Risk Management Education for Dairy Producers in the 21st Century MIKE ROBERTS COMMODITY MARKETING EXTENSION AGENT, VIRGINIA FARM BUSINESS MANAGEMENT EXTENSION AGENT, SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA Prince George County Extension Office P.O. Box 68, 6450 Administration Drive Prince George, VA 23875 804-733-2686; 804-733-2676 fax; 804-720-1993 cell mrob@vt.edu Change is inevitable … Except from a vending machine … Ron Plain 2 Our deliverables are still education. In light of present resource challenges we “must” respond in creative ways to help our clients close the “Knowing vs. Doing” gap. Whether it is good or bad depends upon your perspective Funding 3 Project funding sponsor: This material is based upon work supported by USDA/CSREES under Award Number 2007-49200-03891 Why the need for something Different? 4 Shrinking resource pools: Budgets Personnel Changing extension audiences and delivery tools/methods Expanded role of field extension faculty Risk Management more important now than ever before Project Time Frame 5 Pilot project 2006 - $1,000.00 Outlook 2007/08 - $40,000.00 Outlook 2008/09 - $50,000.00 Outlook + County Meetings 2009/10 - $45,975.00 Project Summary Partners: 6 Community Colleges Virginia Department of Transportation / Virginia Dept. of Ag. (VDACs) 14 U.S. Land Grants / 40+ Specialists International: Universidad Catolica, BA, SA; Centre National Interprofessionnel de l'Economie Laitière (CNIEL) & Maison du Lait National: State Department CME Group, CBOT, eHedger, LLC, DTN Farm Credit / Farm Bureau / Industry partners – Dan Gramza Project Summary 7 Delivery mechanisms: Video Conference utilizing the Internet Presentations On-site – fully interactive presentations Impact measurement – Focus groups, prepost test, internet survey, personal follow up In the last year - Multiple video conferencing sites plus live-streaming video Project Summary 8 Participant goals: 1,500 producers, 600 extension educators, 300 community influencers, 100 Small or limited resource farmers Sequential learners ~750. Project Goals: Present information that helps participants make better decisions Target different geographic regions Enlist new & future collaborators Make most efficient use of resources Project Summary 9 Learning Objectives: Understand risk management tools Understand economic outlook Understand where to find marketing resources Able to anticipate market movement in order to make profitable decisions 2009 / 2010 Project Summary 10 Live Producer meetings: Participated via live video feed Live Streaming Video: Participated via live streaming internet link Posted meeting materials on VT / Ag. Econ. Website All meetings were completely interactive with chat and call in questions Six extended learner sessions with an educational and an outlook component First series focused on cattle producers in SW Virginia Second series focuses on small and limited farmers in central and southern Virginia Third series focused on dairy producers in VA, NC, Penn, and France Project Results 11 Pilot meeting showed a clear need for a good “on- site/remote” speaker mix. 2006 Matias Nardi of Buenos Aires, SA Dr. David Anderson – TAMU – Cattle 2006 Dr. Delton Gerloff, UT Dr. Ron Plain - Cattle Dr. Emmit Rawles - Cattle Different room Set ups 2007 Dr. Don Shurley - Cotton Dr. Gregg Ibendahl - Inputs Congressman Bob Goodlatte On-site Farm Bill Outlook presentation. Professor James Pease On-site Farm Bill Outlook presentation. 2008 Small Farmer / Lender Collaboration Meeting, Virginia State University 2009 – New Format Small Farmer / Lender Collaboration Meeting, Virginia State University 2009 “FARM” 101 Cattle Producer Marketing Class 17 Futures, Assumptions, Risk, and Marketing 6 – week course for cattle producers Dan Gramza – CME Group, Chicago Explaining Candlestick Charts and trading strategies. Project Adjustment: = “How To” + “Outlook” component. 2009 Good view of room and what Ron Plain saw on his end. 2009 “FARM” 101 Cattle Producer Marketing Class Students had homework and old fashioned handouts to aid distance presenters Two young men discovered they had enough cattle to hedge if they worked together. Dads went along with it. Made money too! 6 classes involved over 270 participants 2009 “FARM” 101 Dairy Producer Marketing Class 20 Futures, Assumptions, Risk, and Marketing Veronique Pilet – Paris, France Hosted dairy producers in Paris, France simultaneously at risk management meetings Dairy Risk Management Workshop series France and EU : a market outlook 6 classes for 520 dairy producers in VA, NC, PA, MD, and WV Introduced Live-Streaming-Video = 45,967 participants in 41 states and 19 countries 2009/10 Example of what we learned? EU - Dairy 21production 2.5 million dairy farms Average 10 cows/farm ! (~ 40 cows in big dairy member states) 134 million tons of milk delivered (2008) 1st Germany : 27.8 MT 2nd France : 23.8 MT 3rd United-Kingdom : 13.4 MT Dairy production in the world In 2008 (million tons) Share / Total 22 Europe 213 31% UE of 27 152 Russia 33 Ukraina 12 Belarus 6 North Am. 95 14% USA 86 Canada 8 Central Am. 17 2-3% Mexico 11 South Am. 56 8% Brasil 28 Argentina 10 Colombia 7 CNIEL / FAO june 2009 Asia 247 36% Africa 36 5% India 106 China 42 Pakistan 35 Turkey 12 Sudan 7 Kenya 4 South Af. 3 Oceania 25 3-4% N-Zealand 15 Australia 9 Total World : 688 million tons Key dairy figures for France 23 83,000 dairy farmers, 200,000 direct jobs 2nd milk processor in Europe 700 processors, 60,000 jobs Turnover 23.4 billion € 3 French dairy groups among the first 15 in the world Commercial balance : 2.9 billion € Dairy farms in France 24 West : almost 60% of French milk Mountains : 15% of French milk CNIEL d’après Enquête Annuelle Laitière Impacts 25 Impacts were measured by: Meeting Surveys Key Informant Interviews Focus groups Mail surveys Follow up phone calls Follow up visits Follow up, follow up, follow up! Impacts IMPACTs to Date: 26 1,596 producers, 701 Extension agents, 591 agriculture community influencers, and 3,006 extended learners (45,967 streaming video). By respective year: 2006: Pilot: 49 producers, 7 Extension agents, and 23 ag. influencers participated; 2007: 146 producers, 57 Extension agents, and 94 ag. influencers participated; 2008: 272 producers, 79 Extension agents, and 139 ag. influencers participated. 2009/10: 1,129 (270 beef + 520 dairy) producers, 285 Extension agents, and 335 Ag. Influencers; 119 small/limited resource farmers; … Streaming video for dairy only. Impacts 2006 – 2010: Increased Aggregate net profits in the amount of $5,166,099.31 27 2006: $39,500.00 was made in additional profits 2007: $638,116.50 was added to the bottom line due to $365,107.50 in additional revenue and $273,009.00 in input savings 2008: $899,085.00 / $456,055.00 in nitrogen savings & $443,030.00 additional revenues from forward commodity sales and hedging activities. 2009/10: $3,589,397.81 / $1,148,607.30 in input savings & $2,440,790.51 in risk management strategies. Savings in speaker travel costs = $281,905.00 2006: $4,005.00 / 2007: $27,575.00 / 2008: $36,825.00 / 2009/10: $213,500.00 Project Results Closing the “Knowing vs. Doing Gap” 28 Producers: 99% (+2% over last year) of participants said they had a better-to-much-better understanding of the current local, regional, and world market outlook for their relative commodity group or business interest 100% said they where better able to find more marketing resources 86% (+5%) said they would be better able to anticipate market movement and make profitable decisions 95% (+4%) said they gained a better understanding of how to use the futures market and other risk management tools Project Results Closing the “Knowing vs. Doing Gap” 29 Extension Agents: 96% (+7%) acquired more up-to-date knowledge of commodity market outlook 87% (+11%) said they were more comfortable passing along marketing and outlook information learned in the seminars to clients. 93% (+2%) said they gained a broader knowledge of risk management tools and current market strategies 95% (+66%) said they would help support another project via a more active role in advertising and encouraging clientele to attend. Project Results Closing the “Knowing vs. Doing Gap” 30 Ag. Influencers : 100% Learn most up-to-date economic and market outlook 100% said information presented in seminars would allow them to better serve their clients and help them maximize profits 100% fully endorsed the current Outlook project and expressed a willingness to participate more pro-actively in future projects Project Results Unexpected: Closing the “Knowing vs. Doing Gap” 31 Producer collaboration – hedging, truck load lots, etc. Producer networking on input buying International Extension audiences consisted of 43 South American cattle producers in Buenos Aires, SA … and … 72 French dairy producers in western France Now collaborating with 3 international firms (CME Group; FMX Securities; and Gramza Capital) in 4 countries (France, Argentina, New Zealand, & Japan) to bring risk management education to producers. Last dairy RM series of 6 workshops reached over 50,000 producers in 43 states and 19 countries in real time. France wants to collaborate in developing an Extension type consulting program for dairy producers Both France and China are interested in working to find new dairy production opportunities in the U.S. Lessons Learned in over 4+ years 32 Must have local support in marketing the program Must give participants something worth their while besides supper (ie. “Must realize their time is valuable!”) 1 Old Extension program model still viable – Give them a “How To” segment combined with a Risk Management segment People still want UNBIASED opinion and research Multiple meeting format allowed participants to build beneficial collaborative and party/counterparty relationships. Multi-generational participants liked the technology Older generation producers want to “see” a speaker – younger generation okay with “webinar-type” program Lessons Learned in over 4+ years 33 Technology is simple, flexible, and can maximize limited fiscal and physical resources This may be a new paradigm to reach world-wide audiences in real time The Extension “Hey-Days” of the 60’s and 70’s are over. Multi-generational students are more “Techno-Savvy” and will use technology to get information – whether Extension provides it or not Information providers “must” come into the 21st Century with 21st Century methods 34 Questions ? A strong positive attitude will contribute more than any wonder drug. Patricia Neal 35 Where there is a will there is a way, sometimes we just need a helping hand. Today more than ever we must join together and be willing to help one another find the way to success. Mike Roberts Virginia Regional Market Analysis and Outlook utilizing the Internet as an Interactive Delivery System 36 MIKE ROBERTS COMMODITY MARKETING EXTENSION AGENT, VIRGINIA FARM BUSINESS MANAGEMENT EXTENSION AGENT, SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA Prince George County Extension Office P.O. Box 68, 6450 Administration Drive Prince George, VA 23875 804-733-2686; 804-733-2676 fax; 804-720-1993 cell mrob@vt.edu