Ensuring Sustainability of Access to Utilities for All Girish Sant Prayas Energy Group, Pune – India • Summary of Discussion Paper • Additional Issues • Suggestion for Consultations FES-UN meeting 2 Introduction • In 1990s’ arguments of economic efficiency used to reduce subsidies – Result was increases in prices, poor hurt the most – Yet, tariffs still well below costs. For developing countries – in 39% cases water tariffs do not even cover O&M, 30% do not cover capital costs. In electricity, it is 50% and 44% • Data highlights the challenge of making basic services accessible and affordable for all FES-UN meeting 3 Reasons for Subsidies • Equity considerations • Cost structure of basic utilities – High common costs difficult to allocate – High capital costs – Mismatch between Marginal Cost and Average Cost FES-UN meeting 4 Lessons about Subsidies Increased acceptance that subsidies may remain Question is how to limit / target them and make them efficient? Keep tariffs simple but maintain economic incentives Tune to local context Explore output/performance based subsidies Only a section of population pays for subsidies (through tariff, taxes, or reduced services) FES-UN meeting 5 Subsidy tools …1 • Cross-subsidy: Usually from urban/industrial to rural/residential Need to be contained within a band Tariff of High paying consumers need to be below alternate sources, or Limit set by allocation of low cost resources (such as old dam) • Direct subsidy by government (central/state/local) Can have large welfare impact (through budget allocations). Indian case – 1.5% of GNP FES-UN meeting 6 Subsidy tools …2 • Consumption v/s connection subsidy: Consumption subsidy can be regressive (poor may not be connected) [ agri subsidy in India] Connection subsidies can help increase access (thus reach poor). However, benefits can be constrained by cost of expansion & obstacles such as poor not having property title • Incentive based subsidy: Linked to performance (can be targeted to poor, better allow private participation) Similar to output based aid. Problems are: Difficult to design – bad design can lead to perverse incentives Requires administrative strengthening [Delhi e.g.] FES-UN meeting 7 Invoicing and Collection • Getting people to pay is a challenge due to: – History of non-payment – Inconvenient payment locations – Organizational/administrative problems • Strategies – Prepaid meters – Payment only for properly functioning utilities – Franchisee/Village/Community Committee responsible for collection FES-UN meeting 8 Interlinkages – Example from India • Flat tariff to agriculture since late 1980s – Resulted in utility hiding its inefficiency ($ 2-3 Billion / yr misallocated) – A small fraction of consumers benefited – it set up a economy that is difficult to disturb – Government subsidies increased – as crosssubsidy is reduced by regulators – Issues of utility efficiency and cost reduction through good planning yet to be addressed … FES-UN meeting 9 Tax Revenue as security for debt • Since government financing is the most important aspect – need for increased discussion on – Ways to increase government resources – Efficient use and proper allocation government budget • Special allowances / concessions need to be classified as subsidies – rationalization can be a gold mine! • Need for cautious forecasts – errors can be costly, result in unsustainable decisions by governments in desperation FES-UN meeting 10 PART II: Additional Critical Issues FES-UN meeting 11 Impact of other issues on affordability • Inappropriate schemes – Low cost options or alternate scheme design can be ignored – Scheme for services that are a not priority of the majority • Inefficiency in delivery • Inefficiency in utilization FES-UN meeting 12 Examples Inappropriate Schemes…1 Urban Dev & Costal Environment Management Project of ADB (Karwar, Karnataka, India) 75% (of $ 24 Mn) spent on piped water, but: – Local body had a revenue of $ 0.6 Mn/yr ! – Only 15-20% (of 20,000) families needed water – Critical problem of sanitation, sewage (potentially polluting water source for 80%) was not addressed! – Alternative low cost option of water from close-by river not explored (public barrier of potential radiation leak in river not addressed) • Result = incomplete scheme with heavy financial burden! FES-UN meeting 13 Examples Inappropriate Schemes…2 • Several local bodies refusing to take over water supply schemes (under Water-self governance scheme of WB) in Maharashtra (India), despite 90% capital subsidy! Even O&M costs are perceived as unaffordable by local bodies • Rural electrification in India – under pressure for quick results – system optimization ignored, no level playing field for distributed generation, no effort to help poor use efficient lamps. If this is done: – Supply cost ($/kWh) can be reduced, – Consumption (kWh / month) can be reduced, Gap in ‘cost’ & ‘willingness to pay’ can be reduced FES-UN meeting 14 Implications of such shortcomings • People do not get what they want • People are expected to pay high cost – Priority services not delivered barrier to development – Lack of ownership of projects, – Large gap in revenue & costs FES-UN meeting 15 Genesis of the problem • Top down design, implementation – without real involvement of users • Large dependence on urban / external consultants • At times vested interests, including local elites support high cost schemes (kickbacks, fascination for grandeur, etc.) • Lack of space / process for marginalized groups to voice their opinion, priorities. FES-UN meeting 16 Part III: Suggestion for Consultations Proposed agenda for consultations…1 • Communicate menu of options (for tariff design, subsidy targeting, etc.) to policy makers and civil society – Real life examples may help • Help them move towards consensus on appropriate options • Bring focus on increase and appropriate use of government funding FES-UN meeting 18 Proposed agenda for consultations…2 • Explore ways to ensure that least-cost systems, for priority service are taken up. – – – – Identify priority needs (esp. of poor) Identify menu of options to meet the needs Identify paying capacity / willingness Give voice to ‘under-privileged’ as they should be the focus of development efforts FES-UN meeting 19 Conclusion Meeting MDGs requires that • Process and institutions come up with schemes that are desired by people & are affordable • Such institutions and process should be implementable under present political milieu FES-UN meeting 20 Girish Sant Prayas Energy Group – Pune, India girish@prayaspune.org FES-UN meeting 21 T&D Losses,Theft hidden under Agri use (e.g. Maharashtra) 60% % of Energy Available 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1975 1980 1985 T&D loss FES-UN meeting 1990 Agri. 1995 2000 Unmetered Share 22 Rapid reduction in cross-subsidy in Maharashtra power sector FES-UN meeting 23 Large Increase in Government Subsidy Grown Grownto toaaquarter quarter of of expenses expenseson on All Allsocial social services services (that (thatincludes includes 1750 1500 Revenue Revenue&&Capital Capitalexpenses expenseson on Education, Education,Medical, Medical,Water-supply Water-supply// sanitation, sanitation,Housing, Housing,Urban Urbandevelopment, development, Labor Laborwelfare, welfare,Social Socialsecurity, security,etc.) etc.) Million Euros 1250 1000 750 500 250 0 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 AP Gujarat FES-UN meeting Karnataka MP Rajasthan 24 900 800 700 600 500 900 800 700 BYPL 600 NDPL MUs MUs Problems of Monitoring and Control 400 300 200 100 0 500 400 300 200 100 02-03An 0-200 03-04 201-400 0 04-05 02-03An 03-04 04-05 1200 > 400 1000 800 MUs Random changes in consumption pattern in domestic consumption – case of Delhi ! 600 400 200 BRPL Little action by RC. FES-UN meeting 0 02-03An 03-04 04-05 25 High energy demand forecasts Search for finance (from Govt and Private Sources) High energy intensity To expand centralised generation Wastage, Financial Losses Need for subsidy, No accountability FES-UN meeting Ignore cheaper options of DSM and De-centralised generation High cost of power 26