Making Capital Investment Decisions Chapter

Chapter

Ten

Making Capital

Investment

Decisions

© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

10.1

Key Concepts and Skills

Understand how to determine the relevant cash flows for various types of proposed investments

Be able to compute the CCA tax shield

Understand the various methods for computing operating cash flow

Understand how to analyze different capital budgeting decisions

10.2

Relevant Cash Flows 10.1

The cash flows that should be included in a capital budgeting analysis are those that will only occur (or not occur) if the project is accepted

These cash flows are called incremental cash flows

The stand-alone principle allows us to analyze each project in isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows

10.3

Asking the Right Question

 You should always ask yourself “Will this cash flow occur (or not occur) ONLY if we accept the project?”

 If the answer is “yes”, it should be included in the analysis because it is incremental

 If the answer is “no”, it should not be included in the analysis because it will occur anyway

 If the answer is “part of it”, then we should include the part that occurs (or does not occur) because of the project

10.4

Common Types of Cash Flows 10.2

Sunk costs

– costs that have been incurred in the past (& thus must be excluded from the current decision)

Opportunity costs

– cost of foregone opportunities

Example – you purchased an asset many years ago for a nominal sum. You now want to use that asset in a current project. How much do you charge to the project, since you already own the asset?

You must charge the project with the amount you could obtain by selling the asset to another user.

10.5

Common Types of Cash Flows 10.2

Side effects

 Positive side effects – benefits to other projects

 Example: HP printers & the cost of consumables

Negative side effects – costs to other projects

 Issue of erosion or cannibalism

 Be sure to only include erosion due to the new project. Erosion can also occur due to competition from other firms.

Example: Air Canada – Tango versus the mainline fleet

Changes in net working capital (NWC)

Increases in NWC are a cost of the project

Decreases in NWC are a benefit of the project

NWC often increases initially and then decreases at the end of the project’s life

10.6

Common Types of Cash Flows 10.2

Financing costs

Are never included in the cash flows of the project

 Financing costs are captured in the discount rate

Inflation

 Nominal interest rates include an inflation component

(remember the Fisher Equation). Thus the discount rate captures expected future inflation.

Project cash flows should also include the effect of inflation

Capital Cost Allowance (CCA)

CCA (depreciation for tax purposes) creates a beneficial tax shield

A tax shield is the amount of tax that would have been paid, had the project not been undertaken

10.7

The Six Steps of Capital Budgeting

Step #1: Calculate the PV of the initial cost plus any delivery & installation expenses minus any trade-in received

Step #2: Calculate the PV of the after-tax incremental operating cash flows from undertaking the project

Step #3: Calculate the PV of the tax shield from CCA

Step #4: Calculate the PV of salvage

Step #5: Calculate the PV of the tax shield from CCA lost due to salvage

Step #6: Calculate the PV of the change in NWC

10.8

The Six Steps of Capital Budgeting

Step #1: PV

Initial Cost

= Purchase Cost + Installation – Trade-in

Step #2:

Step #3:

PV

After tax

Cash Flows

 t

N 

1

Rev t

Exp t

1

 k

 t



1

T c

PV

Tax from

Shield

CCA

UCC d dT c

 k

 

1

0 .

5 k

1

 k

Step #4:

Step #5:

Step #6:

PV

Salvage

Salvage

1

 k

N

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N



PV

NWC

  

1

NWC

 k

N

 

1

NWC

 k

N

10.9

Defining the Terms

Where:

 Rev t

= Incremental revenue in period t

 Exp t

T c

= Incremental expense in period t

= Corporate Tax Rate

UCC = Undepreciated capital cost

 d = CCA tax rate

 k = discount rate (the firm’s cost of capital)

 Salvage = the value received at the end of the asset’s expected useful life

N = number of periods until the salvage value is realized

 NWC = Net working capital (Current assets – current liabilities)

10.10

Pro Forma Statements and Cash Flow 10.3

Capital budgeting relies heavily on pro forma accounting statements, particularly income statements

Computing cash flows – (refer back to Chapter 2)

Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA) = Operating Cash Flow – net capital spending (NCS) – Change (increase) in NWC

Operating Cash Flow (OCF) = EBIT + depreciation – taxes

 Net Capital Spending = Net Fixed Assets

End of Period

Fixed Assets

Start of Period

+ Depreciation

Change in NWC = NWC

End of Period

– Net

– NWC

Start of Period

10.11

Example: Pro Forma Income Statement

Sales (50,000 units at $4.00/unit)

Variable Costs ($2.50/unit)

Gross profit

Fixed costs

Depreciation ($90,000 / 3)

EBIT

Taxes (34%)

Net Income

$200,000

125,000

$ 75,000

12,000

30,000

$ 33,000

11,220

$ 21,780

10.12

Example: Projected Capital Requirements

NWC

Net Fixed Assets

0

↑$20,000

$90,000

1

Year

2 3

↓$20,000

10.13

Example: Projected Total Cash Flows

Op Cash Flow

Change in

NWC

Capital

Spending

CFFA

0

↑$20,000

↑$90,000

-$110,000

Year

1

$51,780

2

$51,780

3

$51,780

↓$20,000

$51,780 $51,780 $71,780

10.14

Making The Decision

Given the cash flows, we can apply the techniques from

Chapter 9

Assume the required return is 20%

Enter the cash flows into the calculator and compute NPV and

IRR

110,000 +/-

51,780

51780

71,780

CF

0

CF

1

CF

2

I

CF

3

20

2 nd NPV $10,648

2 nd IRR 25.8%

Should we accept or reject the project?

10.15

The Six Steps of Capital Budgeting

Step #1: PV

Initial Cost

= - 90,000

Step #2: PV

After tax

Cash Flows

51,780

1 .

20

51,780

1 .

20

2

51,780

1 .

20

3

Step #3: PV

Tax Shield from CCA

0

Step #4:

Step #5:

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

0

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

0

Step #6:

PV

NWC

 

20 , 000

20 , 000

1 .

20

3

Note:

This is not a good example for use with the Six Steps, since CCA (depreciation) is calculated straight-line over three years. This is then captured in the cash flows in

Step Two.

10.16

Summary of Project Cash Flows

Step #1: - 90,000

 Step #2: +109,074

 Step #3: 0

Step #4: 0

Step #5: 0

Step #6: - 8,426

NPV = + 10,648

10.17

More on NWC 10.4

 Why do we have to consider changes in NWC separately?

An investment in current assets is exactly the same as an investment in a fixed asset (but it is harder to visualize)

An increase in NWC requires either:

 An increase in Current Assets (a use of cash)

A reduction in Current Liabilities (a use of cash)

GAAP requires that sales be recorded on the income statement when made, not when cash is received (recorded as an Account Receivable on the B/S)

 GAAP also requires that we record cost of goods sold when the corresponding sales are made, regardless of whether we have actually paid our suppliers yet (costs recorded as an Account Payable on the

B/S)

 Finally, we have to buy inventory to support sales although we haven’t collected cash yet (Both inventory and accounts payable rise)

10.18

Capital Cost Allowance (CCA)

CCA is depreciation for tax purposes

The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should be calculated according to the CCA schedule dictated by the tax code

Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense, consequently, it is only relevant because it affects taxes

Depreciation tax shield = DT

C

D = depreciation expense

T

C

= corporation’s marginal tax rate

10.19

Computing Depreciation

 Need to know which asset class for tax purposes

Declining Balance

 Multiply the undepreciated capital cost (UCC) by the CCA rate (from the Tax Act)

 Half-year rule (can only deduct 50% of the usual amount in the year of acquisition of the asset)

Can use PV of CCA Tax Shield Formula (see next page)

Straight-line depreciation

 Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for tax purposes

 Depreciation = (Initial cost – salvage) / number of years

10.20

PV of CCA Tax Shield Formula

PV

Tax Shield from CCA

UCC d dT c

 k

 

1

0 .

5 k

1

 k

 Where:

 UCC = Initial cost of asset, including installation costs less any trade-in value received for an existing asset

 d = CCA rate

Tc = Corporate Tax Rate

 k = discount rate (corporation’s cost of capital)

10.21

PV of the Tax Shield from CCA Lost due to Salvage

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N



Where

S = Salvage value

 n = number of periods until the salvage value is realized

10.22

Example: Depreciation and Salvage

You purchase equipment for $100,000 plus it costs $10,000 to have it delivered and installed. Based on past information, you believe that the equipment will have a salvage value of

$17,000 in 6 years. The company’s marginal tax rate is 40%.

If the applicable CCA rate is 20% and the required return on this project is 10%, what is the present value of the tax shield from CCA less the present value of the tax shield lost from salvage?

10.23

Example: Depreciation and Salvage continued

The delivery and installation costs must be added to the initial cost of the asset and then depreciated

PV

Tax Shield from CCA

UCC

 d

110 , 000 dT c

 k

 

1

 k

0.20



0.40

0 .

20

1

0 .

5 k

0.10

 

1

0 .

5

1

0 .

10

.

10

28 , 000

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N

17 , 000

0.20



0.40

0 .

20

0.10

$ 2 , 558 .

95





1

1 .

10

6



10.24

Example #1: Cost Cutting

Your company is considering a new production system that will initially cost $1 million. It will save $300,000 a year in inventory and receivables management costs. The system is expected to last for five years and will be depreciated at a CCA rate of 20%. The system is expected to have a salvage value of $50,000 at the end of year 5. There is no impact on net working capital. The marginal tax rate is 40%. The required return is 8%.

10.25

Example #1: Cost Cutting

Step #1: PV

Initial Cost

= - 1,000,000

Step #2: PV

After-tax

Cash Savings

N

  t

1 t

5 

1

1

 k



 t

T c

 

 

1.08

 t

180, 000

1.08

180, 000

1.08

2

180, 000

1.08

3

180, 000

1.08

4

180, 000

1.08

5

$718, 688

Step #3:

PV

Tax Shield from CCA

UCC

 d dT c

1 , 000 , 000

1

 k

 

1

 k

0.20



0.40

0 .

20

0 .

5 k

0.08

 

1

0 .

5

1

0 .

08

.

08

275 , 132

10.26

Example #1: Cost Cutting

Step #4:

Step #5:

PV

Salvage

Salvage

1

 k

N

50 , 000

1 .

08

5

34 , 029

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage

50 , 000 d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N



0.20



0.40

0 .

20

0.08

 

1

1 .

08

5



$ 9 , 723

Step #6:

PV

NWC

  

NWC

1

 k

N

0

 

NWC

1

 k

N

10.27

Summary of Cash Flows: Cost Cutting

Step #1 -1,000,000

Step #2 718,688

Step #3 275,132

Step #4 34,029

Step #5 9,723

Step #6 0

NPV $18,126

Since the NPV is positive, the firm should proceed with the cost cutting initiative. If the NPV were negative, the firm should not proceed.

10.28

Example #2: Repair versus Replace

Original Machine

 Initial cost = 100,000

 Purchased 5 years ago

Salvage today = 65,000

Salvage in 5 years = 10,000

New Machine

 Initial cost = 150,000

 5-year life

Salvage in 5 years = 0

Cost savings = 50,000 per year

Required return = 10%

CCA Rate = 20%

Tax rate = 40%

10.29

Example #2: Repair versus Replace

Step #1: PV of Initial Cost less trade-in = -$150,000 + 65,000 = -85,000

Step #2: PV

After

 tax cos t savings

Annual Cost

Savings

1

T c



1

1

 k

  t k



50 , 000

1

0 .

40

1 .

10

5

0 .

10



$ 113 , 724

Step #3: PV

Tax Shield from CCA

UCC

85, 000

 d dT c

 k

 k  1

 k

   



 

$21,636

10.30

Example #2: Repair versus Replace

Step #4:

Step #5:

PV

Salvage

Salvage

1

 k

N

10 , 000

1 .

10

5

$ 6 , 209

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage

10 , 000 d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N

0.20



0.40

0 .

20

0.10





1

1 .

10

5



$ 1 , 656

Step #6:

PV

NWC

  

NWC

1

 k

N

0

 

NWC

1

 k

N

10.31

Summary of Cash Flows: Repair vs Replace

Step #1 -85,000

Step #2 +113,724

Step #3 +21,636

Step #4 - 6,209

Step #5 +1,656

Step #6 0

NPV $45,806

Since the NPV is positive, the firm should proceed with acquiring the new machine. If the NPV were negative, the firm should keep the old machine.

10.32

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

Machine A

 Initial Cost = $150,000

 Pre-tax operating cost =

$65,000

Expected life is 8 years

Machine B

 Initial Cost = $100,000

 Pre-tax operating cost =

$57,500

Expected life is 6 years

• The machine chosen will be replaced indefinitely

• Neither machine will impact revenue

• No change in NWC is required

• The required return is 10%

• CCA rate is 20%

• Tax rate is 40%.

Which machine should you buy?

10.33

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

To perform an equivalent annual cost calculation, first calculate the NPV of each alternative, using the 6 steps.

Then divide the NPV by the annuity factor to obtain an equivalent annual cost/benefit

Choose the alternative with the higher annual benefit or lower annual cost

10.34

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

Machine A

Step #1: $150,000

Step #2:

Step #3:

PV cos ts

Annual Cost

 

1

T c

1

1 k

  t k

1

 

1.10

 

8

0.10

$208, 062

PV

Tax Shield from CCA

UCC

 d dT c

 k

150 , 000

 

0.20



0.40

0 .

20

1

1

0 .

5 k

 k

0.10

 

1

0 .

5

0 .

10

1

.

10

$ 38 , 182

10.35

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

Step #4: PV

Salvage

0

0

1

 k

N

Step #5: PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage

0 d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N



Step #6: PV

NWC

  

NWC

1

 k

N

0

 

NWC

1

 k

N

10.36

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

Machine B

Step #1: $100,000

Step #2: PV cos ts

Annual Cost

 

1

T c

1

1 k

  t k

1

 

1.10

 

6

0.10

$150, 256

Step #3:

PV

Tax from

Shield

CCA

UCC

 d dT c

 k

100 , 000

0 .

20

1

1

0 .

5

 k

0.20



0.40

0.10

k

$ 25 , 455

1

0 .

5

0 .

10

1

.

10 

10.37

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

Step #4: PV

Salvage

0

0

1

 k

N

Step #5: PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage

0 d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N



Step #6: PV

NWC

  

NWC

1

 k

N

0

 

NWC

1

 k

N

10.38

Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis

To calculate EAC, divide NPV by the annuity factor (see next page for the annuity factor)

10.39

EAC: Calculating the Annuity Factors

The formula for the PV of an ordinary annuity looks like this:

PV

Annuity

C



1

1

 k

  t k



The Annuity Factor is the component contained within the brackets



1

1

 k

 t k



The Annuity Factors for Machine A & B are thus:

Annuity Factor

A

5 .

33

1 .

10

 

8

.

10

Annuity Factor

B

4 .

36

1 .

10

6

.

10



10.40

Example #4: Setting the Bid Price

Consider the example in the textbook:

 Need to produce 5 modified trucks per year for 4 years

 We can buy the truck platforms for $10,000 each

Facilities will be leased for $24,000 per year

Labor and material costs are $4,000 per truck

Need $60,000 investment in new equipment, depreciated at

20% (CCA class 8)

Expect to sell the equipment for $5,000 at the end of 4 years

Need $40,000 in net working capital

Tax rate is 43.5%

Required return is 20%

10.41

Example #4: Setting the Bid Price

Step #1 $60,000

Step #2

PV cos ts

Annual Cost

1 T c

 

1

1 k

  t k

 

5 10, 000

 

24, 000

  x

  

$137, 488

1

 

1.20

 

4

0.20

Step #3

PV

Tax from

Shield

CCA

UCC

60 , 000

 d dT c

1

0 .

5 k

 k 1

 k

0.20



0.435

0 .

20

0.20

$ 11 , 963

1

0 .

5

0 .

20

1

.

20 

10.42

Example #4: Setting the Bid Price

Step #4

Step #5

PV

Salvage

Salvage

1

 k

N

5 , 000

1 .

20

4

$ 2 , 411

PV

Tax Shield

Lost due to

Salvage

Salvage

5 , 000 d dT c

 k

 

1

1 k

N

0.20



0 .

435

0 .

20

0.20





1

1

.

20

4

$ 524



Step #6

PV

NWC

  

NWC

1

 k

N

 

 

40 , 000

40 , 000

1 .

20

4

 

20 , 710

NWC

1

 k

N

10.43

Example #4: Setting the Bid Price

Step #1

Step #2

Step #3

Step #4

Step #5

Step #6

PV

Costs

-$60,000

-$137,488

+$11,963

+$2,411

-$524

-$20,710

-$204,348

10.44

Example #4: Setting the Bid Price

To calculate the bid price, must now set the PV of costs equal to the PV of revenue

PV

Cost

204 , 348

PV

Revenue

5 P

1

T

1

1

 k

  t k

5 P

1

0 .

435

1 .

20

 

4

.

20

P

$ 27 , 942

P is equal to the required bid price per truck

10.45

Summary 10.8

You should know:

 How to determine the relevant incremental cash flows that should be considered in capital budgeting decisions

How to calculate the CCA tax shield for a given investment

 How to perform a capital budgeting analysis for:

 Replacement problems

 Cost cutting problems

 Bid setting problems

Projects of different lives