FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Second Examination – Finance 3321 Fall 2007 (Moore) – Version 1 Section Time: ____________________ Printed Name: ____________________ Ethical conduct is an important component of any profession. The Texas Tech University Code of Student Conduct is in force during this exam. Students providing or accepting unauthorized assistance will be assigned a score of zero (0) for this piece of assessment. Using unauthorized materials during the exam will result in the same penalty. Ours’ should be a self-monitoring profession. It is the obligation of all students to report violations of the honor code in this course. By signing below, you are acknowledging that you have read the above statement and agree to abide by the stipulated terms. Student’s Signature: ______________________________ Use the Financial Statements for Dean Foods at the end of the exam booklet to answer the following 17 questions (no partial credit) – clearly show all inputs to be eligible for credit. 1. Compute the Accounts Receivable Turnover for 2006. 2. Compute the Current Ratio for 2004. 3. Compute the Debt Service Margin for 2005. 4. Compute the Debt to Equity Ratio for 2006. 5. Compute the Gross Profit Margin for 2004. -1- FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 6. Compute the Internal Growth Rate for 2006. 7. Compute the Days Supply of Inventory for 2005. 8. Compute the Net Profit Margin for 2006. 9. Compute the Operating Profit Margin for 2005. 10. Compute the Quick Asset Ratio for 2004. 11. Compute Return on Assets for 2006. 12. Compute Return on Equity for 2005. 13. Compute the Sustainable Growth Rate for 2006. -2- Moore FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 14. Compute percent Sales Growth for 2005. 15. Compute Times Interest Earned for 2005. 16. Compute the Days Investment (supply) of Working Capital for 2006 17. Compute the length of the Cash to Cash Cycle (days) for 2005. 18 Within the context of forecasting, which of the following ratios best links the income statement to the balance sheet? a. Net profit margin b. Current Ratio c. Return on Equity d. Asset Turnover e. Day’s Sales outstanding 19. Within the context of forecasting, which foundation of the forecast financial statements? a. Sales forecast. b. Net profit margin c. Cash to cash cycle d. Current ratio e. Asset Turnover 20. In terms of confidence and degree of accuracy, which financial statement is the most difficult to forecast? a. Income Statement. b. Balance Sheet. c. Statement of Cash Flows d. Cash flow from operating activities e. Cash flow from financing activities -3- FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Use the following information(assumptions) to provide forecasts for Deans Foods in problems 21-23. Assume a forecast (stable) asset turnover ratio of 1.5 and projected sales declining by 3% per year for the next 4 years for Deans Foods. Further, assume the current ratio in 2006 is 1.03 and that it will increase by equal amounts over the next three years to reach a target level of 1.30. Finally, assume that net profit margin is forecast to be 3% for the next 5 years. 21. Compute the forecast total assets in 2009 for Deans Foods. 22. Compute the forecast current ratio in 2008. 23. Compute forecast profits (net income) for 2008. Use the following for questions 24-25 - Net Sales/Cash from sales - Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable - Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities - CFFO/OI - CFFO/NOA - Asset Turnover (Sales/Total Assets) 2003 0.99 12.0 104 0.88 0.35 1.50 2004 0.98 11.4 106 0.87 0.38 1.49 2005 1.01 11.0 118 0.85 0.37 1.48 2006 1.40 11.2 108 0.68 0.35 1.72 24. Which of the expense diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that expenses may have been understated for the purpose of overstating net income in 2006? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Net Sales/Warranty Liabilities c. CFFO/OI (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Operating Income) d. CFFO/NOA (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Net Operating Assets) e. Asset Turnover 25. Which of the revenue diagnostic ratios would provide a “red flag” raising concerns that revenues may have been overstated for the purpose of overstating net income in 2006? a. Net Sales/Cash from sales b. Net Sales/Net Accounts Receivable c. Asset Turnover d. CFFO/OI (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Operating Income) e. CFFO/NOA (Cash Flow from Operating Activities)/(Net Operating Assets) -4- FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 26. Compute Dean Food’s Cash Collections from sales for 2006. 27. You have just computed the Beta of a stock to be 1.6 and the estimate of the relevant risk-free rate is 4%. The expected market return next period is 12% and your estimate of K e is 18%. What is the appropriate long-run market risk premium? a. 4.00% b. 8.00% c. 8.50% d. 8.75% e. 10.0% 28. Which statistic measures the percent variation of the dependent variable that is explained by the variation in the independent variable? a. Beta b. T-Statistic c. The estimation period d. Adjusted R-squared e. Correlation coefficient 29. You are valuing a company that has a June 30 financial year end. It is now October 2007. Assuming your company publishes its 10-Q within 2 weeks of the end of the quarter, how many quarters of activity must you forecast when estimating the end of 2008 net income? a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5 30. Which of the following statements is correct regarding forecast errors. a. A $1,000 forecast error in 10 years is more expensive in terms of valuation error, today, when compared to an $800 error in 3 years. (assume a 15& discount rate) b. Raw (undiscounted) forecasts errors are expected to grow in time c. One would expect that forecast operating cash flows are more accurate than forecast net income. d. When forecasting balance sheets in an equity valuation project, one is more concerned with the accuracy of forecast total liabilities than forecast total equity. e. It is normal to expect forecast errors in a smooth growing terminal value perpetuity are relatively lower than intermediate term forecasts. -5- FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Consider the following information for Questions 31 through 33: You have just estimated β for XYZ Corp. using the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Your regression results follow. In addition, you also have performed research on the 10-K to get the balance sheet information below. Your goal is to estimate the relevant costs of capital for XYZ Corp. Assume that last year’s market return was 12% and the 5-year Treasury had a yield of 5%. Also, you found the market risk premium over the last 3-years to be 6% and that interest rates are not expected to change in the next 4 years. The Market Cap is $80 million and the tax rate is 30% Balance Sheet (Millions) Estimation R 2 Period β 5-Year 2.00 5.25% 3-Year 2-Year 1.50 1.30 28.45% 18.55% Published β 1.30 2006 Average Interest Rate Total Assets 120 Current Liabilities Long Term Liabilities Long-term Debt Pension Liabilities 10 4.00% 30 40 8.00% 12.00% Book Value of Equity 40 31. Based on your analysis, compute the appropriate estimate of the cost of equity. 32. Compute the Before-Tax weighted average cost of debt 33. Compute the After Tax Weighted average cost of capital. 34. Which cost of capital should be used to value the free cash flow to the firm being forecast in this semester’s project (1-Point) -6- FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Income Statement (in thousands) Moore Dean's Foods Co. Total Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses: Selling General and Administrative Other Operating Expenses Total Operating Expenses Operating Income or Loss Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net Earnings Before Interest And Taxes Interest Expense Income Before Tax Income Tax Expense Net Income 31-Dec-04 10,822,285 8,257,756 2,564,529 31-Dec-05 10,505,560 7,919,252 2,586,308 31-Dec-06 10,098,555 7,358,676 2,739,879 1,856,291 41,345 1,856,291 666,893 1,934,438 44,779 1,934,438 607,091 2,058,085 31,099 2,058,085 650,695 253 667,146 204,770 462,376 177,002 285,374 789 607,880 168,984 438,896 166,423 272,473 -435 650,260 194,547 455,713 175,450 280,263 Statement of Cash Flows (in thousands) PERIOD ENDING Cash Flow From Operating Activities: Net Income Adjustments To Reconcile Cash Flows Depreciation Other Adjustments To Net Income Changes In Accounts Receivables Changes In Current Liabilities Changes In Inventories Changes In Other Operating Activities Total Cash Flow From Operating Activities Dean's Foods Co. 31-Dec-04 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 285,374 272,473 280,263 223,547 212,162 -83,456 -84,685 -25,722 436 221,291 14,337 -37,657 12,301 -16,001 37,858 227,682 183,545 23,317 -105,622 -5,226 12,108 527,656 559,660 561,218 Total Cash Flows From Investing Activities -746,571 -117,720 -167,465 Total Cash Flows From Financing Activities 199,344 -444,227 -387,069 ($19,571) ($2,287) $6,684 Change In Cash and Cash Equivalents -7- FSA 3321 – Fall 2007 Exam 2 – Version 1 Balance Sheet (in thousands) Moore Dean's Foods Co. PERIOD ENDING Assets Current Assets Cash And Cash Equivalents Net Receivables Inventory Other Current Assets Total Current Assets 31-Dec-04 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 27,572 1,011,910 479,981 76,961 1,596,424 25,120 1,005,174 380,209 66,465 1,476,968 31,140 917,029 360,754 70,367 1,379,290 1,946,992 3,490,129 722,823 0 6,159,944 1,874,486 3,014,879 684,551 0 5,573,916 1,786,907 2,943,139 640,857 19,980 5,390,883 7,756,368 7,050,884 6,770,173 Liabilities Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Current Maturities of Long Term Debt Total Current Liabilities 965,199 141,227 1,106,426 1,029,087 108,243 1,137,330 852,898 483,658 1,336,556 Long Term Debt Other Liabilities Deferred Long Term Liability Charges Total Non-Current Liabilities 3,116,032 341,531 531,242 3,988,805 3,328,592 225,636 487,247 4,041,475 2,872,193 247,473 504,552 3,624,218 Total Liabilities 5,095,231 5,178,805 4,960,774 Stockholders' Equity Common Stock Retained Earnings Capital Surplus Other Stockholder Equity Total Stockholder Equity 1,492 1,359,632 1,308,172 -8,159 2,661,137 1,342 1,194,550 702,120 -25,933 1,872,079 1,284 1,229,427 624,475 -45,787 1,809,399 Total Liabilities & Equity 7,756,368 7,050,884 6,770,173 Property Plant and Equipment Goodwill Intangible Assets Other Non-Current Assets Total Non-Current Assets Total Assets -8-