The Opposition Leaders: Where are they going and are the protestors with them? Vitaliy Klychko: UDAR Arseniy Yatsenyuk: Fatherland Oleh Tyahnybok: Liberty Why are people protesting? How it began Anger at gov. cancellation of AA with EU Economic impetus to promote democratization and good governance What it has become Anger at police violence and authoritarianism Rule of Law Dignity Is it about the EU anymore? Shift in attitude after violence and authoritarian measures BUT: the initial impetus for protest remains Political Change Economic Integration with Europe Democratization & Long-Term Economic Competitiveness What are the opposition leaders saying and doing? 5 general demands: Amnesty for all protestors arrested Prosecution of officials who ordered violent force Dissolution of the government Special parliamentary and presidential elections Resignation of the president But what is their long-term plan? Do they have one? Potential for continued turmoil and repeat of 2004 failure What should they be saying while united and enjoying exposure? The initial impetus for the protests in Nov. 2013 Yanukovych’s record as president The “Family’s” embezzlement of $8-10 billion/year State Tax Admin. Closed bidding for infrastructure projects Artificial low gas prices, reselling at market rates So what should be done? Audit of gov. Guilty parties forced to repay, lose their positions, and be prosecuted Role of IMF, EU, and US What should they be doing while united and enjoying exposure? Highlight specific causes of Ukraine’s weakened democracy and economy Russian debt Long-term benefits of AA for industrialists and workers Courts as rubber stamp & politically charged prosecution Controversial passages of laws in Verkhovna Rada Political control over big business Forceful coercion against civil society Reversal to pre-2004 Constitution Practice of centrally appointing oblast governors Source: http://texty.org.ua/pg/article/editorial/read/48584/Ugoda_pro_As ociaciju_z_JeS_Shho_zminytsa What not to do: Embitter Eastern/Southern Ukrainians Tymoshenko case “On Principles of the State Language Policy” Law The Kharkiv Accords Works Cited Kuzio, Taras and Daniel Hamilton, eds. Open Ukraine: Changing Course Towards a European Future. Washington D.C.: Center for Transatlantic Relations, 2011. Print. Anders, Aslund. Payback Time for the Yanukovych ‘Family,’ Kyiv Post. Dec. 13, 2013. <http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/oped/anders-aslund-payback-time-for-theyanukovych-family-333567.html>