EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT 1999 2004 Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs 2 December 2002 WORKING DOCUMENT on banks' minimum capital requirements (capital adequacy) Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs Rapporteur: Alexander Radwan DT\480730EN.doc EN PE 315.037 EN 1. Background and time schedule Regarding capital adequacy, the discussion in the Basle Committee as well as the Commission's papers on that issue have to be considered. The new "Basle Accord on banks' minimum capital requirements" will provide a global framework for internationally active banks and the Commission has to come up with a proposal for an EU-Directive that translates the Basle Accord into EU-legislation. So this working paper refers on the one hand to the Quantitative Impact Survey 3 documents (technical guidance and the corresponding overview paper) issued by the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision, and on the other hand to the Commission's "Working Document on Capital Requirements for Credit Institutions and Investment Firms." The Quantitative Impact Survey 3 (QIS 3) was launched on 1 October 2002. It is to gauge the impact of the second consultation document that was issued January 2001 and revised in December 2001. Banks are asked to submit their findings by 20. December 2002. QIS 3 reflects the agreement on a number of important issues, which was reached by the members of the Basle Committee on 10 July 2002. Therefore it represents the most recent stage of the process which should lead to a new Capital Accord to replace the current Accord of 1988 until the end of 2003 (implementation by national legislators by 2006). Although the discussion since 1999 (initiated by the Committee's first consultation document) has reached a rather mature stage, the QIS 3- documents cannot be regarded as a direct guidance to the New Basle Capital Accord for there will be a further round of consultation starting in the second quarter of 2003. The Commission’s services issued a "Working Document on Capital Requirements for Credit Institutions and Investment Firms" (18.11.2002) to prepare the last (third) round of consultation. It will be conducted in spring/summer 2003, roughly running in parallel with the third Basle consultation paper. A proposal for a directive is expected to be launched at the beginning of 2004. As the European Parliament was not officially involved in the Basle process, it is of utmost importance to make clear our point of view in the ongoing process of implementation the new Basle Accord through an EU-Directive. 2. Overall assessment Proper risk assessment on the micro-level is extremely important for the stability of a banking system. Hidden risks in banks' portfolios can lead to a vicious circle and unpredictable contagion when such a weak financial system is hit by adverse developments. The Japanese case provides a deterrent example. Thus the overarching goal of the new Accord, to foster improved risk assessment of banks, is welcome. To what extent this goal can be reached by the current approach and what costs it causes (costs of implementation, negative side effects) is a question far from being settled. This working paper shall contribute to the discussion. Indeed many open questions remain. One field of concern is the micro-economic impact on small banks and small-/medium-sized businesses (SMEs); other problems relate to unwanted implications on the macro-level, mainly the threat of procyclicality. This working paper will tackle all of these issues. PE 315.037 EN 2/7 DT\480730EN.doc But at first it should be pointed out that the whole process leading to the new Basle Accord is problematic from the viewpoint of democratic legitimation. The European Commission participated just as an observer in the Basle negotiations and the European Parliament as well as national parliaments were not officially involved at all. There are serious concerns if the creation of agreements like the new Basle Accord, which set preconditions for legislation, should in future be left completely to "technical" committees like the one in Basle. The Herstatt crisis in 1974 led to the establishment of the Basle Committee. This event showed the very urgent need for a prompt reaction and the necessity to develop international standards to contain negative spillovers in the financial sector. Thus the character of the Basle Committee as a rather technical gathering of supervisory authorities and central banks (mainly of the G10 countries) might have been justified at the time, but nowadays we should foster democratic legitimation and transparency. The roles of the European Commission, the EZB and especially democratic control by the European Parliament in negotiations of that type must be clearly defined. A special challenge will be the question of how to implement the new Basle Accord in EUlegislation. At the moment there are serious attempts to extend the Comitology procedure to all areas of financial regulation. This procedure separates principal political questions (level 1) from rather "technical" rule-setting (level 2). Under the Lamfalussy-type Comitology procedure, which is currently applied to securities legislation, Parliament is involved only at level 1. It should be noted, however, that it is often extremely difficult to distinguish between "technical" questions (level 2) and issues of political impact (level 1). According to the Commission's Working Document on capital adequacy regulation, the European Parliament, in the adoption of the initial Directive, is given the right to vote on the content of the annexes and thus does have the ability to influence the technical details. Future amendments to the annexes, however, are supposed to be subject to the Comitology procedure. As Parliament has at the moment no formal right to influence any such amendments, it would be clearly unacceptable to leave any issue of a potential political impact to level 2. Parliament needs a formal call-back-arrangement and a clear amendment of Art. 202 of the Treaty to ensure Parliament's democratic control also at level 2. The new Basle Accord principally has a three-pillared structure i.e. 1. Capital requirements, 2. The supervisory review process (intensified quality banking supervision) and 3. Market discipline via enhanced publication obligations. However, as concerns the second and the third pillar, suggestions are still in a comparatively preliminary state. This working paper will therefore focus on questions regarding capital requirements, especially the assessment of credit risks and its impact on the micro- and macro-level. 3. Impact on the banking system The Basle Accord is aimed to cover internationally active banks that impose risks on the international financial system. It should be noted, however, that certain types of securities firms in the USA are not covered by the current Basle proposal even though they perform DT\480730EN.doc 3/7 PE 315.037 EN activities, which are regarded as banking activities in most European countries. Considering their market position and their role in financial markets, they do impose risks to the international financial system. Such a different treatment of banks in the USA and Europe is not going to foster an international level playing field. In some EU countries, small local banks play an important role. Although they do not represent any systemic risk, they should also be covered by the application of Basle II to EUlegislation to ensure a level playing field as foreseen in the Commission's Working Document. It must be ensured, however, that regulatory cost arising from the new legislation remains manageable for small institutions. A further consolidation in the banking industry induced by the new capital requirement scheme must be avoided. The main issues in this respect are possible differences of capital requirements between the standard and IRB approaches measuring credit risks. In the standard approach, the capital requirements regarding credit risks are measured using the (debtor) evaluation of rating agencies. As the rating agencies play an increasingly prominent role in banking and finance, the question arises how to make sure that they act independently meeting appropriate quality standards, especially given the fact that there is very limited competition in this field. Alternatively, however, it will be as well possible to apply bank-internal rating systems (IRB approaches), which come in a foundation and an advanced version. This should prevent a systematic drawback for those countries where the recourse to rating agencies is less prevalent. The IRB-approaches are feasible only for banks that conduct a certain amount of transactions as they entail substantial fixed-costs elements. Due to high costs for the implementation of more complex modelling some small local banks may be forced to follow the standard approach unless they can use systems provided by their associations (as might be an option for savings banks and co-operative banks). The Commission seems to have developed a more flexible approach regarding the "partial use" of IRB-measures than the Basle Committee. The "partial use"-option would substantially simplify the implementation of IRB-measures for smaller banks. A declared aim of the Basle Committee is to give only modest incentives to move to the IRB-approach. QIS 3 has to prove that banks applying the standard approach have indeed no substantial disadvantage in terms of capital requirements. This is especially important as the IRB approaches still leave some substantial questions. There are indications that the present calibration still underestimates low frequency, high severity losses that are of course of special interest to prevent banking crises. Additionally, the very limited consideration of risk diversification (portfolio-effects) instead of just summing up risks separately tends to relatively overestimate the risks of small loans. This argument is still justified despite of the fact there has been some progress in this respect, at least regarding SMEs. Concerning operational risks (OR) the Commission seems to have developed a stance more open towards the use of insurance. Especially for small banks, life will be much easier under the new regime, if they have the opportunity to cover against OR by using insurance. Such an alternative would be clearly welcome. PE 315.037 EN 4/7 DT\480730EN.doc 4. Impact on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) Responding to widespread fears, small and medium-sized companies (SMEs) would face worse financing conditions, the compromise reached in Basle tries to take into consideration the special situation of SMEs. Credits to SMEs up to 1 Mio. € are included in the regulatory retail portfolio when certain conditions are met. That means lower capital requirements in the IRB approaches as well as in the standard approach, where a risk weight of just 6% is attributed. It might be useful to have an in-depth discussion with market participants as to whether the 1 Mio. € threshold is appropriate. Under the IRB approach, credits to enterprises up to 50 Mio. € in sales are measured by using a preferential risk curve that takes into account, that a portfolio of many small credits is less risky than one huge credit to a single company. A possible setback in this respect is the "granularity criterion" introduced in the standard approach, which can be found in QIS 3 as well as in the Commission's Working Document (Art. 28/3). This criterion relates the exposure to each debtor to the total size of the retail-portfolio. There is the danger that some of the achievements in favour of SMEs are offset by this additional criterion for the retail portfolios of smaller banks are not large enough to fully exploit the 1 Mio. € threshold for a single retail loan. As the Basle Accord is aimed at internationally operating banks, it would not make sense to levy any additional burden on smaller institutions that are doing business only on a local level and do clearly not impose any risk to the financial system. Relations between small local banks and SMEs often have a long-term view and take into account "soft facts" which can hardly be covered in quantitative risk assessments, e.g. management quality. There is no need to urge banks to cut business relations, which have proved being successful in the long-term. Especially in the current situation of global economic downturn, the difficulties of SMEs to obtain funds should not be intensified. Without doubt the treatment of loans to SMEs has been significantly improved compared to the first approaches of the Basle Committee. However, QIS 3 and the Commission's survey on SMEs might provide further assessment on the impact of Basle II on SMEs financing. As the Commission's survey will not be available before autumn 2003, its influence on the preconditions set by the Basle Committee might be, however, limited. It can be stated that the consideration of credit risk mitigation techniques broadens the use of collateral and tends to lower capital requirements. In the context of SME-financing certain types of collateral play a dominant role, e.g. claims secured by commercial real estate in some EU-countries. The Basle Committee seems to have a rather restrictive stance on the usage of that kind of collateral, claiming that in some countries commercial property lending has led to troubled assets in the banking industry. Preferential risk weights for loans secured by commercial real estate can be applied by national authorities (when certain conditions are met). It is not reasonable to make this decision on the EU-level, as there are big differences in the structure of commercial property markets within the EU, with some countries having highly volatile, others rather steady developments. On the contrary, this is a good example that it makes sense to leave some of the options and latitudes of the future accord to national authorities. The approach of the Commission to leave the decision on a preferential treatment of commercial property collateral to national authorities is certainly sensible. In the current situation banks are fairly restrictive regarding start-up-financing. This threatens technological development and future growth prospects to a considerable extent, especially in those Member States where venture capital financing is not yet fully developed. Entrepreneurs DT\480730EN.doc 5/7 PE 315.037 EN suffer from limited tangible collateral to cover loans and a very short business history. Unfortunately, neither the Basle paper nor the Commission's documents give any incentives to revive start-up financing. 5. Impact on the business cycle A serious critique regards the systemic consequences of the new capital adequacy regime, that is, it concerns macro-prudential problems. Procyclicality, which exacerbates cyclical deviations from potential output, might be a direct consequence of improved risk assessment. In a cyclical downturn the risk related to loans typically rises and might force banks to cut on credit lines, thus deepening the recession. As a result of the certification process of internal models, a homogenisation of credit evaluations might evolve and worsen procyclicality. In times of crises these factors could lead to further, regulation-induced destabilisation. Of course, it is in no way a solution to hide risks in the credit portfolio. Insofar, the overarching goal of Basle II, a better assessment of risks, is principally to be welcomed. But we should be very careful that the capital requirements are not going to worsen a cyclical downturn by amplifying boom and bust cycles. The calibration of risk assessment has already been amended in a way to reach a more balanced development. The ECB brought up the idea to develop incentives for banks so that they build up capital buffers in a cyclical up-swing that damp the danger of a credit crunch during a downturn. We should further assess the impact of the new regime in this respect. A regulation too rigid is simply not reasonable. The new regulations should provide a flexible framework, open to amendments which call for implementation due to practical experience. This also means, there should be a review of the new regulations on a regular basis. The European Parliament must not be excluded from this debate and thus Art. 202 of the Treaty must be amended including a formal call-back-right for the Parliament. Unless Art. 202 is amended accordingly, any extension of the Lamfalussy Comitology procedure on the implementation of the Basle Accord into EU-legislation would be unacceptable for Parliament. 6. Impact on long-term business relations The new accord might have an impact on the term-structure of business relations as banks using the IRB approaches will be in principle required to incorporate maturity adjustments calculated on a mark-to-market methodology. Supervisors will, however, have the opportunity to exempt smaller domestic firms (consolidated sales and assets of less than 500 Mio. €). This exemption is included in the Commission's paper as well. In this respect, several points have to be considered: Debtors have already to pay a risk premium to convince creditors to long-term lending. The term premium and the default PE 315.037 EN 6/7 DT\480730EN.doc premium are part of the yield curve. So it is questionable, if the new accord should give any further incentives to shorten the average maturity of lending. Additionally, the average maturity of lending might shrink anyway due to the new accord as banks are unwilling to lending out long-term when they perceive any danger of a debtor's internal or external rating worsening. Short-term financing showed to have a serious negative impact on the stability of the financial system in the case of crises and should not be encouraged by regulation. 7. Supervisory review process Pillar II (supervisory review process) and Pillar III (market discipline) are, in comparison with Pillar I, in a more preliminary state. They are not part of QIS 3, and also in the Commission's Working Document they remain quite short with many articles still not filled. Nevertheless, the ongoing discussion has provoked some remarks from market participants, which should be taken into consideration. Regarding pillar II, they fear the danger of banking supervision very prone to intervention and uneven application across countries. The Commission is therefore asked to come up with more detailed proposals on how to reach supervisory convergence. The Commission seems to support a flexible application of the SRP, taking into consideration a bank's size and structure. Regular and intense on-site inspections make sense in the case of big, complex institutions that do impose risks to the financial system. Small institutions could, however, be subject to a lighter regime. The aim of a level playing-field and the concept of subsidiarity should be married in the best way possible. DT\480730EN.doc 7/7 PE 315.037 EN