LHC Predictions1 from an extended theory2 with Elastic, Inelastic, and Path Length Fluctuating Jet Energy Loss William Horowitz Department of Physics, Columbia University 538 W 120th St., New York, NY 10027, USA Frankfurt Institute for Advanced Studies (FIAS) 60438 Frankfurt am Main, Germany November 15, 2006 1. W.Horowitz et al to be published 2. S.Wicks, W.Horowitz, M.Djordjevic and M.Gyulassy, nucl-th/0512076 v3, NPA in press With thanks to Azfar Adil and Carsten Greiner 11/15/06 William Horowitz 1 Outline • Energy dependence of jet quenching at the LHC as a test of loss mechanisms – Highly distinct LHC RAA(pT) predictions – Naturalness of the difference • Intro to Physics of Nothing – P0 = Exp(-Nc), the probability of no jet interactions. Nc ~ selrL is the average number of elastic collisions 11/15/06 William Horowitz 2 Modeling Energy Loss – Different models include some effects while neglecting others • Radiative only loss: (AWS, Majumder, Vitev) • Convolved radiative and elastic loss (WHDG) • Inclusion of probability of nothing (separate from probability of emitting no radiation, Pg0!) – Nc is the number of elastic collisions suffered while propagating out 11/15/06 William Horowitz 3 Probability of Overquench: DE > E – For highly suppressed jets, P(e > 1) has a large support for overabsorption. One of two choices is generally made: • Renormalize (reweight) uniformly • Include an explicit d(1-e) term – We always use the latter 11/15/06 William Horowitz 4 Our Extended Theory • Convolve Elastic with Inelastic energy loss fluctuations ( ) • Include path length fluctuations in diffuse nuclear geometry with 1+1D Bjorken expansion 11/15/06 William Horowitz 5 Simplified Treatment Uses Fixed L – Estimates of a fixed, single, representative length: where and the fitted L is found by varying it until it best reproduces the true geometric average. • There is no a priori method to determine how much the first two deviate from the actual answer 11/15/06 William Horowitz 6 Path Length Fluctuations Can Not be Neglected • P(L) is a wide distribution – Flavor independent • Flavor dependent best fixed length approximation LQ’s not a priori obvious 11/15/06 S. Wicks, WH, M. Gyulassy, and M. Djordjevic, nucl-th/0512076 William Horowitz 7 RHIC p Results • Inclusion of both fluctuating elastic loss and paths is essential to reproduce data – Fully perturbative – dNg/dy = 1000 consistent with entropy data for conservative as = .3 • Results are sensitive to changes in dNg/dy and as – Model is not “fragile” – Running of as will be an important effect 11/15/06 WH, S. Wicks, M. Gyulassy, M. Djordjevic, in preparation William Horowitz 8 Suppression of AWS • AWS pQCD-based controlling parameter nonperturbatively large to fit RHIC data must be -pQCD gives = c e3/4, where c ~ 2; c ~ 8-20 required for RHIC data -Needed because radiative only energy loss (and > 1? R = (1/2) L3) K. J. Eskola, H. Honkanen, C. A. Salgado, and U. A. Wiedemann, Nucl. Phys. A747:511:529 (2005) 11/15/06 William Horowitz 9 LHC p Predictions WH, S. Wicks, M. Gyulassy, M. Djordjevic, in preparation 11/15/06 • Our predictions show a significant increase in RAA as a function of pT • This rise is robust over the range of predicted dNg/dy for the LHC that we used • This should be compared to the flat in pT curves of AWSbased energy loss (next slide) • We wish to understand the origin of this difference William Horowitz 10 Comparison of LHC p Predictions (a) (b) K. J. Eskola, H. Honkanen, C. A. Salgado, and U. A. Wiedemann, Nucl. Phys. A747:511:529 (2005) A. Dainese, C. Loizides, G. Paic, Eur. Phys. J. C38:461474 (2005) Curves of AWS-based energy loss are flat in pT 11/15/06 William Horowitz 11 Why AWS is Flat • Flat in pT curves result from extreme suppression at the LHC – When probability leakage P(e > 1) is large, the (renormalized or not) distribution becomes insensitive to the details of energy loss • Enormous suppression due to: – Already (nonperturbatively) large suppression at RHIC for AWS – Extrapolation to LHC assumes 7 times RHIC medium densities (using EKRT) » Note: even if LHC is only ~ 2-3 times RHIC, still an immoderate ~ 30-45 • As seen on the previous slide, Vitev predicted a similar rise in RAA(pT) as we do – Vitev used only radiative loss, Prad(e), but assumed fixed path – WHDG similar because elastic and path fluctuations compensate 11/15/06 William Horowitz 12 The Rise of GLV Rad+El+Geom • Use of both Prad AND Pel implies neither has much weight for DE > E at RHIC • For the dNg/dy values used, high-pT jets at the LHC have asymptotic energy loss: DErad/E ~ a3 Log(E/m2L)/E DEel/E ~ a2 Log((E T)1/2/mg)/E WH, S. Wicks, M. Gyulassy, M. Djordjevic, in preparation • LHC RAA(pT) dependence caused by deceasing energy loss not altered by the flat production spectra 11/15/06 William Horowitz 13 Probability of No Energy Loss • Induced radiative energy loss requires at least one jet interaction in medium with probability • After at least one elastic collision, the total energy loss is a convolution of the momentum lost to the radiated glue as well as to the scattering centers – Prad(e) also contains a P(Ng = 0) d(e) due to the probability of no glue emission – For fixed as = .3, including P0 physics accounts for 50% of RAA – Allowing as(T) to run as as(q2=2pT(z)) reduces P0 by a factor of 2 – Integration over momentum transfers with as(q2) given by vacuum running formally gives P0=0 11/15/06 William Horowitz 14 Conclusions • LHC RAA(pT) data will distinguish between energy loss models – GLV Rad+El+Geom predicts significant rise in pT – AWS type models predict flat pT dependence • Moderate opacity (GLV, WW) RAA predictions sensitive to noninteracting free jets RAA ~ P0 + (1-P0) RAA(Nc>0), P0 = exp(-selrL) 11/15/06 William Horowitz 15