Quantitative Research Methods I (EDMS 645) Section 0101 Spring 2010 TYD 0111 Thursday – 4:15-7:00pm Instructor Dr. Hong Jiao 1230B Benjamin Building Phone: (301) 405-3627 Email: hjiao@umd.edu Office Hours Tuesday 1:00-3:00pm or by appointment Teaching Assistant Fu Liu 0108R Cole Field House Email: floraliu@umd.edu Office Hours Monday 1:00pm-2:30pm Wed. 11:00am to 12:30pm or by appointment Course Description This course is the first graduate-level applied statistics course. It starts with an introduction to quantitative research methods, followed by descriptive statistics, and ends with inferential statistics. Their applications in real research settings are exemplified throughout the course. It emphasizes the correct understanding of basic statistics for quantitative data analysis: data representation; descriptive statistics; and hypothesis testing. This course demonstrates some quantitative data analysis procedures based on the commonly used statistical computer package: SPSS. Proper interpretation of the statistical analysis results is one of the course foci. In addition, this course will introduce three existing international test or survey data sets including the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/), Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pirls/), and Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS, http://nces.ed.gov/timss/) to promote students using these existing international tests and survey data in their research (http://www.aera.net/grantsprogram/res_training/diss_grants/DGFly.html) and be aware of the international dimension in their research. Required Textbook • Hinkle, D.E., Wiersma, W., & Jurs, S.G. (2003). Applied Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, Fifth Edition. Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin. Additional Reference Textbooks • • • Agresti, A., & Finlay, B. (1997). Statistical methods for the social sciences (3rd ed.) Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall. Glass, G. V., & Hopkins, K. D. (1996). Statistical methods in education and psychology (3rd ed.) Needham Heights, MA: Allyn and Bacon. Howell, D.C. (2002). Statistical methods for psychology (5th edition). Pacific Grove, CA: Duxbury Press. 1 Course Topics and Readings Course topics can be found: http://www.education.umd.edu/EDMS/courses/TopicsEDMS645.pdf Or under Syllabus in ELMS The following table lists the topics to be covered in this course. This timetable is tentative and subject to changes. Week Date 1 2 3 1/28 2/4 2/11 4 5 2/18 2/25 6 7 8 9 10 11 3/4 3/11 3/18 3/25 4/1 4/8 12 4/15 13 4/22 14 15 16 4/29 5/6 5/13 Topics Introduction & research methods Research methods & sampling Scale of measurement & organizing and graphing data-SPSS Central tendency, variation, & percentiles Normal distribution & scale transformation Project 1, Correlation Simple Linear Regression Spring Break Midterm Probability & Sampling distributions Hypothesis testing: one-sample for mean & for other statistics Hypothesis testing: two-sample for mean (dependent samples) Hypothesis testing: two-sample for mean (independent samples) AERA Project 2 Chi-square test for nominal data & review Final exam Readings ECP Schafer & Johnson & in-class notes Hinkle – Ch. 7 & Ch. 1 HW1 Hinkle – Ch. 1 & 2-computer lab HW1 Hinkle – Ch. 3 HW2 Hinkle – Ch. 4 HW2 Hinkle – Ch. 5 HW3 Hinkle – Ch. 6 No class Hinkle – Ch. 7 HW4 Hinkle – Ch. 8 & 10 Hinkle – Ch. 11 HW5 Hinkle – Ch. 11 No class Hinkle – Ch. 21 Lecture notes, homework assignments, data, and announcements will be posted at www.elms.umd.edu. Please log into the website to access to the course materials. Statistical Software EDMS department supports SPSS versions 11.0 and higher (Windows and Macintosh). Examples in class will come from SPSS/Windows (17.0), which is available in the Benjamin Building’s computer lab (0230) in the basement. Students may use whichever recent package they wish, but they should know that slight differences may exist among versions. Students can either use a campus lab to do SPSS assignments. or buy a version of the Student/Ware package or buy a version of the Grad Pack, which historically costs about $225 and manuals must be purchased separately. 2 Course Objectives By the end of the course the student should have demonstrated the ability to: 1. 2. 3. 4. Identify types of quantitative research methods and threats to internal and external validity. Identify different sampling methods. Identify differences between the four scales of measurement. Differentiate between samples and populations and between parameters and random variables, and know when each is used. 5. Identify different kinds of graphs (histograms, stem-and-leaf diagrams, boxplots, etc.) and know proper uses (and misuses) of each kind of graph. 6. Properly construct each kind of graph when given a set of data. 7. Interpret graphic and tabular representations of data, recognizing important differences among them. 8. Recognize and identify differences between various descriptive statistics, such as the mean, median, variance, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis. 9. Recognize formulas for the above statistics (as well as others), and be able to write them in summation notation. 10. Compute the above statistics. 11. Compute the descriptive statistics for linear transformations and combinations of variables, and describe the influence of the transformations on the statistics. 12. Describe distributions of different types in terms of shape, location and variability, and match the values of descriptive statistics to corresponding graphic representations of data. 13. Calculate the correlations and know when they are most appropriately applied. 14. Construct a prediction model using simple linear regression and interpret the resulting values. 15. Compute and interpret measures of explained variation. 16. Recognize differences in the properties of normal and nonnormal distributions, and identify the consequences of the central limit theorem. 17. Know the definition and properties of sampling distributions including Type I and Type II errors. 18. Use the sampling distribution of the sample mean to compute a test statistic and an interval estimate for the population mean. 19. Use the sampling distribution of the difference between two sample means to compute a test statistic and interval estimate for the population mean difference (independent groups). 20. Use the sampling distribution of the difference between two sample means to compute a test statistic and interval estimate for the population mean difference (dependent groups). 21. Know the definition of power and factors affecting it. 22. Perform a test of goodness-of-fit, interpret results in terms of the hypothesis being tested 23. Perform a test of independence (“homogeneity”), interpret the results in terms of the hypothesis being tested They are in alignment with the course topics 3 Formal Course Assessment Homework Assignments (HW) There will be 5 homework assignments spaced evenly throughout the semester to give students an opportunity to apply and practice concepts learned in class. It is expected that students will be using SPSS for their homework where computer work is required. When working the assignments, students are expected to pull together the material from lecture, the text, and the supplemental notes where applicable. In the assignments students should cut and paste relevant portions of the computer output into the appropriate places in the homework to show how solutions are arrived. Assignments should be wellorganized and must be word-processed. Students are encouraged to work in pairs or groups. But each student should write up their own answers to the homework questions. Late homework assignments will be accepted with a penalty of 10% credit. Graded assignments will generally be returned in the following class after they are submitted. Projects There will be two short projects. Project 1 requires students to come up with a research project. Then they collect real data and use the descriptive statistics to summarize the data. Project 2 requires students to use one or several statistical methods to analyze the data they collected. Exams There will be two in-class exams. The content of the exam will cover topics presented in class up to that point. The exam will be closed book and closed class note; however, students may prepare and use a reference sheet of a 8.5”x11” two-sided page of notes. Students should bring a calculator to the exams; but calculator sharing between students will not be allowed. No cell phone calculators can be used in exams. Extra Credit Project (ECP) There will be one project which is optional and give you an opportunity to replace one homework assignment with the lowest score. If you are satisfied with your homework points accumulated, you do not need to work on the extra credit project. If you choose to turn in the extra credit project and the score for the extra credit project is higher than the lowest homework score, your homework assignment with the lowest score will be dropped and the extra credit project score will be counted towards your total homework points. If your extra credit project is graded with a score lower than the lowest homework assignment’ score, no action will be taken. 4 Course Grades Students’ homework, quizzes and exam will be combined using a weighted average grading scheme with the corresponding weights given below. Final letter grades will then be assigned based on the given scale. Assessment Weight Total homework points 50% Total midterm exam points 20% Total project points 10% Total final exam points 20% Overall Course Percent 100% - 93% 92 % - 88% 87% - 85% 84% - 81% 80% - 78% 77% - 75% 74% - 70% 69% - 65% 64% - 60% 59% - 55% 54% - 50% 49% Grade A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D DF Incompletes Incompletes for this course will be given on a case-by-case basis. The most valid reason for an incomplete is an unforeseen event that gravely interferes with a student’s ability to perform at an adequate level. Incompletes will not be given for unqualified poor performance. Accommodations for Emergencies If the University closes on the day of class, there will be no class. If the University does not close but there is a threat of inclement weather, there will still have class unless notified otherwise. So, please check email and/or the course website on blackboard, sometime during the day of class for any last minute announcements. If you will be absent from class, please send me an email to notify. All students are expected to take the quizzes and exams and to submit assignments on the specified dates. You must contact me before an exam if you will be absent. Academic Accommodations In compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), I will work with you if you have a documented disability that is relevant to successfully completing your work in this course. If you need academic accommodation for a documented disability, please contact me as soon as possible to discuss your needs. Students with documented needs for such accommodations must meet the same achievement standards required of all other students, although the exact way in which achievement is demonstrated may be altered. All requests for academic accommodations should be made as early as possible in the semester. For further information concerning disability accommodations, please contact Dr. William Scales at the Disability Support Service – (301) 314-7682. 5 Academic Integrity The University of Maryland, College Park has a nationally recognized Code of Academic Integrity, administered by the Student Honor Council. This Code sets standards for academic integrity at Maryland for all undergraduate and graduate students. As a student you are responsible for upholding these standards for this course. It is very important for you to be aware of the consequences of cheating, fabrication, facilitation, and plagiarism. For more information on the Code of Academic Integrity or the Student Honor Council, please visit http://www.shc.umd.edu. To further exhibit your commitment to academic integrity, remember to sign the Honor Pledge on all examinations and assignments: "I pledge on my honor that I have not given or received any unauthorized assistance on this examination (assignment)." For more information on the code of Academic Integrity or the Student Honor Council, please go to http://www.shc.umd.edu for details. On plagiarism -- It is important that the student synthesize pertinent information from the readings and class lectures when writing up homework assignments. Synthesis does not occur when large blocks of text are copied from the textbook or lecture notes and used to answer questions. You should avoid extensive verbatim copying of information from the textbook or lecture notes when answering the longer questions on the assignments. Make-Up Examinations The University policy states: “An instructor is not under obligation to offer a substitute assignment or to give a student a make-up assessment unless the failure to perform was due to an excused absence, that is, due to illness (of the student or a dependent), religious observance (where the nature of the observance prevents the student from being present during the class period), participation in university activities at the request of university authorities, or compelling circumstances beyond the student’s control. Students claiming excused absence must apply in writing and furnish documentary support for their assertion that absence resulted from one of these causes.” CourseEvalUM Your participation in the evaluation of courses through CourseEvalUM is a responsibility you hold as a student member of our academic community. Your feedback is confidential and important to the improvement of teaching and learning at the University as well as to the tenure and promotion process. CourseEvalUM will be open for you to complete your evaluations for spring semester courses between Tuesday, April 27th and Wednesday, May 12th. You can go directly to the website (www.courseevalum.umd.edu) to complete your evaluations starting April 27th. By completing all of your evaluations each semester, you will have the privilege of accessing the summary reports for thousands of courses online at Testudo. 6