10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 10th Global Conference on Business and Economics October 15-16, 2010 ENHANCING ACCESS TO FINANCE FOR MICRO AND SMALL ENTERPRISES IN EGYPT Dr. Sahar Nasr World Bank, American University in Cairo, and British University in Egypt Phone Number: +2-010-544-7706 October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 1 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 10th Global Conference on Business and Economics October 15-16, 2010 ENHANCING ACCESS TO FINANCE FOR MICRO AND SMALL ENTERPRISES IN EGYPT Dr. Sahar Nasr Lead Financial Economist and Associate Professor The World Bank, the American University in Cairo, and the British University in Egypt +20105447706 Abstract Many governments of developing countries perceive micro, small, and medium enterprises as engines of employment, poverty alleviation, and broad-based economic growth. Growth and development of micro and small enterprises in developing countries can increase poor people’s opportunities, security, and empowerment. Firms that start small but do a good job of responding to market demands become larger. With scale comes productivity, bringing better salaries for workers. Larger firms tend to thrive for a longer period than smaller ones. The challenge, then, is to create an environment in which new entrants with drive and good ideas can get started in business, and good firms can grow. Accessing finance is a make-or-break issue for many micro and small enterprises in the developing world. Micro and small enterprises are major contributors to the gross domestic product and employment in economies around the world, yet their financial needs are underserved, which holds back their growth. Where financing is available, it is usually out of reach because of short payback periods and excessive collateral requirements. Nonbank financing options, such as leasing, are not always available. In many developing economies, certain segments of the population, primarily women, are excluded from business activity, because traditionally they do not own land, which is often the preferred collateral for loans. Enhancing access of micro and small enterprises to finance has always been an important component of the Egyptian government’s agenda. This paper gives a broad overview on the micro and small enterprise sector in Egypt, constraints impeding their growth, and policy efforts undertaken by the government. The paper would also discuss how far did micro and small enterprises in Egypt get affected by the economic slowdown resulting from the global financial crisis, in addition to suggesting means by which access to finance for micro and small enterprises could be enhanced. Keywords Access, finance, micro, small, business, enterprise, Egypt, financial crisis October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 2 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics I. ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 INTRODUCTION Many governments of developing countries perceive micro, small, and medium enterprises as engines of employment, poverty alleviation, and broad-based economic growth. Growth and development of micro and small enterprises in developing countries can increase poor people’s opportunities, security, and empowerment. Firms that start small but do a good job of responding to market demands become larger. With scale comes productivity, bringing better salaries for workers. Larger firms tend to thrive for a longer period than smaller ones. The challenge, then, is to create an environment in which new entrants with drive and good ideas can get started in business, and good firms can grow. Accessing finance is a make-or-break issue for many micro and small enterprises (MSEs) in the developing world. MSEs are major contributors to the gross domestic product (GDP) and employment in economies around the world, yet their financial needs are underserved, which holds back their growth. Where financing is available, it is usually out of reach because of short payback periods and excessive collateral requirements. Nonbank financing options, such as leasing, are not always available. In many developing economies, certain segments of the population, primarily women, are excluded from business activity, because traditionally they do not own land, which is often the preferred collateral for loans. Enhancing access of MSEs to finance has always been an important component of the Egyptian government’s agenda. Over the last four years Egypt‘s government has implemented significant structural reforms. These have included liberalization of trade, a complete overhaul of the tax system, restructuring and improving financial sector regulation, and privatization of state-owned enterprises (SOEs). These reforms led to a friendlier investment climate which, in a favorable global economic environment, generated a strong October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 3 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 private-sector supply response. Real GDP growth increased from an average of 3.5 percent during FY01-04 to around seven percent between FY06 and FY08—a record compared to the previous twenty-five years. Egypt also accumulated significant net international assets in FY05-FY08, due to both internal and external factors. Despite the progress made, Egypt faces many challenges in maintaining sustainable economic growth, and addressing economic, social and regional inequalities. The global economic slowdown that began in 2008 has adversely affected growth and employment in Egypt. In FY09, growth decreased to 4.7 percent and is expected to increase to only 5.5 percent in FY10 as the global economy recovers. Employment growth is expected to fall to 2.3 percent, and the unemployment rate is expected to increase to about 10 percent by FY10.1 The real sector, especially MSEs have also been negatively affected by the slowdown in economic growth, as evident in a recent World Bank survey of 200 firms. Such an adverse impact is worrisome, as MSEs account for over 99 percent of Egyptian enterprises, 85 percent of non-agricultural private-sector employment, and, correspondingly, almost 40 percent of total employment. To meet these challenges, Egypt needs to diversify the sources of economic and employment growth, and raise the efficiency of resource allocation without exerting undue pressure on the already strained environment. One potential source of growth is MSEs, which over the past ten years have made an important contribution to GDP growth, job creation, and export earnings. II. STUDY METHODOLOGY This paper gives a broad overview on the micro and small enterprise sector in Egypt, constraints impeding their growth, and policy efforts undertaken by the government. The paper would also discuss how far did micro and small enterprises in Egypt get affected by the October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 4 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 economic slowdown resulting from the global financial crisis, in addition to suggesting means by which access to finance for micro and small enterprises could be enhanced. It draws on data from the World Bank Investment Climate Assessment (ICA), Investment Climate Survey (ICS), and the ICS recall questionnaire. The ICS of 1,156 enterprises from the manufacturing sector was carried out in October 2008, using the World Bank standard methodology. The recall questionnaire of 566 enterprises was conducted in October 2008. About 70 percent of the ICS sample is made up of small and medium firms, about 85 percent of which are owned by individuals or families. Large firms— firms employing more than 150 workers—account for about 30 percent of the sample. In about 35 percent of the sample, a woman is a main shareholder; in 15 percent of these firms, women own the majority of the firm. The limitation of the ICS is that it reflects only the perspective of entrepreneurs who established firms; it does not reflect the views of those who were unable to do so because of barriers in the business environment. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 5 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics III. ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 OVERVIEW OF MICRO AND SMALL ENTERPRISE SECTOR IN EGYPT MSEs make up over 99 percent of private enterprises in Egypt and account for 85 percent of non-agricultural private sector employment and almost 40 percent of total employment. MSEs have been the primary absorber of labor force entrants over the past eight years and contribute significantly to employment generation, albeit much of it is of an informal nature. Micro and small enterprises are also the major provider of products and services for local markets, particularly lower-income segments with limited purchasing power. Although the stock of micro and small enterprises has grown at an average annual rate of over four percent during the past ten years, and micro and small enterprise employment has increased at an annual rate of over five percent, the micro and small enterprise sector is highly vulnerable. The average Egyptian micro and small enterprise has only 2.3 workers, and almost three-quarters of all private enterprises have fewer than 3 employees. Over 80 percent of micro and small enterprises are informal enterprises, with low value-added, low production quality, and poor export performance. Micro and small enterprises are subject to a legal and regulatory framework which is cumbersome, bureaucratic and not sensitive to their operating realities. They face several other constraints, including difficult access to formal financing, business development services, markets, information, technology, skilled labor, and adequately priced inputs. In spite of more open markets and increasing foreign direct investment, because of their limited capacity and capability, the benefits from this are not trickling down to these enterprises. And although the numbers of both micro and small enterprises, and micro and small enterprises employment have been on the rise, this has not resulted in a reduction in the level of poverty; in fact, poverty levels have increased in recent years. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 6 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics A. ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Definition of Micro and Small Enterprises There has been controversy regarding the definition of micro, small and medium enterprises by different entities and organizations (Table 3.1). The Small Enterprise Law 141 of 2004 defines micro enterprises as companies or sole partnerships with paid-up capital less then LE 50,000, and small enterprises as companies or sole proprietorships with paid-up capital between LE 50,000 and LE 1 million, and with 6–50 employees. The Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) acknowledges this definition, but in practice uses number of employees, defining micro-enterprises as up to 5 employees, small enterprises as up to 50 employees, and medium and large enterprise as having over 50 employees.1 The definition of CBE is also broadly consistent with regard to number of employees, but markedly different with regard to paid-up capital. Banks tend to use annual turnover as the defining characteristic of enterprise client, given its relevance to loan analysis and repayment capacity. SFD uses a cut-off between micro and small enterprise loans of LE 25,000. This cut-off is broadly in line with the World Bank definition of micro as having an average loan size of up to 3 times per capita GDP. B. Size Composition Egypt’s enterprises, like enterprise sectors in most developing and developed countries, are mostly micro in size. According to CAPMAS, 92.5 percent of enterprises are micro, 7.3 percent small, and less than 1 percent (only 0.2 percent) is medium and large. Only about 1.5 percent of private sector enterprises have more than 10 employees. While the predominance of micro enterprises is not in itself unusual, the number of private sector medium and large enterprises, and the proportion of the private sector workforce that they employ is low by regional and international standards. Micro and small enterprises in Egypt 1 Definitions also vary among donors. For example, EU defines micro-enterprises as having up to 10 employees, small up to 50, and medium up to 250 employees (much higher than the small-medium enterprise cut-off used in Egypt), and also uses considerably higher paid-in capital amounts. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 7 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 tend to have very small amounts of capital. Around 59 percent of enterprises with 1–4 workers have capital of less than LE 5,000 (less than US$ 1,000) and only 6 percent of all enterprises have invested capital of more than LE 50,000 (less than US$ 10,000), according to Labor Market Panel Survey Data for 2006. The proportion of micro and small enterprises is growing. While micro and small enterprises accounted for 73.5 percent of total private sector employment in 1996, their share had jumped to more than 85 percent in 2008. On the other hand, medium and large enterprises witnessed a decline in their share of employment by almost half, from 26.5 percent to 14.7 percent during the same period (Table 3.2). C. Sectoral Breakdown As is typical in developing countries, micro and small enterprises are concentrated in the trade and services sectors. Of the total micro and small enterprises, 59 percent are in wholesale and retail trade, 27 percent in services, and 14 percent in manufacture as of December 2008 (Figure 3.1). The manufacturing share for small enterprises dropped from 46 percent in 1996 to 38 percent in 2006 and further to 14 percent in 2008. However, over half (51 percent) of medium and large enterprises are in manufactures, up from 46 percent a decade ago. Despite making up the vast majority of firms in Egypt’s private enterprise sector, the contribution of micro and small enterprises to exports is very low–estimated at only 4 percent of total exports in 2008, by value. D. Gender in the Micro and Small Enterprises Sector There is only limited participation of women in self employment and micro and small enterprises ownership. Women-owned micro and small enterprises make up 18 percent of the total number of micro and small enterprises. As size grows, levels of female ownership decrease even further. Not only are women less likely than men to be involved as micro and small enterprises owners, their enterprises are reportedly smaller, less likely to employ other October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 8 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 workers, more likely to be in retail trade, less likely to export, less likely to be registered, and to have lower levels of capitalization. The presence of women in entrepreneurial and micro and small enterprises activity mirrors their low participation in the labor force generally. The unemployment rate for women in Egypt is four times greater than that for men. There are over one million women in the labor force who would like to work but who cannot find employment. Therefore there may actually be greater potential for women participation in the enterprise sector than men, proportionately. The picture is better for microfinance, with women making up 74 percent of the active clients of SFD-supported MFIs. E. Informality Informality in Egypt’s enterprise sector is high, at an estimated 37 percent of GDP. Egyptian Labor Market Survey Data for 2006 indicated that over 83 percent of enterprises are informal and over 70 percent of private sector wage workers are engaged informally. Even medium and large firms hire nearly a quarter of their workers informally (without a secure contract, social security, etc). Manufacturing micro and small enterprises are much more likely to be registered (70 percent) than retail and services (less than five percent). F. Constraints on Enterprises The 2009 Investment Climate Survey (ICS) for Egypt indicated the primary constraints for manufacturing firms were uncertainty about the macroeconomic and regulatory environment, a shortage of skilled workers, tax rates, corruption and access to finance and cost of financing.2 The gap between the small, medium and large enterprises is especially severe in terms of access to finance (Figure 3.2). According to the Egyptian 2 The non-financial constraints are addressed by other Bank projects and/or by other development partners. The Bank is providing technical assistance and advisory work on the macroeconomic environment through the 2009 Egypt Macroeconomic Policy Note; on the regulatory policies through the 2008 Egypt Investment Climate Survey; on corruption through the on-going joint work supporting the Egyptian Governance and Anti-corruption agenda; and on the lack of skilled workers, there is the Egypt Skills Development Project. This is complemented by the work of other donors, and international organizations, such as the IMF on the macroeconomic environment (taxation, inflation, monetary policy, and exchange rate), ILO (skilled workers), and UNDP (governance and anti-corruption). October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 9 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 National Competitiveness Council estimates in 2008, around 40-60 percent of the costs of doing business arise from regulatory burden. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 10 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics IV. ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 ACCESS TO FINANCE FOR EGYPTIAN MICRO AND SMALL ENTERPRISES There is widespread consensus on the significant contribution of micro and small enterprises to employment creation, poverty alleviation, economic growth, social cohesion, and local and regional development. Lack of formal credit often hinders these enterprises from formal entry or from developing their potential. The fact that micro and small enterprises often receive less finance or face worse conditions than larger firms can put them at a competitive disadvantage, and will seriously harm long-term growth and development through under-investment, a waste of entrepreneurial resources, a reduction of productivity, and a lower growth rate. Access to finance is important for growth and economic development. Having an efficient financial system that can deliver essential services can make a huge contribution to a country’s economic development. Greater financial development increases growth, reduces economic volatility, creates job opportunities and improves income distribution, as has been established by a great deal of empirical literature. A well-functioning financial market plays a critical role in channeling funds to their most productive uses, and allocates risks to those who can best bear them. Globally, micro and small enterprises’ credit limitations in access to formal finance has been mainly attributed to the high administrative costs of small-scale lending, asymmetric information, the high risk attributed to their lack of collateral and inadequate capacity to prepare business plans and local applications. Although the reasons apply to industrial, as well as, developing and emerging economies, they tend to be more significant in the latter, where institutions underpinning credit markets are often less developed. The larger the firm, the easier its access to bank credit and the better are the loan conditions it receives. Loans to large customers are encouraged by banks through employee incentive schemes, which are often based on the amount of credit granted. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 11 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 In addition, the vast array of alternatives to domestic bank loans available to large firms, such as recourse to capital or international financial markets, augments their bargaining power at the time of negotiating a loan contract. In contrast to large firms, micro and small firms are often less able to meet their financing needs. Without sufficient finance, micro and small enterprises are unable to expand their businesses and to introduce productivity enhancing technology. This limits dynamism and competition, adversely affecting the economy as a whole. Enhancing access of MSEs to finance has always been an important component of the Egyptian government’s agenda. Strengthening the legal and institutional architecture for MSE finance is a key pillar in the government’s financial sector reform program. In particular, while the first generation of the Financial Sector Reform Program (2004-2008) focused on financial stability, the second generation reforms (2009–2013) focuses on financial intermediation and improving access. Key components of this program include, establishing under the Ministry of Investment the first Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA); setting a legal framework that will define and regulate Microfinance Institutions (MFIs); issuing CBE Decree 2408 of 2008, reducing reserve requirements on the funds used for loans to small enterprises; the launching in 2008 of a stock exchange for smaller firms—the NILEX to improve access to equity capital by small firms; issuing a new law on secured lending; and further improvements in the services offered by the credit bureau. In addition, SFD has recently launched a Micro and Small Enterprise Development Strategy (2009–2013) aiming at improving the environment for MSEs. Egypt has a large banking system, as indicated by a share of deposits to GDP of about 80 percent, far higher than what would be predicted by its per capita income, size, and population density (Figure 4.1). Like other Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries, October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 12 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 it is possible that sustained flows of remittances from workers abroad have contributed to the buildup of a large deposit base. The share of private credit to GDP is also comparatively high, although the difference from the predicted value is much smaller, as shown in Figure 4.2, due to a large share of government financing. The share of private credit to GDP and loan to deposit ratio have declined further in recent years (Figure 4.3), reflecting the restructuring program implemented in recent years (entailing large scale loan provision and write-offs and tighter regulatory standards reducing the pace of new lending to enterprises) and continued government financing. Moreover, credit to the private sector in Egypt remains very concentrated on the largest and well established enterprises. CBE reports that lending to small enterprises amounts to less than 1 percent of total lending. Formal financing, whether from banks or non-bank financial institutions, plays a limited role in financing enterprises, especially micro and small firms. The large majority of Egyptian manufacturers rely exclusively on their own funds; only 17.4 percent have access to finance from the financial sector. This is especially striking for small firms—only 13 percent have access to finance, as opposed to 36 percent for large firms. While the average for Egypt is comparable to the other countries in MENA, it is significantly below that in other developing countries. The microenterprises sector in Egypt is fragmented with 1.3 million active borrowers as of December 2008. It is estimated that only 5 percent of the potential microfinance market is being reached. According to the Poverty Assessment for Egypt, the estimated number or poor and ‘near poor’ people in Egypt, of productive age, is 21.03 million. Lower Egypt governorates have a penetration rate for microfinance of only 3.5 percent. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 13 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 SFD alone has financed 435 NGOs, and is actively financing 390, that are on-lending to microenterprises, many of which are small in scale. The microfinance units within banks operate within defined loan brackets, catering to specific segments. Products and services are limited to conventional forms, while alternative credit and saving products remain largely unused. These services are mainly associated with the SFD activities and the associated guarantees. Only a small portion of the funds mobilized by the banking system are lent to the productive sector, and even less to the private sector.3 Banks are increasingly investing in treasury bills and government bonds. They held about 91 percent of outstanding treasury bills as of December 2008; state-owned banks alone held 70 percent. This reflects banks’ inefficiency in identifying profitable projects and their cautious investment policies. Moreover, Figure 4.4 shows that as little as 0.19 percent of banks’ clients receive as much as 51 percent of banks’ credit (on an unconsolidated basis). At the time of the project preparation, the Egyptian banking system has been very liquid and neither CBE nor the commercial banks lack loanable funds. CBE has the ability to issue financial bonds, and the financial institutions have extensive networks for deposit taking. The fact the banks are willing to borrow under SFD is a reflection of their serious commitment to adhere to the conditions for successful implementation of the project. 3 Furthermore, not all the increase in credit advances to the private sector can be considered a net credit or an indication of fresh funding to the private sector, as there is an issue of rolling over or ever greening of loans. It is very hard to find information and data that differentiate between fresh funding and rolling over of credit. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 14 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 The 2009 ICA provides rich data on access to finance and other constraints for manufacturing enterprises of all sizes (Figure 4.5). The following analysis relies on that 2008 survey and on changes observed from earlier ICAs.4 It should be noted though that these surveys do not cover trade and retail enterprises, which make up a majority of the micro and small enterprise sector, and which may rely to a greater degree on access to credit for replenishing or expanding stock and inventory. Box 4.1: The Link between the Educational Level and Access to Finance Usage increases substantially with the level of educational attainment. Fourteen percent of households headed by someone with a university degree have formal savings or investment; 23 percent if the head of household holds a graduate degree. Most in these two groups use bank savings. Indeed, those are the only two educational groups for which bank savings are more prevalent than postal savings. Even at the highest education levels, however, almost no households have formal credit or capital-market investments (stocks, bonds, and deposits in investment companies). Figure B4.1: Households’ Share in Access to Financial Services by Educational Attainment in Access Egypt Figure A2.5: Households’ Share in to Financial Services by Educational Attainment in Egypt 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Illiter ate Primar y Sc hool Univ er s ity Degr ee Gr aduate Degr ee Post Of f ic e Sav ings Savings in Banks Formal Sav ings or Inves tment 4 The informal sector ICA survey was conducted in June–July 2008, and the main ICA surveys were conducted in October 2008. The informal ICA survey was conducted on 500 firms, comprised of 56 small firms and 444 micro firms. Small and micro firms represent 11.2 percent and 88.8 percent of the sample respectively. The manufacturing ICA survey was conducted on 1,156 firms, comprised of 618 small firms, 196 medium firms, and 342 large firms. Small, medium, and large firms represent 53.46 percent, 16.96 percent, and 29.58 percent of the sample respectively. The services ICA survey was conducted on 374 firms, comprised of 312 small firms, 34 medium firms, and 28 large firms. Small, medium, and large firms represent 83.42 percent, 9.09 percent, and 7.49 percent of the sample respectively. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 15 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Access to finance is a significant constraint. Overall, more than 28.5 percent of the firms surveyed perceive access to finance is a major or severe constraint, while 38.5 percent view the cost of finance as a significant hindrance. The problem is more severe for micro and small firms that perceive access to finance and the cost of financing in particular as major constraints. For example, over half of informal microenterprises and small manufacturing firms, and over 70 percent of small service firms find the cost of finance constraining, compared to 41 percent of medium-sized manufacturers and only 30 percent of large manufacturers. Similarly, access is identified as a constraint by 37 percent of microenterprises surveyed, 40 percent of small manufacturers and service firms, as opposed to 26 percent of medium-sized manufacturers and only 18 percent of large firms (Figure 4.6). A relatively low proportion of Egyptian firms, of all sizes, have a loan or credit line compared to the MENA average or other developing countries (Figure 4.7, 4.8). Manufacturing enterprises in Egypt do not appear to make extensive use of loans, and rely primarily on internally-generated earnings. This holds true for all sizes of firms. Moreover, the proportion of working capital financed through loans dropped by nearly 60 percent between 2006 (39.2 percent) and 2008 (16.6 percent). Likewise, fewer firms (16.4 percent in 2008) are using loans to finance investment (down from 51 percent in 2006Figure 4.9). Microenterprises that do get loans generally obtain them on less favorable terms than larger enterprises. The ICA survey data indicates that loans to microenterprises and small firms are more likely to require collateral than loans to medium and large firms. They require a higher level of collateral and are of shorter duration than loans to larger firms (Table 4.1). Moderating this, about 16 percent of loans received by microenterprises were from NGOs and another 21 percent reportedly from unspecified “other” sources. However, micro October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 16 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 entrepreneurs are also quite likely to have to pledge personal assets against the loan—40 percent of those with loans say they did so. Microenterprises have limited access to any financial services—only 3.5 percent report having a checking account and 4.4 percent have a savings account. Microenterprises who don’t have loans are much less likely to cite lack of need for a loan as an explanation. Around 97 percent of microenterprises without a loan never applied for one, similar to the 95 percent for formal manufacturing firms. But of those that never applied, only 39 percent said it was because they did not need one, as opposed to 45 percent of small formal manufacturers, 58 percent of medium firms and 68 percent of large firms that hadn’t applied for loans. Around 21 percent of respondents from microenterprises that didn’t apply say they don’t want to deal in interest, 18 percent indicate that interest rates are too high, and 13 percent say application procedures are too burdensome (Figure 4.10). Lack of access to finance is constraining productivity and efficiency, especially in the manufacturing sector. Firms showing higher productivity (for example, as measured by improved average capacity utilization from 2006 to 2007) complain less about access/cost of financing. This phenomenon is more prominent when firms are segregated by efficiency i.e. the degree to which a firm is operating at optimum capacity (defined here as 75 percent of existing capacity). Statistical analysis of manufacturing survey data shows that only 20.7 percent of efficient firms complain about the severity of access to finance compared to 38.4 percent of inefficient firms. Likewise, 32.33 percent of efficient firms complain about cost of financing, compared to 50.8 percent of inefficient firms (Figure 4.11). Firms that have loans or overdrafts are more likely to be efficient than firms without access to finance: 15.3 percent of efficient firms have loans compared to 11.69 percent of inefficient firms; and the proportion of higher productivity and efficient firms with overdrafts October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 17 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 is nearly twice those of lower productivity and inefficient firms.5 However, efficiency is also a determinant of access to overdrafts, suggesting that banks are selecting better projects (i.e. better credit risks) for financing. Access to bank loans or overdrafts is also an important determinant in employment growth within firms. Around 28 percent of firms that grew in terms of increased staffing have loans or overdrafts, compared to 17 percent of firms that did not increase staff numbers (Figure 4.12). However, access to bank finance does not strongly relate to capital asset growth (investment). Econometric analysis for the ICA 2009 confirms that access to finance has a positive and statistically significant impact on increase in total firm employment, but not on investment measured by fixed asset value.6 According to ICA 2009, microenterprises express a clear desire for more working capital. Informal microenterprises would like to keep inventories of their leading input or 5 The issue of the relevance of access to finance for productivity and efficiency is empirically examined in the 2008 survey using two logistic models. In the first model, productivity is the dependent variable (i.e. firms with higher productivity take the value of 1or 0 otherwise) and in the second model, efficiency (firms operating at 75 percent or more of capacity take the value of 1 or 0 if below 75 percent). The explanatory variables in the models are the same i.e. access to loans, access to overdraft, and many control variables including size, age of firm, ownership, region, gender, degree of foreign trade, education and experience of owner/manager, etc. Using robust standard errors, access to overdraft turned out positive in both models, but is only statistically significant (at 5percent level) in the model of efficiency. Access to loans is positive but not statistically significant in either model. Therefore, lack of access to overdrafts is a key constraint on firm’s efficiency, supporting evidence of a positive correlation between short-term credit and productive efficiency in previous studies (e.g. Fisman (2001), Trade Credit and Productive Efficiency in Developing Countries, World Development 29 (2) pp. 311–321). 6 Two logistic models were employed to statistically assess the impact of access to finance (having a loan or overdraft) on firms’ growth. In the first model, the change (from 2006 to 2007) in net book value of the firm’s fixed assets is the dependent variable (taking the value one if positive and zero otherwise) and in the second change in the average number of employees is the dependent variable (taking value one if positive and zero otherwise). Explanatory variables were the same in both models: access to financing (taking the value one if the firm has a loan/overdraft and zero otherwise), efficiency, regulatory compliance (takes value 1 if more than 5 percent of time in the last 12 months is spent complying with government regulations and zero otherwise), infrastructure (subdivided into electricity, water, transport – each taking the value of 1 if the firm has suffered any loss in sales as a result of inefficiency in each sector), factors influencing changes in employment (subdivided into law and regulation, union agreements, high minimum wage, fear of workers strikes, - each taking the value 1 if it is the main reason affecting staff hiring and firing and zero otherwise), education (value 1 if university and zero otherwise), experience of top manager (value 1 if more than 5 years and zero otherwise), and competition (value 1 if firm lowers prices in response to domestic or foreign competition and zero otherwise). Control variables include: size, region, gender, audited financial statements, degree of foreign trade, age of firm, and firm activity (garments, textiles, etc). As noted in the text, the results support the hypothesis that access to finance has a positive and statistically significant impact on increase in staff size but not on fixed asset investment. Other significant variables in the growth via employee model include: efficiency (i.e. efficiency leads to staff increases), education (university-educated managers improve growth prospects), and electricity (with positive coefficient i.e. firms with sales losses arising from power outages are increasing number of employees). Significant explanatory variables in the fixed investment growth model include regulatory compliance (negative coefficient i.e. time spent complying with regulations is constraining growth), and water (positive coefficient i.e. firms’ losing sales as a result of water shortages are spending on fixed assets). In addition, it appears that much of growth in assets can be linked to firms involved in the metals sector. An interesting finding: the dummy variable associated with female-owned firms is statistically significant in both models. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 18 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 supply that is 48 percent higher than their current levels, if not for lack of financing (Figure 4.13). Manufacturers in the informal sector would like 47 days of inventory on hand, but can only finance a 19-day supply. Given supply uncertainties, this lack of working capital may make these firms vulnerable to interruptions in production. About half (50.9 percent) of the firms surveyed in 2008 are voluntarily excluded from the credit market and only 5 percent of those not currently served applied for bank loans in the past year. This high level of ‘self exclusion’ is an important feature of the Egyptian credit market. The entrepreneurs surveyed as part of the ICA most commonly cited high interest rates, the lack of Islamic financial products, and burdensome loan application procedures, as reasons for not using loans from financial institutions. But a very significant proportion (60 percent) simply did not think they needed a loan. The availability of collateral is still the basis for obtaining bank loans. 92 percent of rejections of loan applications were reportedly based on the lack of acceptable collateral in the 2008 survey. About 84.6 percent of loans require collateral (higher than global averages), and this does not vary much between SMEs (86 percent) and large firms (82 percent), which suggests that banks do not have well developed SME lending technologies. From the panel data, the rate of collateralization has increased slightly to 90 percent in 2008, from 77 percent in 2006, and 88.6 percent in 2004. This recent sharp rise in 2008 may reflect the systematic increase in risk aversion in the global credit market (Figure 4.14). The percentage of collateral to loan value required has, however, fallen below 100 percent, to about 85 percent, which places Egypt more favorably in international rankings in that regard (Figure 4.15). A preference for Islamic financing (as reflected by ‘non-interest rate’ financing) is becoming more pronounced and significant, with the proportion citing this as a severe October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 19 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 constraint growing between 2004 and 2008. This appears to have significant implications for enterprise access to finance (Figure 4.16). Box 4.2: Small and Medium Enterprise Finance in Egypt — Findings from In-depth World Bank Interviews In the context of a wider survey on Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) financing in MENA, three banks with very different characteristics were interviewed in Egypt. The objective of the survey is to identify the main constraints for expanding SME finance, as understanding these constraints would enable policymakers to design appropriate solutions that would benefit both SMEs and banks. Despite their different backgrounds, the three banks painted a similar picture of SME financing in Egypt. This box summarizes the main findings of the interviews held in October 2009. While they did not agree on the strength of competition in the segment, all banks stated that SMEs are an underbanked segment, and stressed their interest in expanding SME banking. Two of the three banks interviewed saw the small enterprise segment as less competitive and more open for expansion, noting that SE clients tend to only deal with one bank, whereas the ME market was more competitive and MEs were able to access several banks. As in many other countries, banks see Egyptian SMEs as a high risk and high return market, where several constraints in the areas of financial infrastructure and the informality of small enterprises contribute greatly to the risks in SME lending. The importance of SMEs is indicated by the existence of a separate unit managing the banking relation with SMEs in all three banks. Banks emphasized portfolio diversification, growth potential, supply chain links, crossselling potential, and, in the case of the Islamic bank, social mission as the most important drivers of their involvement with SMEs. The three banks offer similar products to SMEs, namely loan, deposit and cash management, as well as payment products. A striking difference compared to many other developing and emerging countries is the lack of leasing and insurance products among banks’ products for SMEs. This is in line with the underdevelopment of the leasing and insurance sectors not only in Egypt but also in MENA in general. There was consistency among the two conventional banks about the most important obstacles to their exposure to sector: SME-specific factors (e.g. poor quality of financial statements, informality, lack of adequate collateral, lack of business skills) and credit information (lack or poor functioning of credit bureaus) were listed as the top obstacles. Banks suggested a whole range of measures the government could take to increase the appeal of lending to SMEs. These measures include: establishing a commercial court, reforming the credit guarantee scheme, setting up business development services for SMEs to help with standardized business plans, and capacity building for SMEs. Risk management practices related to the SME portfolio are improving, and the credit risk assessment of SMEs generally corresponds to international practices. The interviewed banks use similar techniques to evaluate SMEs: while no bank reported the use of internal credit scoring, internal credit ratings based on the regulatory rating requirements are used. External credit scoring is expected to be available soon from I-SCORE and banks plan to incorporate it in their credit risk assessment process. Automated decision-making for lending to SMEs with high scores is not planned. All banks do financial analysis of the targeted SMEs, and with the exception of the bank with the largest SME portfolio, they also do a financial analysis of the SME owner. Although there are some differences in how banks deal with SMEs with emerging concerns and overdue payment, all banks agreed that they try to avoid taking the judicial route. They noted that the judicial system is overstretched and the court process can take years. October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 20 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Box 4.3: Access to Finance in Egypt—A Gender Dimension Ensuring that investors, both men and women, have equal access to the financial market is essential. There is a need to allocate funding to its most productive uses; otherwise economic growth will be hampered. Hence removing any gender bias is crucial. Enhancing the active participation of women in entrepreneurship activities and giving them access to markets, especially financial markets, is essential, as it leads to a rise in the number of economically active members in the society; this will ultimately result in long-run economic prosperity. While access to finance remains a business constraint for both men and women, evidence seems to suggest that women are facing higher hurdles, particularly for small enterprises. The ICA shows that women suffer more from constrained access to finance compared to men, whether in terms of the cost of finance, ability to gain approval for financing, or legal disputes and conflict resolution in case of bankruptcy (Figure 2). In addition, banks request more strict collateral requirements when dealing with women investors. In fact, the proportion of women who complained about collateral requirements was double that of men. Women often have difficulty in providing collateral because, although the law gives women ownership rights of property, they often lack independence in managing these assets (being under the guardianship of their brother, husband, or even son). In many cases they are prevented from using their property as collateral for loans, limiting their ability to participate as independent agents in private-sector activity. The allocation of resources within the family is greatly influenced by the perception of roles, where the men are seen as the main, if not the sole, bread-earners (even in the cases when they are not). Women are more active in the informal credit market compared to men, and are more likely to draw on funds from family and friends. Very few women entrepreneurs resort to commercial banks for credit (around 20 percent), but those who do are confronted with higher rejection rates (6 percent compared to 4.5 percent for men) as shown in Figure 2. Banks estimate that women account for 10 to 25 percent of bank clients, most of whom are microfinance clients. Banks in Egypt do not systematically collect gender-disaggregated portfolio information and so do not have a good understanding of the needs of women SME owners as potential customers. In contrast, women are a majority of microfinance clients in Egypt. The proportion of women clients in SFD-supported microfinance portfolios is high and has increased from 66 percent in 2007 to 74 percent in 2008. There are a number of SFD-supported NGOs that solely or primarily serve women and as a result the women who are most in need of this credit will benefit greatly from the proposed operation. Figure B4.2: Finance as a Major Constraint Facing Women Entrepreneurs in Egypt Figure B4.3: Banks Loan Rejection Rates in Egypt by Gender 60 7 50 6 40 5 30 4 3 20 2 10 1 0 Cos t of f inanc ing w omen A c c es s to f inanc e 0 Legal s y s tem & c onf lic t r es olution Women men Source: ICA (2009). October 15-16, 2010 Rome, Italy 21 Men 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics V. ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS The speedy completion of the Egyptian government’s financial sector reform program and the restructuring of state-owned financial institutions are essential to enhance access to financial services. Equally important is improving the quality of the institutional environment and corporate governance. Enhancing the role of banks that have a huge branch network, of the postal system, and of microfinance institutions is crucial for the access agenda. It is essential to improve and widen the availability of financial services in Egypt, especially for micro and small firms as well as poor households, to enhance growth in the economy. The securities issuance system; institutional investment deregulation; and the regulatory capacity and policy framework should be reformed to enhance the primary markets. Ultimately, the combination of financial restructuring and institutional reform will make Egypt’s financial sector more developed and efficient, leading it to provide better-quality financial products and services, exhibiting a lower cost of financial intermediation, and being more competitive. The gains of better financial-sector development apply especially to MSEs. MSEs that have proven their ability to survive and grow in the marketplace can be important engines of innovation, job creation, and growth. Although both large and small firms need efficient access to financial products to remain competitive, small firms are typically much more growth-constrained by lack of finance. MSEs’ opportunities to develop into large, successful firms are influenced by a conducive overall investment climate—easy entry and exit, clearly established and protected property rights and good contract enforcement. Thus, improving access to finance allows them to capitalize on their growth opportunities, operate on a larger scale, and contribute more fully to economic growth. 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Restructuring the state-owned banks is important, not only for stability and reducing fiscal costs and contingent liabilities, but also for access to finance. The government should also continue the institutional restructuring of the state-owned banks that are likely to remain in public hands for some time, to assure they support a competitive market. Once the stateowned banks have been restructured and privatization is solidly underway, incentives for sound financial intermediation and a more competitive market structure will emerge. As private banks identify their comparative advantage and competitive niches, and as margins are squeezed in traditional markets, access to financial services for MSEs and households can be expected to increase and the quality of financial services enhanced. However, lessons from other countries suggest that reaping benefits of banking reform require a comprehensive approach. In depth restructuring of the state-owned banks will take time to be completely implemented, but does ultimately pay off. On the postal’s system, its potential contribution to improved access to financial services is great, especially in rural areas, and is crucial for enhancing access in Egypt as a whole. Authorities can make better use of the network of postal offices to expand access by encouraging Egypt Post to diversify the range of services it offers. Such diversification may entail distribution of credit, provided it is regulated by CBE, which would require postal financial services being institutionally split from Egypt Post. Another option would be for Egypt Post to distribute credit on behalf of a commercial bank through a strategic partnership, which would not require a banking license. Such an ambitious diversification strategy entails capacity-building in many fields, including cost accounting, negotiations, market-driven product development, and information technologies. The government should promote the complete integration of all postal outlets into its online network to enhance postal payments 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 and savings products, and consider using this distribution and IT infrastructure for credit extension, tapping relevant international expertise to promote successful expansion. Microfinance offers a mean of addressing the household and MSEs’ demand for access to financial services. Egypt appears relatively well advanced in its adoption of the business and lending practices associated with the commercially sustainable provision of microfinance. This experience could be tapped to improve access to financial services, especially credit. Microfinance business practices, involving specialized lending techniques, incentive-based loan officer compensation policies, and information technology capabilities, have broad application to the MSE lending market. Some banks might therefore profitably apply microfinance policies and practices toward the MSE sector. State-owned banks should be encouraged to make full use of the opportunity. At the same time, banks that have recently penetrated the small-business finance market and have been active in providing microfinance should be cautious in selecting credit policies or procedures and in employing sufficiently skilled staff. It is also important to ensure that the current banks’ regulatory and supervisory practices do not unnecessarily inhibit the broader adoption of these practices. Thus, pursuing and leveraging the National Strategy for Microfinance is an important action. To enhance access to finance, it is essential to improve the quality and credibility of the credit information system. Operationalizing the private credit bureau is an important step forward. The private credit bureau should set up its own credit-information database of bank and non-bank financial institutions, as well as combine the data of the public and private credit bureau, which would be available to qualified users. Alternatively, there could be an interface linking the public credit registry and a private credit bureau. The public credit registry would continue to exist to meet its legal mandate, until a decision is made about 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 whether it would be combined with the private credit bureau or an interface would link both. The current credit marketplace’s focus on aggressive growth in the retail business requires continuing the expansion of the public credit registry at CBE. Also, the institutional infrastructure of Egypt’s financial sector is coming into place for more efficient financial intermediation. Regulatory gaps are being filled, and new institutions are being created. The overall direction is right, but deeper institution-building, especially in the judicial area, is still needed and will take much more time to facilitate easy access to financial services. The speedy and adequate completion of the Financial Sector Reform is essential to enhance access to financial services. Ensuring sustainability and maintaining the course of the reform program, and promoting competition will be essential to reap the benefits in the form of an efficient financial system capable of providing better financial products and services at low costs, catering to all types of clients. Ultimately, a more developed and well-functioning financial system will enhance economic growth and development in Egypt. 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 REFERENCES Barth, James, Gerard Caprio, and Ross Levine. 2000. “Banking Systems Around the Globe: Do Regulation and Ownership Affect Performance and Stability?” Policy Research Working Paper No. 2325. World Bank. Washington D.C. Beck, Thorsten, Demirguc-Kunt, and Maria Soledad Martinez Peria. 2005. "Measuring Banking Sector Outreach, Indicators of Access to and Use of Financial Services across Countries,” World Bank. Washington D.C. Bencivenga, V.R. and B.D. Smith. 1991. Financial Intermediation and Endogenous Growth, Review of Economic Studies, LVIII, pp. 195-209. Boyd, J.H. and B.D. Smith. 1992. Intermediation and the Equilibrium Allocation of Investment: Implications for Economic Development, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 27, pp. 409-432. CAPMAS. 2005. Egyptian Household Survey of Income and Expenditure. Cairo, Egypt. Caprio, Gerard and Maria Martinez Peria. 2000. “Avoiding Disaster: Policies to Reduce the Risk of Banking Crises,” Working Paper No.47, Cairo: Egyptian Center for Economic Studies, November. ———, and Robert Cull. 2000. Bank Privatization and Regulation for Egypt, Distinguished Lecture Series 15, Cairo: Egyptian Center for Economic Studies. Central Bank of Egypt. Annual Report (various issues). Claessens, Stijn. 2005. “Access to Financial Services: A Review of the Issues and Public Policy Objectives.” Policy Research Working Paper No. 3589. World Bank. Washington D.C. Cull, Demirguc-Kunt, and Morduch. 2006. “Financial Performance and Outreach: A Global Analysis of Leading Microbanks.” World Bank. Washington D.C. Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli. 2007. “Finance for All: Policies and Pitfalls in Expanding Access” A World Bank Policy Research Report. Washington, D.C. Egyptian Insurance Supervisory Authority (EISA). Annual Report. (various issues). FinScope Africa. 2005. Financial Survey for South Africa. (various issues). Goldstein, Morris and Philip Turner. 1996. “The Roots of Banking Crises: The Macroeconomic Context”, in Banking Crises in Latin America, by editors Hausmann and Rojas-Suarez, Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Greenwood, J. and B. Jovanovic. 1990. Financial Development, Growth, and the Distribution of Income, Journal of Political Economy XCVIII, pp. 1076-1107. Impavido, Gregorio et al., 2001. Contractual Savings, Capital Markets and Firms’ Financing Choices, World Bank, Washington D.C. International Financial Statistics Yearbook. 2000-2006. International Monetary Fund: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund. 1998. Egypt: Beyond Stabilization, Toward a Dynamic Market Economy, IMF Occasional Paper 163, Washington, D.C. ———. 2000a. Macroeconomic Indicators of Financial System Soundness, Occasional Paper No. 192. Washington, D.C. La Porta, Rafael, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer. 2002. “Government Ownership of Banks,” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 57, No. 1, pp. 265-301. Lindgren, Carl-Johan. 1997. “How to Keep the Banking System Sound in a Period of Change,” in Banking Soundness and Monetary Policy: Issues and Experience in the Global Economy, by editors C. Enoch and J. Green, Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund. 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 ———, Carl-Johan, Gillian Garcia, and Matthew I. Saal. 1996. Bank Soundness and Macroeconomic Policy, Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund. Ministry of Finance. 2006. Financial Monthly (various issues) Ministry of Investment. 2006. (various issues). Mohieldin, Mahmoud. 1997. “Islamic finance in Egypt”. Egyptian Center for Economic Studies (ECES), Working Paper Number 15, July 1997. ———, and Sahar Nasr. 2003. “Financial Policy in Egypt,” an Analytical Study prepared for the Economic Research Forum (ERF) and Forum Euro-Mediterraneaeen des Institutes Economiques. September 2003. ———, and Sahar Nasr. 2006. “On Bank Privatization: The Case of Egypt,” The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, December 2006. Moody’s Investors Service. 2000. “Egypt: Banking System Outlook,” Global Credit Research, New York, November. Nasr, Sahar. 2000. “Privatization in Egypt: Achievements and Challenges,” World Bank, Egypt Country Department, June 2000. ———. 2006. “Access to Finance and Growth in Egypt” Middle East and North Africa Department, World Bank, Washington, D.C. ———. 2006. “Financial Leasing in MENA Region: An Analysis of Financial, Legal and Institutional Aspects,” Working Paper Series in the Economic Research Forum (ERF), presented at the ERF 12th Annual Conference, Cairo, Egypt. December 2006. Pagano, M. 1993. Financial Markets and Growth: An Overview, European Economic Review 37, pp. 613-622. Roe, Alan R.. 1998. The Egyptian Banking System: Liberalization, Competition and Privatization, Cairo: Egyptian Center for Economic Studies, Working Paper No. 28, June. Safavian, M.Fleisig, H. and Stienbuks, J. 2006. USAID. 2006. Report on Government Debt Market Development. (various issues) Wood, P. 1995. Comparative Law on Securities and Guarantees. p.5 World Bank. 2007. Financial Sector Strategy for the World Bank Group. Washington D.C. ——— .2004. Egypt: Investment Climate Assessment. Washington D.C. ——— .2005. Egypt: Individual Banks Survey. Washington D.C. ———. 2005. Insurance Sector Survey. Washington D.C. ———. 2002. Report of Observance of Standards and Codes. Washington D.C. World Federation of Exchanges. 2000-2004. Annual Reports. 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 TABLES Table 3.1: Various Definitions of MSE in Egypt Micro Employees Small Medium CAPMAS: up to 5 CAPMAS: up to 50 CAPMAS: 50+ CBE: up to 5 CBE: up to 50 CBE: 50-99 Law 141: up to 50 Paid-up Capital Law 141: <LE 50,000 Law 141: LE50,000LE 1 million CBE (for SMEs): LE 1 million–LE 20 million CBE (for SMEs): LE 250,000–LE 5 million Annual Sales Turnover Loan Size SFD: up to LE 25,000 SFD: LE 25,000– LE 2 million. Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Table 3.2: Enterprise Sector Composition by Size and Employment Microenterprises Small enterprises Medium and large enterprises Total Number of enterprises 2,167,142 171,144 5,015 2,343,301 Number of workers 4,075,150 1,389,448 938,570 6,403,168 Share in private enterprises sector (percent) 92.5 7.3 0.2 Share in private employment sector (percent) 63.6 21.7 14.7 Source: CAPMAS (2006). Table 4.1: Constraints of Most Recent Loans for Micro, Small, Medium and Large Firms, 2008 Micro Informal Small Manufacturin g Medium Manufacturing Large Manufacturing What was the approximate value of the collateral required as a percentage of the loan value? 104.4 93.6 82.6 78.6 What is the total duration of the loan (months) 23.5 82.1 83.4 83.5 What was the rate of interest? 13.7 13.2 15.6 12.7 Was there also a fee to obtain the loan? Percent saying yes 35.1 48.8 59.4 60.3 Conditions of most recent loan Source: World Bank ICA (2009). 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 GRAPHS Figure 3.1: Distribution of Micro and Small Enterprises by sector 14, 14% Wholesale and retail trade Services Manufacturing 27, 27% 59, 59% Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 3.2: Leading Constraints to Egyptian Manufacturing Firms by Size Macroeconomic Uncertainty (Ex: inflation, exch. rate) Illegal Competition from the informal sector/smuggling and dumping Regulatory Policy Uncertainty Skills and Education of Available Workers Corruption Tax Rates Cost of Financing (Ex: interest rates) Price of land Access to Financing (Ex: Collateral) Tax Administration Labor Regulations (Like Social Insurance) Access to Land Customs and Trade Regulations Illegal Competition from the formal sector Transportation 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 percentage Small Micro Micro Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Medium Small Large Medium 90 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Figure 4.1: Bank Deposits to GDP, Figure 4.2: Private Credit to GDP, Actual and Predicted Actual and Predicted Source: IFS, FPDFS Database. Source: IFS, FPDFS Database. Figure 4.3: Loan-to-Deposits Ratio Figure 4.4: Credit Extended to Private Sector Goes to a Small Number of Large Firms 0.19 % of clients Source: CBE (2009). Source: Central Bank of Egypt (2008). 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Figure 4.5: Percentage of Firms for which Access to Finance is a Major or Severe Constraint— International Comparisons 70 60 percentage 50 40 30 20 10 ru Pe ur Ph key ili pp in es R us si a T So Ind ut ia h A fr ic a M ex ic o l R e om an i M a C al ze a ch ys i R a ep ub lic In do ne si a C ro at ia na C hi C hi Sy ri a ha ila nd Jo rd an H un ga ry M E N A T B ra zi l A lg er i L a eb an o A n rg en ti na Pa ki st an Po la n M d or E occ gy o pt (2 00 8) 0 Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 4.6: Size Disparity in Firm’s Perception of the Access and Cost of Finance Problem Source: World Bank ICA (2009). 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Figure 4.7: Percentage of Firms with Line of Credit or Loans from Financial Institutions- International Comparisons 80 70 60 percentage 50 40 30 20 10 N ig er ra gu ay U ru gu a B y ul ga N ria ic ar ag A ua rg en t T ina aj ik is t M an or oc c U o kr ai ne A So lge ut ria h A fr ic a Jo rd Pa an ne M l E W firm NA es s t B (2 an 00 k 4) & E G Pa gy aza p ne t( l f 20 Pa irm 08 ne s ( ) l f 20 irm 08 s ) (2 00 6) Pa ur ke y cu ad C or ol o B mb an ia gl ad es h B ol iv ia B e E laru lS s al va do r E T le at ia C ro ru C hi Pe T ha i la nd 0 Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 4.8: Share of Enterprises with a Loan from a Bank or Financial Institutions by Size 80 70 Medium 60 Small percentage 50 Micro 40 30 20 10 0 Yemen Lebanon small Morocco Saudi Arabia Syria medium DZA WBG Egypt 2006 Egypt 2008 large Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 4.9: Sources of Working Capital, Egyptian Manufacturing Firms, 2008 Jordan 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 100% Other (specify) Informal sources (e.g. money lender) 80% Family, friends Equity, sale of stock 60% Credit cards Trade credit (supplier or customer credit) 40% Special development financing/ or public financing (Government agencies) / or other public services International commercial banks Domestic commercial banks (loan, overdraft) 20% Internal funds or retained earnings 0% Small Medium Large Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 4.10: Micro-informal Enterprises in Egypt, 2008 Micro-Informal Enterprises Do not need loans 2.02 3.79 Application procedures for bank loans are too burdensome 20.71 37.37 0.25 Collateral requirements of bank loans are too strict Interest rates are too high 0.25 0.25 It is necessary to have contacts or give informal payments to get the loans (Corruption in the allocation of bank credit) 18.18 3.54 Source: World Bank ICA (2009). 13.64 Did not think that it would be approved 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Figure 4.11: Days to Produce Goods and Days of Inventory in Informal Firms Days to produce goods and days of inventory in informal firms 50 47 45 44 43 42 40 40 36 number of days 35 33 33 32 At the time you receive delivery of more of your most important input or supply, how many days could you have kept on producing your goods? If financing were not a problem how many days of your most important input or supply would you want to keep to be profitable? 29 28 30 27 23 25 19 20 15 10 5 ic es an se rv uf ac tu ri ng er gi st re eg m no tr ed d is te re ic ro m al l sm al li nf or m al 0 Source: World Bank ICA (2009 Figure 4.12: Impact of Access to Credit on Firm Employment Growth 20 18 16 14 percentage 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 No Growth Firms Growth firms * Calculated as the increase in the average number of workers from 2006 to 2007 Source: World Bank ICA (2009). 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Figure 4.13: Segmentation of the Credit Market in Egypt – 2008 Survey Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 4.14: Percentage of Loans Requiring Collateral-International Comparisons 100 90 80 70 percentage 60 50 40 30 20 10 Source: World Bank ICA (2009). le C hi na u So rke ut y h A fr ic A a rg en ti na T l zi C hi B ra a eb an on L ri a In di Sy Jo rd an R om an i Pa H a ne un l f ga ir ry m s (2 00 8 Pa M ) ne o l F ro ir cco m s (2 00 4) R us si a T ha E ilan g W yp d es t (2 tb 0 an 08 k ) C &G ze ch az a R ep E ubl gy ic pt (2 00 6) M E A N ll A co un tr ie s Pa ne A l l F ge ir ria m s (2 00 6) 0 10th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9830452-1-2 Figure 4.15: International Comparisons-Value of Collateral-to-loans 250 200 percentage 150 100 50 le ur ke y T ru C hi Pe C E hin g Pa yp a t ne (2 l F 00 8 ir m ) s (2 00 Ph 8) ill ip pi ne s tB W es Po la nd Pa R ne om lF a ir nia m s (2 00 6) R us si a L eb a So no ut n h A E fric gy a pt (2 00 A ll 6) co un tr ie s Jo rd an Pa ne l F In ir dia m s (2 00 4) o H un g an ary k & G az a M E N A or oc c M er i lg A Sy ri a a 0 Source: World Bank ICA (2009). Figure 4.16: Obstacles to Access to Finance Percentage of Firms Barred from Loan Applications 35 30 percentage 25 20 15 10 5 0 Interest rates prohibited High interest rates Application procedure Large firms Source: World Bank ICA (2008). Collateral requirements Will not be approved SMEs Other