POPULATION GENETICS Predicting inheritance in a population © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Predictable patterns of inheritance in a population so long as… the population is large enough not to show the effects of a random loss of genes by chance events i.e. there is no genetic drift the mutation rate at the locus of the gene being studied is not significantly high mating between individuals is random (a panmictic population) new individuals are not gained by immigration or lost be emigration i.e. there is no gene flow between neighbouring populations the gene’s allele has no selective advantage or disadvantage © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS SUMMARY Genetic drift Mutation Mating choice Migration Natural selection All can affect the transmission of genes from generation to generation Genetic Equilibrium If none of these factors is operating then the relative proportions of the alleles (the GENE FREQUENCIES) will be constant © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS THE HARDY WEINBERG PRINCIPLE Step 1 Calculating the gene frequencies from the genotype frequencies Easily done for codominant alleles (each genotype has a different phenotype) © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Iceland Population 313 337 (2007 est) Area 103 000 km2 Distance from mainland Europe 970 km Google Earth © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Example Icelandic population: The MN blood group Sample Phenotypes Population Genotypes 747 Numbers Contribution to gene pool © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Type M Type MN Type N MmMm MmMn MnMn 233 385 129 2 Mm alleles per person 1 Mm allele per person 1 Mn allele per person 2 Mn alleles per person MN blood group in Iceland Total Mm alleles = (2 x 233) + (1 x 385) = 851 Total Mn alleles = (2 x 129) + (1 x 385) = 643 Total of both alleles =1494 = 2 x 747 (humans are diploid organisms) Frequency of the Mm allele = 851/1494 = 0.57 or 57% Frequency of the Mn allele = 643/1494 = 0.43 or 43% © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS In general for a diallellic gene A and a (or Ax and Ay) If the frequency of the A allele = and the frequency of the a allele = Then p+q = 1 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS p q Step 2 Using the calculated gene frequency to predict the EXPECTED genotypic frequencies in the NEXT generation OR to verify that the PRESENT population is in genetic equilibrium © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Assuming all the individuals mate randomly NOTE the gene frequencies are the gamete frequencies too SPERMS Mm 0.57 Mn 0.43 Mm 0.57 MmMm 0.32 MmMn 0.25 Mn 0.43 MmMn 0.25 MnMn 0.18 EGGS © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Close enough for us to assume genetic equilibrium Genotypes Expected frequencies Observed frequencies MmMm 0.32 233 747 = 0.31 MmMn 0.50 385 747 = 0.52 MnMn 0.18 129 747 = 0.17 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS In general for a diallellic gene A and a (or Ax and Ay) Where the gene frequencies are p and q Then p + q = 1 and SPERMS A p a q A p AA p2 Aa pq a q Aa pq aa q2 EGGS © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS THE HARDY WEINBERG EQUATION So the genotype frequencies are: AA Aa aa = = = p2 2pq q2 or p2 + 2pq + q2 = 1 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS DEMONSTRATING GENETIC EQUILIBRIUM Using the Hardy Weinberg Equation to determine the genotype frequencies from the gene frequencies may seem a circular argument © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Only one of the populations below is in genetic equilibrium. Which one? Population sample Genotypes Gene frequencies AA Aa aa 100 20 80 0 100 36 48 16 100 50 20 30 100 60 0 40 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS A a Only one of the populations below is in genetic equilibrium. Which one? Population sample Genotypes Gene frequencies AA Aa aa A a 100 20 80 0 0.6 0.4 100 36 48 16 0.6 0.4 100 50 20 30 0.6 0.4 100 60 0 40 0.6 0.4 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Only one of the populations below is in genetic equilibrium. Which one? Population sample Genotypes Gene frequencies AA Aa aa A a 100 20 80 0 0.6 0.4 100 36 48 16 0.6 0.4 100 50 20 30 0.6 0.4 100 60 0 40 0.6 0.4 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS SICKLE CELL ANAEMIA IN WEST AFRICA, A BALANCED POLYMORPHISM haemoglobin gene Normal allele HbN Sickle allele HbS Phenotypes Normal Sickle Cell Trait Sickle Cell Anaemia Genotypes HbNHbN HbN HbS HbS HbS Observed frequencies 0.56 0.4 0.04 Expected frequencies © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Alleles HbN HbS SICKLE CELL ANAEMIA IN WEST AFRICA, A BALANCED POLYMORPHISM haemoglobin gene Normal allele HbN Sickle allele HbS Phenotypes Alleles Normal Sickle Cell Trait Sickle Cell Anaemia Genotypes HbNHbN HbN HbS HbS HbS HbN HbS Observed frequencies 0.56 0.4 0.04 0.76 0.24 Expected frequencies 0.58 0.36 0.06 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS SICKLE CELL ANAEMIA IN THE AMERICAN BLACK POPULATION Normal Sickle Cell Trait Sickle Cell Anaemia Alleles Genotypes HbNHbN HbN HbS HbS HbS HbN HbS Observed frequencies 0.9075 0.09 0.0025 Phenotypes Expected frequencies © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS SICKLE CELL ANAEMIA IN THE AMERICAN BLACK POPULATION Normal Sickle Cell Trait Sickle Cell Anaemia Alleles Genotypes HbNHbN HbN HbS HbS HbS HbN HbS Observed frequencies 0.9075 0.09 0.0025 0.91 0.09 Expected frequencies 0.8281 0.16 0.0081 Phenotypes © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS RECESSIVE ALLELES EXAMPLE ALBINISM IN THE BRITISH POPULATION Frequency of the albino phenotype = 1 in 20 000 or 0.00005 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS A = Normal skin pigmentation allele Frequency = p a = Albino (no pigment) allele Frequency = q Phenotypes Genotypes Hardy Weinberg frequencies Normal AA p2 Normal Aa 2pq Albino aa q2 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Observed frequencies A = Normal skin pigmentation allele Frequency = p a = Albino (no pigment) allele Frequency = q Phenotypes Genotypes Hardy Weinberg frequencies Normal AA p2 Normal Aa 2pq Albino aa q2 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Observed frequencies 0.99995 0.00005 Albinism gene frequencies Normal allele Albino allele © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS =A=p=? =q=? Albinism gene frequencies Normal allele Albino allele © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS =A=p=? = q = (0.00005) = 0.007 or 7% HOW MANY PEOPLE IN BRITAIN ARE CARRIERS FOR THE ALBINO ALLELE (Aa)? a allele = 0.007 A allele But p+q Therefore p =q =p =1 = 1- q = 1 – 0.007 = 0.993 or 99.3% The frequency of heterozygotes (Aa) = 2pq = 2 x 0.993 x 0.007 = 0.014 or 1.4% © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Heterozygotes for rare recessive alleles can be quite common Genetic inbreeding leads to rare recessive mutant alleles coming together more frequently Therefore outbreeding is better Outbreeding leads to hybrid vigour © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Example: Rhesus blood group in Europe What is the probability of a woman who knows she is rhesus negative (rhrh) marrying a man who may put her child at risk (rhesus incompatibility Rh– mother and a Rh+ fetus)? © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Rhesus blood group A rhesus positive foetus is possible if the father is rhesus positive RhRh x rhrh 100% chance Rhrh x rhrh 50% chance © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Rhesus blood group Rhesus positive allele is dominant Rh Frequency = p Rhesus negative allele is recessive rh Frequency = q Frequency of rh allele = 0.4 = q If p+q=1 Therefore Rh allele = p = 1 – q = 1 – 0.4 = 0.6 © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Rhesus blood group Frequency of the rhesus positive phenotype = RhRh + Rhrh = p2 + 2pq = (0.6)2 + (2 x 0.6 x 0.4) = 0.84 or 84% © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS Rhesus blood group Phenotypes Genotypes Hardy Weinberg frequencies Rhesus positive RhRh p2 Observed frequencies 0.84 Rhesus positive Rhrh 2pq Rhesus negative Rhrh q2 0.16 Therefore, a rhesus negative, European woman in Europe has an 84% chance of having husband who is rhesus positive… of which 36% will only produce rhesus positive children and 48% will produce rhesus positive child one birth in two © 2008 Paul Billiet ODWS