The Comprehensive Wealth of Immigrants and Natives David Love and Lucie Schmidt Williams College Retirement Research Consortium Annual Meeting August 6, 2015 Motivation • The 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act changed the composition of immigrants arriving in the U.S. • A large literature has investigated relative earnings of immigrants and natives, both at time of entry to the U.S., as well as convergence over time • Less is known about relative wealth accumulation and the preparation of immigrants for retirement Contributions • Calculate measures of comprehensive wealth for immigrants and natives using 1998-2012 HRS • Examine median profiles of annualized wealth over the retirement period • Use a life-cycle framework to try to understand observed trajectories of annualized wealth • Estimate descriptive regressions of levels and growth rates of annualized wealth Immigrant Retirement Resources • Lower actual and projected SS benefits (Cohen and Iams, 2007; Favreault and Nichols, 2011; Sevak and Schmidt, 2014) – Higher replacement rate due to progressive nature of SSA formula (Gustman and Steinmeier, 2000) – Older immigrants have higher employment rates, in part to accumulate necessary work credits (Borjas, 2010) • Lower levels of private wealth – Lower savings rates (Carroll et al., 1994, 1999) – Lower levels of net worth (Cobb-Clark and Hildebrand, 2006; Favreault and Nichols, 2011; Sevak and Schmidt, 2014) – Lower levels of pension coverage (Heim et al., 2012) Immigrant Retirement Resources • Lower rates of homeownership (Borjas 2002) – Conditional on homeownership, higher levels of home equity (Chatterjee and Zahirovic-Herbert 2011; Sevak and Schmidt, 2014) • Both years in the US and country of origin matter in explaining immigrant-native differentials in retirement resources Comprehensive Wealth • Financial wealth: checking, saving, money-market, CDs, stocks, bonds, mutual funds, retirement accounts, and trusts, net of non-mortgage debts • Non-financial wealth: housing, businesses, vehicles, and investment real estate, net of debt • Annuitized wealth: Social Security, DB pensions, future wages, annuities, life insurance, veterans payments, SSI, and food stamps Annualizing Wealth • Price of a joint-life annuity that pays $x > 1 when both members are alive and $1 when one member is alive • Similar to permanent income, but adjusts for longevity and (potentially) household scale economies • If annualized wealth is rising (falling), it signals slow (fast) drawdown of resources Why Would Annualized Wealth Increase with Age? • Standard life-cycle model predicts downward-sloping profiles of annualized wealth • Declining survival probabilities mean that households should discount the future at an increasing rate as they age • What might explain upward-sloping age profiles of annualized wealth? – Bequests – Uncertain medical costs – Housing AW and Immigrant Cohorts Native-Immigrant AW Differences Controlling for Observables Baseline + Demographics + Life-Cycle + Origins -0.748*** -0.138 -0.175** -0.110 Immigrated 1955-1964 0.146 0.112 0.090 0.114 Immigrated 1965-1974 -0.165** -0.104 -0.052 0.013 Immigrated 1975-1984 -0.306*** -0.258* -0.199** -0.131 Immigrated 1985+ -0.388** -0.659*** -0.476*** -0.404*** Immigrant Median regressions of log AW controlling for year effects and other covariates. Within-Immigrant AW Differences Controlling for Observables Baseline + Demographics + Life-Cycle + Origins Immigrated 1955-1964 0.034 0.167* 0.111* 0.162** Immigrated 1965-1974 -0.469*** -0.219*** -0.199*** -0.074 Immigrated 1975-1984 -0.672*** -0.386*** -0.314*** -0.151** Immigrated 1985+ -0.981*** -0.820*** -0.684*** -0.537*** Median regressions of log AW controlling for year effects and other covariates. Conclusions • Immigrants have less total wealth than natives, but decumulate more slowly • Earlier waves of immigrants look similar to natives in terms of annualized wealth • More recent waves of immigrants have accumulated lower annualized wealth • Demographics, life-cycle factors, and country-oforigin explain some of the differences, but not all