Quantitative Research Methods I (EDMS 645) Section 0101 Spring 2014 EDU 3315 Monday – 4:15-7:00pm Instructor Dr. Hong Jiao 1230C Benjamin Building Phone: (301) 405-3627 Email: hjiao@umd.edu Office Hours Monday 1:00-3:00pm Tuesday 1:00-3:00pm or by appointment Teaching Intern Qiwen Zheng 0108M Cole Field House Email: qzheng12@umd.edu Office Hours Thursday 1:00-3:00pm or by appointment Course Description This course is the first graduate-level applied statistics course. It starts with an introduction to quantitative research methods, followed by descriptive statistics, and ends with inferential statistics. Their applications in real research settings are exemplified throughout the course. It emphasizes the correct understanding of basic statistics for quantitative data analysis: data representation; descriptive statistics; and hypothesis testing. This course demonstrates some quantitative data analysis procedures based on a commonly used statistical computer package: SPSS. Proper interpretation of the statistical analysis results is one of the course foci. In addition, this course will introduce three international test or survey data sets including the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/), Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pirls/), and Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS, http://nces.ed.gov/timss/) to promote students using these existing international tests and survey data in their research (http://www.aera.net/grantsprogram/res_training/diss_grants/DGFly.html). Recommended Textbook • Hinkle, D.E., Wiersma, W., & Jurs, S.G. (2003). Applied Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, Fifth Edition. Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin. • Lomax, R. G., & Hahs-Vaughn, D. L. (2012). An introduction to statistical concepts (3rd ed.). New York: Routledge. Additional Reference Textbooks • Agresti, A., & Finlay, B. (1997). Statistical methods for the social sciences (3rd ed.) Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall. • Glass, G. V., & Hopkins, K. D. (1996). Statistical methods in education and psychology (3rd ed.) Needham Heights, MA: Allyn and Bacon. • Howell, D.C. (2002). Statistical methods for psychology (5th edition). Pacific Grove, CA: Duxbury Press. 1 Course Topics and Readings Course topics can be found: http://www.education.umd.edu/EDMS/courses/TopicsEDMS645.pdf or under Syllabus in ELMS. The following table lists the topics to be covered in this course. This timetable is tentative and subject to changes. Week Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1/27 2/3 2/10 2/17 2/24 3/3 3/10 3/17 3/24 3/31 4/7 4/14 4/21 14 4/28 15 16 5/5 5/12 Topics Introduction & research methods Sampling & scale of measurement Organizing and graphing data-SPSS training Central tendency, variation, & percentiles Normal distribution & scale transformation Correlation Simple Linear Regression Spring break Mid-term Conference Probability & Sampling distributions Hypothesis testing: one-sample for mean Hypothesis testing: one-sample for correlation two-sample for mean (dependent samples) Hypothesis testing: two-sample for mean (independent samples) Chi-square test for nominal data & review Final exam Readings ECP HW1 HW2 HW3 Schafer & Johnson, in-class notes Hinkle – Ch. 7 & Ch. 1 Hinkle – Ch. 2-computer lab Hinkle – Ch. 3 (CL) Hinkle – Ch. 4 (CL) Hinkle – Ch. 5 (CL) Hinkle – Ch. 6 No class P HW4 HW5 No class Hinkle – Ch. 7 Hinkle – Ch. 8 (CL) Hinkle – Ch. 10 & Ch. 11 (CL) Hinkle – Ch. 11 (CL) P/ECP due Hinkle – Ch. 21 Lecture notes, homework assignments, data, and announcements will be posted at www.elms.umd.edu. Please log into the website to access to the course materials. Statistical Software EDMS program supports SPSS versions 21.0 and higher (Windows and Macintosh). SPSS is available in the Benjamin Building’s computer lab (0230) in the basement. Students may use whichever recent package they wish, but they should know that slight differences may exist among versions. Students can either use a campus lab to do SPSS assignments; or buy the student version of SPSS that is licensed for about a year. It is available for $35 at https://terpware.umd.edu/Windows/Package/2181. Note that you will need to visit the Terrapin Technology store in Stamp Union to pick up a product key. 2 Course Objectives By the end of the course the student should have demonstrated the ability to: 1. Identify types of quantitative research methods and threats to internal and external validity. 2. Identify different sampling methods. 3. Identify differences between the four scales of measurement and the scale of measurement of a variable. 4. Differentiate between samples and populations and between parameters and random variables, and know when each is used. 5. Identify different kinds of graphs (histograms, stem-and-leaf diagrams, boxplots, etc.) and know proper uses (and misuses) of each kind of graph. 6. Properly construct each kind of graph when given a set of data. 7. Interpret graphic and tabular representations of data, recognizing important differences among them. 8. Recognize and identify differences between various descriptive statistics, such as the mean, median, variance, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis. 9. Recognize formulas for the above statistics (as well as others), and be able to write them in summation notation. 10. Compute the above statistics. 11. Compute the descriptive statistics for linear transformations and combinations of variables, and describe the influence of the transformations on the statistics. 12. Describe distributions of different types in terms of shape, location and variability, and match the values of descriptive statistics to corresponding graphic representations of data. 13. Calculate the correlations and know when they are most appropriately applied. 14. Construct a prediction model using simple linear regression and interpret the resulting values. 15. Compute and interpret measures of explained variation. 16. Recognize differences in the properties of normal and nonnormal distributions, and identify the consequences of the central limit theorem. 17. Know the definition and properties of sampling distributions including Type I and Type II errors. 18. Use the sampling distribution of the sample mean to compute a test statistic and an interval estimate for the population mean. 19. Use the sampling distribution of the difference between two sample means to compute a test statistic and interval estimate for the population mean difference (independent groups). 20. Use the sampling distribution of the difference between two sample means to compute a test statistic and interval estimate for the population mean difference (dependent groups). 21. Know the definition of power and factors affecting it. 22. Perform a test of goodness-of-fit, interpret results in terms of the hypothesis being tested 23. Perform a test of independence (“homogeneity”), interpret the results in terms of the hypothesis being tested They are in alignment with the course topics 3 Formal Course Assessment Homework Assignments (HW) There will be 5 homework assignments spaced evenly throughout the semester to give students an opportunity to apply and practice concepts learned in class. It is expected that students will be using SPSS for their homework where computer work is required. When working the assignments, students are expected to pull together the material from lecture, the text, and the supplemental notes where applicable. In the assignments students should cut and paste relevant portions of the computer output into the appropriate places in the homework to show how solutions are arrived. Assignments should be wellorganized and must be word-processed. Students are encouraged to work in pairs or groups. You can choose to submit your individual homework. Or one copy of the homework for the group you work together can be submitted for everyone. The maximum number of students allowed in a group will be three for homework submission. Then each student in that group will get the same score. We can not provide feedback on your answers to homework questions before you submit your homework. Late homework assignments will be accepted with a penalty of 10% credit. Graded assignments will generally be returned in the following class after they are submitted. Project There will be one project which requires students to use a real data set to produce proper descriptive statistics to summarize the data and to use one or several statistical methods to analyze the data. Exams There will be two in-class exams. The content of the exam will cover topics presented in class up to that point. The exam will be closed book and closed class note; however, students may prepare and use a reference sheet of a 8.5”x11” two-sided page of notes. Students should bring a calculator to the exams; but calculator sharing between students will not be allowed. No cell phone calculators can be used in exams. Extra Credit Project (ECP) There will be one project which is optional and give you an opportunity to replace one homework assignment with the lowest score. If you are satisfied with your homework points accumulated, you do not need to work on the extra credit project. If you choose to turn in the extra credit project and the score for the extra credit project is higher than the lowest homework score, your homework assignment with the lowest score will be dropped and the extra credit project score will be counted towards your total homework points. If your extra credit project is graded with a score lower than the lowest homework assignment’ score, no action will be taken. Another Extra Credit Opportunity There will be 10 quizzes at the beginning of 10 classes. If you get 3 out of 5 or 2 out of 3 questions correct for the quiz, you get 1 score point. You can use your accumulated quiz score points to replace one of your lowest homework score. 4 Course Grades Students’ homework, quizzes and exam will be combined using a weighted average grading scheme with the corresponding weights given below. Final letter grades will then be assigned based on the given scale. Assessment Weight Overall Course Percent Grade Total homework points 50% 100%-95% A+ Total midterm exam points 20% 94% - 91% A Total project points 10% 90% - 88% ATotal final exam points 20% 87% - 85% B+ 84% - 81% B 80% - 78% B77% - 75% C+ 74% - 70% C 69% - 65% C64% - 60% D+ 59% - 55% D 54% - 50% DF 49% Incompletes Incompletes for this course will be given on a case-by-case basis. The most valid reason for an incomplete is an unforeseen event that gravely interferes with a student’s ability to perform at an adequate level. Incompletes will not be given for unqualified poor performance. CLASS POLICIES Academic integrity: The University of Maryland, College Park has a student-administered Honor Code and Honor Pledge. For more information on the Code of Academic Integrity or the Student Honor Council, please visit http://www.studenthonorcouncil.umd.edu/whatis.html. This Code sets standards for academic integrity at Maryland for all undergraduate and graduate students. As a student you are responsible for upholding these standards for this course. It is very important for you to be aware of the consequences of cheating, fabrication, facilitation, and plagiarism. The code prohibits students from cheating, fabrication, facilitating academic dishonesty, and plagiarism. Instances of this include submitting someone else’s work as your own, submitting your own work completed for another class without permission, or failing to properly cite information other than your own (found in journals, books, online, or otherwise). Any form of academic dishonesty will not be tolerated, and any sign of academic dishonesty will be reported to the appropriate University officials. Special needs: If you have a registered disability that will require accommodation, please see the instructor so necessary arrangements can be made. If you have a disability and have not yet registered with the University, please contact Disability Support Services in the Shoemaker Building (301.314.7682, or 301.405.7683 TTD) as soon as possible. 5 Religious observances: The University of Maryland policy on religious observances states that students not be penalized in any way for participation in religious observances. Students shall be allowed, whenever possible, to make up academic assignments that are missed due to such absences. However, the must contact the instructor before the absence with a written notification of the projected absence, and arrangements will be made for make-up work or examinations. Course evaluations: As a member of our academic community, students have a number of important responsibilities. One of these responsibilities is to submit course evaluations each term though CourseEvalUM in order to help faculty and administrators improve teaching and learning at Maryland. All information submitted to CourseEvalUM is confidential. Campus will notify you when CourseEvalUM is open for you to complete your evaluations for fall semester courses. Please go directly to the website (www.courseevalum.umd.edu) to complete your evaluations. By completing all of your evaluations each semester, you will have the privilege of accessing online, at Testudo, the evaluation reports for the thousands of courses for which 70% or more students submitted their evaluations. Missed single class due to illness: Once during a semester, a student’s self-authored note will be accepted as an excuse for missing a minor scheduled grading event in a single class session if the note documents the date of the illness, acknowledgement from the student that information provided in the note is correct, and a statement that the student understands that providing false information is a violation of the Code of Student Conduct. Students are expected to attempt to inform the instructor of the illness prior to the date of the missed class.* Major scheduled grading events: Major Scheduled Grading Events (MSGE) are indicated on the syllabus. The conditions for accepting a self-signed note do not apply to these events. Written, signed documentation by a health care professional, or other professional in the case of non-medical reasons (see below) of a University-approved excuse for the student’s absence must be supplied. This documentation must include verification of treatment dates and the time period for which the student was unable to meet course requirements. Providers should not include diagnostic information. Without this documentation, opportunities to make up missed assignments or assessments will not be provided. Non-consecutive, medically necessitated absences from multiple class sessions: Students who throughout the semester miss multiple, non-consecutive class sessions due to medical problems must provide written documentation from a health care professional that their attendance on those days was prohibited for medical reasons. Non-medical excused absences: According to University policy, non-medical excused absences for missed assignments or assessments may include illness of a dependent, religious observance, involvement in University activities at the request of University officials, or circumstances that are beyond the control of the student. Students asking for excused absence for any of those reasons must also supply appropriate written documentation of the cause and make every attempt to inform the instructor prior to the date of the missed class. 6