Crop Compare Dwight Aakre, Farm Management Specialist Andy Swenson, Farm & Family Resource Management Specialist Crop Compare A spreadsheet to assist producers in determining the competitiveness of different crops to produce North Dakota Agriculture in 2006 Crop Wheat Soybeans Corn Barley Sugarbeets Sunflower Canola Dry Edible Beans *Based on 2005 Percentage of Total Cash Receipts 31 19 13 3 4.4* 4 4 4 Planted Acres 8,290,000 3,870,000 1,400,000 995,000 243,000 860,000 935,000 640,000 Total Value of Crop Production North Dakota, 2006 Other Crops 12% Soybeans 19% Barley 3% Dry Edible Beans 4% Canola 4% Sunflower 4% Potatoes 5% All Wheat 31% Hay 5% Corn Grain 13% Defaults in Crop Compare Nine regional budgets Costs and yields from Extension crop budgets Yields are 7-year Olympic average User selects a base crop: corn, soybeans or wheat Objective The objective of “crop compare” is to calculate the cash price needed for other crops to yield the same return over variable costs as the base crop User Input All yields All variable costs Futures price and basis for base crop Shortcoming of Crop Compare Fixed costs are not included Machinery ownership Owner/operator labor Differences in management and risk are not included NDSU Crop Budget Regions Renville Divide NW Bottineau ttineau Burke Towner NC Williams Mountrail Pierce Eddy Wells Sheridan Foster Dunn Mercer Oliver Burleigh Stark Morton Adams Traill Steele SV Stutsman Kidder SC Cass Barnes SE Logan Hettinger Grant Bowman Griggs EC Billings Slope Grand Forks Nelson McLean SW Walsh Benson McKenzie Golden Valley NV NE Ramsey McHenry Ward Pembina Cavalier Rolette La Moure Ransom Richland Emmons Sioux McIntosh Dickey Sargent Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - South RRV, N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 125 34 $3.00 $7.69 $375.00 $261.61 $44.22 11.00 $32.59 11.00 6.00 60.37 17.70 20.22 15.32 16.88 1.00 7.71 $200.42 $174.58 0 S. Wht 44 $6.40 $281.48 Base Crop is $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 61 14.7 $4.37 $20.43 $266.85 $300.30 $13.80 14.20 1.50 $11.00 12.50 1.25 $31.00 24.00 6.00 1.69 7.70 12.26 10.94 38.81 7.70 14.33 11.45 31.03 4.26 15.60 12.08 23.28 13.10 15.57 12.93 1.50 3.35 $87.03 1.00 4.11 $106.90 1.00 3.55 $92.27 $174.58 $174.58 $174.58 Oil Snflr Conf Snflr 14.6 13.2 $18.73 $22.15 $273.42 $292.44 $16.32 15.50 $23.60 15.50 1.00 4.84 $125.72 5.00 21.68 5.31 15.31 12.00 2.92 1.00 3.80 $98.84 11.00 18.38 8.51 15.76 12.19 2.64 5.75 4.53 $117.86 $174.58 $174.58 $174.58 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. Corn Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - North RRV, N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 101 31 $3.00 $6.94 $303.00 $215.28 $38.36 8.00 $32.59 8.00 0 Wheat 42 $5.90 $247.64 $13.80 14.20 5.00 Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 57 14.7 $3.98 $18.07 $226.67 $265.70 $11.00 12.50 1.25 Base Crop is $31.00 24.00 Oil Snflr Conf Snflr 13.7 12.5 $17.21 $20.58 $235.84 $257.19 Canola 13.2 $19.17 $253.03 Flax 23 $9.30 $213.98 $16.32 15.50 $23.60 15.50 $18.15 17.50 $6.40 14.71 11.00 14.54 12.35 15.69 12.15 2.52 5.75 4.52 $117.62 7.00 31.76 10.90 12.35 10.44 17.10 5.55 14.78 12.01 1.00 4.36 $113.46 1.00 2.86 $74.41 $139.56 $139.56 $139.56 43.25 17.70 19.74 15.46 13.64 1.00 6.29 $163.44 0.10 8.30 11.88 10.43 33.93 10.30 14.27 11.42 25.61 4.91 15.46 12.03 21.09 15.30 15.87 13.02 1.50 2.91 $75.71 1.00 4.16 $108.08 1.00 3.35 $87.11 1.00 4.85 $126.13 5.00 17.32 7.52 15.21 11.96 2.74 1.00 3.70 $96.27 $139.56 $139.56 $139.56 $139.56 $139.56 $139.56 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - South East N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 117 34 $3.00 $7.41 $351.00 $252.10 0 S. Wht 41 $6.24 $255.89 $12.08 13.10 1.50 Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 60 15.6 $4.09 $18.27 $245.52 $284.94 $11.00 11.30 1.25 Base Crop is $43.48 11.00 $32.59 11.00 $31.00 24.00 6.00 54.09 18.80 18.36 14.51 15.80 1.00 7.32 $190.36 6.00 1.69 8.00 13.43 11.73 33.69 6.90 12.62 10.70 28.71 3.04 13.96 11.36 23.53 10.60 16.02 13.37 3.50 3.52 $91.46 1.00 3.66 $95.25 1.00 3.26 $84.88 $160.64 $160.64 $160.64 $160.64 Oil Snflr Conf Snflr 14.2 13.2 $18.04 $20.94 $256.16 $276.36 Canola 12 $22.58 $270.94 Flax 19 $11.85 $225.09 W. Wht 47 $5.34 $251.00 $14.96 15.50 $22.42 15.50 $18.15 17.50 $6.40 14.71 $7.20 8.15 11.00 16.78 8.42 16.16 12.60 2.64 5.75 4.45 $115.72 7.00 28.92 10.00 12.67 10.82 12.08 3.51 13.03 11.24 40.73 6.90 12.31 10.50 1.00 4.78 $124.30 5.00 19.14 5.34 15.67 12.40 2.84 1.00 3.67 $95.52 1.00 4.24 $110.30 1.00 2.48 $64.45 1.10 3.48 $90.37 $160.64 $160.64 $160.64 $160.64 $160.64 $160.64 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - North East N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 94 27 $3.00 $7.74 $282.00 $208.92 $36.99 8.00 $32.01 8.00 0 Wheat 36 $6.06 $218.31 $12.08 13.10 5.00 Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 55 14.2 $3.74 $17.79 $205.81 $252.63 $11.00 11.30 1.25 Base Crop is $31.00 24.00 Oil Snflr Conf Sunf 13.2 11.9 $16.49 $20.14 $217.70 $239.69 Canola 14.4 $16.64 $239.64 Flax 22 $8.77 $193.00 $14.96 15.50 $22.42 15.50 $18.15 17.50 $6.40 14.71 11.00 14.51 13.92 15.37 12.39 2.38 5.75 4.53 $117.77 7.00 38.66 10.30 10.82 9.76 16.87 4.94 13.13 11.29 1.00 4.53 $117.72 1.00 2.73 $71.07 $121.92 $121.92 $121.92 43.67 19.00 17.91 14.66 12.69 1.00 6.16 $160.08 6.35 9.70 12.92 11.17 29.03 9.40 12.45 10.62 26.91 4.12 13.79 11.29 22.90 17.50 15.94 13.34 3.50 3.35 $87.00 1.00 3.71 $96.39 1.00 3.23 $83.89 1.00 5.03 $130.71 5.00 17.70 8.09 14.90 12.20 2.74 1.00 3.68 $95.77 $121.92 $121.92 $121.92 $121.92 $121.92 $121.92 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - East Central N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 93 30 $3.00 $6.95 $279.00 $208.48 0 S. Wht 35 $6.08 $212.69 Base Crop is Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 57 15.1 $3.61 $16.81 $205.74 $253.78 $36.99 8.00 $32.59 8.00 $10.35 13.10 1.50 $8.25 11.30 1.25 $31.00 24.00 41.25 16.40 17.88 14.64 12.56 1.00 5.95 $154.67 4.28 8.30 13.03 11.21 27.18 8.80 12.42 10.61 27.45 3.86 13.85 11.32 23.92 15.20 15.99 13.36 3.50 3.24 $84.15 1.00 3.40 $88.36 1.00 3.13 $81.41 $124.33 $124.33 $124.33 $124.33 Oil Snflr Conf Sunf 13.6 12 $16.08 $19.79 $218.73 $237.45 Canola 13.3 $18.02 $239.69 Flax 20 $9.59 $191.85 W Wht 42 $4.99 $209.60 $14.96 15.50 $22.42 15.50 $18.15 17.50 $5.60 14.71 $6.00 8.15 11.00 14.56 9.36 15.38 12.40 2.40 5.75 4.35 $113.12 7.00 33.96 9.70 12.75 10.86 13.95 5.33 13.07 11.26 35.36 8.80 12.15 10.43 1.00 4.98 $129.45 5.00 18.83 5.60 14.94 12.22 2.72 1.00 3.63 $94.40 1.00 4.44 $115.36 1.00 2.60 $67.52 1.10 3.28 $85.27 $124.33 $124.33 $124.33 $124.33 $124.33 $124.33 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - South Central N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 84 25 $3.00 $7.39 $252.00 $184.81 $31.51 8.00 $32.59 8.00 0 S. Wht 30 $5.88 $176.45 $10.35 11.30 1.50 Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 55 13 $3.26 $17.31 $179.12 $224.98 $8.25 11.30 1.25 Base Crop is $31.00 24.00 Oil Snflr Conf Snflr 13.3 12.8 $14.75 $17.04 $196.13 $218.09 Canola 12.9 $16.39 $211.48 Flax 18 $9.06 $163.04 W. Wht 46 $4.11 $189.18 $14.96 15.50 $21.24 15.50 $18.15 17.50 $5.60 14.71 $6.00 8.15 11.00 13.72 14.51 13.46 11.31 2.56 5.75 4.36 $113.41 7.00 29.61 9.00 10.72 9.72 8.61 5.10 10.99 10.11 36.87 6.30 9.78 9.16 1.00 4.11 $106.81 1.00 2.24 $58.36 5.00 3.25 $84.51 $104.67 $104.67 $104.67 $104.67 32.57 27.40 16.19 13.65 11.34 1.00 5.67 $147.33 2.40 9.70 10.85 10.01 18.53 6.30 10.44 9.60 22.96 3.93 12.25 10.64 18.12 15.50 13.87 12.19 3.50 3.08 $80.13 1.00 2.76 $71.78 1.00 2.86 $74.44 1.00 4.63 $120.31 5.00 14.87 9.11 13.51 11.33 2.66 1.00 3.52 $91.46 $104.67 $104.67 $104.67 $104.67 $104.67 $104.67 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - North Central N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs 1 0 Corn Soybean 80 25 $3.00 $7.42 $240.00 $185.54 0 S. Wht 31 $5.97 $184.95 Durum 30 $6.23 $186.91 Base Crop is Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 Barley Drybeans 55 14 $3.30 $16.33 $181.50 $228.67 $30.14 8.00 $32.59 8.00 $10.35 13.10 1.50 $14.00 13.10 1.50 $8.25 11.30 1.25 $31.00 24.00 31.50 15.00 17.47 14.47 10.80 1.00 5.14 $133.52 3.56 7.50 10.85 10.01 20.80 7.20 11.35 10.15 19.68 6.60 11.31 10.14 24.20 3.24 12.25 10.64 21.16 14.20 13.92 12.21 3.50 3.04 $79.05 1.00 3.02 $78.47 1.00 3.09 $80.42 1.00 2.89 $75.02 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 Oil Snflr Field Pea 13.6 33 $14.40 $5.61 $195.83 $185.26 $14.28 15.50 Canola 13.8 $15.71 $216.82 Flax 21 $8.21 $172.38 W. Wht 42 $4.53 $190.09 $19.20 17.00 $18.15 17.50 $5.60 17.71 $6.00 8.15 5.45 6.88 12.17 11.05 7.00 33.61 8.30 10.78 9.75 13.91 4.80 10.41 9.93 33.11 7.20 11.18 9.75 1.00 4.70 $122.19 5.00 16.81 5.71 13.54 11.35 2.72 1.00 3.44 $89.35 4.00 3.03 $78.78 1.00 4.24 $110.33 1.00 2.53 $65.89 5.00 3.22 $83.61 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 $106.48 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. - Crop insurance for corn is only available by written agreement in some counties. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - South West N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs Base Crop is Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 1 Corn 63 $3.00 $189.00 0 S. Wht 28 $5.57 $156.03 0 Durum 30 $5.35 $160.54 Barley 48 $3.20 $153.74 Oats 54 $2.71 $146.35 $26.03 8.00 $8.63 14.30 1.50 $10.50 14.30 1.50 $6.25 13.80 1.25 $7.50 4.88 Oil Snflr Field Pea 12.3 29 $14.49 $5.38 $178.19 $155.97 $15.98 23.65 17.71 15.00 11.73 11.68 8.51 1.00 3.99 $103.65 14.37 6.70 8.77 8.69 16.53 6.90 8.84 8.72 15.63 3.76 10.41 9.66 14.70 6.22 10.61 9.74 5.00 2.72 $70.68 5.00 2.89 $75.18 5.00 2.63 $68.39 5.00 2.35 $61.00 5.00 10.85 7.59 9.38 9.36 2.46 5.00 3.57 $92.84 $85.35 $85.35 $85.35 $85.35 $85.35 $85.35 Canola 12.1 $15.89 $192.33 Flax 18 $8.17 $147.02 W. Wht 34 $4.47 $152.04 $19.20 20.00 $18.15 20.50 $4.80 17.71 $6.00 8.15 7.31 4.92 9.86 9.69 20.85 6.70 8.91 8.51 2.25 4.11 10.13 10.21 7.00 24.48 8.90 9.54 9.29 2.00 2.72 $70.62 5.00 4.11 $106.97 5.00 2.37 $61.66 5.00 2.56 $66.68 $85.35 $85.35 $85.35 $85.35 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. - Crop insurance for corn is only available by written agreement. An estimate is used. Cash Price for Breakeven Return over Variable Costs - North West N.D. Enter the futures price for Corn Enter your expected local basis Expected local cash price for Corn Base crop = 1 Yield Price Income Variable costs: seed herbicide fungicide insecticide fertilizer crop insurance fuel & lube repairs drying misc. operating int. Total var.costs Return over variable costs Base Crop is Corn $3.60 $0.60 $3.00 1 Corn 63 $3.00 $189.00 0 S. Wht 28 $5.27 $147.63 0 Durum 29 $5.19 $150.62 Barley 47 $3.09 $145.09 Oats 58 $2.43 $141.05 $26.03 11.00 $8.63 14.30 1.50 $10.50 14.30 1.50 $6.25 13.80 1.25 $7.50 4.88 26.01 15.00 11.73 11.68 8.51 5.00 4.60 $119.56 21.00 6.50 8.77 9.48 22.16 7.10 8.80 8.70 22.54 3.89 10.37 9.64 24.48 6.44 10.75 9.80 5.00 3.01 $78.19 5.00 3.12 $81.18 5.00 2.91 $75.65 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 Oil Snflr Field Pea 12.1 31 $14.00 $4.76 $169.34 $147.50 $15.98 23.65 Canola 13.7 $13.86 $189.82 Flax 19 $7.44 $141.42 W. Wht 32 $4.40 $140.82 Lentils 13.5 $10.93 $147.57 $19.20 20.00 $18.15 20.50 $4.80 20.71 $6.00 8.15 $13.30 23.50 6.47 3.81 10.97 10.61 7.00 37.63 8.50 9.64 9.33 14.50 5.50 9.21 9.49 25.66 6.50 8.84 8.48 4.70 7.71 10.96 10.95 5.00 2.75 $71.60 5.00 16.86 8.44 9.36 9.35 2.42 5.00 3.84 $99.90 4.00 3.00 $78.06 5.00 4.63 $120.38 5.00 2.77 $71.98 5.00 2.75 $71.38 4.00 3.00 $78.12 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 $69.44 Note: - Only variable costs are considered in this comparison. You can include an amount under "misc." to account for any differences between crops in fixed costs, labor, management and risk. - Crop insurance for corn is only available by written agreement. An estimate is used. Web Address for Crop Compare http://www.ag.ndsu.nodak.edu/aginfo/farmmgmt /docs/Crop_Compare.xls