Session 16 Globalization

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Session 16

Globalization

There are only two families in the world, my old grandmother used to say, The Haves and the Have-Nots.

Cervantes, Miguel de (1547 - 1616)

Spanish novelist. Don Quixote , Pt. II, Ch. 20, 1615

What is globalization?

What is globalization?

Make the world your sales territory

What is globalization?

World I

National economies were self-contained entities

Barriers to crossborder trade and investment

National differences in government regulations, culture, etc.

World II

Barriers to crossborder trade and investment are tumbling

Perceived distance is shrinking

National economies are merging

Material culture is becoming similar

Today facts

The volume of goods, services, and investment crossing national borders has expanded faster than world output

Drivers of globalization

1.

Declining trade and investment barriers

Protectionism (1920s – 1930s)

WWII

GATT

From 1991 to 2000 of the 1121 changes worldwide in the laws governing FI, 95% created more favorable environment

Average tariff rates on manufactured products as %value

Country 1913 1950 1990 2000

France 21% 18% 5.9% 3.9%

Germany

Italy

Japan

Holland word trade >> world output

Sweden

Firms are finding their home markets under attack from foreign companies.

Britain

United

States

20

18

30

5

20

-

44

26

25

-

11

9

23

14

5.9

5.9

5.3

5.9

4.4

5.9

4.8

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.9

Drivers of globalization

2.

The role of technological change

– Microprocessors and telecommunications

– Internet

– Transportation technology

Source: National Science Board, Science and

Engineering Indicators - 2000

The Changing Demographic of the Global Economy

World output and world trade

Country

United States

Japan

Germany

Canada

China

South Korea

Share of World

Output

1963

40.3%

5.5

9.7

2000

27.0%

14.2

7.3

3.0

NA

NA

2.0

3.2

1.4

Share of World

Export

2000

12.3%

7.54

8.7

4.4

3.92

2.7

The Changing Demographics of the Global Economy

2. The changing FDI picture

The Changing Demographics of the Global Economy

Country 1973 1990 1997 2000

3. The changing nature of the MNE

Since 1960s,

-

The rise of non-US MNEs

-

The rise of mini-multinationals

USA

Japan

48.5% 31.5% 32.4% 26%

3.5

12 15.7

17

UK 18.8

16.8

6.6

8

Germany 8.1

8.9

12.7

12

Globalization

Is Globalization threatening your economy?

Indonesia

Venezuela

Russia

Mexico

Brazil korea

Israel

Canada

USA

Finland

0 it is

2 4 6 8 10

Is not

Globalization

Attitudes Toward Globalization

Venezuela

Russia

India

Mexico

China

Japan

Canada

USA

Netherlands

0 negative

2 4 6 8 postitive

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