A UK Constitutional Convention ? Richard Wyn Jones Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru Prifysgol Caerdydd// Wales Governance Centre Cardiff University Overview • A Welsh genesis – and what that tells us • Why a Constitutional Convention would be positively dangerous (for the Union) • What (nonetheless) needs to be discussed somewhere – though probably not at the same time or as part of the same process A Welsh genesis • January 2012: Welsh FM, Carwyn Jones, first political figure to call for a Constitutional Convention on the future of the UK • Now ‘common sense’ in Welsh political circles (you’re in the presence of a heretic!) • Finally taken up by Miliband on 19.ix.2014 to counter Cameron’s EVEL move • No serious thought or planning has taken place around the idea – very easy to be cynical about it all Why did Carwyn make suggestion? • Trying to lever Wales into discussion (move beyond London-Edinburgh bilateralism) and trying give Wales leverage (‘fair funding’ et al) – Personal observation is that having Wales in room does change dynamics. Challenges self-serving nature of both sides of the Scottish debate! • Labour devolutionists need cross party support in order to fight their own battles (justice, jurisdiction) • CJ’s (personal?) view that we’re reaching the limits of devolution – need an all-Union perspective and change at the Centre • Welsh ‘convention envy’: characteristic view in Welsh politics that constitutional conventions are ‘a good thing’ “If only Wales had had a Constitutional Convention like Scotland’s…” • In the context of the failure of Welsh constitution making – 3 dispensations so far and counting – the lack of Scottish Convention familiar lament. Causal or quasi-causal claims very common • Successive attempts to label Welsh processes as the ‘Welsh equivalent of’ (Richard Commission, ‘All Wales Convention’ • NB Scotland is the model (not a deliberative exercise) and there’s actually very little understanding of what went on in Scottish convention • NB In Welsh ‘one party dominant system’ – all-party processes can propose but only Labour disposes. The dangers of a Convention • Various debates and processes have their own dynamics and at very different stages of development/maturity – ENGLAND Labour appears to be suggesting that an all-UK Convention should propose a solution to the English question. Obvious and potentially very serious legitimacy issues esp. when Scottish and Welsh unionists propose solution that English population doesn’t support – NO ROLL BACK OF DEVOLVED POWERS POSSIBLE Certain legitimacy crisis if suggested • Composition (all party or some parties? No party not a serious option!) which links to ToR… What if any options are ruled in/ruled out before hand? NB Not only an issue with Nats but also for Centre.. • And if it fails…? (Do no harm principle?) • NB Failure of Welsh constitution making not due to lack of convention but rather the structural constraints of Welsh politics. Misdiagnosis/Displacement The UKCU project’s 4 key principles to underpin a ‘new union’ Also an agenda for debate… 1. Shared sovereignty 2. Subsidiarity, clarity and consistency 3. Cohesion and solidarity 4. Tempering English dominance Stagger discussion? 1 and 3 can start immediately – on intergovernmental basis? 2 and certainly 4 need to await an English debate