PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES Robots (thousands) Q 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Unattainable A B C W Attainable & Efficient D Attainable but Inefficient E 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pizzas (hundred thousands) 8 Q PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES Robots (thousands) Q 14 A’ 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Economic Growth C’ B’ D’ E’ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pizzas (hundred thousands) 8 Q PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES Curve For Each Country United States Brazil 45 40 30 Coffee (tons) Coffee (tons) 35 25 20 15 10 30 25 20 15 10 A 5 5 B 0 0 5 10 15 20 Wheat (tons) 25 30 5 10 15 20 Wheat (tons) TRADING POSSIBILITIES LINES The Gains from Trade United States Brazil 45 40 Trading possibilities line 30 Coffee (tons) Coffee (tons) 35 25 20 15 A’ 10 30 25 20 Trading possibilities line 15 10 A 5 B’ 5 B 0 0 5 10 15 20 Wheat (tons) 25 30 5 10 15 20 Wheat (tons) MARKET DEMAND & SUPPLY Price of Corn P S $5 4 Market Clearing Equilibrium 3 2 1 o D 2 4 6 78 10 12 14 16 Quantity of Corn Q MARKET DEMAND & SUPPLY Price of Corn P S $5 At a $2 price 4 more is being 3 demanded than supplied 2 Shortage 1 o D 2 4 6 78 101112 14 16 Quantity of Corn Q MARKET DEMAND & SUPPLY Price of Corn P $5 Surplus S At a $4 price 4 more is being 3 supplied than demanded 2 1 o D 2 4 6 78 10 12 14 16 Quantity of Corn Q £1 : $1 £2 : $1 £/$ 2/1=2 Dollar depreciates / Pound appreciates £1 : $1 £1 : $2 £.5 : $1 £/$ 1 / 2 = .5 .5/ 1 = .5 P Price of Dollar in Pound (£ / $) Dollar appreciates / Pound depreciates THE MARKET FOR CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE: £1 = $1 S 2 1 Dollar appreciates Dollar depreciates .5 D Quantity of Dollar Q Loanable Funds Market i Demand for Loanable Funds Supply of Loabable Funds 3 Real interest rate •Businesses •Government Slf 2 1 •Households Dlf Quantity of loanable funds Qlf Bond Market Demand for Bonds •Households Supply of Bonds •Businesses •Government Price of Bonds Pb Sb 3 2 1 Db Quantity of bonds Qb Rate of interest, i (percent) THE MONEY MARKET A temporary surplus of money will require Sm1 Sm Sm2 the purchase of some assets to meet the desired level of liquidity. 10 7.5 ie 5 2.5 Dm 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) A temporary shortage of money will require the sale of some assets to meet the need. Average and Marginal Propensities APC Consumption / Disposable Income APS Saving / Disposable Income MPC Change in Consumption Change in Disposable Income MPS Change in Saving Change in Disposable Income INVESTMENT and interest rate, i (percents) Expected rate of return, r, 16 14 INVESTMENT DEMAND CURVE 12 10 8 6 4 2 ID 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Investment (billions of dollars) THE MULTIPLIER EFFECT Multiplier = 1 1 or 1 - MPC MPS Inverse relationship between Multiplier & MPS Change in GDP = Multiplier x initial change in spending AGGREGATE DEMAND Price level Aggregate Demand Increases Aggregate Demand Decreases AD2 AD3 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND Change in Consumer Spending • Consumer Wealth • Consumer Expectations • Consumer Indebtedness • Taxes Change in Investment Spending • Real Interest Rates • Expected Returns • Expected Future Business Conditions • Technology • Degree of Excess Capacity • Business Taxes DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE DEMAND Government Spending Net Export Spending • National Income Abroad • Exchange Rates Changes in Aggregate Demand Shifts and the Aggregate Expenditures Model Illustrated… AGGREGATE SUPPLY Price level AS3AS1AS2 Decrease In Aggregate Supply Increase In Aggregate Supply Real domestic output, GDP DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE SUPPLY Change in Input Prices Domestic Resource Availability • Land • Labor • Capital • Entrepreneurial Ability Prices of Imported Goods Market Power DETERMINANTS OF AGGREGATE SUPPLY Change in Productivity Productivity = Real Output Input Change in Legal-Institutional Environment • Business Taxes and Subsidies • Government Regulation Price Level Equilibrium output short of full employment LRAS AS PLe AD ye Yfe Real Domestic Output, GDP Price Level SHORT-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY A lower price level decreases profits and output moving the economy from a1 to a3 SRAS P2 a2 P1 P3 o A higher price level increases profits and output moving the economy from a1 to a2 a1 a3 Q3 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output LONG RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY A higher price level results in higher nominal wages and thus shifts the short-run aggregate supply to the left Price Level ASLR Short Run - b1 P2 Period in which nominal wages (and other input prices) remain P1 fixed as the price level increases or decreases AS2 AS1 a2 AS3 a1 Long Run Period in which nominal wages are fully responsive to previous changes in the price level P3 o a3 Q3 c1 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output A lower price level results in lower nominal wages and shifts the shortrun aggregate supply to the right Equilibrium output at full employment LRAS Price Level SRAS PL1 a AD o YFE Real domestic output THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 10 7.5 5 2.5 Dt 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Asset Demand, Da = 10 7.5 5 2.5 Da Total demand for money, Dm Nominal interest rate, i (percent) + Nominal interest rate, i (percent) Nominal interest rate , i (percent) Transactions Demand, Dt 10 7.5 5 2.5 Dm 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Nominal interest rate , i (percent) THE MONEY MARKET Sm 10 7.5 ie 5 Dm 2.5 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) THE PHILLIPS CURVE PCLR Normally, there is a trade off between the rate of inflation and the rate of unemployment (PC) Aggregate supply shocks can cause both higher rates of inflation and higher rates of unemployment (shift from PC to PC1) Annual rate of inflation (percent) 7 There is no significant trade off between inflation and unemployment over the long run (PCLR) 6 5 4 3 2 PC1 1 PC 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Unemployment rate (percent) THE LAFFER CURVE Tax rate (percent) 100 n m m Maximum Tax Revenue l 0 Tax revenue (dollars)