252solngr1 2/05/04 (Open this document in 'Page Layout' view!) Graded Assignment 1 1. (Keller & Warrack) A random sample of 11 young adult men was asked how many minutes of sports they watched daily. Results are below. 50 48 65 74 66 37 45 68 64 65 58 Compute a 99% confidence interval for the mean. Does the mean from your interval differ significantly from 50 minutes? Why? What about 40 minutes? If there are 0.9 million young adult men in the metropolitan area , do a confidence interval for the total amount of time they watch in a day. It might help to convert your result to hours. 2. Find z .075 3. Using the additional information that the population standard deviation is known to be 10 minutes, make an 85% confidence interval for the mean. Does this result differ significantly from 50 minutes? 40 minutes? 4. Assume that the sample mean and standard deviation you calculated in part 1 are correct but that the survey of 11 men was taken in Nome, Alaska, where there are only 68 young men. How would your results in 1) differ? Solution: 1) index 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 sum sx sx x x2 50 48 65 74 66 37 45 68 64 65 58 640 2500 2304 4225 5476 4356 1369 2025 4624 4096 4225 3364 38564 n .05 x 640 , x 38564 , x 640 58.1818 x 2 n s x2 x n 11 11 2 nx 2 38564 1158 .1818 2 10 n 1 1327 .6596 132 .7660 10 s x 132 .7660 11 .5224 . s x2 132 .7660 12 .06696 3.4741 n 11 2 .025 10 t n1 t.005 3.169 2 Confidence interval: x tn1 s x is the formula for a two sided interval. 2 x t n1 s x 58.1818 3.1693.4741 58.1818 11.0094 or 47.17 to 69.19. If we ask if the mean is 2 significantly different from 50, our null hypothesis is H 0 : 50 and since 50 is between the top and the bottom of the confidence interval, do not reject H 0 and say that the mean is not significantly different from 50. If we ask if the mean is significantly different from 40, the null hypothesis is H 0 : 40 and 40 is not between the top and the bottom of the confidence interval. So we reject H 0 or we can say that the mean is significantly different from 40. If there were 0.9 million adult men in the population, multiply both sides of the interval by 0.9 million to estimate the total time young adult men watch the tube.. The interval we 252solngr1 2/05/04 got was 47.17 69.19 , so if we multiply both sides by 0.9 million the interval for the sum is 42 .45 million x 62.27 million minutes or 0.708 million x 1.036 million minutes. 2) Find z .075 . Please don’t tell me that because P0 z 075 .0259 , that z .075 is .0259. (i) The diagram: The diagram for z will be a Normal curve centered at zero and will show one point, z .075 , which has 7.5% above it (and 92.5% below it!) and is above zero because zero has 50% below it. Since zero has 50% above it, the diagram will show 42.5% between zero and z .075 . From the diagram, we want one point z .075 so that Pz z .075 .075 or P0 z z.075 .4250 . From the interior of the Normal table the closest we can come to .4250 is P0 z 1.44 .4251 . This means that z.075 1.44 . Check: Pz 1.44 Pz 0 P0 z 1.44 .5 .4251 .0749 .075 . 3) We know that x 58.1818 , n 11 and 10 . So x 10 10 2 9.0909 3.0151 11 n 11 The 85% confidence interval has 1 .85 or .15 , so z z.075 1.44 and the interval is 2 x z 2 x 58.1818 1.44 3.0151 58.18 4.34 or 53.84 to 62.52. If we test the null hypothesis H 0 : 50 against the alternative hypothesis H 0 : 50 , since 50 is not on the confidence interval, we reject the null hypothesis. The result is significantly different from 40 for the same reason. 4) If N 68 , the sample of 11 is more than 5% of the population, so use sx N n 68 11 3.4741 3.4741 0.93443 3.4741 0.96657 3.3583 . N 1 68 1 sx n Recall that x 58.1818 , .01 , 2 10 .005 and t n1 t .005 3.169 . 2 Confidence interval: x tn1 s x is the formula for a two sided interval. 2 x t n1 s x 58.1818 3.1693.3583 58.1818 10.6425 or 47.54 to 68.82. The interval is smaller, 2 but it doesn’t change anything – the mean is still significantly different from 40 but not 50. How I got these results ‘MTB >’ is the Minitab prompt. The retrieval is done using the ‘file’ pull-down menu and the ‘open worksheet’ command followed by finding where I put the data. Other instructions were typed in the ‘session’ window. I put the data in column 1 in Minitab and used the ‘describe’ command to get the mean and standard deviation. ————— 2/5/2004 6:57:26 PM ———————————————————— Welcome to Minitab, press F1 for help. MTB > Retrieve "C:\Documents and Settings\RBOVE.WCUPANET\My Documents\Drive D\MINITAB\2gr1-041.MTW". Retrieving worksheet from file: C:\Documents and Settings\RBOVE.WCUPANET\My Documents\Drive D\MINITAB\2gr1-041.MTW # Worksheet was saved on Fri Jan 30 2004 Results for: 2gr1-041.MTW MTB > print c1 Data Display C1 50 48 58 65 74 66 37 45 68 64 65 252solngr1 2/05/04 MTB > describe c1 Descriptive Statistics: C1 Variable N Mean C1 11 58.18 Variable Minimum Maximum C1 37.00 74.00 I put the square of column 1 in column 2. MTB > let c2=c1*c1 Median 64.00 Q1 48.00 TrMean 58.78 Q3 66.00 StDev 11.52 SE Mean 3.47 I summed both columns. MTB > sum c1 Sum of C1 Sum of C1 = 640.00 MTB > sum c2 Sum of C2 Sum of C2 = 38564 I printed out both columns. MTB > print c1 c2 Data Display Row Row C1 C1 C2 C2 1 50 2500 2 48 2304 3 65 4225 4 74 5476 5 66 4356 6 37 1369 7 45 2025 8 68 4624 9 64 4096 10 65 4225 11 58 3364 I cleared column 2 and saved column 1, using it to do 2 confidence intervals. MTB > Erase c2. This is the instruction for a 99% interval using t. MTB > tinterval 99.0 c1 One-Sample T: C1 Variable C1 N 11 Mean 58.18 StDev 11.52 SE Mean 3.47 ( 99.0% CI 47.17, 69.20) This is the instruction for a 99% interval using t. currently preferred by the Minitab establishment. MTB > oneT c1; SUBC> conf 99.0. One-Sample T: C1 Variable C1 N 11 Mean 58.18 StDev 11.52 SE Mean 3.47 ( 99.0% CI 47.17, 69.20) This is the instruction for an 85% interval using z and a population standard deviation of 10. MTB > zinterval 85.0 10 c1 One-Sample Z: C1 The assumed sigma = 10 Variable C1 N 11 Mean 58.18 StDev 11.52 SE Mean 3.02 ( 85.0% CI 53.84, 62.52) 252solngr1 2/05/04 This is the instruction for an 85% interval using z and a population standard deviation of 10 currently preferred by the Minitab establishment. MTB > oneZ c1; SUBC> sigma 10; SUBC> conf 85.0. One-Sample Z: C1 The assumed sigma = 10 Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean 85.0% CI C1 11 58.18 11.52 3.02 ( 53.84, 62.52) I used ‘select all’ and ’copy’ to get my results into this document. Note that Minitab does not have provision for a finite population correction.