Chapter Twelve Futures Contracts and Portfolio Management Answers to Problems and Questions 1. Immunization refers to the situation in which the effects of interest rate risk and reinvestment rate risk largely cancel. 2. Bullet immunization seeks to ensure that a predetermined sum of money is available at a specific time in the future. Bank immunization seeks to ensure that net worth does not decline due to changing interest rates. This latter type requires consideration of both the interest sensitive assets and the interest sensitive liabilities on the balance sheet. 3. If interest rates rise, bond prices will fall, but coupons received can be reinvested at a higher rate than before the interest rate change. The converse is true if rates fall. Interest rate risk and reinvestment rate risk generally affect a portfolio in opposite directions. Under bullet immunization, the effects of the two types of risk cancel. 4. The funds gap is the difference between a firm’s rate sensitive assets and its rate sensitive liabilities. The wider the funds gap, the greater the potential that changing interest rates might hurt an institution. 5. Banks normally are much more able to make changes to the left side of their balance sheet. 6. Bonds, mortgages, and marketable certificates of deposit are rate sensitive; savings bonds, passbook accounts, and checking accounts are not. 7. Sell rate sensitive assets and hold cash. Use cash to buy rate sensitive assets. Sell long term bonds and buy short term bonds. Sell low coupon securities and buy higher coupon securities. 8. For technical reasons, the published conversion factors only make bonds exactly equivalent when the long-term bond rate is exactly 6%. If the rate deviates from this value, the conversion factors introduce modest error. 43 Chapter Twelve. Futures Contracts and Portfolio Management 9. The basis point value is the change in the price of a bond for a one basis point change in the yield to maturity of the bond. The basis point value concept facilitates comparing the dollar impact of portfolio adjustments. 10. Immunization often reduces the interest rate risk of the portfolio and usually reduces the portfolio yield. It may be costly in terms of trading fees. Also, it may require additional managerial time to maintain the immunization. 11. Immunization is instantaneous only because bond durations change as time passes and as interest rates change. Duration is a first derivative statistic, and its predications may deviate from reality as underlying conditions change. 12. Treasury bonds have varying characteristics, and, as a consequence, are not fungible. The conversion factors seek to make the delivery process easier by making numerous T-bonds economically feasible to use for delivery. Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total Interest 13. 10% 1 8,800 8% 8% 8% 8% 2 3 4 5 9,504 10,264.30 11,085.47 11,972.30 8,800 9,504 10,264.30 11,085.47 8,800 9,504 10,264.30 8,800 9,504 8,800 8,800 18,304.00 28,568.30 39,653.77 51,260.07 8% 6 12,930.09 11,972.30 11,085.47 10,264.30 9,504 8,800 64,556.16 Bond Value 101,451.96 Total $166,008.12 14. Security XYZ DEF ALQ LLG FFQ T-bills 44 Value Duration 0 $63,728 40,376 48,810 69,972 50,860 5.20 7.55 5.79 8.38 1.88 0.25 Weighted Duration 0 1.76 0.85 1.49 0.48 0.05 4.63 Chapter Twelve. Futures Contracts and Portfolio Management 15. Individual response 16. Funds gap = rate sensitive assets minus rate sensitive liabilities = $45 million - $22 million = $23 million 17. Hedge ratio = 0.9150 x # contracts = $10 million x 1 .82 182 contracts $100,000 18. Hedge ratio = 0.8450 x # contracts = 100 x 14.6 1.82 98 x 7.5 100 x 8.6 0.77 99 x 9.5 $130 million x 0.77 1,001 contracts $100,000 19. Using the CONVFACT file, 1.1929 20. Using the CONVFACT file, 1.3085 21. BPV 6.44 x $56 million x 0.0001 $34,560.01 1 .087 2 22. The “portfolio value” for a futures contract is $100,000: BPV 5.5 x $100,000 x 0.0001 $65.54 (1 .066 ) x 0.8124 2 45