FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Second Examination – Finance 3321 Fall 2004 (Moore) – Version 1 Grader’s Name: ____________________ Printed Name: ____________________ Ethical conduct is an important component of any profession. The Texas Tech University Code of Student Conduct is in force during this exam. Students providing or accepting unauthorized assistance will be assigned a score of zero (0) for this piece of assessment. Using unauthorized materials during the exam will result in the same penalty. Ours’ should be a self-monitoring profession. It is the obligation of all students to report violations of the honor code in this course. By signing below, you are acknowledging that you have read the above statement and agree to abide by the stipulated terms. Student’s Signature: ______________________________ Where indicated, use the financial statement for Dell-U-Dead, Inc. (a large computer manufacturer and distributor that sells in both the wholesale and retail markets). Clearly Circle the BEST response for each of the following questions (Multiple Choice @5): Use the attached financial statements for Dell-U-Dead Corp. to answer questions 1-3 1. Compute Dell-U-Dead’s working capital turnover for the year ended February 1, 2002. a. 10.8 b. 87.1 c. 1.05 d. 1.43 e. 3.96 2. Compute Dell-U-Dead’s EBITDA per share for the year ended February 1, 2001. a. $ 0.79 b. $ 1.33 c. $ 0.17 d. $ 0.35 e. $ 0.52 3. Compute Dell-U-Dead’s Sustainable Growth Rate for the year ended February 1, 2002. (Assume no dividends are paid. Use the previous year’s ending equity to compute ROE.) a. 26.5% b. 38.7% c. 46.4% d. 22.2% e. 42.8% -1- FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 4. Which of the following actions would decrease Dell-U-Dead’s SGR? a. Increasing Gross Profit Margin b. Increasing Fixed Asset Turnover c. Reducing the Dividend Payout Rate d. Common Share Repurchases e. Reducing ROA 5. What is the measure that allows theoretical consistency between the underpinnings of the residual income valuation model and the classical valuation models of finance? a. Book value of equity b. The cost of equity c. Net income d. Dividends e. Operating cash flows 6. Manufactured Earnings is a "darling" of Wall Street analysts. Its current market price is $15 per share, and its book value is $5 per share. The cost of equity is estimated to be 15%. You have just estimated the long-term average ROE for the firm to be 30% per year and have an intrinsic valuation of $20 per share. What is the growth rate in book value you used for your valuation? a. 7.5% b. 10% c. 12.5% d. 15% e. 17.5% 7. Based on in-class discussion, which of valuation models explains the greatest variation of the observed stock prices? a. Method of Comparables b. Discounted Divdends c. Free Cash flow to equity d. Free cash flow to the firm e. Residual income 8. Assume you had just performed a valuation using the residual income model. You found that 40% of the value was supported by the current book value; that 35% of the value was supported by residual income forecast annual for the next 7 years and the remainder was associated with terminal value computations. What type of firm are you valuing? a. An internet service provider such as AOL b. EBAY c. A micro-processor company such as Intel or AMD d. A public utility company e. A financial consulting firm -2- FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Use the following information for Questions 9 and 10 Accounting-based valuation suggests that the P/B ratio has theoretical underpinnings to support valuations. Assume the following equation is valid: PPSt E ROE t 1 k E Et ROE t 2 k E 1 g t 1 Et ROE t 3 k E 1 g t 1 1 g t 2 1 t 1 k E BVE t 1 k E 2 1 k e 3 9. Which of the following would lead to a high market-to-book ratio? a. Cost of equity is low; expected growth of book value is high; and expected future ROE is high (relative to current period ROE). b. Cost of equity is high; expected growth of book value is low; and expected future ROE is low (relative to current period ROE). c. Cost of equity is low; expected growth of book value is low; and expected future ROE is low (relative to current period ROE). d. Cost of equity is high; expected growth of book value is low; and expected future ROE is low (relative to current period ROE). e. Cost of equity is high; expected growth of book value is high; and expected future ROE is low (relative to current period ROE). 10. Identify the appropriate theoretical valuation model the above equation converges to a. Discounted free cash flows valuation b. Discounted dividends valuation c. Abnormal Earnings Growth valuation d. Residual Income Valuation e. none of the above 11. The present value of the terminal (continuation) value cash flow that begins in 9 years is $10,000,000 assuming a cost of equity equal to 14%. The year 9 free cash flow (beginning of the growing perpetuity) is $3,137,860. What is the growth rate required for the continuation value term? a. 1% b. 2% c. 3% d. 4% e. 5% 12. From an empirical (estimation) perspective, the main problem of the discounted dividends valuation model (as compared to free cash flows and residual income) is that: a. Dividend payments are too variable compared with price variability b. The implied investment horizon to recover value is unrealistically short. c. The amount of price variability explained by dividend variability is relatively small. d. Next period’s dividends are relatively difficult to predict. e. Special dividends are difficult to incorporate when firms pay regular dividends -3- FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore 13. What is the primary reason that the present value of continuation value for free cash flows is strictly larger than that of the residual income model? a. The future terminal (continuation) cash flow is extremely sensitive to forecasting and growth rate errors. b. WACC is greater that ke c. Residual income grows in an unbounded manner as time goes to infinity d. Free cash flow grows in an unbounded manner as time goes to infinity e. None of the above Short Problem # 1 (Show all work to receive full credit) – 10 Points Valuation with P/E and P/B multples CrossTex Industries is a west Texas based natural gas producer and distributor that you are trying to value. Using the method of comparables, assess the value of CrossTex. Information is provided concerning the current share price (PPS), current earnings per share (EPS) and the current book value of equity per share (BPS) for Cross-Tex and three of its competitors. Required: Value CrossTex using the P/E and P/B multiples. Briefly comment on which method comes closest to the observed market price of $41.75 per share. CrossTex Industries RGC Resources Atmos Engergy Corp. Kinder Morgan PPS 41.75 24.33 25.75 63.40 EPS 2.83 1.78 1.55 3.11 -4- BPS 28.13 17.82 18.15 21.75 FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Short Problem # 2 (Show all work to receive full credit) – 25 Points Use the Discounted Dividends Valuation Model to value General Electric at the end of 1999. Assume kd = 4% and that ke = 8% Assume after 2003 that dividends are expected to grow at 6% per year and residual income is expected to grow at 5% per year. Also, comment on your results. General Electric Forecast year, t EPS DPS BPS Actual 1999 Forecast 2000 Forecast 2001 Forecast 2002 Forecast 2003 4.36 1.70 23.39 4.85 1.92 3.03 2.08 5.51 2.32 4.68 2.40 -5- FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Dell-U-Dead Computer Corporation Balance Sheet (in Millions) (1 February 20XX) ASSETS Current Assets: Cash and equivalents Short-term Investments Accounts Receivable (net) Inventories Other 2002 2001 $ 3,641 273 2,269 278 1,419 $ 4,910 525 2,424 400 1,467 Total Current Assets $ 7,877 $ 9,726 826 4,373 359 100 996 2,418 290 240 Total non-current assets $ 5,658 $ 3,499 Total Assets $13,535 $13,670 $ 5,075 1,600 444 300 100 $ 4,286 1,550 192 450 300 $ 7,519 $ 6,778 520 302 150 120 230 509 261 120 100 280 Total Non-Current Liabilities $ 1,322 $ 1,270 Total Liabilities $ 8,841 $ 8,048 $ 5,605 (2,249) 1,364 ( 26) $ 4,795 --839 (12) Total Stockholders’ Equity $ 4,694 $ 5,622 Total Liabilities & Stockholders’ Equity -6- $13,535 $13,670 Non-Current Assets: Property, plant and equipment (net) Investments Goodwill Other non-current assets LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY Current Liabilities: Accounts Payable Accrued Liabilities Unearned Revenues Notes Payable – Current Other Total Current Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities: Long-Term Debt Pension Liabilities Other Post-Retirement Benefit Liabilities Deferred Tax Liability Other Liabilities Stockholders’ Equity: Common Stock Issued and Outstanding Treasury Stock Retained Earnings Other Comprehensive Income FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Dell-U-Dead Computer Corporation Income Statement (in Millions**) For the Year Ending February 1, 20XX)= Net Revenue Less: Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Operating Expenses Selling, General and Administrative Interest Expense Lease Expenses Research, Development and Engineering Special charges Total operating expenses Operating Income Investment and other income (loss), net of tax 2002 2001 $31,168 25,661 $31,888 25,445 $ 5,507 $ 6,433 $ 1,824 76 884 452 482 $ 2,333 67 793 482 105 $ 3,718 $ 3,780 $ 1,789 (58) $ 2,663 581 Income before taxes and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle $ 1,731 Provision for income taxes 485 $ 3,194 958 Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle $ 1,246 Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle --- $ 2,236 59 Net Income Earnings Per Common Share: Basic EPS Diluted EPS Weighted Average Shares Outstanding: Basic Diluted ** $ 1,246 $ 2,177 $ 0.48 $ 0.26 $ 0.87 $ 0.79 2,602 4,543 2,582 2,746 All items in millions of dollars except Earnings per Share data -7- FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Dell-U-Dead Computer Corporation Statement of Cash Flows (in Millions) For the Year Ending February 1, 20XX Cash Flows from Operating Activities: Net Income Adjustment to reconcile income to cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation and amortization Tax benefits of employee stock plans Special charges Gains/Losses in investments Other Changes in: Operating working capital Non-current assets and liabilities 2002 2001 $ 1,246 $ 2,177 239 487 742 17 178 240 929 105 (307) 135 826 62 642 274 Net cash provided by operating activities $ 3,797 $ 4,195 Cash Flows from investing activities: Investments in securities: Purchases Maturities and sales Capital expenditures $(5,382) 3,425 (303) $(2,606) 2,331 (482) $(2,260) $ (757) Cash flows from financing activities: Purchase of common stock $(3,000) Issuance of common stock under employee plans 295 Other 3 $(2,700) 404 (9) Net cash used in investing activities Net cash used in financing activities Effect of foreign exchange rates on cash Net increase (decrease) in cash $(2,702) $(2,305) (104) (32) $(1,269) -8- $ 1,101 FSA 3321 – Fall (2004) Exam 2 – Version 1 Moore Present Value Tables % Rate Periods (n) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 6.00% 0.9434 0.8900 0.8396 0.7921 0.7473 0.7050 0.6651 0.6274 0.5919 0.5584 0.5268 0.4970 0.4688 0.4423 0.4173 0.3936 0.3714 0.3503 0.3305 0.3118 0.2942 0.2775 0.2618 0.2470 0.2330 0.2198 0.2074 0.1956 0.1846 0.1741 0.1643 0.1550 0.1462 0.1379 0.1301 0.1227 0.1158 0.1092 0.1031 0.0972 0.0917 0.0865 0.0816 0.0770 0.0727 0.0685 0.0647 0.0610 7.00% 0.9346 0.8734 0.8163 0.7629 0.7130 0.6663 0.6227 0.5820 0.5439 0.5083 0.4751 0.4440 0.4150 0.3878 0.3624 0.3387 0.3166 0.2959 0.2765 0.2584 0.2415 0.2257 0.2109 0.1971 0.1842 0.1722 0.1609 0.1504 0.1406 0.1314 0.1228 0.1147 0.1072 0.1002 0.0937 0.0875 0.0818 0.0765 0.0715 0.0668 0.0624 0.0583 0.0545 0.0509 0.0476 0.0445 0.0416 0.0389 8.00% 0.9259 0.8573 0.7938 0.7350 0.6806 0.6302 0.5835 0.5403 0.5002 0.4632 0.4289 0.3971 0.3677 0.3405 0.3152 0.2919 0.2703 0.2502 0.2317 0.2145 0.1987 0.1839 0.1703 0.1577 0.1460 0.1352 0.1252 0.1159 0.1073 0.0994 0.0920 0.0852 0.0789 0.0730 0.0676 0.0626 0.0580 0.0537 0.0497 0.0460 0.0426 0.0395 0.0365 0.0338 0.0313 0.0290 0.0269 0.0249 9.00% 0.9174 0.8417 0.7722 0.7084 0.6499 0.5963 0.5470 0.5019 0.4604 0.4224 0.3875 0.3555 0.3262 0.2992 0.2745 0.2519 0.2311 0.2120 0.1945 0.1784 0.1637 0.1502 0.1378 0.1264 0.1160 0.1064 0.0976 0.0895 0.0822 0.0754 0.0691 0.0634 0.0582 0.0534 0.0490 0.0449 0.0412 0.0378 0.0347 0.0318 0.0292 0.0268 0.0246 0.0226 0.0207 0.0190 0.0174 0.0160 -9- 10.00% 0.9091 0.8264 0.7513 0.6830 0.6209 0.5645 0.5132 0.4665 0.4241 0.3855 0.3505 0.3186 0.2897 0.2633 0.2394 0.2176 0.1978 0.1799 0.1635 0.1486 0.1351 0.1228 0.1117 0.1015 0.0923 0.0839 0.0763 0.0693 0.0630 0.0573 0.0521 0.0474 0.0431 0.0391 0.0356 0.0323 0.0294 0.0267 0.0243 0.0221 0.0201 0.0183 0.0166 0.0151 0.0137 0.0125 0.0113 0.0103 11.00% 0.9009 0.8116 0.7312 0.6587 0.5935 0.5346 0.4817 0.4339 0.3909 0.3522 0.3173 0.2858 0.2575 0.2320 0.2090 0.1883 0.1696 0.1528 0.1377 0.1240 0.1117 0.1007 0.0907 0.0817 0.0736 0.0663 0.0597 0.0538 0.0485 0.0437 0.0394 0.0355 0.0319 0.0288 0.0259 0.0234 0.0210 0.0190 0.0171 0.0154 0.0139 0.0125 0.0112 0.0101 0.0091 0.0082 0.0074 0.0067 12.00% 0.8929 0.7972 0.7118 0.6355 0.5674 0.5066 0.4523 0.4039 0.3606 0.3220 0.2875 0.2567 0.2292 0.2046 0.1827 0.1631 0.1456 0.1300 0.1161 0.1037 0.0926 0.0826 0.0738 0.0659 0.0588 0.0525 0.0469 0.0419 0.0374 0.0334 0.0298 0.0266 0.0238 0.0212 0.0189 0.0169 0.0151 0.0135 0.0120 0.0107 0.0096 0.0086 0.0076 0.0068 0.0061 0.0054 0.0049 0.0043 13.00% 0.8850 0.7831 0.6931 0.6133 0.5428 0.4803 0.4251 0.3762 0.3329 0.2946 0.2607 0.2307 0.2042 0.1807 0.1599 0.1415 0.1252 0.1108 0.0981 0.0868 0.0768 0.0680 0.0601 0.0532 0.0471 0.0417 0.0369 0.0326 0.0289 0.0256 0.0226 0.0200 0.0177 0.0157 0.0139 0.0123 0.0109 0.0096 0.0085 0.0075 0.0067 0.0059 0.0052 0.0046 0.0041 0.0036 0.0032 0.0028 14.00% 0.8772 0.7695 0.6750 0.5921 0.5194 0.4556 0.3996 0.3506 0.3075 0.2697 0.2366 0.2076 0.1821 0.1597 0.1401 0.1229 0.1078 0.0946 0.0829 0.0728 0.0638 0.0560 0.0491 0.0431 0.0378 0.0331 0.0291 0.0255 0.0224 0.0196 0.0172 0.0151 0.0132 0.0116 0.0102 0.0089 0.0078 0.0069 0.0060 0.0053 0.0046 0.0041 0.0036 0.0031 0.0027 0.0024 0.0021 0.0019