Value Added Agriculture Program Sourcing Iowa Corn for Ethanol: Impacts of Increased Local Processing Iowa Grain Quality Initiative Advisory Committee January 12, 2007 Connie Hardy Survey conducted by: ISU Extension Value Added Agriculture Program Sponsored by: ISU Extension Iowa Grain Quality Initiative www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Project Objectives • • Create a data set to define the scope and variation involved in the current industry activities surrounding grain origination methods, impact on grain storage and coproduct handling/marketing. Measure impacts of growth on the ethanol industry and on its input supply chain. www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Survey Design • Interviews with plant managers representing 20 ethanol plants – Processing capacity and corn storage capabilities – Co-products and shipping capabilities – Emerging concerns www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Current Iowa Dry-Grind plants • Average production – 60 million gal/yr • Range – 20 mgy – 110 mgy • Plants produce at 105-110% above rated capacity • Most have outbound rail access • Few (none) have inbound rail access www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Production and Corn Usage n Ethanol Produced mil gal/yr Corn Used mil bu/yr DGS 000 tons/yr 23 1448.0 514.3* 4386.6 Plants, expansions 16 under construction 1509.5 524.3 4456.4 Wet Mills 7 1210.0 432.1 3673.2 Nearby, Iowa Draw** 6 402.0 143.6 1220.4 Summary Statistics Current Dry-grind Plants Subtotal Announced Total 4569.5 33 2975.0 7544.5 1614.3 1062.5 2676.8 *Operating at actual capacity, approximately 5-10% over rated capacity. **Plants in bordering counties of other states with 50% use assigned to Iowa corn. 13736.6 9031.3 22752.7 www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Corn consumption and storage Current capacity* (mil gal) Minimum Maximum 24.0 120.0 Corn Usage* (million bu) 8.6 42.9 Average 64.6 22.4 Std. Dev. 27.6 10.1 Sum 1,448.0 516.1 Corn Storage* (thousand bu) 220 5,500 1,214 1,108 27,920 19,420** Corn Percent* (storage/usage) 1.87 % 59.23 % 7.79 % (4.38%)** 12.54 % n/a *Represents 23 dry-grind plants in 2006 **Without two “high storage” plants Distillers Grains storage 2.62% www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Corn sources for ethanol plants • 62% of corn is purchased directly from farmers • 16 plants purchase >50% of corn from farmers • 5 plants tied to local elevators; 60-95% of corn comes from elevator www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Source: Robert Wisner, Dept. of Economics, Iowa State University www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Farm and Commercial Storage • Iowa has 1.65 billion bushels of on-farm storage (NASS, 2005) • Iowa has 1.08 billion bushels of commercial storage (IDALS – Grain Warehouse Division, 2006) Total – 2.73 billion bushels – Plant managers encourage on-farm storage; premiums structured for future delivery (2) – On-farm storage less likely to be built where cash rented land is prevalent – Plan to include questions about on-farm storage in Iowa Rural Life Poll in 2006-7 www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Corn Quality • US Grade #2 Yellow Corn - no premium for better quality or special traits • Moisture limit: 17% (a few take 18%) • Test Weight low limit: 54 lb/bu • Damage limit: 10% (discount from 5%) • Broken Corn: 12% max Producers must meet #2YC quality spec to sell to ethanol plants. Otherwise, corn is rejected. www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Corn Quality (cont.) • Starch and oil measurements are taken by 15 plants, but none use a quality spec for starch and oil • Nutrients are measured by some plants to predict levels in DGs • Mycotoxin testing done on as-needed basis by most plant 12 plants; 10 plants test every load Note: nutrients and mycotoxins concentrate in distillers grains www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Grain Storage and Management Practices Training Model Grain Storage Challenges --- Supplying the Ethanol Industry Farm No Temporary Build Ethanol Plant Elevator Commercial Yes Store Commercial Conventional Conventional Condominium 7 to 14 Days Sell No Yes How much needed Kind of capacity Kind of drying How Meets delivery cycle GEAPS 520 Training Build new How much needed Kind of capacity Kind of drying www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program • Grain storage and management practices – Farm – Elevator – Ethanol plant • Follow the link to storage and management questions. www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program • Farm – Grain Storage • Do I have storage? • No • Need to build storage? • Yes - How much is needed - What kind of capacity is needed - Do I need drying capabilities - Do I need delivery capacity - What economic tools are available Farm-Elevator-Ethanol www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Transportation: Ethanol shipments By Truck 34.7% Ethanol shipments by Rail and Truck 120 Truck 100 % Ethanol shipped By Rail 65.3% Rail 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ethanol Plants www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Co-products – Carbon Dioxide • All plants “scrub” CO2 to remove residual alcohol • One plant sells CO2 to make dry ice • Four plants are negotiating with potential buyers • Uses: carbonated beverages, dry ice, flash-freeze meats, paper manufacturing www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Co-products – Distillers Grains • Estimated Distillers Grains production 4.3 million tons (23 dry-grind plants) • % of DG that is dried – Range: 4 - 94% Average: 75% – Avg. moisture 10% • % of DG sold wet or modified – Range: 6-100% Average: 25% – Avg. moisture 56% www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Transportation: Co-product shipments Distillers Grains Shipped by Rail and Truck By Truck 44.4% 100 % of DG shipped By Rail 55.6% 120 80 Truck 60 Rail 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ethanol Plants www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Co-product markets • Wet distillers grains sold within 50-mile radius • Dried distillers grains go to: – Feedlots in Texas, Kansas, Nebraska, Mexico – Dairies in California, Arizona, and East Coast – Export • Nutrient variability of DG is common – Between plants and within plants – Need a consistent measurement system www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Feedlots per county - Iowa Depending on the rate of DG inclusion in cattle diets, it would take between 4 and 12 ethanol plants to provide enough DG for approximately 1,000,000 cattle on feed. -John Lawrence Source: Iowa Beef Center, Iowa State University www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Co-product sales • Plants use in-house sales staff and/or brokerage firms to sell distillers grains • Long-term booking arrangements are becoming more common (3-12 months) • 13 encourage long-term contracts • One plant sells DG only on spot market www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Emerging uses for Distillers Grains • Feeds (poultry, swine, goats, sheep, horses, aquaculture, pet foods) • Energy source for plant • Fermentation for additional ethanol • Chemical and pharmaceutical • Food • Fertilizer www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Concerns for the industry • • • • Corn acquisition at an affordable price Adequate rail service for products and co-products Markets for distillers grains Consistent nutrient content in distillers grains, also flowability • Too few trained employees – Engineers for management positions – Technicians with life sciences/electrical training • Increasing environmental regulations www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Summary Iowa ethanol production currently uses 44% of Iowa’s corn crop and will use 75% of the crop by 2008. By 2010, planned expansions and new plants could produce 7.4 billion gallons per year of ethanol and 22.4 million tons of DGs, using 2.6 billion bushels of Iowa corn Increasing supply of DGs encourage increased livestock production, particularly cattle and dairy. Ethanol plants seek qualified professional and technically trained employees. www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Summary Ethanol plants want to buy from farmers (>60%), and they store <5% of annual corn inventory. Plants seek corn in good condition and have low tolerance for poor quality (reject) Producers must plan to store more corn for longer periods in good condition. Important traits: Storage, drydown, consistency! Plants generally have less DG storage (2.6%) and seek increasing markets for DGs and CO2. www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Training needs • • • • • Increased corn production On-farm grain quality management and storage Technical training for processing employees Evaluation of distillers grains quality Feed uses of distillers grains www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Acknowledgements • Iowa Grain Quality Initiative • www.iowagrain.org www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program Contact information Iowa State University Extension Value Added Agriculture Program www.iavaap.org or www.agmrc.org Connie Hardy Mary Holz-Clause Iowa Grain Quality Initiative www.iowagrain.org Howard Shepherd Charles Hurburgh www.iavaap.org Value Added Agriculture Program www.iavaap.org