Classification and
quantification of the
key stakeholders
Alan Matthews
Trinity College Dublin
Presentation to Joint UCD/DAFF/Teagasc initiative
“Driving a sustainable agri-food sector: the new roadmap for
education, research and innovation”
Dublin, 29 November 2007
Feedback to: alan.matthews@tcd.ie
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Identification of stakeholders
The agricultural context
Future trends for main stakeholders
Some implications for research and
education system
Stakeholders
Rural
Policy
Environment
Primary
agriculture
Energy
Agro-food
processing
Forestry
Consumers
Marine
Output stagnating, productivity
growth poor…
110.0
Milk quota
100.0
90.0
Output index
Input index
80.0
70.0
60.0
MacSharry reform
50.0
2005
2003
2001
1999
1997
1995
1993
1991
1989
1987
1985
1983
1981
1979
1977
1975
1973
40.0
Total factor productivity growth:
Ireland and New Zealand compared
160
140
120
100
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
80
New Zealand
Source: NZ Statistics, Matthews 1999
Ireland
Total factor productivity trends by
system
150.00
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
Dairy
Source: Newman and Matthews
Tillage
Sheep
Cattle
Agg.
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
80.00
Despite growing reliance on direct
payments…
…steady fall in real Family Farm
Income per farm
Source: Teagasc NFS 2006
Market protection to milk and beef
(ad valorem tariff equivalents)
Land prices bear no relationship
to agricultural returns
Source: IMF Commodity Food Price Index
2006M1
2005M5
2003M1
2002M3
2000M8
1999M1
1997M6
1995M1
1994M4
1992M9
1991M2
1989M7
1987M1
1986M5
1984M1
1983M3
1981M8
1980M1
1995=100
Trend in global food prices
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
EU biofuels targets
• 2003 Biofuels Directive
Ireland’s performance
– 2% biofuels share by
Biofuel Share
Target
2005
– 5.75% by 2010
2003
2004
2005
2005
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
• 10% binding minimum
target for ALL member
0
0
0.05
0.06
states for biofuels share
in transport fuels by
2020 (March 2007)
(subject to production being sustainable and secondgeneration biofuels becoming commercially available)
Composition of agricultural output
1990 and 2005
2005
Cattle
Pigs
Sheep
Horses
Poultry
Milk
Other livestock
products
Crops
No. of holdings in the State
1855-2005
Source: CSO Farm Structures Survey 2007
Farm types, 1991-2005
Only dairying and tillage show a
positive market margin on average…
Source: Teagasc NFS 2006
Cash and economic costs as % of
average of selected countries 1996-20003
Source: Thorne 2007
Cow numbers: dairy and other
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
0
Breeding Cattle: Dairy Cows
Breeding Cattle: Other Cows (excluding Dairy)
Costs and returns in beef
production, 2006
25,000
20,000
€
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Cattle Rearing
Total expenses
Cattle Other
Gross output (market prices)
Source: Teagasc NFS 2006
Gross output +REPS
Sheep numbers: ewes and total
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
0
T otal Sheep
Ewes - Breeding
Pig numbers: breeding and total
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
250
200
150
100
50
19
75
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
0
T otal Pigs
T otal Breeding Pigs
2005
2003
2001
1999
1997
1995
1993
1991
1989
1987
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1985
'000 ha
Area under selected crops,
1991-2005
Other stakeholders
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•
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Agri-food industry
Forestry
Rural
Bioenergy
Consumers
Environment
Share of agricultural area farmed
organically 2004
Source: EPA 2006, based on N. Lampkin, U. of Wales
Source: CSO Environmental
Accounts for Ireland 1997-2004
Implications for research and
education
• Importance of agreeing long term strategic
objectives to inform research/education
• High rates of return to public investment in
agri-food R&D
• Importance of certainty in research funding
– core vs competitive grants
– own initiative vs demand driven research
– economies of scale at fourth level