Chapter 20 Bond Markets Investments © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Learning Objectives Relationship between various measures of return on a bond Spot rates YTM Holding period return Bond price and spot interest rates on a coupon paying bond Key features of government bond markets Pricing of Corporate bonds © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Intro to Fixed Income Securities © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Coupon paying bond © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Pricing of bond M=1000; C=80; n=5; S1=4.5%; S2=5.1%; S3=5.5% S4=5.8% S5=6.1% 1 2 3 4 5 0.045 80 0.051 80 0.055 80 0.058 80 0.061 1080 P= © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche 76.555 72.424 68.129 63.848 803.24 1084.2 Figure 1 : Coupon-paying bond 100 P 0 C C C 1 2 3 ... C n n = time to maturity of bond 100 = redemption value, or par value, of bond P = bond price C = coupon on bond © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Time Yield to Maturity of the Bond M=1000; C=80; n=5; S1=4.5%; S2=5.1%; S3=5.5% S4=5.8% S5=6.1% 1 0.045 80 2 0.051 80 3 0.055 80 4 0.058 80 5 0.061 1080 P= YTM=6.0011 © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche 76.555 72.424 68.129 63.848 803.24 1084.2 Table 4 : Yield and price relationship Bond sells at Relationship Par when coupon rate = YTM Discount when coupon rate < YTM Premium when coupon rate > YTM © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Holding Period Return P0= 1000; C=100; n=5 years; If you sell in two years when r=9% you will get P2= 1025.3 (FV=1000; N=3; r=9; PMT=100; PV=?) Then your holding period return=11.11 based on the following cash flows PV=-1000; FV=1025.3+209.5=1234,8, n=2; r=? ( return for coupon payments 100 paid in year 1 is reinvested @9.5 and makes 109.5 at year two plus 100 for second year =209.5) I would rather not worry about reinvestment of coupon and set it up as PV=-1000; PMT =100; n=2; FV = 1025.3 and find the return; note FV depends on interest rate when you sell the bond before maturity! © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Figure 2 : Holding period return (two years) 5 year, 10% coupon (annual) Par = $1000 P0 = $1000 (YTM = 10%) Reinvestment rate = 8% P2 = $1025.30 (YTM = 9%) Capital gain M = $1000 P0 = $1000 (YTM = 10%) $100 $100 9.5% 0 © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche 1 2 3 4 5 Time Figure 3 : Gilts outstanding 11% 2% 87% © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Conventional Index linked Undated Figure 4 : Gilts prices © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Figure 5 : Shareholder and bondholder pay-offs Payoff 0 S Payoff M Value of firm Shareholder Payoff © K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche M Value of firm Bondholder Payoff