Citizens and Constitutions: The Scottish Question

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Citizens and

Constitutions:

The Scottish

Question

CHARLIE JEFFERY

University of Edinburgh

Political Participation in Scotland

• 97%, 85%, 100,000

Political Participation in Scotland

• 97%, 85%, 100,000

Hansard Audit

Certain to vote May

Interest in Politics

Knowledge of Politics

Efficacy

Knowledge of (UK) Parl

Satisfaction democracy

Scotland

72

62

56

44

46

32

32

47

44

UK

49

49

47

Scottish Referendum Study

What do you think will happen to levels of political involvement – both your own and in the Scottish public as a whole – once the referendum is over?

The Scottish public

Yourself

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Will stay more involved Will go back to normal Don’t know

100%

What do you think will happen to levels of political involvement – both your own and in the Scottish public as a whole – once the referendum is over?

Yes

No

Yes

No

0,0% 20,0%

Will stay more involved

40,0% 60,0% 80,0%

Will go back to normal

100,0% 120,0%

Don’t know

Implications?

• Convention not on the agenda in Scotland!

Implications?

• Convention not on the agenda in Scotland!

• What drives greater participation?

Implications?

• Convention not on the agenda in Scotland!

• What drives greater participation?

• Dissatisfaction

– Support for status quo 27, 21, 24, 25, 22

– Dissatisfaction with what?

– Inputs and outputs

£1400

28 May 2014

£1000

£500

“Say it was clear that if Scotland became an independent country (separate from the rest of the UK) the standard of living would be higher/lower and people would on average be £500 a year better/worse off.

In these circumstances would you be in favour or against Scotland becoming an independent country?”

Scottish Social Attitudes Survey 2013

£500

Not Just Scotland

Status Quo

EVEL

Regions

English

Parliament

Independent

England

Don’t Know

What England Wants

Option 1

18

40

9

16

Option 2

25

31

--

13

--

17

15

16

Option 3

22

36

--

25

--

17

Status Quo

EVEL

Regions

English

Parliament

Independent

England

Don’t Know

What England Wants

Option 1

18

40

9

16

Option 2

25

31

--

13

--

17

15

16

Option 3

22

36

--

25

--

17

Not Just Scotland

Future of England Survey 2014

Not just Scotland and England

The Uncivic Culture

• Diffuse support much diminished?

– 45% Yes

– A quarter support status quo in

England

• Support now much more instrumental and conditional

– Constitutional strains about economic benefit, attractiveness of alternatives?

– Can Conventions deal with this?

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