INTRODUCTION TO POLITICS AND POLICY 3 definitions of politics: Politics is.... •....[the process of determining] “Who gets what, when, and how?” - Laswell •....”the authoritative allocation of values (valued things)” - Easton •....”the competitive process engaged in a society to allocate scarce resources and determine priorities” - Feagin 5 Characteristics of Public Policy •Policy consists of courses of action rather than mere decisions; •Policy is purposive or goal-oriented action; •Policy is what government does, not what it says it will do or intends to do •Policy is based upon law and is authoritative [that is, it must be developed by government]; and • Policy is the result of political processes. The “Science” of Political Science How do we come to know the things we know? How do we go about increasing our knowledge and decreasing our ignorance? The Three Epistemologies: •fideism: by “faith” •rationalism: by mental reflection •empiricism: by sensory perception and experience THE RATIONAL/EMPIRICAL APPROACH Explaining Relationships: • What is a variable? - Dependent variables - Independent variables • Measuring variables - Nominal - Ordinal - Interval - Ratio Models and Theories: • What is a model? - Description - Simplification • What makes a “good” theory? - Explanation - Prediction - Generalization - Parsimony - Ceteris paribus assumption • Correlation versus causation • Positive vs. normative theories Types of Models Used in the Study of Politics • Verbal • Visual • Graphical • Mathematical EXPLAINING RELATIONSHIPS AMONG POLITICAL VARIABLES • Formulating hypotheses • Testing Hypotheses -Experimentation -Statistical analyses • Making probabilistic statements USING GRAPHS TO UNDERSTAND POLITICAL AND SOCIAL PHENOMENA Y No relationship Y Exact, linear, inverse Y Exact, linear, direct X Y X Y X Y Exact, nonlinear Inexact, nonlinear Inexact, linear, direct X X X Date Jul-93 Apr-93 Jan-93 Oct-92 Jul-92 Apr-92 Jan-92 Oct-91 Jul-91 Apr-91 Jan-91 Oct-90 Jul-90 Apr-90 Jan-90 Oct-89 Jul-89 Apr-89 Jan-89 Oct-88 Jul-88 Apr-88 Jan-88 Oct-87 Jul-87 Apr-87 Jan-87 Oct-86 Jul-86 Apr-86 Jan-86 Oct-85 Number of Monthly Recipients (x 1,000) Time-Series Graphs Number of Monthly AFDC Recipients in Maryland, 10/85 to 9/93 250 200 150 100 50 0 Oc t-8 Fe 5 b8 Ju 6 n8 Oc 6 t-8 Fe 6 b8 Ju 7 n8 Oc 7 t-8 Fe 7 b8 Ju 8 n8 Oc 8 t-8 Fe 8 b8 Ju 9 n8 Oc 9 t-8 Fe 9 b9 Ju 0 n9 Oc 0 t-9 Fe 0 b9 Ju 1 n9 Oc 1 t-9 Fe 1 b9 Ju 2 n9 Oc 2 t-9 Fe 2 b9 Ju 3 n93 Number of AFDC Recipients (x 1,000) and Unemployed (x 1,000) Time-Series Graphs Number of Monthly AFDC Recipients and Number of Monthly Unemployed In Maryland, 10/85 to 9/93 250 200 150 AFDC Recipients 100 Unemployment 50 0 Date PRACTICE: Sketch a graph and explain the relationship you would expect to find between: 1. a family’s annual household income and the amount of money they contribute annually to political campaigns 2. the amount of money a nation budgets for national defense and the probability that a nation will be engaged in an armed conflict 3. the minutes of TV time purchased by a candidate running for the U.S. Senate and the number of votes he/she receives in the election 4. the popularity of a Democratic president and the probability that the Republicans will win additional seats in Congress in an upcoming election 5. the amount of money received in monthly cash benefits ($) by a woman on AFDC and the length of her dependency period [how long her family receives benefits] A Systems Model of Public Policy-Making ENVIRONMENTS Physical system FEEDBACK LOOP (outcomes - effects on society and individuals may cause new problems to be identified) Economic system Demographics External political systems Cultural system Constitutional system THE POLITICAL SYSTEM Input Structures Inputs Legislative Individuals Mass Media Interest groups Government Institutions Demands Executive Benefits Judicial Supports Actors Party systems Roles Electoral systems Processes Deprivations ENVIRONMENTS Physical system Economic system Demographics External political systems Cultural system Constitutional system ENVIRONMENTS - the environment is any condition or circumstance that is external to the boundaries of the political system being examined. Thus, a political system may respond to social, economic, or physical conditions, or it may respond to inputs from other (external) political systems. At any rate, it is proper to think of environmental conditions in terms of systems and in the plural. INPUT STRUCTURES - the channels, linkages, and connections from the environments to government institutions. These individuals and organizations/institutions serve to recruit political actors, nominate and elect public officials, represent people, set agendas for public discussion and action, and communicate demands and supports to public officials. THE POLITICAL SYSTEM Input Structures Individuals Mass Media Interest groups Party systems Electoral systems INPUTS - Inputs into governmental structures include demands for specific policy action and general support for the political system or one of its parts. Diffuse support contributes to the long-term maintenance and stability of the political system. THE POLITICAL SYSTEM Inputs Demands Supports GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS - these are the familiar legislative, executive, judicial, and bureaucratic branches of government. These institutions may be referred to as conversion structures because because they convert demands and supports into public policy outputs. Government institutions pass the laws, appropriate the money, and make rules and regulations, whether formal or informal, for implementing policies. THE POLITICAL SYSTEM Government Institutions Legislative Executive Judicial Actors Roles Processes OUTPUTS - are of two kinds: policy statements and implementing actions. Policy statements include legislative statutes, executive orders, administrative rules and regulations, and judicial decisions, as well as informal policy pronouncements. Implementing actions are those activities undertaken by administrators and other political actors to carry out the policy statement. Outputs are generally characterized as either benefits or deprivations imposed on a particular target group. THE POLITICAL SYSTEM Benefits Deprivations OUTCOMES are the short and long term effects that policies have on environmental conditions. Outcomes feed back into the policy process and have an impact on the formulation of new policies. Thus, as the feedback loop indicates, the policy process is a continual cycle. FEEDBACK LOOP (outcomes - effects on society and individuals may cause new problems to be identified) THE POLITICAL SYSTEM Benefits Deprivations THE UTILITY OF THE SYSTEMS MODEL In studying politics and public policy, the systems model can be used to: • Convey the idea of government as part of a larger system made up of political actions; • Identify the parts of the political system and the relationship of each part to the others; • Show the linkages or connections between the environments and political structures, as well as linkages among parts of the political system itself; • Demonstrate how external variables in the environments stimulate political activity and perhaps may ultimately necessitate public policies; • Allow us to develop possible explanations for government performance by focusing on the various parts and their interconnections; • Show that policy outputs and outcomes are the product of political activity occurring within the system; policy is the result of political processes. The Production Line Model of Policy-Making Agenda-Setting Evaluation Formulation Implementation Adoption/ Legitimation Government Institutions/Actors Agenda-Setting Agenda-setting involves two basic activities: (1) problem identification and (2) priority-setting. Problems may be identified by a wide variety of political actors, both inside and outside of government, who may have competing perceptions of the problem’s cause, scope, and severity. Prioritysetting occurs when moving problems from the public agenda to the official agenda. Determining which problems are priorities and deserve government’s attention is an issue of determining “who gets access?” There are many points of access in the American political system because there is no single official agenda. Agenda-Setting Policy formulation involves working out the details of alternative strategies to address a problem placed on a government institution’s agenda. The formulation of alternative policy Formulation strategies may be carried out by professional, scientific policy analysts and planners, but more often it is an informal process in which entities that are affected by a problem and any potential policy response attempt to persuade government decision-makers of the merits of their preferred solution. In other words, formulation is a political rather than a rational process. Political actors both inside and outside of government may be involved in this stage of policy-making. 5 Types of Policy Statements • legislative enactments (statutes) • executive orders • administrative rulings • court decisions • informal policy pronouncements In the adoption/legitimation stage, government officially accepts a particular course of action from among the Agenda-Setting alternatives produced in the formulation stage [adoption means “choosing”]. A policy statement is adopted. Policy statements may take several forms. Policy statements must be adopted by government institutions because (in American society) only government is recognized as having legitimate authority to impose binding decisions on Adoption/ society. This legitimacy is Legitimation conferred by a legal/ constitutional process. Formulation Government Institutions/Actors Agenda-Setting Implementation Implementation involves doing the things to or for target groups that have been authorized by the policy statement. However, implementation is not as Formulation mechanical as mere administration. It is itself a dynamic, political process involving activities characteristic of each of the five stages of the broader policymaking process. Although implementing actions are generally carried out by a government bureaucracy, private Adoption/ individuals or businesses or non-profit Legitimation agencies may have some implementation responsibilities as well. Government Institutions/Actors Evaluation Implementation Evaluation is the measurement of policy Agenda-Setting performance and consequences in terms of policy goals and other standards. Policy evaluations may be conducted formally by policy analysts in government agencies, “policy think-tanks,” or the news media, or informally by just about anyone. Often informal, non-scientific evaluations shape perceptions of policy effectiveness more than rigorous, scientific analyses. “Feedback” occurs as a result of evaluation so that policy may be adjusted at any time. As a consequence, old problems may be redefined or new problems may be Adoption/ identified and the policy-making process Legitimation begins again. Thus, policy-making is a continual or cyclical process. Government Institutions/Actors 5 Classes of Public Policy Class Activity RESOURCE ALLOCATIVE giving, aiding, benefiting, subsidizing RESOURCE EXTRACTIVE taking, taxing, requiring time or service REGULATORY controlling behavior, setting standards, inspecting for compliance, punishing non-compliance SYMBOLIC ritualizing, moralizing, making promises, substituting rhetoric for substance INTERNAL ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT organizing/managing govt. affairs, budgeting, making rules with respect to internal operation Who Governs? This is a central question for political scientists. A number of theories have been offered as answers [see, for example, p. 561 in the AMERICAN GOVERNMENT text]. Two theories have won widespread acceptance among political scientists, although they reach competing conclusions: Elite Theory Pluralist Theory The Many Meanings of Democracy procedural democracy - concerned with process substantive democracy - concerned with outcomes direct democracy - “the people” make decisions (process) representative democracy - “the people” select leaders to make decisions majoritarian democracy - concerned with who has political power (majority rule) pluralist democracy - concerned with who has political power (varies among competing groups) elite democracy - concerned with who has political power (those with economic resources) liberal democracy - emphasizes process and places primacy on the existence of individual rights social democracy - emphasizes equality of outcomes (redistribution of power in society, particularly wealth) egalitarian democracy - emphasizes strict political equality Describing American Democracy Traditional democratic theory The following conditions or criteria must be satisfied in order to conclude that a country has a traditional democracy: • Citizens must be politically equal; • Citizens must act on their preferences for leadership and public policy - i.e., citizens must participate in decision-making; • Information must be fully and freely available; • There must be a close correspondence between the policy decisions of representatives and the policy preferences of their constituents - i.e., representatives must be delegates; • When choosing from among policy alternatives, the alternative preferred by the majority must be selected - i.e., majority rules. Describing American Democracy Elite Theory • Economic power equals political power; • Society is divided into two groups: the elites and the masses; • Public policy is not based on demands of the masses rather it reflects the values and preferences of the power elite; • There is competition among elites - however, elites share broad values in support of the status quo; • Public policy is not necessarily anti-mass welfare; • Changes or innovations in public policy come about as a result of the power elite redefining their own values;0 • Policy changes will occur incrementally. Elite Theory According to this model, public policy may be viewed as the preferences and values of a power elite. Public policy, in other words, flows downward from the elite through public officials and administrators who merely validate and carry out the policies favored by the elite to the masses or the people who are apathetic and ill-informed about policy. Elites actually shape mass opinion on policy matters. Elites Public Officials and Administrators Masses Pluralist Theory • The central fact of politics is a competition and interaction among group interests; • Public policy decisions and actions made by government reflect the balance of influence among competing group interests; • No single group completely dominates the policy-making process; • The influence of groups changes as issues change; • Changes in group influence can be expected to result in changes in public policy; • The distribution of influence among competing groups, although constantly changing, rarely changes dramatically; • Changes in public policy will occur incrementally. Pluralist Theory According to this model, individuals with common interests ban together, formally or informally, to press their demands on government. Public policy at any given time is the equilibrium reached in the group struggle. This equilibrium is determined by the relative influence of competing groups. Group A Group B WHY DOES GOVERNMENT MAKE PUBLIC POLICY? To provide public goods/services •pure private goods •pure public goods and the free-rider problem •merit goods To counter the problem of externalities To deal with the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard Externalities • A positive externality exists when all of the social benefits associated with the production and consumption of a good or service are not captured by the private market. When a positive externality exists the private market produces a less-than socially optimal level of output. There is too little production. Government usually attempts to increase the level of output by subsidizing the production of the good or service or by providing the good or service itself. An example of a good/service with positive externalities is childhood immunizations (public health benefits). • A negative externality exists when all of the social costs associated with the production and consumption of a good or service are not captured by the private market. When a negative externality exists the private market produces a more-than socially optimal level of output. There is too much production. Government usually attempts to decrease the level of output by placing regulations or taxes on the production or consumption of the good or service. An example of a good/service with negative externalities is motor vehicles (pollution). Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard • Adverse selection is the tendency for people to enter into agreements in which they can use private information (information that is known only to themselves because it is too costly for anyone else to obtain) to their own advantage and to the disadvantage of the less informed party. •Moral hazard exists when one of the parties to an agreement has an incentive after the agreement is made to act in a manner that brings additional benefit to himself or herself at the expense of the other party (it is too costly for the injured party to monitor the actions of the advantaged party). EXAMPLE: Health Care Insurance Adverse selection exists in health insurance because there is a tendency for people who know they have a greater chance than average of falling ill to be the ones most likely to buy health insurance. Moral hazard is the tendency for people who are covered by insurance to use more health care services or to be less careful about avoiding health risks than they otherwise would.