3rd Virginia Regional Market Analysis and Outlook utilizing the Internet as an Interactive Delivery System MIKE ROBERTS COMMODITY MARKETING EXTENSION AGENT, VIRGINIA FARM BUSINESS MANAGEMENT EXTENSION AGENT, SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA Prince George County Extension Office P.O. Box 68, 6450 Administration Drive Prince George, VA 23875 804-733-2686; 804-733-2676 fax; 804-720-1993 cell mrob@vt.edu Change is inevitable … Except from a vending machine … Ron Plain Whether it is good or bad depends upon your perspective Funding Project funding sponsor: This material is based upon work supported by USDA/CSREES under Award Number 2007-49200-03891 Why? Decreasing land grant budgets Decreasing number of specialists & field faculty Changing extension audiences and delivery tools/methods Expanded role of field extension faculty Changing teaching/research & extension requirements Risk Management more important now than ever before Project Time Frame Pilot project 2006 - $1,000.00 Outlook 2007/08 - $40,000.00 Outlook 2008/09 - $50,000.00 Outlook and County Meetings 2009/10 $44,000.00 Project Summary Partnered with: Community Colleges of Virginia and VDOT 14 U.S. Land Grants & Universidad Catolica, BA, SA 37 Specialists US State Department - US Consulate, Buenos Aires, SA CME Group, CBOT, eHedger, LLC, DTN Farm Credit / Farm Bureau Other Ag. influencers – Elevator operators, input dealers, etc. Project Summary Presented Risk Management Information and measured impacts via: The Internet PolyCom and Tannberg Telephone lines for slower hookups Presentations – fully interactive On-site presentations Impact measurement – Focus groups, pre-post test, internet survey (survey monkey), personal follow up Project Summary The program was developed from pilot project. Presenters were recruited and trained – A MUST! IT training – A MUST! Seminar sites were identified ’07/’08 projects - web site developed to market the seminars, allow web based registration, post presenter bios, and meeting proceedings ’08/’09 Project marketing – personal contact, mailings, brochures, news media, word of mouth Utilized community college network and marketing channels Ag. Influencer support promoted project Local Extension Agent buy in – POSITIVELY a MUST! Project Summary Participant Targets: Extension Agents, Producers, Processors, Lenders, Vendors, Decision Makers, and any other Ag. Influencer that could be identified. 500 producers, 200 extension educators, 100 community influencers, 50 Small or limited resource farmers Sequential learners ~750. Project Goals: Present information that helps participants make better decisions Target different geographic regions Small farmers and lifestyle farmers Enlist new collaborators Make best and highest use of Extension educational resources Project Summary Producer Learning Objectives: Understand futures and risk management tools Understand economic outlook sectors affecting participants Understand where to find more marketing resources Be able to anticipate market movement and make profitable decisions Learn about the futures market and other risk management tools and how to use them to increase farm-gate profits. Extension Agent Learning Objectives: Acquire a broader, up-to-date knowledge of commodity market outlook Enable them to pass along information to Extension clients Gain a broader knowledge of: Risk management tools Current market and Economic conditions Project Summary Ag. Influencer Objectives: Learn most up-to-date economic and market outlook Use that information to maximize customer service to clients Be better equipped to help clients maximize profits Familiarize them with Outlook project mission, vision, and potential for future projects Enlist them as collaborators in order to reach more participants in future project years Project development Objectives: Show that this type of project would leverage already limited human and fiscal Extension program delivery resources Demonstrate the need for this type of program to the delineated program participants, collaborators, potential funders, and extension administration Show that this type of educational program could be developed and expanded in future years with success Project Results Pilot meeting showed a clear need for a good “on- site/remote” speaker mix. Interacting with Matias Nardi of Buenos Aires, SA and Dr. Delton Gerloff, UT Dr. David Anderson – TAMU – Cattle Dr. Ron Plain - Cattle Dr. Emmit Rawles - Cattle Different room Set ups Dr. Don Shurley - Cotton Dr. Gregg Ibendahl - Inputs Congressman Bob Goodlatte On-site Farm Bill Outlook presentation. Professor James Pease On-site Farm Bill Outlook presentation. Small Farmer / Lender Collaboration Meeting, Virginia State University Small Farmer / Lender Collaboration Meeting, Virginia State University “FARM” 101 Cattle Producer Marketing Class Futures, Assumptions, Risk, and Marketing Dan Gramza – CME Group, Chicago Explaining Candlestick Charts and trading strategies. Good view of room and what Ron Plain saw on his end. “FARM” 101 Cattle Producer Marketing Class Students had homework and old fashioned handouts to aid distance presenters 6 classes involved over 270 participants Impacts IMPACT STATEMENT to Date: 859 producers, 271 Extension agents, 353 agriculture community influencers, and 1,891 extended learners. By respective year: 2006 Pilot: 49 producers, 7 Extension agents, and 23 ag. influencers participated; 2007: 146 producers, 57 Extension agents, and 94 ag. influencers participated; 2008: 272 producers, 79 Extension agents, and 139 ag. influencers participated. 2009: 392 producers, 128 Extension agents, and 97 ag. influencers Impacts Increased Aggregate net profits in the amount of $2,063,761.50 to date 2006: $39,500.00 was made in additional profits 2007: $638,116.50 was added to the bottom line due to $365,107.50 in additional revenue and $273,009.00 in input savings 2008: $899,085.00 / $456,055.00 in nitrogen savings & $443,030.00 additional revenues from forward commodity sales and hedging activities. 2009: $487,060.00 / $135,013.00 in input savings & $352,047.00 in risk management strategies. Savings in speaker travel costs = $166,904.00 2006: $4,005.00 / 2007: $27,575.00 / 2008: $36,825.00 / 2009: $98,500.00 Project Results Producers: 99% (+2%) of participants said they had a better-to-muchbetter understanding of the current local, regional, and world market outlook for their relative commodity group or business interest 100% said they where better able to find more marketing resources 86% (+5%) said they would be better able to anticipate market movement and make profitable decisions 95% (+4%) said they gained a better understanding of how to use the futures market and other risk management tools Project Results Extension Agents: 96% (+7%) acquired more up-to-date knowledge of commodity market outlook 87% (+11%) said they were more comfortable passing along marketing and outlook information learned in the seminars to clients. 93% (+2%) said they gained a broader knowledge of risk management tools and current market strategies 95% (+66%) said they would help support another project via a more active role in advertising and encouraging clientele to attend. (Only 21% said they would support future work after year 1). Project Results Ag. Influencers : 100% Learn most up-to-date economic and market outlook 100% said information presented in seminars would allow them to better serve their clients and help them maximize profits 100% fully endorsed the current Outlook project and expressed a willingness to participate more pro-actively in future projects Unexpected: Producer collaboration on selling truckload lots Producer networking on input buying Producers and brokers collaborated on hedging Lenders and producers collaborating on retained ownership and feedlot cattle One Extension audience consisted of 43 South American cattle producers in Buenos Aires, SA I have been invited to collaborate in 3 countries this summer to develop this technology for several firms Lessons Learned in over 4+ years Must have local Extension agent support Must have help in promoting program (letters, web, personal contact, etc.) Must give participants something worth their while besides supper (ie. “Must realize their time is valuable!”) If you do, they will even pay to attend Old Extension program model still viable – Give them a “How To” segment combined with a Risk Management segment People still want the Land Grant UNBIASED opinion and research Lessons Learned in over 4+ years Must have TWO-WAY speaker and participant interaction Technology is simple, flexible, and can maximize limited fiscal and physical resources if “Program Producer” does homework and puts effort into it This can be a new Extension paradigm and way to reach world-wide audiences in real time The Extension “Hey-Day” of the 60’s and 70’s is over. Audiences are more “Techno-Savvy” and will use technology to get information – whether Extension provides it or not If Extension and the Land Grants don’t come into the 21st Century they will be replaced with paid consultants who are already doing this by the bucket loads Questions Virginia Regional Market Analysis and Outlook utilizing the Internet as an Interactive Delivery System MIKE ROBERTS COMMODITY MARKETING EXTENSION AGENT, VIRGINIA FARM BUSINESS MANAGEMENT EXTENSION AGENT, SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA Prince George County Extension Office P.O. Box 68, 6450 Administration Drive Prince George, VA 23875 804-733-2686; 804-733-2676 fax; 804-720-1993 cell mrob@vt.edu