90 55.50 105.20 63.60 36.20 59.40 367.50 435.20 375.30 75.30 76.70 71.80 292.20 358.50 303.50 (65.40) 14.70 $226.80 -7- 2006 $373.20 $303.50 FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION Balance Sheet (Fiscal Year end of December 31) (Dollars in millions) 2005 2006 2007 Assets Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents Trade accounts receivable, less allowances Inventories, net Current deferred and refundable income taxes Other current assets Total current assets Property, plant and equipment, net Goodwill Other intangibles resulting from business acquisitions Non-current deferred and refundable income taxes Other assets Total Non-current assets Total Assets 98.50 863.20 439.70 78.10 78.80 1,558.30 1,295.70 673.10 98.70 39.80 538.30 2,645.60 $4,203.90 58.50 910.20 496.90 101.40 119.70 1,686.70 1,309.40 715.90 95.50 42.70 474.70 2,638.20 $4,324.90 71.50 1,113.80 631.00 128.10 113.90 2,058.30 1,591.40 1,683.30 314.20 59.90 537.70 4,186.50 $6,244.80 Liabilities and Shareholders Equity Current liabilities: Short-term and current portion of long-term debt Accounts payable Accrued payroll and employee benefits Accrued trade rebates Current deferred and payable income taxes Other accrued liabilities Total current liabilities Long-term debt Long-term retirement benefits and other liabilities Non-current deferred and payable income taxes Total Non-current liabilities Total liabilities 364.70 577.90 161.70 145.90 62.40 213.00 1,525.60 723.00 356.80 86.60 $1,166.40 $2,692.00 466.40 630.10 179.40 142.80 48.40 231.70 1,698.80 501.60 334.20 94.10 $929.90 $2,628.70 1110.80 679.20 204.70 150.30 31.40 301.20 2,477.60 1,145.00 391.50 241.30 $1,777.80 $4,255.40 Shareholders equity: Common stock, $1 par value, authorized Capital in excess of par value Retained earnings Cost of unallocated ESOP shares Employee stock benefit trust (shares) Treasury stock at cost Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) 124.10 729.50 1,945.30 (7.70) (552.00) (638.20) (89.10) 124.10 881.50 2,155.60 (5.70) (602.50) (806.70) (50.10) 124.10 781.10 2,290.20 (3.80) (428.80) (858.20) 84.80 Total shareholders equity $1,511.90 $1,696.20 $1,989.40 Total Liabilities and shareholders equity $4,203.90 $4,324.90 $6,244.80 -8- FSA 3321 – Summer 2008 Exam 3 – Version 1 Moore AVERY DENNISON CORPORATION Statement of Cash Flows (December 31 end of year) (In millions) 2005 2006 2007 $226.80 $373.20 $303.50 155.70 45.80 (12.30) 154.30 43.60 (7.30) 184.10 50.50 (37.50) 108.10 (7.50) (7.80) 24.10 (6.50) 44.00 21.60 (15.40) (43.90) (12.40) (4.30) 30.40 (31.90) (12.90) (2.30) (24.60) (45.60) 8.90 12.60 (11.80) 1.00 (5.30) 18.80 (87.10) 6.10 15.10 Net cash provided by operating activities $441.60 $510.80 $499.40 Investing Activities Net cash used in investing activities (167.60) (154.90) (1,543.20) Financing Activities (partial information) Dividends paid Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities (168.70) (260.50) (171.80) (397.80) (171.80) 1,055.40 0.20 1.90 1.40 Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year 13.70 84.80 (40.00) 98.50 13.00 58.50 Cash and cash equivalents, end of year 98.50 58.50 71.50 Operating Activities Net income Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation Amortization Deferred taxes Asset impairment and net loss (gain) on sale and disposal of assets Stock-based compensation Other non-cash items, net Changes in assets and liabilities, net of the effect of business acquisitions and divestitures: Trade accounts receivable Inventories Other current assets Accounts payable and accrued liabilities Taxes on income Long-term retirement benefits and other liabilities Effect of foreign currency translation on cash balances -9-