The University of Lethbridge Faculty of Management Management 3460 Global Finance Fall 2010 TH 173 A.P. Palasvirta, Ph.D. Office M4132 Phone: (403) 332-4582 e-mail: oz.palasvirta@uleth.ca Goal of Course The mechanics of international markets are becoming increasingly relevant to the study of business. Money and capital markets are already nearly completely internationalized. Daily capital flows are quite large and have very dramatic effects on international valuation of assets. Goods markets are quickly becoming internationalized. Free trade areas are accelerating the conversion of the world into one goods market. It is imperative that students be familiar with the manner in which the international financial system and trading markets operate. Consequently, we will examine the problems and policies of financial decision making in the multinational corporation (MNC), from the perspective of nonfinancial managers. The underlying presumption is that financial management concepts, which are useful in a singlecountry context, must be adapted, sometimes quite dramatically, in an international context. This requires that firms employ multiple sets of goals to take into consideration country-specific factors in the decision process, e.g., political risk as a function of host-government policies, cultural criteria affecting the work habits and productivity of host-country labor, perceptions about how shareholders and management regard risk in the host country. We will discuss these factors in the context of how they modify the risks of the firm in the capital budgeting process. We will also address other complicating factors such as problems that arise for denominating all operating cash flows in terms of another unit of account, thus exposing the international firm to exchange rate risk. Much of our energy during the semester will be concentrated in understanding the impact of parity conditions upon international money and capital, and goods flows. We will also examine the means, e.g, forward, futures, options and swaps contracts, which are used to hedge exchange rate risk by MNCs. Whenever possible and convenient, current events, relevant to the course, will be integrated into the class discussion. Text and Other Sources International Financial Management, Canadian Perspectives 2nd Ed., Eun, Resnick, and Brean, Toronto: McGraw-Hill Ryerson, ISBN 13: 978-0-07-096490-7. The Globe & Mail, Calgary Herald, National Post Administration of the Course Each class period is given below along with the material that will be covered during that period. Each period will begin with a discussion of the events currently happening in the world that have relevance to the material that we are covering in the book. I also will post on-line my lecture notes in the form of powerpoint presentations. It is strongly recommended that the best way to navigate through the material is to read ahead. Most chapters will be covered in two class periods giving you ample time to read the chapter and think about the questions given at the end of the chapter to deepen your knowledge of the material. Examination will be through two midterm exams on the material noted and a final exam that will be comprehensive including all the materials covered over the complete semester. The grading in the course will be proportioned as follows: Each term exam: 30% Final exam: 40% Midterm Examinations will include three types of questions: ten definitions worth three points each and multiple short-answer and problem questions totaling 70 pts. You will have the full period, 90 minutes to complete the midterm exams. The final will be 150 points to include 15 definitions worth three points each and multiple short-answer and problem questions totaling 105 points. You will have a full 120 minutes to complete the final exam. The exams will be graded and assigned a point total with the following approximate letter grade equivalents. A+ A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D F 90 – 100 pts 85 – 89 pts 80 – 84 pts 77 – 79 pts 73 – 76 pts 7 0 – 72 pts 67 – 69 pts 63 – 66 pts 60 – 62 pts 55 – 59 pts 50 – 54 pts below 50 pts Course Outline Week One Learning Objectives: We will discuss the major concepts necessary to understand international trends in economics: types of monetary regimes, exchange rates, balance of payments, exposure, international financing of trade and investment. 1. September 9 Discussion of course objectives, grading, etc Chapter 1 Week Two Learning Objectives: The international monetary system provides liquidity for not only international trade but also international financial flows for both portfolio and foreign direct investment. We will examine the evolution of the international monetary system to what exists today. Today we have four types of international monetary arrangements: the fixed exchange rate regime, the floating exchange rate regime, and dollarization. How these differ and how they affect their underlying economies is important. 2. 3. September 14 September 16 Evolution of the system Comparison of the current systems Chapter 2 Chapter 2 Week Three Learning Objectives: A Canada’s balance of payments (BOP) identifies, in Canadian dollar terms, how much of that country’s goods, services, and wealth have been purchased by individuals outside of Canada and how much individuals in Canada have purchased of foreign goods, services, and wealth. Goods, services and wealth are tallied in different accounts. The difference is known as the BOP. We will also examine the impact that either a BOP deficit or surplus has on international and internal prices . 4. 5. September 21 September 23 Balance of payments accounts The function and structure of the markets Chapter 3 Chapter 4 Week Four Learning Objectives: Foreign exchange markets average nearly $4 trillion dollars of trades daily which makes it the biggest and most dynamic market in the world. We will learn the vocabulary of foreign exchange trading as well as the mechanics of it. 6. 7. September 28 September 30 Week Five Spot and forward markets The parity conditions Chapter 4 Chapter 5 Learning Objectives: Parity conditions are theoretical statements that state that pair-wise between economies of relationships between prices, interest rates, and exchange rates. These theoretical statements assume efficient markets and ceteris paribus conditions. We will examine their usefulness in forecasting. 8. 9. October 5 October 7 Forecasting a quick review Chapter 5 Chapters 1 -5 Week Six 10. October 12 Thanksgiving (no classes) October 14 Midterm exam Chapters 1 to 5 Week Seven Learning Objectives: The international banking system contributed to a world-wide liquidity meltdown in 2009. We will discuss this in the context of the multiplicity of regulatory frameworks with respect to reserve ratios and capital adequacy standards. Obviously there is going to be re-regulation of financial system that we will also examine from the point of view of Canada and its trading partners. 11. 12. October 19 October 21 The function and structure of international banking Debt crises, their origins and their impacts Chapter 6 Chapter 6 Week Eight Learning Objectives: Chartered (deposit) banks, historically, have provided much of the sources for financing of both trade and portfolio and foreign direct investment. Investment banks and secondary markets in bonds, bills, and asset-backed securities increasingly are competing for business. Financial services firms recently have blurred the distinction between deposit banking and investment banking. Obviously there have been consequences to this evolution to full financial services of financial firms. 13. 14. October 26 October 28 The bond markets The equity markets Chapter 7 Chapter 8 Week Nine Learning Objectives: The media has characterized derivative contracts as being very risky. However there are two sides to the argument and the one has not had much exposure in the press. Derivative contracts were initially and still used to hedge risk; to offload the risk of volatility of prices onto some one else. Often both sides of the contract are hedging risk, but speculators do exist who take additional risk for a potential higher expected return; they are making a bet on the market direction. 15. 16. November 2 November 4 Futures & options Interest rate swaps & currency Chapter 9 Chapter 10 Week Ten Learning Objectives: You have already looked at the role of pair-wise correlation of individual return distributions in reducing overall portfolio risk, the variance of the portfolio. This diversification benefit was very strong even when putting domestic assets into a balanced portfolio where all the assets were generating their returns in the same economy. However, now it is possible to diversify into assets generating returns in other economies that have very different dynamics. We will look at the benefits of international portfolio diversification. 17. 18. November 9 November 11 International portfolio diversification International portfolio diversification Chapter 11 Chapter 11 Week Eleven Learning Objectives: Foreign direct investment involves investment in real assets in other countries, not just financial assets. This involves very different levels of risk to the firm: political risk, operating and accounting exposure, etc. We will discuss these risks. 19. 20. November 16 November 18 Foreign direct investment a quick review Chapter 15 Chapters 6 -11,15 Week Twelve Learning Objectives: Economic exposure exists because real exchange rates change. Previously we talked about the parity conditions and noted that if purchasing power parity does not hold, then there are real consequences with respect to the value of trade between two countries. We will examine the consequences of economic exposure 21. November 23 Midterm Two 22. November 25 Economic exposure Chapters 6 -11,15 Chapter 12 Week Thirteen Learning Objectives: Transaction exposure is faced anytime you have a time lag between fixing a price in a contract and the payment of the contract. With floating exchange rates, your return fixed in another currency, can change in your domestic currency. We will discuss methods that one can use to hedge this exposure. 23. 24. November 30 December 2 Transaction exposure Transaction exposure Chapter 13 Chapter 13 Week Fourteen Learning Objectives: Translation exposure refers to the risk to the firm’s financial statements as a result of exchange rate changes. 25. 26. December 7 December 9 Translation exposure Review Chapter 14 Week Fifteen 27. December 14: Final exam (Tuesday, 14:00 – 16:00) (date subject to change) Chapters 1 – 15