Announcements Exam THIS Friday in Discussion Section Review session Thursday during lecture Advanced notice is required if you know you will miss Fri’s exam (we only offer early exams) NO MAKEUP exams without official documentation of an unexpected emergency! GHG Ranking Factors 1. Amount: more there is, more radiation can be absorbed 2. Ability: depends on the wavelength 3. Location: both where in the atmosphere and where () in the outgoing radiation spectrum Absorptivity versus Amount Absorptivity () “Absorptivity is saturating” 1 3 2 2 1 1 m m m1 m2 m3 A 1 (band saturation), increasing amount of GHG gives smaller and smaller increases in e.g.: 2 << 1 Amount of GHG (i.e. concentration) GHG Ranking: Wavelength Location Water Level ~ Ts Plug a small leak small increase in Ts Plug a big leak big increase in Ts GHG Ranking: “Emission Height” Altitude (z) Tb4 z2 Ta4 Emission to space from z1 carries much more energy than from z2 z1 Temperature Ts GHG Ranking: Emission Height (T) Tafter Tbefore A GHG which causes a higher emission altitude is a larger constriction of energy flow out. Doubling CO2 will basically double the amount of radiation absorbed by CO2. 1. True 2. False ls e 0% Fa Tr ue 0% Water Vapor • The global warming skeptics’ favorite GHG Fact: The Greenhouse Effect is mostly due to absorption of OLR by water vapor Fiction: “Therefore, Earth’s surface T will only respond to changes in the amount of water vapor” Saturation Vapor Pressure of Water PH2O = 0 PH2O increases PH2O “saturates” H2Ogas H2Ogas H O H2Ogas 2 gas H2Ogas wait H2Oliq Start: H2Oliq w/dry air above H2Oliq Middle: net evaporation wait H2Ogas H2Ogas H2Ogas H2Ogas H2Ogas H2Ogas H2Oliq End: condensation equals evaporation “Equilibrium” Saturation Vapor Pressure of Water The maximum amount of water vapor air can hold increases exponentially with air T Suppose we stop emitting CO2 but emit more H2O vapor from our tail pipes in a H2powered economy. Should we worry about continuing to enhance the GHE? 1. Yes 2. No o 0% N Ye s 0% The dependence of the saturation vapor pressure of water on T is a negative feedback on climate change 50% 50% ls e Fa Tr ue 1. True 2. False Water Vapor as a GHG • Water vapor increases for an increase in T • Water vapor’s increase causes an additional change in T • An example of a positive feedback on climate What have we accomplished? 1 Developed a physical basis of present day global climate 2 Described the mechanisms that can cause global climate change. Tsf Iin 1 A 4 1 2 1 4 3 Now know how changes in solar radiation, albedo, and, [GHGs] can/should alter global average T. This Week and Next: Regional Climates • Part 1 – Atmospheric Motions – – – – Wet tropics, major deserts Temperate but stormy mid-latitudes Dry/Cold Poles Continentality • Part 2 – Ocean Circulation Regional Climates • The average weather of a particular latitude and longitude zone Spatial Radiation Imbalance Spatial Radiation Imbalance 300 W/m2 EOUT (LW) EIN (SW) 100 W/m2 Where on Earth receives the largest daily average solar flux 1. Equator 2. Mid-latitudes 3. Poles 66% 22% id -la M le s Po Eq ua tit ud e to r s 12% Today: Atmospheric Motions – Part 1 • Horizontal Motions: parallel to Earth’s surface (the everyday wind) • Vertical Motions: perpendicular to Earth’s surface (up/down) Important Concepts in Vertical Motions • An air parcel that rises expands due to lower surrounding pressure • EXPANSION requires WORK by the air parcel • Air parcel doing WORK, loses Energy, temperature goes down. Day After Tomorrow In “Day After Tomorrow”, a super-storm with a very low pressure center draws very cold lower stratospheric air to the surface causing instant freezing. 83% 1. Consistent with 1st Law 2. Violates 1st Law C on si s ol a Vi te n tw ith te s 1s 1s tL tL aw aw 17% The movie’s science advisor, if there was one, should have his/her PhD revoked. 92% o N s 8% Ye 1. Yes 2. No Announcements • EXAM FRIDAY, Review session Thursday – Through yesterday: – i.e. T(z) = Tsurf –z*(10K/km) if dry – T(z) = Tsurf – z*(6.5K/km) if wet • Start forming a final project group (3-4), – see course website for project ideas – Use discussion board for finding group members What is Buoyancy? PGF Fluid (rf) PGF object (rob) Fg Fg Fbuoyancy = PGF – Fg 0 if rob rfluid Heating a Fluid From Below Warm surface air less dense “buoyant” rises Convection: transfer of heat via motions of a fluid Making Air Move Pressure Gradient Force Air/water will move from a region of high pressure to low pressure Fluid with horizontal pressure gradient Horizontal Pressure Gradients PGF The picture is roughly symmetric for the Southern Hemisphere (SH) General Circulation of the Atmosphere An early picture based on Hadley’s 1735 paper: Tropopause divergence subsidence Upwelling subsidence convergence 90 45 0 -45 -90 Cold high lats Warm Tropics Cold high lats higher pressure Lower pressure higher pressure Phase Transitions in Rising/Sinking Air In subsiding air, condensation and precipitation suppressed. In rising air, condensation and precipitation more likely rising subsiding Intertropical Convergence Zone The (original) Hadley Circulation (1735) COLD HOT COLD Explains: Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) Wet Tropics Dry Poles But it has some problems. Earth Rotates from West to East Circumference decreases from equator to pole To complete a full rotation in 1 day, equator rotates faster than higher latitudes coriolis effect movie Coriolis Effect in Northern Hemisphere Object moving from equator has greater easterly velocity than surface at northern latitudes so object curves to right of initial direction. Coriolis Cartoon Trajectory seen by thrower An object moving south from the equator curves to the ______ of its initial forward direction 53% 1. Left 2. Right t ig h R Le ft 47% Coriolis/Centrifugal Effect Summary Applies to objects moving North or South relative to Earth’s surface A similar effect occurs for objects traveling in E-W directions (centrifugal force) Objects (air or water, e.g.) moving in the NH will curve to the right of their forward direction and to the left in SH. Suppose Earth were a cylinder. Where would there be a coriolis effect? 56% 40% B B A an d ly on B on ly 4% A 1. A only 2. B only 3. A and B A Upper-level Flow Tends to be Geostrophic PGF Coriolis Flow direction Low Pressure Geostrophic Flow: When PGF balanced by Coriolis Effect High Pressure Coriolis Effect Modifies Hadley Circulation Modified Hadley Circulation * Horizontal motions convergence: coming together divergence: spreading apart Vertical motions upwelling: rising air subsidence: sinking air “Seeing” Hadley Circulation Mean Surface Pressure Contours Lines of constant pressure (isobars). More closely spaced lines: steeper change in pressure H H H H H H Hadley Circulation and Regional Climates • World’s largest deserts • Wet and dry seasons in the Tropics • The Trade Winds World’s Deserts Not shown: Polar Regions! World’s Deserts Desert dust blows from W. Sahara and N. Morocco over Canary Islands. Desert dust is a source of nutrients to ocean and land biota (often a world away).